E-Financial
Nigerian Economy expands in 2018; Presidential elections loom

By Jameel Ahmad, FXTM Global Head of Currency Strategy and Market Research,
Confidence over the health of the Nigerian economy was slightly elevated this morning after official reports showed that economic growth expanded in 2018.
Gross domestic product in Africa’s largest economy rose 1.93% last year, compared to the tepid 0.8% in 2017. With fourth quarter economic growth also printing stronger than expected at 2.38% in real terms YoY, Nigeria seems to be gaining economic momentum. However, with the nation’s fortunes still closely linked to Oil markets, growth could be threatened this year if Oil prices continue to depreciate.
It will be a monumental week for the Nigerian markets as presidential elections loom. Although the Naira was stable against the Dollar yesterday at N358 in the parallel markets, there could be some volatility this week due to election uncertainty.
USD rally takes investors by surprise; but will the winning streak be able to continue?
A key overhang for the Dollar may be clearing up after US lawmakers announced they have a deal in principle to avoid another US government shutdown this weekend. However, President Trump’s approval is still required before the spending bill can go through.
At the time of writing, the DXY is holding marginally close to 97, having posted gains over the last eight consecutive days – its longest winning streak since 2016. This recent run of form certainly goes against initial expectations for muted Dollar strength this year given the Federal Reserve’s recent U-turn on US monetary policy.
There is a likelihood that central bank policy in the form of the Federal Reserve is not the catalyst behind the USD rally. It probably doesn’t have anything to do with the U-turn from the Fed a few weeks ago either. Investors are possibly thinking that “no news” when it comes to the ongoing US-China trade talks is not necessarily an example of “no news is good news” for this environment of trade tensions. The threat can’t be understated that the United States will pull the trigger on extra trade tariffs on Chinese goods at the beginning of March. We saw throughout the second half of 2018 that market anxiety over trade tensions pushed the Dollar higher against its global counterparts, and it wouldn’t be that much of a surprise if recent history repeats itself – if there is another escalation in the trade tariff world.
According to the Bloomberg terminal, spot returns for G10 currencies against the stronger Dollar since January 30 have experienced a clear sea of red in favour of the USD. This is following the euphoria that was created when Fed Chair Jerome Powell signalled the need for “patience” when it comes to the potential of hiking interest rates in the United States.
(Source: Bloomberg Terminal)
What else is driving the Dollar train higher?
Another perspective on what could potentially be driving the USD higher is the lure towards the Greenback being amplified by ongoing praises for the US economy. At the same time, it has become a strain to market headlines that counterparts to the United States throughout a range of developed and emerging markets are highlighting downside risks to their respective economies.
Those who are fatigued from yo-yo trade headlines in the market might be inclined instead to align their mindset to the return of economic and central bank divergence between the United States, and pretty much everywhere else. This ultimately supports the prospects of a stronger Dollar.
What data to look out for next and what could this mean to interest rate policy?
Markets will look to this week’s US January CPI reading as the next test of the Fed’s data dependence. Following that, attention will turn to next week’s release of the FOMC January 30 meeting minutes for potentially further clues on what could have encouraged the Fed’s recent pivot.
The current stance on US interest rate policy is expected to, in turn, allow other central banks to take a pause on tightening monetary policy. With central banks worldwide either standing pat or moving towards another round of a potential easing bias, investors may have less impetus to part with their current darling, the Dollar.
The dovish outlook on global monetary policy, coupled with further positive indicators of US economic strength, should support the Dollar’s attractiveness and this could mean DXY returning to its recent high of 97.54 achieved in November 2018.
Remember a positive conclusion to trade talks would be seen as Dollar-negative
However, this isn’t to say that demand for the Greenback will continue unabated in the near term. Traders should not be looking at the USD as one-way traffic going higher up the charts by any means.
While the US government shutdown may have been averted, markets are also having to contend with this week’s crucial talks in Beijing surrounding US-China trade tensions. Both countries are nearing the end of the 90-day truce and in the event that President Trump pushes through with hiking tariffs on Chinese goods come March 2, that will be seen as a potential trigger to give the US dollar another leg up.
Although given the political and economic pressures that are at risk of creating headwinds to the world’s two largest economies, markets are holding out hope that a deal would be struck sooner rather than later. This would be viewed in the market as a potentially Dollar-negative outcome.
Should key deals be approved in Washington (to fund the US government) and in Beijing (to avert a tariff hike), these will be viewed as the catalysts for risk-on sentiment to return to the fore. Meaning that this would be a significant driver behind potentially higher global equity markets, improved demand for emerging markets and commodities like Oil.
It would however be seen as a risk to the relentless Dollar rally that has taken place over February.
Where do Emerging Markets stand in the currency environment?
Yet amidst this winning streak against G10 currencies, the US dollar has seen mixed results against emerging-market currencies during the same period.
(Source: Bloomberg Terminal)
Some of these EM currencies that posted gains against the Greenback are coming back from oversold positions last year, and are supported by factors such as resilient domestic economic fundamentals, foreign fund inflows, and rebounding commodity prices.
However, EM currencies are still exposed to major events that can sway global risk sentiment, such as US-China trade tensions, Brexit uncertainties, and slowing global growth. China’s moderating economic conditions remain a major overhang for the global growth narrative, and the slowdown may be felt in many emerging economies via the trade and FX channels.
Ultimately, EM currencies will likely be dictated primarily by the broader US dollar theme, and whether the Greenback can build on its one percent climb so far in 2019.
E-Financial
Zenith Bank Warns Public Over Fake Jim Ovia Investment Videos

Zenith Bank Plc has cautioned the public against fraudulent videos circulating online falsely claiming that Group Chairman Dr. Jim Ovia endorses an investment scheme called “Wealth Bridge.”

Jim Ovia
In a disclaimer issued Tuesday by its management, the bank described the videos—circulated via the “Greece Island” Facebook handle—as entirely fake, doctored content bearing no connection to Dr. Ovia, the bank, or its affiliates.
The materials falsely promise up to N2 million in weekly returns for a N380,000 investment, while baselessly alleging Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) endorsement and redirecting viewers to a sham “Arise News” webpage with a signup portal.
“Our attention has been drawn to a doctored video and still pictures currently circulating on social media, purporting to depict the Group Chairman of Zenith Bank Plc (‘the Bank’) as endorsing an investment scheme called ‘Wealth Bridge’ on the ‘Greece Island’ Facebook handle and soliciting members of the public to engage in a business relationship with the so-called entity,” the statement read.
“This claim is entirely false and has no connection whatsoever to the Group Chairman, the Bank or any of its affiliate companies.”
Zenith Bank stressed that Dr. Ovia and the institution have no knowledge of or partnership with “Wealth Bridge,” “delicious sitee,” “AfriQuantumX,” “Stock market analyst 1,” or related entities. The public was warned that dealing with these schemes carries full personal risk.
Ravenewsonline urges vigilance against rising impersonation scams targeting financial institutions.
E-Financial
Danjuma, Taj Bank Staff Jailed for 5 Years over N22m Fraud

Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has secured the conviction of Janet Theophilus Danjuma, a bank employee, for defrauding an investor of N22,350,000 through a bogus investment scheme in Kano.

Danjuma was convicted on Monday, by Justice S. M. Shuaibu of the Federal High Court, Kano Division, and sentenced to five years’ imprisonment without the option of a fine.
The defendant, a staff member of Taj Bank Limited, Nai’bawa Branch, was arraigned on a one-count charge bordering on obtaining money by false pretence.
According to the charge, Danjuma, sometime in October 2024 in Kano, dishonestly obtained N22,350,000 from one Wade Bamaiyi under the guise of investing the funds in Taj Bank’s CASA (Current Account Savings Account) programme.
The charge stated: “Janet Theophilus Danjuma, being a staff of Taj Bank Limited, Nai’bawa Branch Kano, sometime in October 2024 in Kano, within the jurisdiction of this Honourable Court, with intent to defraud, did obtain the sum of N22,350,000 from Wade Bamaiyi under the pretext that the money would be invested in CASA Programme of Taj Bank Limited, which pretext you knew to be false and thereby committed an offence contrary to Section 1(1)(b) and punishable under Section 1(3) of the Advance Fee Fraud and Other Fraud Related Offences Act, 2006.”
She pleaded guilty when the charge was read to her.
Sadiq Huseini, prosecuting counsel, while reviewing the facts of the case, told the court that the defendant exploited the name of a legitimate banking product to gain the confidence of her victim.
“The defendant used her position as a bank staff and the credibility of an existing financial product to deceive the complainant into parting with N22,350,000,” Huseini said. “Investigation traced the entire sum to her personal account.”
He urged the court to convict and sentence her in accordance with the law, arguing that the offence undermined public trust in the financial system.
In his ruling, Justice Shuaibu convicted Danjuma based on her guilty plea and sentenced her to five years’ imprisonment without an option of fine.
The EFCC said the conviction followed investigations which revealed that the so-called investment scheme was non-existent and that the funds were diverted for personal use.
E-Financial
KPMG Outlook Reveals Financial Services CEOs Double down on AI, Resilience and Growth in 2026

Financial services leaders across Africa are entering 2026 with renewed confidence, placing artificial intelligence (AI), cybersecurity, regulatory resilience and strategic growth at the centre of their transformation agendas.

This is according to insights from KPMG’s 2025 Global CEO Outlook, with a focus on the Banking and Capital Markets, and Insurance sectors.
Despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, economic volatility and regulatory complexity, CEOs across both sectors are demonstrating strong appetite for growth and technology-led reinvention.
Insurance: Confidence rising as technology and sustainability reshape the sector
Insurance CEOs are increasingly confident in their organisations’ growth prospects. Globally, 82% of insurance CEOs are confident in their company’s growth, up from 74% in 2024, a significant year-on-year increase. Expansion across health, life and specialty lines, including cyber and business interruption, is contributing to improved earnings and sector momentum.
AI adoption is accelerating across underwriting, onboarding, claims processing and cyber defence. Globally, 67% of CEOs expect returns from AI investments within one to three years, compared to 21% last year, and two thirds plan to allocate 10–20% of their budgets towards AI initiatives.
Workforce transformation is a parallel priority. Seventy-seven percent of global insurance CEOs cite AI workforce readiness and upskilling as a top constraint on growth, while 83% say AI is reshaping training and development, and 79% believe it is changing the skills required for entry-level roles.
Sustainability and ESG compliance remain high on the agenda, particularly as regulatory standards tighten globally. More than half (55%) of global insurance CEOs identify ESG reporting and compliance as their primary ESG priority. Given that many African regulatory frameworks follow European trends, this is a critical area of focus for insurers across the continent.
Cyber risk remains a dominant concern. Eighty-three percent of insurance CEOs identify cybercrime as the biggest barrier to organisational growth, with cybersecurity and digital risk resilience ranking as the leading area for risk mitigation investment.
Mark Danckwerts, Head of Insurance, KPMG One Africa said: “Insurance leaders across Africa are navigating a complex operating environment, but they are doing so from a position of growing confidence. AI presents enormous opportunity to improve efficiency, risk assessment and customer engagement.
“However, sustainable success will depend on responsible adoption, workforce readiness and strong cyber resilience. Insurers that balance innovation with trust will be best placed to outperform.”
The appetite for inorganic growth remains strong, with the insurance sector showing one of the highest levels of high-impact mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity globally, a trend reflected in several African markets in recent years.
Banking and Capital Markets: AI at the heart of strategic reinvention
For banks across Africa, AI is the predominant theme shaping CEO priorities.
“Technology, in particular AI, presents a huge opportunity, but also a challenge in terms of where to prioritise, how to achieve a measurable return on investment (ROI), and how to ensure responsible and safe adoption to maintain trust,” said Pierre Fourie, KPMG One Africa Head of Financial Services.
“Banks need to modernise legacy IT, cope with rising financial crime risk, made more difficult by sophisticated scams using AI, address new competitive threats from fintechs and nimble, cloud-native banks, and comply with complex and changing regulations.”
AI is seen as both an enabler and a risk amplifier. It can significantly enhance customer engagement and deepen understanding of customer needs, yet banks must guard against depersonalising interactions and losing the human touch. At the same time, AI raises the cyber threat landscape while also strengthening banks’ ability to detect and defend against bad actors.
The scale of planned investment is notable:
-70% of banking CEOs expect to spend 10–20% of their budgets on AI in the next 12 months.
– 69% expect ROI from AI investments within one to three years, up sharply from 13% last year.
– 78% say AI workforce readiness or AI upskilling could negatively impact the organisation if not adequately addressed.
The top five trends negatively impacting organisational prosperity in banking are:
– 86% – Cybercrime and cyber insecurity
– 78% – AI workforce readiness
– 77% – Successful integration of AI into business processes
– 75% – Competition for AI talent
– 75% – Cost of technology infrastructure
Fourie added: “For African banks, AI is not a theoretical discussion — it is a strategic imperative. The ability to integrate AI into core processes, manage cyber risk and build the right talent base will determine competitive advantage.
At the same time, banks must modernise legacy systems and manage infrastructure costs, all while protecting trust in an increasingly digital ecosystem.”
Inorganic growth also remains firmly on the agenda. Appetite for strategic transactions is high, with CEOs seeking differentiation through innovation, customer experience and new business models.
Notably, 25% of banking CEOs identify ‘strategic differentiation’ as the primary driver of AI adoption, signalling that technology investment is increasingly linked to long-term competitive positioning rather than short-term efficiency alone.
A Pan-African moment for financial services transformation
Across both insurance and banking, a common theme emerges: confidence underpinned by disciplined transformation. AI investment is accelerating, cybersecurity is paramount, ESG compliance is rising in importance, and M&A remains a lever for scale and capability.
For African financial institutions, the challenge, and opportunity, lies in balancing innovation with resilience, and growth with governance.
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