E-Financial
Sad! Value of Naira Determined by Forex ‘Black’ Market- Otunuga

An economic research analyst has bemoaned the inability of the Central Bank of Nigeria to contain the free fall of the Naira in the currency market.
Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at Forex Time (FXTM) said that the economic disequilibrium has left naira’s value to be determined by the ‘black market’ foreign exchange market.
Otunuga who spoke during an exclusive with Nigeria CommunicationsWeek said that the CBN must realize that foreign investors and indeed the world are “watching Nigeria’s economy like movie series”.
A keen follower of macroeconomic events, with a strong professional and academic background in finance, Lukman is well versed in the various factors affecting the currency and commodity markets. Lukman provides in-depth analysis on the global currency and commodity markets and is often quoted by leading international media outlets such as: MarketWatch, CNBC, NASDAQ, Reuters, AFP, The Guardian and Yahoo.
Prior to joining FXTM, Lukman spent two years as a research analyst with international currency broker FXCM, where he focused on technical and fundamental analysis of the global currency, commodity and stock markets. Lukman was also responsible for leading educational seminars for international and local high net worth individuals, and has published a series of educational articles on forex trading with City A.M.
Lukman holds a BSc (hons) degree in Economics from the University of Essex, UK and an MSc in Finance from London School of Business and Finance, where he studied corporate finance, mergers & acquisitions and the role of international financial institutions. He spoke to peter oluka. Excerpt.
Predictions About Nigeria’s Economy 2017
“First, the world is actually watching Nigeria’s economy and issues like series. Right now, everybody knows that Nigeria is under pressure. Last year we spoke about the economy and I said diversification will be the key. This year the focus is on getting the economy out of recession. So, the emphasis is now on policies. I feel that in the next six months Nigeria will remain at risk because of obvious factors like investments from China. When China sneezes Nigeria catches cold. Donald Trump’s policies will have impact in Nigeria. I read in the newspaper that he is already considering limiting the number of visa issuance to the country (Nigeria).
“These are external factors. Internally, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) will be under pressure. They have actually kept the monitory policy interest rate at 14%. The truth is they are under pressure which is the reason they are under conscious approach. Even though the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank gave Nigeria’s economy a positive outlook for the year 2017; to get out of recession, I don’t think it will be that easy.
New Approaches CBN Should Adopt
“On the physical side of the economy there is no clear direction. Everybody is waiting to see what will happen. This speaks on the fact the World Development Bank (WDB) has kept Nigeria from the $1billion loan, because there is no transparency or clear direction on how it will be utilized. But on monetary side, I think Nigeria may be forced to devalue the Nigeria.
“The official rate is about N305 to $1, but they may take it to N380 to close the gap with the black market.
Manufacturers, Industries Should Be Given Priority In Forex Disbursement
“It is very interest to bring in the manufacturing sector in here, because the CBN has allocated about 60% of the forex to them as they represent about 10% of the GDP. Nigeria’s problem is cost caused inflation. Let me break it down. We have a situation where manufacturers imports raw materials but do not have access to the official forex rate. Of course, they need profit, so they push the cost to the consumers. It keeps circulating and should be checkmate to avoid hyper-inflation.
Oil and Gas
“Nigeria plans to diversity on long term, but in the short term it is still about oil. And OPEC gave Nigeria a very good trust to make comeback if she (Nigeria) can still produce about 2.2million barrels per day. But if you consider the militancy in the Niger-Delta, last December, the country was producing 1.4million barrels per day. So, we have a situation here that even as OPEC is magnanimous to the country by taking a supply cut, still Nigeria may not be able to take the advantage. I don’t even know how Nigeria will get to 2million barrels per day from the present output should the militancy continues.
Trump’s Policies, China and Nigeria
“The main thrust of Donald Trump’s government is protectionism- the Americans first, which is de-globalisation. So, we have a situation where all the countries that had access to United States will lose such opportunities. They need to approach the alternative, which is China, the second strongest economy in the world. How will it impact Africa? Nigeria? Of course, if you look at China it is giving and getting a lot from Nigeria.
“So, when China gains it is to the advantage of Nigeria. Trump has already abolished the TPP; which is just a way to remove trade from China. This could be a situation where Africa comes back (up); where other nations measure up by taking critical decisions.
Leveraging Nigeria- China Trade Agreement on Yuan
“I still think that agreement is valid, although there are concerns that China is facing pressures, but we have to keep in mind that what Nigeria needs now is not to make the dollar king. Dollar is not the legal tender in this country but a typical Nigerian would prefer to have dollar to Naira; that speaks volume. Therefore, we do a lot of businesses with China and it will do us good to dust up that agreement.
Why FDI Is Eluding Nigeria
“First, let’s refer to how Fietch downgraded Nigeria’s long term rating to negatives. Initially, that will discourage foreign investors. I understand that in March Nigeria is trying to get the $1B Euro-bond. This news of Fietch turning Nigeria’s rating down will affect the Euro-bond. First, Nigeria should establish foreign exchange rate stability. No body wants to invest in a speculative environment.
Bridging CBN and Black Market Forex Rates: How Possible?
“The CBN needs to understand the bitter truth: value of the Naira is determined by the (forex) black market. Some people has said that the fundamentals behind the black market do not make sense, but it is simply the principle of demand and supply that makes the market what it is. Now, we are talking about N500 to $1; that is the true value of the Naira.
The quicker the CBN understands the truth and actually allow the Naira have a free flow; otherwise inflation will continue to skyrocket. If they do that, it is going to be a short term pain but will be beneficial at the end.
Late Passage of the Appropriation Bill (Budget) And Impact On Economy
“For certainty this has huge impact on the economy. For instance the 2016 budget was released about five months later. It causes uncertainties in the economy, because it shows there is no transparency. Uncertainty will also cause people to offload the Naira.
Economic Diversification
“The more I look at agriculture I see that even though God Blessed Nigeria with oil, but it has been a curse on the economy. This wasn’t the situation in the 60s’ and 70s’. So, we really need to embrace agriculture and develop the infrastructure. Power is very much in demand. No economy performs better than it is doing in power generation. We need to fix the roads and other amenities, having in mind that technology is the way to go too.
“Take a leaf from the United States where Dollar has appreciated so much just because the new administration sad they are going to be focusing on the physical side- massive infrastructure development. This is what Nigeria needs to do.
E-Financial
CBN Directs Banks, Fintechs to Complete Cybersecurity Audit Tool

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has directed banks and other financial institutions to complete a newly deployed cybersecurity self-assessment tool (CSAT) as part of efforts to strengthen resilience across the financial system.

In a circular dated March 30, the apex bank said the tool was introduced in line with its mandate under the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act 2020 and is designed to assess the cybersecurity posture of regulated entities.
According to the circular signed by Olubunmi Ayodele-Oni for the director of the compliance department, deposit money banks are required to submit their completed assessments within three weeks, while other institutions have five weeks.
The directive, which takes immediate effect, applies to deposit money banks, payment service banks, microfinance banks, payment service providers, finance companies, and development finance institutions.
“The CSAT is a structured supervisory instrument designed to obtain comprehensive information on the cybersecurity posture of regulated institutions,” the circular reads.
“It covers key areas including cybersecurity governance, risk management practices, technology and third-party risk controls, incident response capabilities, and overall operational resilience.
“Insights derived from the CSAT will support risk-based supervision and enhance regulatory oversight of cybersecurity risks across the financial system.
“Accordingly, all the referenced institutions are required to complete and submit the CSAT through a dedicated submission portal.”
The regulator added that access to the submission portal and guidance would be provided to chief information security officers and other relevant officials of the affected institutions.
CBN said all submissions must reflect data as of December 31, 2025, and be accompanied by relevant supporting documentation where applicable.
The apex bank warned that “submission of false, misleading, or inaccurate information constitutes a regulatory breach,” and would attract sanctions in line with BOFIA 2020.
CBN also said validation exercises, including off-site reviews and supervisory engagements, would be conducted to verify the accuracy of submissions.
E-Financial
NGX REGCO Fines 5 Firms N291m for Market Manipulation

NGX Regulation Limited (NGX REGCO), a wholly owned subsidiary of Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX Group) has sanctioned five trading license holders for alleged market manipulation and other prohibited trading activities, imposing fines totaling N291million.

In a notification dated March 27, 2026, and addressed to Emomotimi Agama, director-general of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the regulator said the decision followed deliberations of its Regulatory and New Business Committee (RNBC) held on March 16 and 24, 2026.
The sanctioned firms are CSL Stockbrokers Limited, Cowry Securities Limited, Meristem Stockbrokers Limited, SMADAC Securities Limited, and Associated Asset Managers Limited.
NGX RegCo stated that the cases were escalated by its Investigation Panel after hearings on February 25 and March 17, 2026, which uncovered repeated infractions such as wash trades, self-matching transactions, artificial price formation, and misleading market activity.
CSL Stockbrokers was fined N91.29 million, while Cowry Securities, Meristem Stockbrokers, SMADAC Securities, and Associated Asset Managers were each penalized N50 million in accordance with the Investment and Securities Act 2025.
The Exchange also directed the affected firms to undertake mandatory compliance and market conduct training to reinforce regulatory adherence and enhance market discipline.
It noted that the sanctions are proportionate to the violations and are intended to deter future misconduct, reaffirming its commitment to safeguarding market integrity, protecting investors, and strengthening confidence in Nigeria’s capital market.
E-Financial
FG Launches Cross-Border Digital Payments Report

Federal government has launched the “Cross-Border Digital Payments and Identity in Nigeria under the AfCFTA” report, urging stakeholders to unlock trade opportunities for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) to access the $3.5 trillion African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) market.

The high-level report, hosted by the Office of the Vice President in collaboration with ODI Global under the Supporting Investment and Trade in Africa (SITA) programme, was unveiled by Ibrahim Hassan-Hadejia, deputy chief of staff to the President, in Abuja.
Hassan-Hadejia described the research as both timely and strategic, noting the strong coordination by the Office of the Vice President and the leadership of the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment.
He revealed that the cross-border payments report followed earlier milestones, including the development and launch of Nigeria’s Digital Trade Strategy and a capacity-building programme for subnational leaders.
Furthermore, he said Nigeria is increasingly assuming a leading role in shaping the digital trade agenda across the African continent, necessitating that the country remains at the forefront of AfCFTA implementation.
He noted that deepening engagement with AfCFTA and enabling businesses, particularly SMEs, to conduct seamless cross-border transactions will be critical to unlocking trade, fostering growth, and creating jobs.
He further stated that efficient cross-border payments, supported by trusted digital identity systems as recommended in the report, will be key to realising President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s Renewed Hope vision for Nigerian MSMEs.
The Deputy Chief of Staff also observed that while the report identifies the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System as a critical platform for cross-border digital payments, Nigerian fintech firms such as PalmPay and Moniepoint, which have some of the largest and most active user bases, will play a pivotal role in driving adoption.
He assured that the Federal Government remains committed to strengthening critical infrastructure, regulatory frameworks, and partnerships to ensure Nigeria is not only ready for digital trade but continues to lead.
“I appreciate the efforts of all stakeholders and urge us to move AfCFTA beyond a continental agreement to a $3.5 trillion trade juggernaut that will reinvigorate our industries, unlock intra-African trade, and domesticate African prosperity,” he added.
He said “intra-African trade will be driven not only by large corporations but by small businesses empowered through digital trade and e-commerce, while noting that issues of trust, identity, and logistics, as highlighted in the report, must be addressed”.
Commenting on the report, Temitola Adekunle-Johnson, special Adviser to the President on Job Creation and MSMEs, said the report – developed under the purview of the Office of the Vice President-would significantly strengthen the MSME ecosystem.
He expressed optimism that the report’s findings and recommendations would enable Nigerian SMEs to achieve seamless access to continental markets.
Salihu Dasuki, special Assistant to the President on ICT Policy, Office of the Vice President, disclosed that the office, in partnership with development partners, has developed a framework to fast-track seamless cross-border payments for MSMEs.
He added that “a key pillar of President Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda is enabling Nigerians to access digital trade, which informed the capacity-building programme conducted for subnational governments last year”.
Shuda Ahmed, special assistant to the President on Project Support, Office of the Vice President, commended ODI Global for leading the research underpinning the report.
She noted that without seamless and affordable cross-border payment systems, MSMEs across the continent would be unable to scale beyond their domestic markets.
The event was attended by officials of ODI Global, representatives of AfCFTA, the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), National Identity Management Commission (NIMC), Nigerian Petroleum Development Company (NPDC), Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC), and MSMEs, among other key stakeholders.
E-Financial2 days agoCBN bars large‑ticket loan defaulters from banking services in tough new crackdown
General News2 days agoARN Rejects Medical Bill over Attempt to ‘Scrap’ Profession
Telecom2 days agoNIGCOMSAT Supports Startups Growth with the Launch of Accelerator 3.0
News2 days agoMeningitis Kills a Quarter Million People a Year -Study
Telecom2 days agoFG Unveils Digital Economy Research Fund Scheme
News2 days agoStakeholder says AI is Crucial to Nigerian Data Centres Amid Persistent Grid Collapse
- General News2 days ago
Nigeria Advances Digital Governance as NITDA takes over NGEA Portal
General News2 days agoZarttech Reflects on Its Role in Changing Global Perceptions of Africa













