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Iran strikes back at US Risk aversion reigns

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By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM,

A tidal wave of risk aversion engulfed financial markets on Wednesday, after Iran launched retaliatory missile strikes against US forces in Iraq.

Global stocks fell slightly, while Gold punched above $1600 as escalating tensions in the Middle East accelerated the flight to safety. Iran’s retaliation has raised fears of a full-blown conflict with the United States and this negative sentiment is poised to weigh on emerging markets this week. There is a lot of uncertainty in the air with markets still in ‘wait and see’ mode until further clarity is provided on the US-Iran faceoff.

Markets have stabilized to some degree after the initial burst of volatility with investors taking some reassurance from the absence of US casualties and the measured tone of the official responses. President Trump is expected to make a statement later today in response to the Iranian strikes which should give direction to markets.

 

Nevertheless, heightened tensions in the Middle East will most likely weigh on global risk sentiment, ultimately denting appetite for emerging market asset and currencies. On a brighter note, emerging market energy oil exporters such as Nigeria could benefit from higher oil prices in the short term. Appreciating Oil prices may result in higher export earnings and government revenues for Africa’s largest economy.

 

Nigeria’s latest inflation figures may be published as early as Friday January 11 with markets forecasting consumer prices to jump to 12.10% in December amid the ongoing border closures. Signs of inflationary pressures making a return are likely to cool any speculation around the Central Bank of Nigeria easing monetary policy in Q1. The country’s economic outlook will remain influenced by Oil price volatility and US-China trade developments.

 

Oil sensitive to geopolitics

 

The explosive moves witnessed in Oil prices over the past few days highlight how sensitive the commodity is to geopolitical shocks.

 

WTI Crude blasted higher during early trading on Wednesday, breaking above $65 after Iran fired missiles at air bases in Iraq housing US troops. Given how this development raises fears of more tensions in the Middle East, Oil prices are poised to remain volatile in the near future with all eyes now on President Trump’s reaction and any signs of US retaliation. It will be interesting to see how far geopolitical shocks support Oil prices before investors re-direct their focus back towards US-China trade and global growth.

 

Regarding the technical picture, WTI Crude pared some of its gains after spiking towards $65.65 during the early parts of Wednesday morning. Bears could re-enter the scene if prices close below $62.00 with

 

Gold turbocharged by risk aversion  

 

In other news, Gold exploded higher on Wednesday, punching above $1600 for the first time in almost seven years as geopolitical shocks sent investors flocking to safer segments of the market.

 

Escalating tensions in the Middle East have hit global risk appetite, boosting buying sentiment towards safe-haven assets. Gold bulls remain in the driving seat with further upside expected as uncertainty supports the flight to safety.

 

Focusing on the technical picture, the precious metal is heavily bullish on the daily charts as there have been consistent higher highs and higher lows. A solid daily close above $1600 may encourage a move towards $1630. Alternatively, sustained weakness below $1600 could trigger a retracement back towards $1570 and $1555.

 

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Top Nigerian Startups Secure Funding Boost @ iHatch Demo Day Awards

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Nigeria’s startup ecosystem received a fresh injection of momentum as top emerging ventures secured funding and investor attention at the iHatch National Demo Day, where Interface Africa clinched the highest prize of $15,000.

The 4th cohort of the NITDA–JICA-backed accelerator brought together founders, policymakers, and venture stakeholders in Abuja, showcasing innovations ranging from clean-energy financing and digital food marketplaces to next-gen fintech tools.

The startups went rounds of running through state-level selections and regional competition. iHatch was established in 2021 as a strategic partnership to create an enabling environment for young Nigerians to develop and scale their innovative solutions.

The iHatch National Demo Day (4th Cohort), is an initiative by NITDA and JICA which provides a clear pathway for homegrown talent to contribute significantly to economic diversification and digital transformation.

After rigorous selection processes, the top founders converged to pitch their innovations, recognised the standout performers, which are:

Interface Africa with $15,000, the firm is driving Nigeria’s clean energy transition by enabling structured and affordable solar financing.

Ahioma with $12,000, the firm enhances food accessibility with a digital marketplace connecting consumers directly to trusted vendors.

Linia Finance with $10,000, the firm is helping Nigerians take control of their finances with tools for budgeting, tracking, and smart money planning.

Chapta got a laptop reward. They delivering an offline-capable school application ensuring consistent, accessible learning for students everywhere.

Softdrop also got a laptop reward, they solve logistics challenges through a modern delivery platform designed for speed, convenience, and efficiency.

 


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Fidelity Bank to Host Virtual Masterclass on New Tax Law

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Fidelity Bank Plc, a leading financial institution, will host a free virtual training on the Nigeria Tax Act 2025 (NTA) as part of its commitment to helping small businesses prepare for the upcoming legislation.

Fidelity Bank to Host Virtual Masterclass on New Tax Law

Fidelity Bank

The masterclass is scheduled for 10:00 AM (Nigerian time) on Friday, 12 December 2025. It will provide participants with clear insights into changes in the tax framework, the impact on income and business operations, and practical steps to avoid penalties in 2026.

Attendees will also learn strategies to stay ahead in an evolving regulatory environment.

The Nigerian government enacted major tax reforms on 26 June 2025 when President Bola Ahmed Tinubu signed four tax bills into law.

These Acts will take effect on 1 January 2026 and represent a significant overhaul of the country’s tax system.

The reforms aim to modernize and harmonize Nigeria’s tax framework, improve revenue generation, broaden the tax base, and create clearer rules for individuals, businesses, and government agencies.

“Our decision to host this masterclass reflects our commitment to empowering businesses with the right information ahead of the commencement of the new tax regime.

“Information is money and a well-informed business owner is already steps ahead in the race to success.

“This is why we are bringing experts to provide accurate details and demystify the tax act,” said Osita Ede, Divisional Head, Product Development, Fidelity Bank Plc.

Interested participants can register via https://bit.ly/2026TaxLawMasterclass .


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PalmPay MD Seeks Deeper Financial Inclusion @ CeBIH Annual Conference 2025

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L-r: Chika Reginald Nwosu, Managing Director, PalmPay; Tunde Ogundipe, Co-Founder & Chief Executive Officer, E-Doc Online; Emezino Afigbe, Head, Gender Center for Excellence, Enhancing Financial Innovation and Access (EFInA); Ronke Kuye, CeBIH Advisory Council; Dr. Badamasi Lawal, CEO National Social Investment Program; Uche Uzoebo, Chief Executive Officer, Shared Agent Network Expansion Facilities (SANEF); Dominic Wadongo, Chief Risk Officer, SmartCash Payment Service Bank, Nigeria, at the CeBIH Annual Conference recently.
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PalmPay, Nigeria’s leading digital banking platform, has renewed its commitment to deepening financial inclusion across the country. At the CeBIH Annual Conference 2025, themed “Reimagining Financial Inclusion through Cultural Shifts in Consumer Credit,” PalmPay’s Managing Director, Chika Nwosu, urged industry players to deepen financial inclusion by embracing community-aligned solutions and customer-centric innovations that can better serve Nigeria’s underserved and unbanked populations.

Speaking during a panel session titled “Social Inclusion, A Veritable Tool for Financial Inclusion,” Chika Nwosu joined other industry leaders to share insights on strengthening participation among women, rural dwellers, low-income earners, and other financially excluded groups.

Chika Nwosu highlighted PalmPay’s commitment to inclusive finance through its 500,000-strong agent network, which enables seamless cash-in/cash-out services for unbanked users across Nigeria. He also emphasised the importance of PalmPay’s USSD platform, 861#, which allows users with basic phones or limited internet access to perform essential financial transactions.

“Financial inclusion goes beyond access; it must be equitable and tailored to real-life needs,” Chika Nwosu said. He shared how PalmPay leverages behavioural insights to design impactful services, including affordable health insurance, reliable bill payments, merchant solutions, and automated savings features that support financial discipline among users.

The session further examined the role of grassroots agents and community touchpoints in driving last-mile adoption. Chika Nwosu noted that PalmPay’s widespread community presence continues to build trust and encourage excluded populations to embrace digital financial tools.

The session was moderated by Ronke Kuye of the CeBIH Advisory Council and featured representatives from E-Doc Online, SmartCash Payment Service Bank, SANEF, and EFINA.

PalmPay reaffirmed its commitment to driving accessible, secure, and inclusive financial services for all Nigerians. PalmPay is a leading digital banking platform driving financial inclusion and economic empowerment in underserved emerging markets. Through its secure, user-friendly, and inclusive suite of financial services, PalmPay empowers individuals and businesses with tools to manage and grow their money.

PalmPay offers a comprehensive range of products, including mobile payments, savings, and micro-insurance via its app and mobile money agent network.

Since launching in Nigeria in 2019 under a Mobile Money Operator license, the platform has grown to over 35 million app users. PalmPay has operations in Nigeria, Ghana, Tanzania, and Bangladesh.


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