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Soludo Explains Reasons behind Naira Crash

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Prof. Charles Soludo, Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) last week told a charged senate session that the recent devaluation of naira was a deliberate policy of the nation’s apex bank to further shield the economy from the financial crisis and that there was no need for panic.
Soludo said that CBN would only insist on stable exchange rate and not fixed exchange rate as most would want.
Soludo, s appearance before a charged senate followed a motion by Ike Ekweremadu, the deputy senate president and 23 others drawing the attention of the senate to a continued decline in the value of naira
The CBN boss was summoned alongside other members of the economic team including Dr Samsudeen Usman, the finance minister to brief the senate on the sad trend
Senate in a dramatic twist refused to take on the finance minister who was the leader of the team and instead asked the team to go after over two hours briefing by Soludo.
It would be recalled that senate had recently asked the finance minister to apologize to it over his recent claim that the delay in the passage of the 2008 budget by National Assembly was responsible for the poor implementation of the estimate
But Ayogu Ezeh , spokesman of the senate said that  the senate decided to take on only Soludo because of the subject matter which is crash of the  naira . Soludo at the briefing said there was no cause for alarm insisting that the country has not been hit by the financial crisis even as he admitted that the economy could be affected by the crash in the price of crude oil at the global market.
Again he said that the weak naira or exchange does not suggest weak government or weak economy
Responding to questions yesterday on the naira drop Soludo said ‘I want to submit that this was carefully thought through and deliberately implemented in order to ensure that you maintain an internal and external balance for the economy.  The economic of exchange rate is such that in a world where you face any fracture on your balance of payment, especially thought he external sector, especially since we experience much of the later part of this year, declining oil prices which account for 95 percent of our foreign exchange.
Every country that experiences that, you have two options: you either allow the prices to adjust by way of exchange rate or quantities would adjust. The quantity that will adjust would either mean that you cut down on domestic consumption, domestic investment and government spending in order to retain pressure on the external sector or you allow the price to do the readjusting. Generally, the exchange rate responds to several factors. Currently we operate a flexible exchange rate regime as most economies of the world. This actually determines by the demand and supply in the market. If you have an increasing supply of foreign exchange, the exchange rate appreciates. If there is a declining supply and the demand is still up there or rising, you have depreciation. There quite a number of factors that could lead to the demand in foreign exchange, including the liquidity condition in the economy induce by money supply, government spending the net capital flows, the level of their foreign reserves and the rates at which it grows, domestic productivities and that will actually increase your exports and import. The global shock that we have experienced like we did mention in our last presentation before this House, the major channel of effect on Nigeria would be the declining oil price and therefore what could put pressure on the foreign reserve and the exchange rate and if care is not taking, it could go via the fiscal sector down to the financial sector if not managed. But we hope that that we not happen. Look around the world today, because of our declining commodity prices, declining trade, and therefore declining foreign exchange earning by most stable country in the world. Whether or not they are experiencing financial crisis, there are many countries in the world that do not have financial crisis and are not experiencing financial crisis including Nigeria . However, these countries as well are experiencing declining commodity prices and therefore declining export earning. Therefore their earnings of foreign exchange declining. In almost all of these countries today, with little or no exception, the exchange rate under a flexible exchange rate regime is the variables that do the adjustment. I have with me here a table of countries, even here in Africa, with the largest level of reserves such as Algeria , Algeria has the largest level of reserves in Africa .  As 2007 it had about 110 as at September this year it has 130 billion dollars but its exchange rate has also depreciated and you take them all from the emerging market, most of them whether it is Malaysia, Thailand or Brazil, India Russia, Indonesia, Philippines, South Africa all down the line with even higher level of diversify export structure, most of these countries are not having any financial crisis.. But it is simply that the global trading regime has altered and therefore the variables that you allow to adjust is the exchange rate and Nigeria happen to be one of such countries. Nigeria is not having a financial crisis but the global financial crisis impact on the Nigeria economy through the declining oil and therefore the declining squeeze the reserves. There is as we operate a flexible exchange rate like I said, that is the variable that is expected to do the adjustment. If you recalled Mr. President, Distinguish Senators, this is not the first time that Nigeria is experiencing the most significant shock occurred late 1981 through early 1982 and the differences between then and now interms of the economy is about three four key areas: the first is that then we had high external debt relative to GDP, relative to government expenditure.. Now we don’t have it. Then we had fragile financial banking system that most of the banks owned by the government lack depth, just too fragile to take up the flak between then and now. Today we have a stronger banking sector that grant credit, the total credit. The total credit granted as at the end of September to the private sector was indeed larger than the Federal government expenditure.

 


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Goodnews Naija Podcast Emerges as a Platform for Positive Nigerian Storytelling

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Goodnews Naija Podcast has been identified as one of Nigeria’s podcast platforms to watch, gaining attention for its consistent focus on positive storytelling and uplifting narratives from across the country.

Launched on 1 October 2024, the podcast spotlights inspiring stories, progress-driven conversations, and everyday Nigerian wins often overlooked in mainstream media. With a weekly release schedule and a values-led editorial approach, Goodnews Naija has built a growing audience within and outside Nigeria.

“At a time when negative headlines dominate global perceptions, we believe positive Nigerian stories deserve global visibility,” said Host, Damilola Kehinde. “Goodnews Naija exists to balance the narrative by highlighting hope, resilience, and progress.”

According to Producer, Memunat Olayemi Oladepo, the platform was intentionally created to reshape how Nigerian stories are told. “Goodnews Naija was built as a counter-narrative,” she said. “We are deliberate about amplifying stories that reflect the resilience, innovation, and optimism thriving across the country.”

As global interest in African creators grows, Goodnews Naija Podcast is positioning itself as a platform contributing to a more balanced and human narrative about Nigeria.


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Recapitalisation: Silent Layoffs, Infrastructure Deficit Threat to $1trn Economy

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By Blaise Udunze

The Central Bank of Nigeria’s recapitalisation exercise, which is scheduled for a March 31, 2026, deadline, has continued to reignite optimism across financial markets and is designed to build stronger, more resilient banks capable of financing a $1 trillion economy. With the ongoing exercise, the industry has been witnessing bank valuations rising, investors are enthusiastic, and balance sheets are swelling. However, beneath these encouraging headline numbers, unbeknownst to many, or perhaps some troubling aspects that the industry players have chosen not to talk about, are the human cost of consolidation and the infrastructure deficit.

Recapitalisation: Silent Layoffs, Infrastructure Deficit Threat to $1trn Economy

CBN

Recapitalisation often leads to mergers and acquisitions. Mergers, in turn, almost always lead to job rationalisation. In Nigeria’s case, this process is unfolding against an already fragile labour structure in the banking industry, one where casualisation has become the dominant employment model.

One alarming fact in the Nigerian banking sector is the age-old workforce structure raised by the Association of Senior Staff of Banks, Insurance and Financial Institutions (ASSBIFI), which says that an estimated 60 percent of operational bank workers today are contract staff. This reality raises profound questions about the sustainability of Nigeria’s banking reforms and the credibility of its economic ambitions.

A $1 trillion economy cannot be built on insecure labour, shrinking institutional knowledge, and an overstretched financial workforce.

Recapitalisation and the Hidden Merger Trap

History is instructive. Referencing Nigeria’s 2004-2005 banking consolidation exercise, which reduced the number of banks from 89 to 25, and no doubt, it produced larger institutions, while it also triggered widespread job losses, branch closures, and a wave of outsourcing that permanently altered employment relations in the sector. The current recapitalisation push risks repeating that cycle, only this time within a far more complex economic environment marked by inflation, currency volatility, and rising unemployment.

Mergers promise efficiency, but efficiency often comes at the expense of people. Speaking of this, duplicate roles are eliminated, technology replaces frontline staff, and non-core functions are outsourced. The troubling part of it is that this is already a system reliant on contract labour; mergers could accelerate workforce instability, turning banks into balance-sheet-heavy institutions with shallow human capital depth.

ASSBIFI’s warning is therefore not a labour agitation; it is a macroeconomic red flag.

Casualisation as Structural Weakness, Not a Cost Strategy

It has been postulated by proponents of job casualisation that it is a cost-control mechanism necessary for competitiveness. Contrary to this argument, evidence increasingly shows that it is a false economy. In reaction to this, ASSBIFI President Olusoji Oluwole, who kicked against this structural weakness, asserted that excessive reliance on contract workers undermines job security, suppresses wages, limits access to benefits and blocks career progression while affirming that over time, this erodes morale, loyalty, and productivity.

More troubling are the systemic risks. Casualisation creates operational vulnerabilities, higher fraud exposure, weaker compliance culture, and lower institutional memory.

One of the banking regulators, the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), has not desisted from repeatedly cautioning that excessive outsourcing and short-term staffing models increase security risks within banks. On the negative implications, when employees feel disposable, ethical commitment weakens, and reputational risk grows.

Banking is not a factory floor. It is a trust business. And trust does not thrive in insecurity.

Inside Outsourcing Web of Conflict of Interest

Beyond cost efficiency, Nigeria’s casualisation crisis is also fuelled by a deeper governance problem, conflicts of interest embedded within the outsourcing ecosystem.

In many cases, bank chief executives and executive directors are reported to own, control, or have beneficial interests in outsourcing companies that provide services to their own banks. Invariably, it is the same firms supplying contract staff, cleaners, security personnel, call-centre agents, and even IT support. Structurally, this arrangement allows senior executives to profit directly from the same outsourcing model that strips workers of job security and benefits.

The incentive is clear. Outsourcing enables banks to maintain lean payrolls, bypass strict labour protections associated with permanent employment, and reduce long-term obligations such as pensions and healthcare. But when those designing outsourcing strategies are also financially benefiting from them, the line between efficiency and exploitation disappears.

This model entrenches casualisation not as a temporary adjustment tool, but as a permanent business strategy, one that externalises social costs while internalising private gains.

Exploitation and Its Systemic Consequences

The human impact is severe because the contract staff employed through executive-linked outsourcing firms often face poor working conditions, low wages, limited or no health insurance, and zero job security, which is demotivating. Many perform the same functions as permanent staff but without benefits, voice, or career prospects.

ASSBIFI has warned that prolonged exposure to such insecurity leads to psychological stress, declining morale, and reduced productive life years. Studies on Nigeria’s banking sector confirm that casualisation weakens employee commitment and heightens anxiety, conditions that directly undermine service quality and operational integrity.

From a systemic standpoint, exploitation feeds fragility. High staff turnover erodes institutional memory. Disengaged workers weaken internal controls. Meanwhile, this should be a sector where trust, confidentiality, and compliance are paramount; this is a dangerous trade-off if it must be acknowledged for what it is.

Why Workforce Numbers Tell a Deeper Story

It is in record that as of 2025, Nigeria’s banking sector employs an estimated 90,500 workers, up from roughly 80,000 in 2021. The top five banks today, such as Zenith, Access Holdings, UBA, GTCO, and Stanbic IBTC, account for about 39,900 employees, reflecting moderate growth driven by digital expansion and regional operations.

At face value, truly, these figures suggest resilience. But when viewed alongside the 60 percent casualisation rate, they paint a different picture, revealing that employment growth is without employment quality. A workforce dominated by contract staff lacks the stability required to support long-term credit expansion, infrastructure financing, and industrial transformation.

This matters because banks are expected to be the engine room of Nigeria’s $1 trillion economy, funding roads, power plants, refineries, manufacturing hubs, and digital infrastructure. Weak labour foundations will eventually translate into weak execution capacity.

Nigeria’s Infrastructure Financing Contradiction

Nigeria’s infrastructure deficit is estimated in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Power, transport, housing, and broadband require long-term financing structures, sophisticated risk management, and deep sectoral expertise. Yet recapitalisation-induced mergers often lead to talent loss in precisely these areas.

As banks consolidate, specialist teams are downsized, project finance units are merged, and experienced professionals exit the system, either voluntarily or through redundancy. Casual staff, by design, are rarely trained for complex, long-term infrastructure deals. The result is a contradiction, revealing that larger banks have bigger capital bases but thinner technical capacity.

Without deliberate workforce protection and skills development, recapitalisation may produce banks that are too big to fail, but too hollow to build.

South Africa Offers a Useful Contrast

South Africa offers a revealing counterpoint. As of 2025, the country’s “big five” banks, such as Standard Bank, FNB, ABSA, Nedbank, and Capitec, employ approximately 136,600 workers within South Africa and about 184,000 globally. This is significantly higher than Nigeria’s banking workforce, despite South Africa having a smaller population.

More importantly, South African banks maintain a far higher proportion of permanent staff. While outsourcing exists, core banking operations remain firmly institutionalized compared to the Nigerian banking system. For this reason, South Africa’s career progression pathways are clearer, labour regulations are more robustly enforced, and unions play a more structured role in workforce negotiations.

The result is evident in outcomes. South Africa’s top six banks are collectively valued at over $70 billion, with Standard Bank alone boasting a market capitalisation of approximately $30 billion and total assets nearing $192 billion. Nigeria’s top 10 banks, by contrast, held combined assets of about $142 billion as of early 2025, even with a much larger population and economy, and its 13 listed banks reached a combined market capitalisation of about N17 trillion ($11.76 billion at an exchange rate of N1,445) in 2026.

Though this gap is not just about capital. It is about institutional depth, workforce stability, and governance maturity.

Bigger Valuations, But a Weaker Foundations?

Nigeria’s 13 listed banks reached a combined market capitalisation of about N17 trillion in 2026. It is no surprise, as it is buoyed by investor anticipation of recapitalisation and higher capital thresholds. Yet market value does not automatically translate into economic impact. Without parallel investment in people, systems, and long-term skills, valuation gains remain fragile.

South Africa’s experience shows that strong banks are built not only on capital adequacy, but on human capital adequacy. Skilled, secure workers are better risk managers, better innovators, and better custodians of public trust.

Labour Law and its Regulatory Blind Spots

ASSBIFI’s call for a review of Nigeria’s Labour Act is timely, and this is because the current framework lags modern employment realities, particularly in sectors like banking, where technology and outsourcing have blurred traditional employment lines. Regulatory silence has effectively legitimised casualisation as a default model rather than an exception.

The Central Bank of Nigeria cannot afford to treat workforce issues as outside its mandate. Prudential stability is inseparable from labour stability. Regulators must begin to view excessive casualisation as a risk factor, just like liquidity mismatches or weak capital quality.

Recapitalisation Without Inclusion Is Incomplete

If recapitalisation is to succeed, it must be inclusive; therefore, the industry must witness the enforcement of career path frameworks for contract staff, limiting the proportion of outsourced core banking roles, and aligning capital reforms with employment protection. It also means recognising that labour insecurity ultimately feeds systemic fragility.

South Africa’s banking sector did not avoid consolidation, but it managed it alongside workforce safeguards and institutional continuity. Nigeria must do the same or risk building banks that look strong on paper but crack under economic pressure.

True Measure of Reform

Judging by the past reform in 2004-2005, it has shown that Nigeria’s banking recapitalisation will be judged not by the size of balance sheets, but by the resilience of the institutions it produces. As part of the recapitalisation target for more resilient banks capable of financing a $1 trillion economy, it demands banks that can think long-term, absorb shocks, finance infrastructure, and uphold trust. None of these goals is compatible with a workforce trapped in perpetual insecurity.

Casualisation is no longer a labour issue; it is a national economic risk. If mergers proceed without deliberate workforce stabilisation, Nigeria may end up with fewer banks, fewer jobs, weaker institutions, and a slower path to prosperity.

The lesson from South Africa is clear, as it shows that strong banks are built by strong people. Until Nigeria’s banking reforms fully embrace that truth and the missing pieces are addressed, recapitalisation will remain an unfinished project. and the $1 trillion economy, an elusive promise.

Blaise, a journalist and PR professional, writes from Lagos, can be reached via: [email protected]


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Security Forces Probe Use of Drones by Terrorists

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The military high command at the weekend said it has commenced a full investigation into the use of drones by terrorists to carry out attacks.

Security Forces Probe Use of Drones by Terrorists

This is part of ongoing efforts to end insurgency in the country.

Major-General Michael Onoja, director of Defence Media Operations (DDMO), , disclosed this in Abuja while briefing defence correspondents on the achievements of troops of the Armed Forces of Nigeria and other security agencies across various theatres of operation nationwide.

He said the investigation is being conducted in collaboration with other relevant security agencies to identify the sources of the drones and halt their deployment by non-state actors.

According to him, concrete actions are expected to emerge in the coming days or months, as agencies with the technical capacity to counter drone deployment have been fully engaged.

“We have reached an advanced stage in taking measures, in conjunction with other federal government agencies, to trace where these drones are coming from. I believe that in the next couple of days or months, concrete action will emerge on what we intend to do,” Onoja said.

In recent months, terrorists operating in the North East have increasingly deployed sophisticated drones in attacks on civilians and security personnel, raising concerns over the evolving tactics of insurgent groups.

The development has also generated questions among security experts and the public over how the drones are being sourced and the channels through which they enter the country.

Responding to allegations circulating on social media that soldiers manning checkpoints in Bauchi State were being compelled to remit weekly sums to their commanders, Onoja said the claims remained mere allegations.

He stressed that the military is a transparent institution and assured that investigations would be conducted if verifiable details were provided.

On the return of Nigerian refugees from Cameroon, Onoja said the development reflects the success of military operations in restoring security to affected communities.

“The military, in conjunction with the Federal Government, has done everything within its capacity to ensure the necessary security in those areas. The return of refugees is a clear measure of operational success,” he said.

On operational achievements, Onoja disclosed that within the month of January 2026 under review, troops across various theatres killed several terrorists, arrested 452 suspected terrorists, kidnappers and other criminal elements, rescued about 284 kidnapped victims, while 124 terrorists and their family members surrendered to troops.

He added that troops also recorded major successes against oil theft, recovering 210,300 litres of crude oil, 66,725 litres of diesel, 660 litres of kerosene and 5,000 litres of petrol.

In addition, 53 illegal refining sites were discovered and destroyed during the period under review.

Providing updates from various theatres, Onoja said that in the North East, troops under Joint Task Force Operation HADIN KAI sustained operational momentum by denying Boko Haram, Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP), and Jama’atu Ahlis Sunna Lidda’awati wal-Jihad terrorists freedom of action.

He said ground troops, working alongside the Air Component, hybrid forces and local security groups, conducted aggressive operations, neutralising terrorists, arresting informants and logistics suppliers, recovering weapons, and dismantling terrorist networks.

“During the month, troops conducted operations in Gwoza, Damboa, Mobbar, Askira Uba and Konduga Local Government Areas of Borno State. Similar operations were carried out in Michika and Damaturu LGAs of Adamawa and Yobe States, respectively. During these encounters, scores of terrorists were neutralised, 17 were arrested, and 12 kidnapped victims were rescued. Recovered weapons and suspects are in custody for further action,” he said.

In Plateau State, Onoja said troops of Operation ENDURING PEACE responded to distress calls on terrorist activities, conducting offensive operations across Plateau and parts of Kaduna State.

According to him, several extremists were neutralised during firefights, 86 other criminals were arrested, and 24 kidnapped victims rescued, while arms and ammunition were recovered.

In the South-South, Onoja said troops of Operation DELTA SAFE intensified operations against crude oil theft, sea piracy and militancy.

“They dismantled 53 illegal refining sites, arrested 81 oil thieves and other criminals, and recovered assorted arms and ammunition. Air reconnaissance missions also led to the interception and destruction of vessels involved in the illegal syphoning of petroleum products across the Niger Delta,” he said.

He added that troops of Operation UDO KA recorded notable gains across Abia, Anambra, Ebonyi, Enugu and Imo States, with over 80 militants surrendering, 72 arrests made, and 11 kidnapped victims rescued.

Eight Cameroonian nationals were also rescued during cross-border patrols along the Bakassi waterways, while a significant reduction in crime was recorded across the region.

Reaffirming the Armed Forces’ resolve to sustain pressure on criminal elements, Onoja said the military would continue to strengthen inter-agency collaboration and work closely with local communities to ensure lasting peace and stability.

He reiterated the Chief of Defence Staff’s mantra, “See something, say something,” urging Nigerians to provide timely and credible information to security agencies.

“With the continued support of the media and the Nigerian public, the Armed Forces of Nigeria remain confident of defeating all threats to national security,” he said.

 


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