E-Financial
Strengthening Nigeria’s Financial Future: The Imperative of Domestic Investment and Market Stability

By Aigbovbioise Aig-Imoukhuede
Nigeria stands at a pivotal juncture in its economic trajectory, navigating through a myriad of challenges and opportunities. The country’s financial outlook is being shaped by a confluence of factors ranging from regulatory changes and technological advancements to global economic trends and internal policy shifts. This piece aims to dissect these elements, drawing insights from the recent Bloomberg Discovery Series (Nigeria) panel session where I had the privilege of participating.

Aigbovbioise Aig-Imoukhuede
• The Current Economic Landscape
Nigeria’s economic landscape is characterised by a complex interplay of growth and stagnation. The National Bureau of Statistics reports growth, which is promising. However, the true metric of economic vitality lies in long-term investment. Unfortunately, Nigeria has been grappling with a significant exodus of multinational companies such as Glaxo, Proctor & Gamble, and PZ Cussons over the past year. This trend underscores a crucial issue: the need for robust domestic investment.
Strengthening Nigeria’s capital markets is paramount. These markets will serve as the bedrock for future investment, ensuring sustainable economic growth. Achieving this necessitates macroeconomic stability, particularly in currency and inflation management. Stability in the naira’s value against the US dollar and controlled inflation are essential for fostering an environment conducive to long-term business planning and investment.
• Regulatory Changes and Their Impacts
Recent regulatory changes are set to reshape Nigeria’s financial sector significantly. The ongoing bank recapitalisation process, which requires banks to raise over N2.0 trillion in fresh capital, is a transformative initiative. This move mirrors the impactful reforms initiated by Governor Soludo two decades ago, promising rapid consolidation and enhanced borrowing capacity within the banking sector.
Beyond banking, the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) is witnessing a surge in initial public offerings (IPOs), including the highly anticipated NNPC and Aradel IPOs. These developments signal a bustling year ahead, with increased market activity and potential for substantial economic gains.
• Technology and Digital Transformation
The impact of technology and digital transformation on Nigeria’s financial services industry is profound. Internally, banks have leveraged technology to streamline processes, enhancing efficiency and customer satisfaction. Externally, technology is broadening financial inclusion, integrating more individuals into the formal financial system.
Start-up internet-only banks are making significant strides, though they have yet to displace established banks. Traditional banks have swiftly adapted, launching their own digital products and leveraging their expertise in liquidity management to maintain a competitive edge. The synergy between fintech innovations and traditional banking institutions is driving a more inclusive and efficient financial ecosystem.
• Domestic and Foreign Investment Trends
While the departure of multinational companies highlights a challenging investment climate, Nigeria’s future lies in its capital markets. These markets must be robust enough to attract and sustain both domestic and foreign investments. Controlling inflation is critical to achieving this goal, as inflation undermines business planning and investor confidence. Once inflation is stabilised, consensus on the naira/dollar exchange rate can be established, fostering a more predictable and attractive investment environment.
• Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policies
The Central Bank of Nigeria’s recent shift towards orthodox monetary policies marks a significant development. With Nigerian Treasury Bills yielding around 25.0% for one-year T-bills and OMO bill auction yields reaching 29.0%, there is a renewed attraction for investment in the financial system. These high returns are enticing foreign portfolio investors and bolstering the naira.
However, there are trade-offs. High-interest rates impose a burden on borrowers but simultaneously strengthen the case for saving in naira. This policy approach is crucial for stabilising inflation and, by extension, the currency. As these policies take root, Nigeria can expect a more stable and prosperous financial landscape.
• Risks Facing Financial Institutions
Nigeria’s financial institutions are navigating a landscape fraught with risks. High-interest rates, while offering opportunities for profit, also pose significant challenges. Borrowers are under stress, and the valuation of investments must reflect these elevated rates, introducing volatility into financial statements.
The adoption of mark-to-market accounting, championed by the Fund Managers Association of Nigeria, is a crucial step towards mitigating these risks. This accounting method ensures that financial statements accurately reflect current market conditions, fostering transparency and stability in the capital markets.
• Sustainable Finance and ESG Considerations
Sustainable finance is gradually taking root in Nigeria, integrating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations into financial activities. Regulatory policies by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) are paving the way. These policies encompass principles of environmental and social risk management, financial inclusion, and guidelines for green bonds.
Banks and financial institutions are also investing in capacity building and training, equipping themselves to better assess and manage ESG risks. Despite progress, challenges remain. Limited awareness, inadequate regulatory enforcement, and a nascent market for green financial products hinder widespread adoption. However, the global shift towards sustainability presents significant opportunities for Nigeria to leverage its natural resources for sustainable development.
• Financing SMEs: Challenges and Opportunities
Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of Nigeria’s economy, yet they face formidable challenges. Limited access to finance, due to high risk, lack of collateral, and inadequate financial records, is a primary barrier. Additionally, many SME owners lack financial literacy and management skills, further impeding their ability to secure loans.
However, there are promising opportunities. Government initiatives, such as the SME Credit Guarantee Scheme and the Youth Entrepreneurship Support (YES) programme, provide much-needed funding. Policy reforms, like the National Collateral Registry, enhance access to finance by allowing movable assets to be used as collateral.
Innovative financing solutions are also emerging. Crowdfunding platforms, angel investors, and venture capital firms are providing alternative sources of capital. Fintech companies are leveraging technology to simplify the loan application process and reduce reliance on traditional collateral. Microfinance banks (MFBs) offer tailored financial products to SMEs, making microloans more accessible.
• Global Economic Trends and Their Impact
Global economic trends, particularly commodity price fluctuations and geopolitical tensions, significantly impact Nigeria’s financial sector. While commodity prices are relatively stable, the real concern lies with US bond rates. High yields on US Government bonds are drawing dollars away from emerging markets, including Nigeria. This trend is likely to persist until US bond rates decline.
• The Future of Technological Innovations
Technological innovations, particularly blockchain and artificial intelligence (AI), hold transformative potential for Nigeria’s financial industry. Blockchain can enhance security and transparency in financial transactions, while AI can drive efficiency and inclusivity. However, realising this potential requires a supportive ecosystem.
Collaboration among stakeholders—government, financial institutions, technology providers, and academia—is crucial. By fostering such partnerships, Nigeria can harness these technologies to spur innovation, improve financial services, and stimulate economic growth.
Conclusion
Nigeria’s financial outlook is at a crossroads, shaped by a dynamic interplay of internal and external factors. Strengthening capital markets, stabilising the macroeconomic environment, and leveraging technological innovations are essential for sustainable growth. By addressing these challenges and seizing the opportunities, Nigeria can build a resilient and inclusive financial ecosystem, paving the way for a prosperous future.
E-Financial
KPMG Identifies ‘Flaws, Inconsistencies, and Omission’ in New Tax Law

KPMG Nigeria has identified what’s described as “errors, inconsistencies, gaps and omissions” in Nigeria’s tax laws that came into force at the beginning of this year.

The professional services company warns that these issues could undermine the attainment of the tax reforms’ stated objectives if left unaddressed.
The reforms, anchored on the Nigeria Tax Act (NTA) and the Nigeria Tax Administration Act (NTAA), alongside the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) Establishment Act and the Joint Revenue Board (JRB) Establishment Act, are aimed at improving revenue generation, simplifying tax administration, and enhancing competitiveness.
Authorities have repeatedly described the overhaul as critical to strengthening Nigeria’s weak tax-to-GDP ratio and adapting the tax system to changing economic realities.
Capital gains, inflation, and market behaviour
One of the most far-reaching concerns relates to the computation of chargeable gains under Sections 39 and 40 of the Nigeria Tax Act, which require capital gains to be calculated as the difference between sale proceeds and the tax-written-down value of assets, without any adjustment for inflation, analysis by KPMG revealed.
This approach has attracted attention largely because of Nigeria’s inflation environment. Headline inflation has remained in double digits for eight consecutive years, averaging above 18 percent between 2022 and 2025, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics. Over the same period, asset price movements have been heavily influenced by currency depreciation and general price increases.
Actual market behaviour shows a mixed reaction to tax policy expectations, despite a strong full‑year rally, with the NGX All‑Share Index up more than 50 percent and market capitalisation near N99.4 trillion, the equities market saw significant sell‑offs in late 2025, including a N6.5 trillion drop in market value in November amid uncertainty over the new capital gains tax rules, underscoring investor sensitivity to tax policy shifts.
In its review of the law, KPMG Nigeria noted that taxing nominal gains in a high-inflation environment could result in taxpayers being assessed on inflationary gains rather than real economic value. The firm recommended the introduction of a cost indexation allowance to adjust asset values for inflation when computing chargeable gains.
According to the analysis, such an adjustment would reduce distortions in effective tax rates while still allowing the government to generate additional revenue from genuine capital appreciation.
Indirect transfer rules and foreign investment risks
Another provision drawing scrutiny is Section 47 of the Nigeria Tax Act, which subjects gains from indirect transfers of shares or assets by non-residents to Nigerian tax where such transfers result in changes in ownership of Nigerian companies or assets located in Nigeria.
The provision is being introduced amid weak foreign investment inflows. Data from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development shows that foreign direct investment into Nigeria remains below pre-2019 levels, reflecting broader investor caution.
While similar indirect transfer rules exist in other jurisdictions, analysts note that such regimes are typically supported by detailed guidance and clear thresholds to reduce uncertainty.
KPMG’s analysis recommended that Nigerian tax authorities issue clear administrative guidance defining the scope, thresholds, and reporting obligations associated with indirect transfers. The firm noted that clarity would reduce the risk of disputes, improve compliance, and mitigate potential negative effects on foreign investment flows.
FX deductions clash with economic realities
Section 24 of the Nigeria Tax Act limits businesses from deducting foreign-currency expenses beyond their naira equivalent at the official CBN rate.
In practice, this means a company importing goods, paying foreign software subscriptions, or settling overseas vendor invoices cannot claim as tax-deductible any amount they spent above the official exchange rate.
For many companies, this is a real problem. Access to official foreign exchange is limited, forcing businesses to pay higher rates on the parallel market. Under the law, the extra cost becomes non-deductible, effectively increasing taxable profits and raising their tax bills.
KPMG warns that while the rule aims to curb speculative foreign exchange activity, it fails to account for supply shortages. The firm recommends that deductibility should reflect the actual cost incurred, provided proper documentation, so businesses aren’t penalized for circumstances beyond their control.
VAT-linked expense disallowances
Section 21(p) of the Nigeria Tax Act disallows deductions for expenses on which value-added tax has not been charged, even where such expenses were incurred wholly for business purposes.
This intersects with Nigeria’s VAT compliance challenges. The informal sector accounts for a significant share of economic activity, and VAT compliance gaps remain wide, according to assessments by tax authorities and development institutions.
Analysts note that the provision effectively transfers part of the VAT enforcement burden to compliant taxpayers, who may be penalised for supplier non-compliance.
KPMG recommended that Section 21(p) be deleted or substantially modified, arguing that deductibility should depend solely on whether an expense was wholly, exclusively, and necessarily incurred for business purposes. The firm noted that VAT compliance should instead be enforced directly through audits and penalties on defaulting suppliers.
Non-resident taxation and compliance ambiguity
Uncertainty also surrounds the compliance obligations of non-resident companies. While Section 17 of the Nigeria Tax Act provides that withholding tax constitutes final tax for certain non-resident payments where there is no permanent establishment or significant economic presence, the Nigeria Tax Administration Act does not clearly exempt such entities from registration or filing requirements.
Nigeria has signed over a dozen double taxation treaties (DTTs), including the UK, South Africa, Canada, and France, which align with the principle that final WHT extinguishes further tax obligations in the absence of a taxable presence. Experts say harmonizing the NTA and NTAA with these treaties is critical to avoid conflicts and deter foreign investors.
KPMG recommended that the relevant provisions of the Nigeria Tax Act and the Nigeria Tax Administration Act be harmonised, with explicit exemptions for non-resident companies whose Nigerian tax obligations have been fully discharged through withholding tax. According to the firm, such alignment would reduce compliance friction and improve Nigeria’s attractiveness for cross-border transactions.
As Nigeria enacts its most comprehensive tax overhaul in decades, the path to success will depend on clarity, alignment with international best practices, and swift adoption of recommended amendments. Without these measures, businesses may face higher costs, non-residents could be discouraged from investing, and capital markets may remain volatile. For policymakers, the challenge is not just raising revenue but ensuring that the reforms strengthen competitiveness and sustainable economic growth.
E-Financial
19 Nigerian Banks Meet CBN Recapitalization Targets Ahead of March Deadline

Nineteen Nigerian banks have fulfilled the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) recapitalization requirements as of January 6, 2026, six weeks before the March 31 deadline, according to data from The Cable Index.

CBN
Access Bank, Fidelity Bank, First Bank, GTBank (GTCO), UBA, and Zenith Bank—holders of international licenses—lead compliance among six major players.
National and regional licensees Citibank Nigeria, Ecobank Nigeria, Globus Bank, Stanbic IBTC, Sterling Bank, Wema Bank, PremiumTrust Bank, and Providus Bank have also hit the benchmarks.
Two non-interest banks, Jaiz and Lotus, alongside merchant banks FSDH, Greenwich, and Nova, round out the compliant group, meeting thresholds of N10-N20 billion for non-interest, N50 billion for merchants, N200 billion for nationals, and N500 billion for international banks as set in March 2024.
Approximately 14 banks remain non-compliant, underscoring urgency ahead of the deadline despite broad progress.
E-Financial
BVN Enrollment Up 6.87 Percent to 67.84m in 2025 – NIBSS

Bank Verification Number (BVN) enrollments in the country rose by 6.87 per cent , or 4.36 million, to 67.84 million as at the end of December 2025 from 63.48 million in the corresponding period of the preceding year, according to latest data released by the Nigeria Interbank Settlement System (NIBSS).

This means that a total number of 4.36 million BVN enrolments were recorded between the end of December 2024 and the end of last year.
The BVN scheme was launched on February 14, 2014 by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in collaboration with the Bankers’ Committee, NIBSS and the German firm, Dermalog, with the aim of capturing biometrics of all bank customers and giving each bank customer a unique 11-digit identity number (BVN) that can be verified across the Nigerian banking industry.
Lamido Sanusi, governor of the CBN, at the time, said at the event that the BVN scheme would enable the apex bank to significantly reduce incidents of fraud and money laundering in the banking industry and also help accelerate financial inclusion by opening up opportunities for credit to millions of Nigerians who do not have a standard means of identification.
In October 2017, the CBN released a regulatory framework for BVN operations and Watchlist for the financial system. It stated that the Watchlist comprises a database of bank customers identified by their BVNs, who have been involved in confirmed fraudulent activities in the Nigerian banking industry.
An analysis of the latest NIBSS data shows that BVN enrollment maintained an upward trend in the last five years, rising from 51.90 million in 2021 to 56.90 million and 60.12 million in 2022 and 2023 respectively, before hitting 63.48 million in 2024 and 67.84 in 2025.
Analysts attribute the rise in BVN enrolments in recent years to policy measures introduced by the CBN as part of its efforts to tackle fraud.
For instance, on December 1, 2023, the apex bank issued a circular directing Deposit money banks (DMBs) Non-interest banks, Payment Service Banks, other financial institutions and mobile operators, to ensure that all funded bank accounts or wallets, without BVN or National Identification Number (NIN) are placed on “Post No Debit or Credit,” by April 1, 2024.
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