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Nigeria Foreign Exchange Reserves in focus, Gold slips

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By Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM,

 

The Nigerian Naira maintained stability against the Dollar on Thursday despite growing expectations over higher US interest rates this year.

 

It is becoming clear that that the Central Bank of Nigeria’s repeated intervention in the FX market has resulted in a stable Naira exchange. Although this method could continue supporting the local currency, Nigeria’s external reserves may come under pressure. Sentiment towards the Nigerian economy could take a hit if Friday’s Foreign Exchange Reserves report shows that external reserves dropped further in August.

 

Risk sentiment wavers on trade fears

 

Market players remain in a cautious mood as lingering concerns over trade tensions between the United States and China dent risk appetite.

 

Asian stocks relinquished earlier gains to close in negative territory this morning while European shares declined as simmering trade tensions prompted investors to offload riskier assets. With Donald Trump’s upcoming tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods likely to deteriorate US-China economic ties even further, resumed fears over trade remains a driving concern for investors.

 

Sterling boosted by Barnier, bulls capture 1.3000

 

The Pound experienced a sudden change of fortune after encouraging comments from Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier eased fears of a “hard Brexit”.

 

Bernier’s comments that the European Union was “prepared to offer a partnership with Britain such as has never been with any other third party country” has made music to the ears of Pound traders. This positive development has boosted confidence over the direction of Brexit talks. The Pound’s aggressive appreciation following Barnier’s comments continues to highlight how the currency remains extremely sensitive to positive Brexit headlines.

 

Focusing on the technical picture, the GBPUSD is turning increasingly bullish on the daily charts. There have been consistently higher highs and higher lows created since the middle of August while prices are trading above the daily 20 Simple Moving Average. A weekly close above 1.3000 could seal the deal for bulls for prices to attack 1.3070 and 1.3130, respectively. If 1.3000 proves a stubborn resistance, Sterling could sink back to 1.2900.

 

South African Rand tumbles as Argentina Peso slides

 

The South African Rand has received another battering during trading on Thursday with the currency being hit from multiple directions.

 

The resumption of what very much could become another crisis for the Turkish Lira complimented by the Argentine Peso situation taking another dive for the worse, combined by prolonged concerns over trade tensions between the United States and China, is spelling out to investors a very reluctant environment for them to invest in high-yielding assets.

 

I would keep a very close eye on the situation with the currencies of Argentina and Turkey because it represents a major risk to deterring traders away from investing in any high-yielding assets, meaning that the situation for the South African Rand could get a lot worse due to external headwinds.

 

Commodity spotlight – Gold

 

Gold’s trajectory continues to be heavily influenced by the Dollar’s performance and US interest rate hike expectations.

 

The yellow metal depreciated today after reports of US economic growth expanding faster than expected during Q2 cemented market expectations of a US interest rate hike in September. With the Dollar likely to stabilize on Fed rate hike speculation and safe-haven demand, Gold could resume the downtrend.

 

In regards to the technical picture, the yellow metal needs to break back below the $1,200 level for bears to attack $1,190 and $1,182, respectively. If the $1,200 support holds, then prices could retest $1,214.

 


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Ugo Onwuaso is an ICT enthusiast. He believes technology should be used for general good. He holds a Master of Public Administration (MPA) degree from the Lagos state University. Dear Reader, Your support matters. But we believe that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. That is why, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and finance and how they affect lives. Our incisive and analytical view of how technology news affects the daily life help individuals and organizations make up their minds. Quality journalism costs money. Today, we're asking that you support us to do more. Kindly support our effort to deliver technology and finance journalism to everyone in the world. Donate as little as N1,000. Bank transfers can be made to: UBA Plc 1017156876 Communication Week Media Ltd

E-Financial

CBN Dismisses  Polaris Bank Liquidation Claim

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has debunked rumours suggesting that Polaris Bank is undergoing liquidation, assuring the public that the country’s banking system remains stable and secure.

CBN Dismisses  Polaris Bank Liquidation Claim

Polaris Bank

The apex bank disclosed this in a post on X, where it shared a screenshot of a viral claim and flagged it as false.

It clarified that the claims, suggesting Polaris Bank had failed to meet recapitalisation requirements and was set for liquidation, are entirely false and do not reflect the current state of the Nigerian banking sector

“The Central Bank of Nigeria has noticed reports, in certain media outlets, about a recommendation for the Federal Government to take over some CBN-supervised financial institutions,” said Hakama Sidi-Ali, apex bank’s acting Director, Corporate Communications,  in a statement.

“To avoid any doubt, Nigerian banks are still safe and sound. The CBN advises the public to go about their daily lives without getting disturbed by reports regarding the health of Nigerian banks that have not come from the CBN.

“The CBN is fully equipped to carry out its statutory duty of ensuring the stability of Nigeria’s financial system. “We assure the general public and depositors that their funds are safe in Nigerian financial institutions. “Bank customers are therefore advised to proceed with their banking transactions as u

The clarification was after a viral post, claiming that Polaris Bank was facing liquidation for failing to meet the Bank’s recapitalisation requirements, and could soon lose its operating licence, with the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation set to take over the process.

It further alleged that founder of the Eleganza Group, Razaq Okoya, had made a bid to acquire and revive the bank, pending approval from regulators and shareholders.

Sharing a screenshot of the viral claim, however, the apex bank flagged it as “fake content.”

It clarified that the claims, suggesting Polaris Bank had failed to meet recapitalisation requirements and was set for liquidation did not reflect the current state of the Nigerian banking sector.

“This content is fake. Let the public be guided. The Nigerian Banking System is Safe and Secure,” the bank said.

On April 1, the CBN confirmed that 33 banks successfully met the revised minimum capital requirements under its recapitalisation programme, marking a significant milestone in strengthening the financial system.

 

 


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AfDB Okays $200m for Nigeria’s Digital Backbone, Others

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African Development Bank Group (AfDB) has approved a $200 million loan to Nigeria to support a landmark digital infrastructure initiative aimed at expanding broadband access, developing digital skills and driving large‑scale job creation.

AfDB Okays $200m for Nigeria’s Digital Backbone, Others

The financing will support the Digital Value Chain Infrastructure for Boosting Employment project, known as D‑VIBE or Project BRIDGE. The initiative seeks to deploy about 90 000 kilometres of new open‑access fibre optic cable across Nigeria, extending the national fibre backbone from roughly 30 000 km to about 120 000 km.

The expanded network will connect all 774 local government areas, including schools, hospitals, agro‑industrial zones, rural communities and commercial centres. It will also establish cross‑border digital links with Benin, Cameroon, Niger and Chad, strengthening regional integration.

Nigeria is Africa’s most populous country and West Africa’s largest economy, with the digital sector increasingly contributing to gross domestic product growth. The project is expected to close major connectivity gaps, raise productivity and unlock job opportunities for young people.

D‑VIBE is structured as a public‑private partnership through a special purpose vehicle, with public ownership capped at between 25% and 49% and private sector participation ranging from 51% to 75%.

This structure is intended to address high fibre rollout costs, including construction and right‑of‑way challenges.

The African Development Bank loan forms part of an $800 million sovereign financing package, alongside $500 million from the World Bank and $100 million from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

Total project financing is estimated at $2 billion, including a $25.79 million European Union grant, a $2.6 million Multilateral Cooperation Centre for Development Finance preparation grant and at least $1.2 billion in private sector investment.

“Nigeria has the talent, the market and the ambition, but lacked the backbone infrastructure to connect opportunity with potential,” said Abdul Kamara, Director General of the African Development Bank Group’s Nigeria Office.

“This project will deliver high‑speed connectivity nationwide and equip young people to build digital careers.”

Beyond physical infrastructure, the project will support affordable devices, large‑scale digital skills training and digital platforms in priority sectors. It also includes cybersecurity, competition reforms and resilience measures, including greater use of renewable and hybrid power.

D‑VIBE is expected to help create up to 2.8 million jobs and raise broadband penetration from 45% to around 70% by 2030. The project aligns with Nigeria’s Vision 2050 and continental development priorities.


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Nigeria’s Growth under Threat as Poverty Deepens, World Bank Warns

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World Bank has warned that Nigeria faces a deepening early childhood development crisis in health, nutrition, and learning, threatening long-term productivity and economic growth amid persistent poverty.

Nigeria’s Growth under Threat as Poverty Deepens, World Bank Warns

World Bank

In its April 2026 Nigeria Development Update, “Nigeria’s Tomorrow Must Start Today: The Case for Early Childhood Development,” the bank noted moderate 2026 growth driven by services like ICT, financial services, and real estate, following 4.0 per cent GDP expansion in 2025. Inflation eased to double digits via tight policy, stable exchange rates, and better food supply, while reserves hit $45.5 billion gross by end-2025, covering 8.7 months of imports.

Fiscal deficit widened slightly as non-oil revenues rose to 8.5 per cent of GDP from improved tax administration, e-filing, and VAT e-invoicing, though wage growth lagged inflation, leaving real incomes strained and poverty unchanged.

The bank highlighted poor outcomes with 110 of 1,000 children dying before age five, 40 per cent stunted, and 52 per cent developmentally off-track at school entry—gaps three times wider in poor households and exceeding 40 points between rich and poor. It urged investment in the first 2,000 days for better education, earnings, health, and cohesion.

Regionally, Sub-Saharan Africa’s 2026 growth forecast dipped to 4.1 per cent from 4.4 per cent due to Middle East conflict inflating fuel and fertiliser costs.

Finance Minister Wale Edun countered with recovery signs: falling inflation, rising non-oil revenues, declining debt-to-GDP, and stabilising naira via digital tracking, audits, and PPP shifts. Budget Director Tanimu Yakubu described reforms as correcting imbalances from subsidies and multiple rates, boosting FAAC revenues 40 per cent and reserves over $40 billion, with debt under 30 per cent of GDP.

NACCIMA President Jani Ibrahim called for data-driven strategies amid tax changes, inflation, and global tensions, eyeing AfCFTA, digital economy, and green investments for growth.


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