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Oil Retreat Punishes Global Stocks

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Global stocks were left vulnerable to losses during trading on Tuesday following the hefty decline in oil prices which weighed heavily on global sentiment consequently souring investor risk appetite.

Asian markets descended into the red territory with Japanese shares faltering post BoJ disappointment.

In Europe, no prisoners were taken as the amalgamation of depressed banking stocks and tepid manufacturing data obstructed attempts for upside gains.

Wall Street was pressured by the decline in energy shares and could be poised for steeper losses this week if the bearish domino from Asia and Europe encourages investors to attack American stocks.

The stock market rally may be displaying signs of exhaustion with the central bank inaction and concerns over the global economy potentially diminishing appetite for riskier assets.

WTI Crude cuts below $40
WTI Crudehas descended into a bear market with prices plunging over 20% from its peak in June as the persistent concerns over the excessive oversupply haunts investor attraction.

Sentiment remains bearish towards the commodity and the mounting anxiety towards its incessant declines could provide an additional foundation for bears to install another round of selling.

The factors supporting bears remain overwhelming while pessimism amongst investors over the future of oil has boosted speculative shorts.

Dollar weakness did little to quell the selloff and further losses could be expected as the horrible mixture of oversupply fears and depressed demand attract sellers to attack. From a technical standpoint, the breakdown below $40 on WTI could open a path towards $37.50.

Sterling bears on the prowl
Sterling weakness remains a recurrent theme in the currency markets with the combination of uncertainty and expectations over the Bank of England cutting UK interest rates encouraging sellers to pounce.

The currency remains highly sensitive and seems to react explosively to negative domestic data which reinforces speculations of a potential UK interest rate cut. Construction PMI was positive on Tuesday with the release exceeding expectations which offered Sterling bulls a temporary lifeline.

Regardless of these short term gains, sentiment towards the Sterling is still bearish and the currency could enter a mode of standby ahead of Thursday’s Bank of England monetary policy meeting.

Dollar remains pressured
The Dollar displayed signs of weakness during trading this week following the string of soft US economic data which punctured expectations over the Federal Reserve raising US rates in 2016.

ISM Manufacturing PMI fell below expectations on Monday while last week’s soft second quarter GDP continues to pressure the Dollar further.

Although the overall sentiment still remains bullish towards the Dollar, Friday’s NFP may have to exceed expectations to bolster hopes of the Fed breaking this trend of central bank inaction. Investors may direct some attention towards Wednesday’s ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for additional clarity on the health of the US economy ahead of Friday’s release.

Commodity spotlight – Gold
Gold bulls were on the offense on Tuesday with prices charging towards fresh three-week highs above $1360 as the potent mixture of Dollar vulnerability and growing uncertainty over the Fed’s decision to raise US rates provided a foundation for bulls to attack.

It seems this yellow metal is regaining its safe-haven allure and could be set for further inclines if the persistent concerns over the global economy continue to attract anxious investors to safety.

Dollar weakness from the string of soft US data could ensure Gold remains buoyed while the lingering post-Brexit uncertainties propel prices higher.

The Non-Farm payroll will be very critical for Gold this week with the result lurching Gold higher or potential dragging prices lower.

From a technical standpoint, Gold is bullish on the daily timeframe and previous resistance around $1345 could transform into a dynamic support which encourages a further incline towards $1370.

 


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E-Financial

FG Says All Taxable Nigerian Must Obtain Taxpayer ID

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Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), in collaboration with the Joint Revenue Board (JRB), has announced the implementation of a nationwide Taxpayer Identification (Tax ID) system, mandating all taxable persons in the country to obtain a unified tax identity.

FG Says All Taxable Nigerian Must Obtain Taxpayer ID

The directive, unveiled in a public notice issued on Monday, is anchored in sections 6, 7, and 8 of the Nigeria Tax Administration Act, 2025.

The provisions require every individual and entity liable to tax in Nigeria to register for a Tax ID as part of broader reforms aimed at strengthening tax administration.

According to the notice, the Tax ID will function as a single, consolidated identifier for taxpayers, enabling seamless interaction with tax authorities across federal, state, and local levels.

The authorities said the system is designed to eliminate duplication of records, improve data integrity, and enhance the overall efficiency of tax-related processes.

The initiative forms part of ongoing efforts by regulators to deepen transparency, boost compliance, and curb revenue leakages within the tax ecosystem.

By harmonising taxpayer data across all tiers of government, officials expect improved accountability and more accurate tracking of tax obligations.

Under the new framework, the Tax ID will replace the existing Taxpayer Identification Number (TIN) validation system currently in use. Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs), financial institutions, and other organisations relying on the TIN Validation API have been directed to transition to the new Tax ID infrastructure.

The NRS and JRB also advised organisations requiring system integration or validation services to engage with designated departments within both agencies for access to the Tax ID Application Programming Interface (API) and related technical guidelines.

Authorities say the reform will simplify registration, filing, and payment processes for taxpayers, while providing the government with a more robust mechanism for revenue assurance and fiscal planning.

The rollout signals a significant step in Nigeria’s ongoing tax modernisation agenda, as policymakers seek to expand the tax base and improve non-oil revenue mobilisation amid evolving economic pressures.

 

 


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SEC Sets June 1 for Transition to T+1 Settlement Cycle

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Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved the transition to the T+1 settlement cycle for capital market transactions from June 1, 2026.

SEC Sets June 1 for Transition to T+1 Settlement Cycle

T+1 settlement is a financial rule requiring that securities trades (like stocks, bonds, and ETFs) be finalized and ownership transferred just one business day after the trade is executed. It replaces the older T+2 system, giving investors faster access to their funds and reducing overall market risk.

This is coming some months after Nigeria moved from the T+3 settlement cycle to the T+2 settlement cycle.

In a notice on Monday, the SEC, which is the apex capital market regulator in Nigeria, said it was authorising the new system to “promote an efficient, fair, and transparent capital market.”

Under the new arrangement, equities and commodities traded by investors at the market would be cleared and settled by the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) within one day.

The agency noted that the migration to a T+1 settlement cycle forms part of its ongoing market modernisation initiatives aimed at enhancing market efficiency and strengthening risk management. reducing counterparty exposure, improving liquidity, and aligning the Nigerian capital market with international standards and global best practices.

“Accordingly, all eligible trades executed in the Nigerian capital market shall settle one business day after the trade date (T+1),” a part of the statement noted.

It was stressed that “Friday, May 29, 2026, shall be the final trading day under the existing T+2 settlement cycle. Trades executed on Friday, May 29, 2026, and Monday, June 1, 2026, shall both settle on Tuesday, June 2, 2026. All trades executed from Monday, June 1, 2026, onward shall be subject to the T+1 settlement cycle.”

SEC tasked all capital market operators, securities exchanges, clearing and settlement infrastructure providers, custodians, registrars, issuers, and other relevant stakeholders to take all necessary measures to ensure full operational readiness and compliance with the new settlement framework.

“Market participants are expected to review and align their systems, processes, controls, and operational workflows ahead of the implementation date,” it further stated, promising to continue to engage stakeholders and monitor the implementation process to ensure an orderly and seamless transition.

The regulator said it remains committed to strengthening market integrity, enhancing investor confidence, and fostering the development of a modern. resilient and globally competitive Nigerian capital market.

 


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Chapel Hill Denham Says Banks Lose N2.5 Trillion Annually to High CRR in New Report

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Nigeria’s banking sector is losing an estimated N2.5 trillion in annual earnings due to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s high Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) policy, according to a new report by Chapel Hill Denham.

Chapel Hill Denham Says Banks Lose N2.5 Trillion Annually to High CRR in New Report

The investment banking and research firm said the policy continues to impose significant constraints on bank profitability by requiring lenders to keep a large portion of customer deposits with the Central Bank without earning returns on them, effectively locking away funds that could otherwise support lending and income generation.

In its report titled “The Nigerian Banking Paradox: High Returns, Deep Discounts,” Chapel Hill Denham noted that although Nigerian banks rank among the highest return-on-equity performers in Africa, they remain undervalued compared to peers, largely due to regulatory constraints and macroeconomic uncertainty.

The firm identified the CRR regime as a key structural factor limiting the sector’s earnings potential, arguing that it reduces balance sheet efficiency and restricts credit creation to the real economy.

According to the report, banks are still required to pay interest on deposits while a significant portion of those funds remains sterilised at the apex bank.

Chapel Hill Denham stated that the current policy framework, which evolved in response to past financial sector instability and exchange rate pressures, may now be exerting a heavier drag on growth and profitability than originally intended.

“Our analysis reveals that Nigerian banks operate under a uniquely restrictive regulatory perimeter,” the report said, adding that the structure suppresses reported returns despite underlying profitability strength.

The report also compared Nigeria’s reserve requirements with other jurisdictions, noting that the country’s CRR remains significantly higher than several African and emerging markets.

While South Africa operates a 2.5 per cent CRR, Kenya maintains 4.25 per cent, Ghana 15 per cent, and Egypt 16 per cent, with Morocco reported to have reduced its reserve ratio to zero.

Analysts at the firm said a moderation of Nigeria’s CRR from 50 per cent to 30 per cent could release up to N8 trillion into the banking system and potentially boost annual pre-tax profits by about N800 billion.

They added that investors currently price Nigerian banks on the assumption that the tight monetary stance will persist, limiting valuation upside despite strong earnings performance.

At its February 2026 meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria retained the CRR for Deposit Money Banks at 45 per cent, while Merchant Banks remained at 16 per cent, and public sector deposits outside the Treasury Single Account framework at 75 per cent, as part of efforts to sustain tight monetary conditions and manage liquidity pressures.


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