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Trump Rally to Be Tested by Healthcare Vote

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Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM.
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FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga comments on Sterling has staged a remarkable rebound this week with bulls almost rebelling against the Brexit woes by propelling the GBPUSD above 1.2500 during Thursday’s trading session.

A growing sense of caution has gripped the financial markets this week with investors on standby ahead of Thursday’s key healthcare vote in Congress which may thoroughly test the Trump bump.

Uncertainty over Donald Trump’s proposed economic agenda has already triggered risk aversion and any complications in the healthcare reform could spell trouble for this phenomenal stock market rally. Global stocks may be exposed to downside shocks with the threat of a potential setback in the healthcare bill raising doubts over Trump’s ability to move forward with the proposed tax cuts and infrastructure spending. Today will be the first major test for Trump’s legislative ability and the outcome may either create a Trump slump or technical bounce for bulls to exploit.

Sterling Hovering Around 1.2500
Sterling has staged a remarkable rebound this week with bulls almost rebelling against the Brexit woes by propelling the GBPUSD above 1.2500 during Thursday’s trading session. The Dollar’s persistent weakness combined with February’s blockbuster retail sales figure of 1.4% may have created an illusion of a bullish bias returning to Sterling.

Although the retail sales figure for February was unquestionably impressive and illustrated strong growth, the underlying three-month view from December and January still displayed a slowdown.

With the Article 50 set to be triggered next week and the focus redirected towards Brexit, Sterling could be instore for a messy rollercoaster ride.

The lingering concerns over complications arising in the negotiation process may compound to the jitters consequently exposing Sterling to downside risks.

While bulls may be commended on their ability to exploit Dollar’s weakness and elevate Sterling repeatedly despite the Brexit anxieties, questions may be asked over how much steam the over-extended technical bounce has left. With uncertainty still the name of the game when dealing with Sterling, there remains a likelihood of the Brexit developments dictating where the currency trades with macro fundamentals becoming secondary.

From a technical standpoint, Sterling bulls may win the battle this week if 1.2500 is conquered. A decisive breakout and daily close above 1.2500 could open a path towards 1.2600. On the other hand, if 1.2500 remains defensive then bears have a chance to test Wednesday’s daily low at 1.2420.

Yellen Conference In Focus
King Dollar was on the back foot this week with the Dollar Index struggling to break back above 100.00 as sellers exploited the renewed Trump jitters to attack prices incessantly. Dollar bulls remain on the hunt for inspiration to pump life into the Greenback with Yellen’s speech today at a Community Development Conference seen as an opportunity.

If Yellen dishes a hawkish surprise or any fresh insights on rate hike timings, then bulls could be encouraged to elevate the Dollar Index back towards the psychological 100.00 level. On the other hand, if bulls are left empty handed then the Greenback could be instore for further punishment in the short term.

Commodity spotlight – Gold
The risk-off trading environment has boosted appetite for safe-haven assets with Gold becoming an investor’s popular choice this week. Prices have climbed to a three-week high above $1250 with Dollar weakness fueling the upside momentum.

Although Gold may find itself under pressure in the longer term when the Dollar stabilizes, risk aversion could uplift the yellow metal higher in the short term.

From a technical standpoint, the fact that bulls have conquered $1240 on the daily charts suggests that the upside still has some steam. A decisive breakout above $1250 may open a path towards $1260.

 

 


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E-Financial

CitiTrust Heads to Appeal Court over Alleged Ponzi Scheme

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CitiTrust Financial Services Limited, the parent company of Osun-partly owned LivingTrust Mortgage Bank, has approached the Court of Appeal sitting in Lagos,  following the company’s conviction at the Federal High Court, Lagos, over alleged fraud and illegal financial operations.

CitiTrust Heads to Appeal Court over Alleged Ponzi Scheme

CitiTrust, is challenging the conviction and asset forfeiture order handed down by the Court in the case brought the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).

EFCC accused it of money laundering, illegal financial operations, and operating a Ponzi scheme.

Federal High Court, had ordered the forfeiture of the firm’s assets to the federal government of Nigeria, citing evidence of unlawful financial activities.

CitiTrust is fighting back according to the hearing notice No. CA/L/571/2025, issued on April 15, 2026, the appeal against the federal government, will be heard at the Court of Appeal complex in Tafawa Balewa Square, Lagos.

The matter, listed before Court 1, will first address a motion by the appellants seeking leave to file their appeal out of time.

Oyetola Muyiwa Atoyebi (SAN), counsel to the appellants, in a motion dated September 23, 2025, argued that procedural delays necessitated the application.

He explained that although the Record of Appeal was transmitted on May 26, 2025, the defence could not file its Brief of Argument within the stipulated 45 days due to time constraints and competing professional obligations.

Atoyebi further noted that the appellants’ brief exceeds the 35-page limit prescribed under the Court of Appeal Rules, 2021, by three pages, requiring the court’s permission for its adoption.

The appellants are therefore seeking the leave of the court to file and serve their Brief of Argument out of time, an order extending the time for filing, and an order deeming the already filed brief as properly filed.

The EFCC had earlier secured a conviction against CitiTrust and its subsidiaries, CitiTrust Asset Management Limited and CitiTrust Holding Plc, over alleged fraudulent financial operations.

It would be recalled that in a ruling delivered by Justice Friday Nemakonam Ogazi of the Federal High Court, Lagos, the judge held that there was overwhelming evidence linking the firms to unlawful activities.

The court found that one of the entities was not duly registered with regulatory authorities, including the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), describing the operations as illegal despite corporate registration.

Relying on Section 12 of the Proceeds of Crime (Recovery and Management) Act, 2022, the court ruled that the EFCC had established, on a balance of probabilities, that the assets were proceeds of unlawful activity.

Justice Ogazi also invoked provisions of the Advance Fee Fraud and Other Fraud Related Offences Act and the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA), holding that the corporate veil could be lifted where fraud is alleged.

“The law is that when issues of fraud arise, the corporate veil must be lifted. Statutory provisions cannot be used as a refuge to justify illegality,” the court held.

The court subsequently ordered the final forfeiture of CitiTrust-linked assets, forfeiture of shares held in LivingTrust Mortgage Bank Plc, compensation of investors from recovered funds, and transfer of any balance to the Federal Government.

The anti-graft agency had also declared some executive directors of the firm wanted, alleging that they are currently on the run.


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Court Suspends Enforcement of FCCPC’s Reform on Loan Apps

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Federal court in Lagos has suspended the enforcement of Nigeria’s most comprehensive framework for regulating digital lending apps.

Court Suspends Enforcement of FCCPC’s Reform on Loan Apps

On April 15, Justice Ambrose Lewis-Allagoa of the Federal High Court in Lagos granted an interim injunction blocking the enforcement of the Digital, Electronic, Online, or Non-Traditional Consumer Lending Regulations 2025, better known as the DEON Regulations.

The order followed an urgent ex parte application filed the previous day by the Wireless Application Service Providers Association of Nigeria (WASPA Nigeria), the industry body representing wireless application service providers operating mainly within the telecoms ecosystem.

The suit targets twelve specific provisions of the text, covering licensing, sanctions, compliance obligations and data-handling rules, according to court documentation published by Lawyard.

Until the next hearing on April 27, 2026, the regulator cannot impose sanctions, enforce compliance directives, or issue new instructions to WASPA members.

The judge also barred the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) from interfering with the ongoing commercial operations of association members.

The case pits two actors whose respective mandates the Nigerian legal framework has never clearly separated.

On one side stands the FCCPC — the federal agency established in 2018 to enforce consumer protection and competition — which gazetted the DEON Regulations on July 21, 2025, under sections 17, 18 and 163 of its founding Act.

In a press statement dated September 3, 2025, Tunji Bello, executive vice chairman, FCCPC,  justified the rules by citing “a long history of complaints” involving exploitative practices, data breaches, abusive debt recovery, and harassment.

On the other side, WASPA Nigeria contests the very legitimacy of the FCCPC’s intervention, arguing that services tied to telecoms — airtime credit, data loans, mobile-financing products — fall exclusively under the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), the telecoms regulator created by the Nigerian Communications Act of 2003.

In the affidavit deposed by Ayo Stuffman, the association contends that the FCCPC is acting ultra vires and creating a regulatory regime parallel to the NCC’s.

A jurisdictional war that stretches far beyond a procedural dispute

The conflict is not limited to a question of legal boundaries. It strikes at the commercial core of the market: who collects the licensing fees, who sets the operational conditions, who governs the financial products embedded in telecom networks.

Nigeria’s consumer credit stock reached 3.82 trillion naira at the end of December 2024, up 21.27% on September, according to Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) data relayed by The Cable and AFP.

In the fourth quarter of 2024 alone, personal loans disbursed amounted to approximately 470 billion naira.

A growing share flows through mobile applications and telecom-embedded lending products — including MTN’s MoMo Airtime Lending, operated by the country’s largest telecom operator.

If the court validates WASPA’s position, these products fall outside the FCCPC’s scope and come under the sole authority of the NCC, a regulator historically less active on consumer protection issues.

Available data on demand illustrate the social stakes. Between 2021 and 2023, the FCCPC recorded more than 11,000 consumer complaints for harassment, data abuse and unethical debt recovery practices, according to the agency.

The number of lending applications approved by the FCCPC rose from 269 in September 2024 to 408 in March 2025, while 47 apps were delisted and 88 were placed on the watchlist, according to data compiled by AFP and OneSafe.

The DEON Regulations were meant to introduce interest-rate caps, precontractual disclosure obligations, continuous supervision of recovery practices and fines of up to 100 million naira per violation, according to Legit.ng. The compliance deadline was set for January 5, 2026, and the FCCPC had issued written compliance notices to operators with an April 16 deadline, according to WASPA’s affidavit.

It is precisely this enforcement pressure that triggered the legal challenge.

 

 


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FG Rules Out Borrowing from IMF’s $50Bn Support Fund

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Federal government has said that Nigeria has no plans to seek a loan from the International Monetary Fund’s proposed $50 billion support package for economies hit by the Middle East crisis.

FG Rules Out Borrowing from IMF’s $50Bn Support Fund

Wale Edun, minister of Finance, who stated this, said that Nigeria’s current reliance on domestic economic reforms and fund mobilisation was working.

Edun gave these insights during the African Finance Ministers’ briefing, on Thursday, at the ongoing IMF/World Bank annual meetings, in Washington, DC.

He noted that for over two years, Nigeria’s investment in economic reforms have begun to yield results, restoring policy credibility and strengthening the country’s resilience against global economic shocks.

Edun told the global west and the rest of the world that Nigeria now prioritises market-based adjustments, avoiding administrative controls, particularly in foreign exchange and petroleum pricing mechanisms.

His assertion follows the disclosure by the IMF that a possible $50 billion support to cushion vulnerable economies against the crisis in the Middle East, was on the pipeline.

Despite clarifying Nigeria’s lack of interest in borrowing, Edun, urged the IMF to ensure faster financial assistance for African countries who will need help from the $50 billion global support package.

“Nigeria has no plans at the moment to approach the IMF or any other such body,” Edun said, emphasising that Nigeria’s reliance on market mechanisms had led to smoother economic adjustments, reduced disruptions and is sustaining the country’s macroeconomic trajectory.

“The IMF talked about $50 billion and we all know that the funding will largely go to Africa, because those are the most vulnerable countries. And the reality is that what we’re asking for in this instance, is that the funds and the support be released quickly and at scale.

 


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