E-Financial
Nigerian’s Economy Set To Overtake South African’s – Survey

A new poll by Reuter- providers of breaking news, business, financial and investing articles from around the globe found that Nigeria could snatch South Africa’s crown as the continent’s economic champion within two years.
This is helped by a major statistical revision of the size of its economy.
Reuters reported that Nigeria’s gross domestic product will receive an enormous boost when it is rebased later this year to more accurately reflect changes is in the economy over the last two decades.
Analysts, however, say the much-delayed exercise may moderate growth.
“The rebasing of national accounts will result in a meaningful increase in nominal GDP,” said Samir Gadio, a strategist at Standard Bank.
“Because Nigeria is growing faster than South Africa it is likely to become the largest economy on the continent.”
But Gadio added that growth will probably slow further as output moves to a higher base under the new time series.
The rebasing could add up to 50% to Nigeria’s economy, giving it a nominal GDP of around $375 billion – almost the size of South Africa’s – and strong domestic demand will see it clinch the title of Africa’s biggest economy if growth rates maintain the current pace.
The current GDP base is from 1990 and fails to capture booming technology and telecoms industries that have emerged since then.
“Strong real growth is expected to be underpinned by robust domestic demand stemming from sustained high levels of agriculture and services activity,” said Angus Downie, strategist at Ecobank.
According to the survey of 13 analysts Nigeria’s economy is set to grow 6.8% this year, up from an estimated 6.6% in 2012, helped by lower interest rates and subdued inflation.
In contrast South Africa, currently Africa’s largest economy is battling high unemployment and a slowdown in the euro zone, its main trading partner. It is set to grow at just 2.6% this year, making it vulnerable to losing its number one spot.
Though being number one in the continent could boost the profile of the country, according to economists, South Africa still enjoys a better GDP-per-capita ratio compared to Nigeria, and therefore a slightly better living standard.
Angola, the continent’s number two oil producer behind Nigeria, is expected to show even faster economic growth at 7.4% this year, slightly weaker than last year’s 7.5% estimate on lower crude oil prices.
The monthly Reuters survey for oil prices suggests that prices will fall this year on weak demand from many flagging industrialised nations and improving global supply.
Twenty seven analysts forecast Brent crude oil to average $110.10 per barrel in 2013, down from an average of $111.70 last year. The downtrend will continue, with Brent averaging $109.00 in 2014 and $107.90 in 2015.
Nigeria’s annual inflation is expected to ease this year to a median 9.9% from estimates of 12.2 % in 2012 due to a tight monetary policy stance.
The benchmark interest rate was kept at 12% for the eighth time in row at the central bank’s January meeting.
Consequently consumer inflation eased to 9% in January, down from 12% in December. While food price inflation stuck to double digits it eased to 10.1%.
Analysts have been expecting interest rates to start falling in Africa’s biggest oil producer, which would support growth of the credit sector, adding to spin-offs for the services sector of the over 160 million population.
The poll also suggests Angola’s annual inflation will likely ease to single digits this year of 9.0% from an estimated 10.3% in 2012, though the rate is still considered to be chronically high due to infrastructure bottlenecks.
Angola’s annual consumer inflation rose to 9.04% in February from 8.9% in January.
E-Financial
FG Moves to End Double Taxation

Federal government has started new efforts to improve tax collection in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) and stop the problem of multiple taxation.

Mr. Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and coordinating minister of the economy, disclosed this after a meeting with Nyesom Wike, minister, FCT, on Sunday.
According to Oyedele, the meeting focused on strengthening cooperation between the Ministry of Finance and the FCT Administration to support development projects in Abuja.
A major part of the discussion was how to improve tax administration in the territory.
He explained that the proposed tax harmonisation would create a more coordinated tax system, reduce the burden of multiple taxes on residents and businesses, and improve government revenue collection.
Oyedele said the plan is in line with the new tax reform law and is expected to help accelerate development across the FCT.
“The two ministers also reviewed plans to harmonise tax administration within the FCT,” he said.
He added that the initiative would eliminate multiple taxation while ensuring that government revenue is collected more efficiently.
The meeting also examined ways to strengthen collaboration on infrastructure projects across Abuja.
According to Oyedele, discussions centred on supporting the FCT’s ongoing infrastructure renewal programme.
He commended Wike’s approach to development, noting that the minister has focused on completing long-abandoned projects rather than starting new ones.
Oyedele said this strategy is helping to unlock economic and social benefits for residents by bringing stalled public projects back into use.
The proposed tax harmonisation is expected to make tax administration easier for individuals and businesses operating in the FCT while aligning Abuja’s revenue system with the provisions of the new tax reform law.
E-Financial
Standard Bank Targets $15.4b SME Growth in Nigeria, Others with Trade Expansion Drive

Standard Bank Group has identified Nigeria and four other markets as strategic growth hubs as it seeks to tap into $15.4 billion revenue opportunity driven by expanding small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and rising intra-African trade.

The bank disclosed the plan through Bill Blackie, the Chief Executive Officer of its Business and Commercial Banking (Standard Bank Group) division, who outlined the lender’s growth strategy in an interview with Bloomberg.
Under the strategy, Standard Bank will deepen its presence in Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania while consolidating its dominance in South Africa. The five markets account for about 85 per cent of the estimated revenue opportunity available to the group’s BCB operations.
The expansion forms part of the lender’s broader ambition to accelerate earnings growth through 2028, leveraging increasing demand for banking services among businesses across the continent.
According to Blackie, the BCB division has recorded robust growth over the past five years, supported by rising business activity and greater demand for financial services across Africa.
He said the division doubled both headline earnings and return on capital between 2020 and 2025, with return on capital increasing from 19 per cent to 38 per cent during the period.
Earnings from operations across the continent also expanded at an average annual rate of 30 per cent.
Building on this performance, the bank is targeting compound annual growth of between eight and nine per cent through 2028, although Blackie expressed confidence that growth could reach double-digit levels as the strategy gains traction.
A key pillar of Standard Bank’s growth strategy is expanding support for SMEs and mid-sized businesses, which account for most enterprises across Africa.
The bank is particularly positioning itself to benefit from opportunities created by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), which is expected to accelerate economic integration and cross-border commerce across the continent.
According to the International Trade Centre, nearly half of Africa’s small businesses export to other African countries, compared with only 14 per cent of larger firms, underscoring the critical role of SMEs in driving regional commerce.
The lender is also leveraging its extensive African footprint and strategic partnership with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) to attract businesses seeking access to international markets, particularly China.
E-Financial
NAICOM’s 18 Months Management Spill @ African Alliance Ends

The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has handed over the management of African Alliance Insurance Plc to a newly constituted board nominated by shareholders.

The move ends a regulatory intervention that rescued the troubled insurer from the brink of collapse.
The development marks a major milestone in the insurance industry’s efforts to strengthen policyholders’ protection and restore confidence in the sector, following months of intensive regulatory oversight aimed at stabilising the company.
NAICOM had stepped into the affairs of African Alliance Insurance in October 2024 after the insurer was hit by severe liquidity constraints, mounting annuity payment arrears, unresolved claims obligations, regulatory infractions and reputational challenges that threatened its survival and eroded public trust.
Speaking at the handover ceremony, Commissioner for Insurance, Olusegun Omosehin, said the intervention had achieved its primary objectives of restoring operational stability, settling outstanding liabilities and protecting the interests of shareholders and annuitants.
Omosehin said a successful turnaround demonstrates the regulator’s commitment to safeguarding the insurance industry while ensuring that policyholders do not bear the consequences of corporate distress.
He also highlighted the significance of the newly enacted Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act (NIIRA) 2025, describing it as a game-changer for the sector.
The Commissioner observed that had the fund been in existence before the African Alliance’s crisis, it would have helped to cushion the impact on policyholders by facilitating the timely settlement of legitimate claims and annuity obligations.
He charged the new board to uphold high standards of corporate governance, transparency and regulatory compliance, while prioritising prompt claims settlement, sound solvency management and prudent business practices.
Industry stakeholders view the successful rehabilitation of African Alliance as a test case for regulatory intervention in Nigeria’s insurance sector, particularly at a time when operators are under pressure to strengthen their capital base, improve governance standards and rebuild public confidence.
During its tenure, the NAICOM appointed an interim board to restore liquidity through the recovery of trapped dividend funds and other inflows, settled a significant portion of annuity arrears and legacy claims, facilitated the transfer of the company’s annuity portfolio, completed forensic and actuarial reviews and addressed several regulatory and operational challenges.
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