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Inflation, Diesel, Other Market Forces Escalate Cost of Services

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Global Economic Woes

With only about a month before the end of 2022, it is difficult for the year to be remembered for anything other than the war in Ukraine and the chaotic shock waves that inflation drove into the fabric of the global economy.

Largely driven by surging costs in prices of food and utilities, the situation was aggravated at the time the global economy was starting to show signs of recovery following the gripping Coronavirus induced recession.

Inflation figures in the US reached new levels not experienced in forty years, as the Bureau of Labour reported 8.6% for the month of May 2022, the highest since 1981. In the UK, it has been a similar scenario, with 9% inflation quoted for May 2022, the highest since 1982.

It is pretty much the same across the globe with Spain, Greece, France, Portugal among others, all caught in the web of inflation. Turkey’s jarring 54.8% is easily the worst among all countries captured in the report.

Double whammy for businesses in Nigeria with no silver bullet in sight; inflationary pressures as a result of currency devaluation, increased diesel and energy costs and food inflation due to insecurity.

Bringing it closer to home, the alarm bells are ringing for Nigeria, with the National Bureau of Statistics recording the inflation rate at 20.77% for September 2022 while analysts project 21.32% for October 2022.

Although Nigeria is faring better than neighbouring Ghana, whose inflation figure stands at 40.4% for October 2022, the implications of this on the cost of doing business in Nigeria are significant.

More challenging is the proposed 17.4% increment in electricity tariff for businesses within the EKO Electricity Distribution Company area, effective 1st January 2023, in-line with the July 2022 review of the Multi-Year Tariff Order by the Nigerian Electricity Regulation Commission (NERC).

This will adversely impact the formal economy, by increasing the cost of doing businesses within the jurisdiction of the power distribution company, forcing such businesses to contend with trade-offs to deal with these higher costs.

With diesel generators being the leading source of backup power in Nigeria and a litre of diesel selling for between N780 and N800, the situation has exacerbated to the point that some of the financial institutions, hitherto thought to operate above the high cost of doing business in the country, have had to reduce their hours of operation to save costs.

With power being a critical part of operations for most companies either in telecommunications, media, banking, manufacturing and tech, the impact on bottom line is huge when the cost of diesel and power subscriptions are factored into monthly and annual expenditure.

More unsettling is the fact that inflation, as far as Nigeria is concerned, has continued to grow almost on a monthly basis. The September 2022 figure at 20.77%, the highest in 17 years, was up from the 20.52% posted for August 2022 and 19.64% for July 2022.

If inflation, high cost of diesel and increase in electricity tariff are the factors businesses in Nigeria have to grapple with, their journey towards margins, the basic rationale behind setting up a business, would be considered tortuous by any analyst. How much so when the thorny issue of currency devaluation is added to the mix?

With the currency devaluation, Nigerians have seen the Naira exchange for dollar at the rate of N438 to $1, up from the prevailing N413/$1 rate a few months back at the official market. However, this is now only the case on paper, with the crushing unavailability in official markets leading to a surge in the parallel markets.

Although there has been a reprieve of sorts for the Naira in the last few days, the currency is still being exchanged for between N710 and N780 in the parallel market.

Africa’s growing digital economy is not immune from the impact of these cost pressures

With Nigeria being one of Africa’s largest ICT markets in terms of telecom subscribers and internet users, the surging prices are placing tremendous pressure on the industry. Telecom operators, data center providers and companies running their own ICT infrastructure are facing this onslaught of high prices.

At a time when digital transformation is viewed as critical for the economy to improve its productivity, the sector is under pressure from higher costs which it is seeking to pass on to businesses and consumers.

Unlike the banking industry and brick and mortar establishments that are able to cut back service hours, networks and data centers are required to run 24X7 whether they are utilized by a handful or millions of customers and subscribers and these always-on operations are placing tremendous cost pressures on these companies.

For businesses, even more than for households, it is a case of double jeopardy as they have to bear the cost of back-up power with diesel, while also covering the increasing costs of grid electricity, or at least the little or nothing of it which they enjoy.

It is remarkable that Nigeria has witnessed the entrants of many new data center operators in recent times and there are questions if these operators will be able to get services off the ground with low public power availability and high costs of diesel back up.

Tough decisions ahead

These developments are forcing data service providers, manufacturers, FMCGs, similar to businesses in Europe, to review prices as the only way to stay afloat, while ensuring continuity of services to customers.

As the year comes to an end and businesses put together their strategies for the year ahead, some difficult decisions need to be made, to weather the stormy waters that lie ahead.


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IMF Warns Nigeria of Risks in $5Bn Swap Deal with ‌First Abu Dhabi Bank

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The IMF on Tuesday warned of risks surrounding Nigeria’s plan to borrow up to $5 billion through a derivatives agreement with ‌First Abu Dhabi Bank, saying such transactions are often opaque and complex.

IMF Warns Nigeria of Risks in $5Bn Swap Deal with ‌First Abu Dhabi Bank

Recall that the Senate in April gave its approval to the agreement, joining other Africa borrowers like Senegal and Angola who have tapped similar arrangements over the past year.

“Our view is that the transaction in these types of structures carry risks. Usually they are opaque so the terms are not always very transparent when we reviewed these instruments ​across countries,” Christian Ebeke, IMF resident representative in Nigeria, told reporters.

Ebeke said Nigeria could instead issue eurobonds to finance its deficits or other means to raise funding, including on concessional terms.

Nigeria intends to use proceeds from the total return swap, or TRS, to refinance expensive debt and pay for infrastructure.

In its latest Article IV review, the Fund praised Nigeria’s sweeping reforms, saying they had strengthened economic stability and investor confidence, but warned that the benefits had ‌yet to reach millions of citizens and could be undermined by global shocks, including the Middle East conflict.

The reforms since 2023 under President Bola Tinubu – including fuel subsidy removal, tighter monetary policy and exchange rate liberalisation – had rebuilt buffers and improved macroeconomic management, the IMF said.

However, it cautioned that the reforms were also contributing to social strain, with poverty levels at 63% and millions facing food insecurity, underscoring a widening gap between macro gains and household realities.

The IMF said improved policy credibility and forex reforms had helped Nigeria regain access to international capital markets and attract portfolio inflows, while reducing risk premiums. The central bank says gross reserves are at $50 billion, the highest in 17 years.

But reliance on volatile foreign portfolio investment poses rollover risks, the IMF said, urging a shift towards more stable, long-term capital such as foreign direct investment.


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SSDC Warns Businesses against Cyber, Election-Related Risks

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Security Skills Development Company (SSDC) has released its 2026 Security Outlook, highlighting four major security challenges expected to shape Nigeria’s business and operating environment as the country moves closer to the 2027 general election.

SSDC Warns Businesses against Cyber, Election-Related Risks

The report, developed from a nationwide survey and expert contributions at the recently concluded Security Thought Leadership Roundtable, identifies internal security threats, protection of national assets, cyber risks and election-related instability as the most significant concerns facing organisations and institutions in the coming year.

According to SSDC, findings from the survey and stakeholder discussions reveal growing concern over the increasing complexity of security challenges and their potential impact on business continuity, economic stability and public confidence.

A substantial number of respondents identified internal threats within organisations as an emerging risk, pointing to the need for stronger corporate governance, workforce integrity measures and structured risk management systems.

Security experts at the roundtable noted that weaknesses in critical public infrastructure and national assets could have far-reaching consequences for the economy and national development if not adequately addressed.

The report also highlights cybercrime as a persistent and evolving threat to both public and private sector institutions.

Participants stressed the importance of strengthening cyber resilience through proactive monitoring, investment in technology-driven safeguards and improved security awareness.

Another key concern raised in the outlook is what SSDC described as the “2027 Election Shadow.” Many respondents expressed concerns about the possibility of heightened political tension as the election season approaches, warning that uncertainty and security disruptions could affect business operations, investment decisions and overall economic confidence.

Speaking on the report’s findings, Mike Igbodipe, managing director, SSDC, called for a more strategic approach to security management across both public and private sectors.

He said organisations must move beyond reactive security measures and integrate security considerations into their broader strategic planning and decision-making processes. He also advocated the development of a gold-standard, locally certified training programme for security professionals tailored to Nigeria’s unique security environment.

SSDC, a security training and consulting firm focused on advancing professional standards in Nigeria’s security sector and strengthening industrial resilience through capacity building and strategic expertise, said the Security Outlook forms part of its ongoing thought leadership initiative aimed at promoting informed dialogue on national security, institutional resilience and risk management.

The company reaffirmed its commitment to supporting stakeholders through research, training and strategic advisory services designed to improve preparedness and response to emerging security challenges.

 

 

 


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Moniepoint DreamDevs Bootcamp Graduates Second Cohort to Strengthen Homegrown Talent Pipeline

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L-r: Co-Founder/Chief Operating Officer, Semicolon, Ashley Immanuel; Employer Brand Manager, Moniepoint, Celestina Dike; Head of Engineering, Moniepoint, John Ojetunde and Head, Talent Acquisition, Moniepoint, Perpetual Ibe at the Moniepoint DreamDevs Demo Day presentation which held in Lagos.
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Moniepoint Inc., Africa’s leading digital financial services provider, has officially graduated the second cohort of its flagship DreamDevs Bootcamp, marking a significant milestone in the company’s ongoing effort to build world-class engineering talent from the ground up.

The graduation was celebrated at a Demo Day event held in Lagos, themed “Training Done! Demo Up!”, where participants presented capstone projects built to real-world engineering standards.

The graduation comes at a crucial time for Africa’s tech ecosystem. Although Nigeria’s tech talent is growing, it isn’t sufficient, especially at the mid-to-senior engineering level, where demand far exceeds supply. By 2030, the global shortage of software developers could reach 85 million, leading to economic losses of $5.5 trillion. For a continent developing its digital infrastructure, this is critical. Moniepoint’s DreamDevs Bootcamp is a strategic response to these challenges.

The nine-week curriculum, created by Moniepoint’s Engineering Unit in partnership with Semicolon, covered Java Object-Oriented Programming, Data Structures and Algorithms, Software Testing, MySQL, Spring Boot APIs, System Design, Docker, Messaging Queues, Frontend UI, and Cloud Infrastructure. Participants received programme stipends and mentorship from experienced Moniepoint software engineers, gaining valuable exposure to the production environment of one of Africa’s fastest-growing fintech firms.

During the Demo Day presentation, the participants paired into 9 teams were excited to showcase how they have deployed knowledge and skills gained during the course of the bootcamp  into real and useful  solutions in real estate, hospital management, event management, food and agriculture.

Commenting, Felix Ike, Co-Founder and Chief Technology Officer of Moniepoint, said, “DreamDevs is a structural investment in Nigeria’s digital economy, not a recruitment exercise, not a pipeline built solely to serve Moniepoint’s hiring needs. That said, we are proud that some graduates from our first cohort are already active members of our engineering team, proof that when young African engineers are given the right training and the right environment, they can compete at the highest level”.

Felix added that “Engineering excellence is not a naturally occurring phenomenon. It is a curated and intentionally built process that requires the right systems, the right resources, and sufficient time to take hold. Building that process and making it accessible to the brightest young engineers on this continent is a responsibility we have chosen to own.

Africa’s digital economy is attracting significant global capital, yet the talent infrastructure required to sustain that growth remains underdeveloped. The DreamDevs Bootcamp and our other capacity-building initiatives across some of Nigeria’s public universities demonstrate Moniepoint’s commitment to this responsibility.

The initiative also aligns with Nigeria’s broader national agenda on technology skills development. Moniepoint serves as a key sponsor of the Federal Government’s 3 Million Technical Talent (3MTT) programme, which focuses on mass technical skills training across the country. While 3MTT addresses the scale challenge, DreamDevs provides depth, offering a specialised, end-to-end pathway from foundational training through to employment within Moniepoint’s complete development ecosystem.

As Nigerian fintechs deepen their infrastructure ambitions, the ability to grow engineering capacity that feeds these aspirations requires an urgent industry intervention, as Moniepoint is demonstrating to address Africa’s engineering talent challenge.


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