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Opinion: Markets in Sleep Mode

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Hussein Sayed, Chief Market Strategist at FXTM, comments on the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Despite the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting record highs on Monday, the news barely made headlines. I think this could be explained by the scale of the moves.

The Dow has traded higher for ten consecutive days, but none of these ten days saw an increase of more than 0.5%.

The last time the Dow moved more than 1%, was back in May 17 when the index dropped 1.78%. Similarly, the S&P 500 was moving in a daily range of less than 0.3% for the past 13 trading days, making it the quietest period in decades.

Traders seem to be betting that volatility in stocks will remain low, despite warnings of a potential spike in VIX during the month of August. The CBOE Volatility Index fell below 10 on Monday, as short positions hit a fresh record – leading to stubbornly quiet market conditions.

Foreign exchange markets were no exception, currency pairs such as EURUSD, USDJPY, and GBPUSD were stuck within a 50 pips trading range. Limited news flow is what can be blamed for the narrow trading ranges, but expect this to change as we get closer to Friday’s U.S. CPI release.

Friday’s jobs report inspired dollar bulls for a limited time only, as investors are still not confident that a third rate hike will occur in 2017. According to CME’s FedWatch, markets still believe that a rate hike in December is not a done deal.

St. Louis Fed, President James Bullard, seems to agree, as he is not confident that current unemployment rate will be enough to push inflation towards the Fed target of 2%, and believes that interest rates should remain where they are for now.  For this perception to change, it requires inflation to accelerate, after declining for five straight months.

New York Fed President William Dudley is set to speak on Thursday, and he may oppose his colleague’s thoughts; knowing that he had been more on the hawkish side. However, dollar bulls still need hard data before jumping in.

EURUSD is likely to be the most interesting currency pair in the weeks to come. European officials might start getting worried after the most recent surge in the single currency.

German exports declined 2.8% in June, the sharpest fall in almost two years. Imports fell even more sharply, by 4.5% – the biggest drop since 2009.

These figures came from data released on Monday, showing German industrial output declined by 1.1% in June – its biggest drop so far in 2017.

However, the Euro remained resilient and continued to trade above 1.18. One set of data is probably not enough to drag down the Euro, but if negative implications continue to reflect in economic data, the Euro is likely to be pulled below 1.17.


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E-Financial

CBN bars large‑ticket loan defaulters from banking services in tough new crackdown

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has restricted banking services for large‑ticket loan defaulters as part of a broader push to enforce credit discipline and protect the stability of the financial system.

CBN bars large‑ticket loan defaulters from banking services in tough new crackdown

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The directive, issued on Wednesday, March 26, 2026, follows public remarks by CBN Governor Olayemi Cardoso at the 4th Annual IMF/AFRITAC West High‑Level Executive Forum in Abuja, where he declared that the era of leniency toward delinquent borrowers is over.

Cardoso said the apex bank is tightening corporate governance measures to safeguard the N4.61 trillion recently injected into the Nigerian banking sector and warned that there would be zero tolerance for violations.

“Our stance on corporate governance is unequivocal: zero tolerance for violations. By ending years of regulatory forbearance, we have reinforced accountability, tightened supervision, and elevated compliance standards across the sector,” he stated.

The new directive targets “large‑ticket obligors,” defined as individuals or entities with significant outstanding debts classified as non‑performing in the Credit Risk Management System.

Under the rules, these defaulters will be barred from accessing fresh credit as well as essential contingent liabilities and trade instruments, effectively cutting off their ability to obtain new loans or trade‑related banking facilities.

The CBN said the restriction is aimed at curbing “credit jumping,” a practice where borrowers move from one financial institution to another to secure additional loans despite existing non‑performing debts.

“We have implemented a restriction of banking services to non‑performing large‑ticket obligors. This decisive step underscores our commitment to credit discipline, financial integrity, and accountability,” the regulator stated.

The policy is intended to instil a long‑absent “culture of repayment,” protect depositors’ funds and reinforce the overall stability of the financial system.

Cardoso added that the CBN remains committed to orthodox monetary policy, focused on restoring price stability, strengthening policy credibility and anchoring expectations through discipline and consistency.


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NDIC Insures 99 Percent of Bank Customers

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Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) has reaffirmed its commitment to protecting depositors and sustaining confidence in the nation’s banking system, declaring that its insurance framework currently safeguards about 99 per cent of customers across Nigerian banks.

NDIC Insures 99 Percent of Bank Customers

Speaking during the NDIC Special Day at the 37th Enugu International Trade Fair, Thompson Oludare, managing director and chief executive, highlighted the Corporation’s role as a critical stabiliser in the financial sector, particularly in times of economic uncertainty.

Addressing participants on the theme, “Empowering MSMEs for global competitiveness”, Oludare said the NDIC remains a dependable backbone for small businesses by protecting their funds against bank failures.

He disclosed that the Corporation reviewed and increased its insurance coverage in 2024 in line with prevailing economic realities. Under the revised structure, depositors in Deposit Money Banks (DMBs), Mobile Money Operators, and Non-Interest Banks are insured up to ₦5,000,000, while those in Microfinance Banks and Primary Mortgage Institutions are covered up to ₦2,000,000.

Explaining the operational mechanism behind depositor protection, Oludare noted that the NDIC does not depend on government funding to reimburse customers of failed banks.

Rather, it draws from the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF), which is financed through premiums contributed by licensed financial institutions.

He described the process as efficient and sustainable, enabling the Corporation to meet its obligations promptly without placing pressure on public finances.

Highlighting recent technological advancements, the NDIC boss revealed that the use of the Bank Verification Number (BVN) has significantly improved the speed of payments to affected depositors.

According to him, the BVN system allows the Corporation to trace alternative bank accounts of customers and process reimbursements within days of a bank’s closure, eliminating the delays previously associated with manual claims.

For depositors with balances above the insured limits, Oludare reassured that recovery efforts remain ongoing through liquidation processes.

“This is a continuous process,” he stated. “Additional dividend payments are made in tranches as more funds are recovered. We have demonstrated this successfully with the liquidation of Union Homes, Aso Savings and Loans, and the more recent Heritage Bank Limited, where multiple tranches of dividends have already been disbursed.”

He also cautioned Nigerians against falling victim to fraudulent financial schemes, popularly known as “wonder banks”, urging them to verify the credibility of financial institutions before investing.

On his part, Nnanyelugo Onyemelukwe, president of the Enugu Chamber of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (ECCIMA), described the Corporation as a dependable safeguard for depositors.

According to him, the NDIC remains “a beacon of hope for depositors”, providing a “great confidence backup” in situations where banks fail due to mismanagement or distress.

Onyemelukwe also called for stronger regulatory oversight by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to further reduce the risk of bank failures and sustain public trust in the financial system.

 


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CBN Bars Chronic Loan Defaulters from Accessing Loans

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has officially restricted banking services for “chronic defaulters” and large-ticket obligors with non-performing loans.

CBN Bars Chronic Loan Defaulters from Accessing Loans

In a sweeping move to enforce credit discipline and safeguard the nation’s financial system, the apex bank issued a policy statement on Wednesday following remarks by Olayemi Cardoso, governor, CBN, at the 4th Annual IMF/AFRITAC West 2 High-Level Executive Forum in Abuja.

The Governor made it clear that the era of regulatory forbearance for delinquent borrowers is over.

He emphasised that the bank is shifting toward a more aggressive stance on corporate governance to ensure that the N4.61tn in new capital recently attracted by the banking sector is protected from systemic abuse.

“Our stance on corporate governance is unequivocal: zero tolerance for violations. By ending years of regulatory forbearance, we have reinforced accountability, tightened supervision, and elevated compliance standards across the sector,” the Governor stated.

The new directive specifically targets “large-ticket obligors”, individuals or entities with significant outstanding debts classified as non-performing in the Credit Risk Management System. Under the new rules, these defaulters will be barred from accessing not only fresh credit but also essential contingent liabilities and trade instruments.

“We have implemented a restriction of banking services to non-performing large-ticket obligors. This decisive step underscores our commitment to credit discipline, financial integrity, and accountability,” the statement read.

According to the CBN, the move is designed to instil a “culture of repayment” that has historically been lacking among high-profile borrowers. By cutting off access to instruments such as letters of credit and performance bonds, the regulator aims to prevent “credit jumping”, a practice where defaulters migrate between banks to accumulate more debt.

“By curbing access to banking services for chronic defaulters, we are reinforcing the culture of repayment, protecting depositors, and safeguarding the stability of the financial system,” the apex bank added.

Beyond the crackdown on debtors, Cardoso reaffirmed that the CBN remains firmly committed to orthodox monetary policy. This approach prioritises price stability and the use of traditional tools to anchor inflation expectations, moving away from unconventional interventions to restore confidence in the naira.

“The CBN remains firmly anchored in orthodox monetary policy, focused on restoring price stability, strengthening policy credibility, and anchoring expectations through discipline and consistency,” the statement concluded.

For years, the Nigerian banking sector has struggled with “chronic defaulters”, wealthy individuals or massive corporations that borrow billions and fail to repay.

These are often referred to as “large-ticket obligors”. When these loans go bad, they threaten the liquidity of banks and the safety of ordinary citizens’ deposits.

Under the leadership of Cardoso, the CBN is pivoting toward “Orthodox Monetary Policy”. This means moving away from the era of massive development interventions and direct lending to sectors like agriculture and focusing instead on its core mandate: price stability and financial system regulation.


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