E-Financial
Nigeria’s Fiscal Woes to get Worst- IMF

International Monetary Fund (IMF) has again raised concern about the rising Federal Government fiscal deficit, warning it could hit 6.1 per cent of the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as oil production remains weak.

This was contained in the latest Staff Article Consultation report released in Washington on Wednesday after a discussion on recent economic and financial developments and the economic outlook for the country between the IMF staff team led by Jesmin Rahman and the Nigerian authorities at their meetings between June 6-10, 2022.
The new fiscal deficit projection by the IMF is 2 per cent over the N7.35 trillion of Nigeria’s fiscal deficit in the amended N17.3 trillion 2022 budget which represents 3.99 per cent of the country’s GDP.
Latest data from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) shows Nigeria lost its status as Africa’s largest producer of oil due to production dropping by 195,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 1.02 million BPD in May 2022.
Nigeria’s massive oil drop, owing to theft, vandalism and others came at a time oil price was trading above $100 per barrel and other major producers were reaping billions of dollars.
The development is the worst of the year, denying the country of largesse at a time Europe is shopping for alternatives to fill the vacuum created by the drop in Russia’s output owing to the sanctions over the invasion of Ukraine
These challenges and the escalating food prices and security, the IMF noted that the Nigerian economy outlook is very challenging.
It said: “The economic outlook is challenging with the high food prices raising food security concerns.”
However, the IMF noted that Real GDP growth was broadening to all sectors except oil, while inflation remains elevated.
The IMF staff team led by Jesmin Rahman held meetings with the Nigerian authorities from June 6-10, 2022, to discuss recent economic and financial developments and the economic outlook for the country.
The report of the team led by Rahman states that “Economic recovery continues to gain strength on the back of services and agriculture with GDP growth reaching 3.6 per cent (y/y) in Q1 2022.
At least data shows economic growth broadening to all sectors except oil, where production remains weak reflecting continued security and technical challenges.
“Inflation has reached 17.71 per cent (y/y) in May led by a renewed surge in food prices, exacerbated by the war in Ukraine, and raising food security concerns as over 40 per cent of the population live below the poverty line.
To contain inflationary pressures, the Central Bank of Nigeria has recently hiked its monetary policy rate by 150 basis points to 13 per cent.
Regarding the external sector, Rahman noted that the current account deficit narrowed significantly in 2021 helped by import compression and a higher net oil balance.
However, she added that the improving trade balance, which had continued so far in 2022, was having a limited impact on Foreign Exchange (FX) strains with the exchange rate premiums in the parallel market staying in the 35-40 per cent range since
She noted: “Despite supportive oil prices, gross FX reserves fell to $38.6 billion at end-May 2022, having reached $41.5 billion in September 2021 boosted by SDR allocation and Eurobond issuance. Regarding the economic outlook, GDP growth is projected at 3.4 per cent (y/y) in 2022 while inflation is expected to remain elevated.
“The fiscal deficit of the Consolidated Government is expected to remain high at 6.1 per cent of GDP due in great measure to costly petrol subsidies and limited tax revenue collections.
” Downside risks to the near-term arise from further deterioration of security conditions, elections, low vaccination against Covid-19 and higher global interest rates.”
E-Financial
First Asset Management Secures Ratings Upgrade

First Asset Management investment management rating just got an upgrade to ‘AA’ from ‘AA-’ by DataPro and affirmation of A+(IM) by Agusto & Co. This reflects how we are continuously improving to serve our investors better. Our funds levelled up too as Agusto & Co upgraded our First Asset Money Market Fund rating to A+ (f) (up from Aa‑(f)).

What its means for customers
It means you are investing with a firm that is getting stronger, smarter, and more disciplined. Our upgraded rating recognizes our solid performance track record, the strength of our parent financial group, and the systems we have put in place to manage investments responsibly.
We have also improved our governance and decision-making structure, with experienced professionals leading well-defined investment and risk committees. Behind the scenes, our team of seasoned investment experts constantly monitor markets, manage risks, and position portfolios to navigate volatility and capture opportunities.
At the same time, we have strengthened our risk management and compliance framework to ensure that everything we do meets global best practices. In simple terms, it means your money is being managed with discipline, transparency, and strong oversight.
Independent rating agencies — Agusto & Co and DataPro Limited recognize these improvements. Their ratings highlight our commitment to responsible asset management, strong governance, and operational systems designed to support stable long-term performance.
But beyond the ratings, what really matters is helping you build wealth over time.
That is why we offer a range of investment plans designed for different goals — whether you are just starting your investment journey, looking to grow your portfolio, or aiming to build long-term financial security.
If you are part of the next generation of investors, this is your moment to start early and stay ahead. The earlier you begin investing, the more time your money has to grow.
Jump on the First Asset investment journey. Explore our investment plans and start building your future with a firm that is getting stronger.
E-Financial
Nigeria Week Ahead: Equities sink, Oil surpasses $100, CPI in focus

By Matthew Anthony, Senior Market Analyst- Africa
Oil prices spiked to just above $120 over the weekend as escalations of the Israel -US-Iran war intensified, with key energy installations targeted.

FXTM
As a result, major oil suppliers are due to meet shortly to open the tap of their strategic reserves. Another contributor to the hike in oil prices has been the effectual closure of the strait of Hormuz (where 20% of the world’s oil supply goes through).
Major oil producing nations like Nigeria may profit from this conflict provided they are able to put a lid on inflation- a major consequence from rising oil prices-and use the windfall for critical budget needs while preparing for potential market shocks.
Outside of Nigeria, a wave of risk aversion engulfed global markets on Monday as ongoing conflict in the Middle East accelerated the flight to safety.
Asian shares plunged, European markets opened deep in the red while US equity futures signaled to a negative open as investors scrambled to price the chaos from the Iran conflict.
In the commodity space, oil prices jumped over 25% as major Middle East producers curbed output. Brent has gained roughly 30% this month, pushing 2026 gains to over 70% while WTI crude is up almost 80% year-to-date as of writing.
The last time oil benchmarks crossed into triple digits was back in 2022 during the Russian-Ukraine war. And for most it’s still a painful memory as geopolitical risk and covid-19 supply disruptions caused inflation to skyrocket across the globe.
In the FX space, the dollar remains supported by safe-haven demand along with the Swiss franc. However, the star performer is the Canadian Dollar which has appreciated against every single G10 currency month-to-date thanks to its sensitivity to oil markets.
Gold ended last week in losses despite the risk-off sentiment and overwhelming disappointing NFP report. Non-farm payrolls slid by 92,000, representing the biggest monthly decline in payrolls since October 2025, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%.
However, gold remains locked within a daily range thanks to a broadly stronger dollar and inflationary risks revolving around the conflict in the Middle East. Surging energy prices have sparked inflationary fears, forcing markets to reassess the possibility of lower interest rates.
Traders are pricing a 50% chance that the Fed cuts rates twice in 2026. The February CPI and January PCE index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – may offer crucial insight into the path of price pressures.
Should the incoming inflation data further shave Fed cut bets, the dollar could strengthen – enforcing fresh pain on precious metals. Looking at the charts, a weekly close below $5000 may signal a steeper decline. Bulls could still fight back if $5000 proves reliable support.
E-Financial
Polaris Bank Marks IWD2026 with Renewed Pledge to Women’s Empowerment

Polaris Bank has joined the global community in celebrating International Women’s Day 2026, reaffirming its commitment to promoting gender equality, empowering women, and supporting initiatives that foster inclusive growth across society.

Polaris Bank
International Women’s Day, celebrated annually on March 8, provides an opportunity to recognize the achievements of women across all sectors while highlighting the need to accelerate action towards gender equality. At Polaris Bank, the day serves as a reminder of the vital role women play in driving economic growth, innovation, and community development.
Speaking in commemoration of the day, the Managing Director/CEO of Polaris Bank, Kayode Lawal, emphasized the Bank’s commitment to creating an enabling environment where women can thrive professionally and financially.
“Polaris Bank remains dedicated to fostering a culture of inclusion, opportunity, and empowerment for women. From supporting female entrepreneurs to ensuring equal opportunities within our workforce, we believe empowering women is not only the right thing to do but also a key driver of sustainable development,” the CEO stated.
Over the years, Polaris Bank has implemented several initiatives aimed at supporting women-led businesses, promoting financial inclusion, and strengthening leadership opportunities for women within the organization. These efforts align with the Bank’s broader commitment to sustainable development and inclusive economic growth.
As part of this year’s celebration, the Bank will spotlight inspiring stories of hope from women across the community, within its workforce and customer base, while encouraging meaningful conversations around leadership, financial empowerment, and gender equity.
Polaris Bank continues to champion initiatives that create opportunities for women to succeed, recognizing that empowering women ultimately leads to stronger families, thriving communities, and a more resilient economy.
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