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Ungoverned AI is Quietly Scaling Risk in Nigeria – Dr. Naiho

Interview
How did your 26+ years across multiple sectors shape your position on AI Governance and Enterprise Risk Authority
My positioning was shaped by working in sectors where failure has immediate, visible consequences — telecommunications outages that disrupt national connectivity, banking system failures that freeze customer access to funds, construction and manufacturing breakdowns that compromise safety and delivery timelines, government systems that affect citizens’ rights, and healthcare platforms where errors can affect human life.

Across these sectors, I observed a consistent pattern: when systems fail, the public does not ask which technology failed — they ask who was responsible. That reality forced me to think beyond delivery and into governance, accountability, and decision ownership.
For instance, a nationwide network upgrade improves capacity but introduces intermittent service disruptions. Engineers troubleshoot, but regulators, customers, and the media want to know: Who approved the change? What safeguards were in place? Why was the impact not anticipated? That moment is not technical — it is governance. Over time, these experiences shaped a governance-first approach: technology must serve institutions, and institutions must remain accountable for outcomes.
What are the key roles AI play in reshaping organisational decisions?
AI is reshaping organisational decision-making not by replacing leadership, but by changing the quality, speed, and defensibility of decisions. In Nigeria’s operating environment—characterised by market volatility, infrastructure constraints, regulatory scrutiny, and fraud risk—AI plays five critical roles. Signal extraction from complexity.
Most organisations already have data; the problem is meaning, not volume. AI identifies patterns, correlations, and anomalies across transactions, networks, operations, and customer behaviour that humans cannot see at scale. Early warning and predictive insight AI shifts decision-making from reactive to anticipatory—forecasting failures, fraud surges, demand shocks, or operational stress before they crystallise into losses.
Decision consistency at scale, AI enables repeatable decision logic in high-volume environments (transactions, alerts, service incidents), reducing arbitrary or emotionally driven actions. Trade-off visibility good decisions are not about “best answers” but explicit trade-offs—speed vs control, growth vs risk, automation vs fairness. AI helps model options, but humans must decide which trade-off to accept.
Evidence creation for accountability as scrutiny increases, organisations must prove why a decision was taken. AI-assisted decisions require governance—clear records of data used, assumptions accepted, and human approval.
Let’s look at the critical roles AI plays in different sectors of our economic endeavours. In the telecom space AI analyses network telemetry and predicts congestion risk before public holidays; executives approve pre-emptive capacity reallocation, avoiding mass service complaints.
AI flags repeated micro-failures across base stations linked to power instability; maintenance is scheduled before a nationwide outage occurs.
In the Banking and Financial Services AI detects early fraud patterns across mobile transfers before losses spike; management escalates thresholds with documented approval AI identifies abnormal transaction velocity tied to mule accounts; human investigators intervene selectively, reducing false positives.
In manufacturing AI predicts bearing failure on critical equipment, preventing unplanned downtime that could halt production for days. AI spots rising defect patterns early in a batch process, allowing corrective action before large-scale scrap occurs.
In the Construction, AI detects schedule slippage patterns across subcontractors; project leadership intervenes before cost overruns compound.AI flags safety-risk indicators (weather, fatigue, workforce changes), prompting preventive safety controls.
In Healthcare AI predicts patient deterioration risks; clinicians intervene earlier, improving outcomes without surrendering clinical authority. AI highlights medication error risk patterns, triggering process reviews. In Government procurements, AI identifies procurement bid-rigging signals; officials initiate investigations with documented decision trails AI forecasts service delivery bottlenecks ahead of elections, allowing proactive planning.
How does AI Influence Governance, Especially at board level?
AI fundamentally alters governance because it introduces scalable decision influence. A single algorithmic change can affect millions of customers or citizens instantly. This elevates AI from an IT issue to a board-level governance issue.
Boards must govern AI across four dimensions: Accountability AI cannot be accountable. Boards must ensure named executives remain responsible for decisions influenced by AI. Auditability, boards must demand traceability: what data informed the recommendation, what assumptions were accepted, and who approved the final decision.
Risk oversight AI introduces new risks model drift, bias, cyber manipulation, data integrity failures. These are enterprise risks, not technical issues. Decision rights Boards must define thresholds—what AI can assist operationally, what requires executive sign-off, and what requires board visibility. Real-world governance lessons.
Globally, multiple public-sector AI systems have been suspended or challenged because automated decisions lacked transparency and human oversight. These cases demonstrate that ungoverned AI erodes trust faster than it creates efficiency.
For instance, in the telecoms sector the board requires executive sign-off for AI-recommended nationwide parameter changes.AI optimisation proposals are reviewed against customer-impact risk thresholds. In banking Board mandates that AI-flagged account freezes above a threshold require senior approval.AI credit decisions must produce explainable outputs for audit. Manufacturing the board oversees AI-driven quality controls affecting regulatory compliance. AI-recommended supplier changes are reviewed for ESG risk.
In Construction AI cost-forecasting models are governed under capital-approval frameworks. Safety-risk AI outputs trigger mandatory management escalation. In the Healthcare sector one of the most sensitive sector, globally its considered the wealth of every nation The board ensures AI diagnostic support tools are advisory only. Audit committees review AI-assisted clinical incidents. The government must take an AI welfare screening decisions that will have appeal mechanisms. Set up policy committees oversee to AI-based citizen risk scoring.
With the current high rate of financial crimes in Nigeria, how can AI help mitigate this trend?
Nigeria’s financial crime challenge is structural and systemic. Reports show fraud losses exceeding ₦13 billion annually, with cybercrime costing the economy hundreds of billions of naira over time. AI is essential—but only if governed properly.
How AI helps (when governed) Advanced pattern detection – AI identifies fraud patterns humans miss: mule networks, synthetic identities, insider-enabled schemes. Real-time intervention – Transactions are assessed in milliseconds, reducing loss windows. Alert prioritisation – AI reduces false positives, allowing teams to focus on high-risk cases.
Regulatory defensibility Documented AI-assisted decisions protect institutions during audits and investigations. One of the key factors is ignoring the key governance warning, many fraud losses occur not because AI failed—but because alerts were ignored, thresholds overridden, or accountability was unclear.
For instance, lets situate them sectorally: Banking, AI detects coordinated mule activity; bank escalates under a documented fraud-decision framework.
AI identifies abnormal FX transaction behaviour; senior risk officers approve intervention. Telecoms, AI flags SIM-swap patterns linked to fraud rings; telco collaborates with banks and law enforcement. AI predicts SMS-based phishing surges; preventative customer warnings are issued. E-commerce, AI detects account-takeover attempts during sales campaigns. AI blocks coordinated refund abuse with human review. In government AI flags revenue leakage patterns; audit teams investigate AI identifies abnormal benefit claims linked to organised fraud.
How can AI help in swift profiling of online transactions to stop fraudulent e-business activity?
AI enables real-time, risk-based decisioning, replacing static rules that criminals easily bypass. for instance core capabilities, behavioural profiling (how users act, not just who they claim to be) Device and network fingerprinting, transaction velocity analysis Fraud-ring detection via network analysis.
Critical governance point, automated blocking without explanation creates legal and reputational risk. AI must support escalation and review, not silent exclusion. In Banking and Fintech AI blocks suspicious transfers’ mid-flow pending review.AI scores merchant risk dynamically during on boarding. In retail and e-commerce ,AI detects bot-driven checkout abuse. AI flags chargeback-prone customers. In government portals, AI identifies abnormal tax filing behaviour.AI detects fake service-access patterns.
In the telecoms space, how can AI help troubleshoot network problems before they occur?
Telecom networks generate vast operational data. AI converts this into predictive resilience. key applications, predictive maintenance – Identifying equipment failure risks early. Anomaly detection – Spotting unusual traffic, latency, or signalling behaviour. Root-cause acceleration – Correlating faults across network layers. Customer-impact forecasting – Prioritising fixes based on service exposures.
Studies in network operations show predictive maintenance can reduce downtime by 30–50% and cut operational costs significantly. For instance, in Telecoms operation AI predicts power-related base-station failures ahead of storms.AI forecasts congestion from major events and recommends pre-emptive optimisation. Emergency services AI ensures network resilience for emergency communications.AI prioritises infrastructure protection during national events.
Why do AI and digital transformation failures in Nigeria usually reflect governance breakdowns rather than technology limitations?
Because Nigerian organisations operate in high-pressure environments — unstable infrastructure, evolving regulation, security risks, and intense competition — governance must be stronger, not weaker. Failures typically arise from: unclear accountability, weak oversight, no assurance testing, no escalation triggers, poor documentation.
For example, a digital identity or benefits platform automates approvals. Citizens are denied services without explanation. Public backlash follows. The issue is not software accuracy — it is the absence of: appeal mechanisms, accountable owners, audit trails, governance oversight. Technology executes decisions; governance determines whether those decisions are defensible.
What delivery mistakes do Nigerian executives repeatedly underestimate when deploying AI and digital systems?
Common mistakes across sectors include: Poor data governance, Over-reliance on vendors, Lack of operational readiness, No monitoring for drift, Weak cybersecurity integration. For instance a construction firm deploys digital project controls and automation. Data is inconsistent across sites, leading to wrong forecasts and delays. The issue isn’t the software — it’s lack of governance over data quality, accountability, and change control. Delivery succeeds only when governance supports execution.
What risks arise when AI systems are outsourced or imported into Nigeria?
These risks are imminent, because our Nigeria environmental and behavioural realities were not considered, these are the key risks, opaque decision logic, data sovereignty issues, cultural and contextual bias, delayed incident response, accountability gaps. For example, a fintech imports a foreign AI credit model. It performs poorly on local customer profiles, excluding legitimate borrowers. When challenged, the firm cannot explain decisions. Regulators hold the institution accountable — not the vendor. Because outsourcing does not outsource responsibility.
How will your doctoral research areas inform governance of real-time AI decisions?
My work emphasizes that systems operating in real time must be governed for: robustness under stress, adaptability without losing control, accountability for outcomes, auditability after the fact. For instance, in Healthcare and Banking sector. An AI blocks transactions or prioritises patients automatically. Governance must define: acceptable error thresholds, escalation rules, remediation timelines, evidence retention. This is how research becomes governance capability.
What must Nigerian boards and executives do now to ensure AI strengthens long-term value?
Three actions: Establish board-level AI governance. Integrate AI into enterprise risk management. Make defensibility a condition for scale. For example; let’s take Manufacturing versus Banking: Two firms deploy AI. One prioritises speed and cost only; it faces public backlash and regulatory scrutiny. The other builds governance, assurance, and accountability; it earns trust and long-term advantage. In Nigeria, sustainable value belongs to institutions that govern AI as a fiduciary responsibility, not as a technical project.
How will your multi-AI agent systems help act as a “Digital Sentry” against cyber telecom threats and attackers?
A modern telecom environment is one of the most attacked ecosystems in any country because it sits at the centre of identity, payments, communications, critical infrastructure, and national security. Attackers target telcos for mass data exposure, SIM-swap enablement, signalling abuse, DDoS, ransomware, supply-chain compromise, and insider misuse. The role of a multi-AI agent system is not to “chase criminals online,” but to operate as a continuous, coordinated defence layer that: Detects weak signals early (before incidents become outages or breaches, Correlates across silos (network + IT + apps + identity + fraud + SOC)Automates triage and containment (SOAR actions with human approval gates)Produces an audit-ready decision trail (defensible to regulators, auditors, and boards)Continuously learns (model drift monitoring + controlled updates)Why this is urgent (telecom threat reality)Industry reporting highlights that DDoS and ransomware remain among the most reported/high-impact forms of attack affecting telecom and critical infrastructure. GSMA+1 GSMA’s Mobile Telecommunications Security Landscape reports recurring telecom threats tracked across the sector and emphasises the industry’s need for stronger security posture and governance. GSMA+1 Telecom breaches and cyber incidents have continued to surface globally; in Africa, for example, major South African telecom incidents have involved alleged data exposure/leakage.
The Record from Recorded Future. What the multi-agent system actually does (in plain terms) Think of it as specialised AI agents working like a disciplined security team: Threat Signal Collector, Pulls signals from: SIEM logs, firewall/IDS, endpoint telecom network telemetry (RAN/core/performance)IAM events, privileged access fraud systems (SIM swap indicators, unusual KYC changes)OSINT/dark web mentions (brand/domain impersonation) Correlation & Pattern Agent, Links “small” indicators into one story: suspicious logins + config changes + abnormal traffic spikes, SIM swap activity + unusual mobile money transfers + device fingerprint mismatch repeated failed auth + new admin account + sudden outbound data flows and many more that will be too technical for our readers. But your system must operate under these rules: Purpose limitation: defend systems, not “hunt people.” Human accountability: high-impact actions require named approval. Auditability: every recommendation/action is logged with rationale. Privacy controls: minimisation, retention limits, role-based access. Model governance: drift monitoring, controlled updates, periodic review.
Practical KPIs for robust, adaptable and resilient AI system: Mean Time to Detect (MTTD), Mean Time to Respond (MTTR),% incidents auto-triaged vs escalated. False positive reduction rate Availability protected (minutes of downtime avoided) Fraud-loss reduction attributable to early containment Compliance readiness score (completeness of decision dossiers
Dr. Henry Naiho, a Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) in Data & Cybersecurity, Doctor of Business Administration (DBA) in Executive Leadership and global certified Artificial Intelligence Scientist is an authority in AI Governance and Enterprise Risk with over 26 years of executive and advisory experience spanning telecommunications, enterprise systems, cybersecurity, and large-scale digital transformation across Africa and global markets. He works with boards of directors, executive leadership, and regulators at moments when decisions carry strategic, regulatory, and reputational consequences, helping institutions govern AI and complex digital systems with clear accountability, and defensible oversight.
News
Trump Says He Made no Mistake Sharing Video Depicting Obamas as Apes

United States President Donald Trump has said he made no mistake for a video briefly shared on his official Truth Social account that depicted former President Barack Obama and former First Lady Michelle Obama as apes.

Former President Barack Obama
Speaking late Friday to reporters accompanying him aboard Air Force One, Trump insisted he made no mistake by sharing the video and does not need to apologise.
“I didn’t make a mistake,” he said.
Trump explained that he did not watch the entire clip before it was posted.
“I didn’t see the whole thing. I looked at the first part, and it was really about voter fraud in the machines, how crooked it is, how disgusting it is.
“Then I gave it to the people. Generally, they look at the whole thing. But I guess somebody didn’t,” he said.
When asked directly whether he condemned the video’s content, Trump replied, “Of course I do.”
The video, which was posted late Thursday, pushed a conspiracy theory about voting machines used during the 2020 election and included a racist depiction of the Obamas.
It remained on Trump’s Truth Social account for about 12 hours before being deleted on Friday morning, following widespread bipartisan calls for its removal.
The White House initially defended the post in an emailed statement to reporters on Friday morning by Karoline Leavitt, Press Secretary,.
She said, “This is from an internet meme video depicting President Trump as the King of the Jungle and Democrats as characters from The Lion King.”
Leavitt added, “Please stop the fake outrage and report on something today that actually matters to the American public.”
Hours after the statement was issued, the video was removed from Trump’s official Truth Social account.
News
Orya, Ex-NEXIM MD Jailed 490 Years for N2.4Bn Fraud

Robert Orya, former managing director, Nigerian Export-Import Bank, (NEXIM), has been sentenced to a cumulative 490 years’ imprisonment over a N2.4 billion fraud, following his conviction by a Federal Capital Territory (FCT) High Court in Abuja.

The conviction was secured by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC). Justice F. E. Messiri sentenced Orya to 10 years’ imprisonment on each of the 49 counts brought against him, with the sentences running cumulatively.
Orya, who headed NEXIM Bank between 2011 and 2016, was prosecuted by Samuel Ugwuegbulam, EFCC counsel.
The anti-graft agency accused him of fraudulently diverting funds belonging to the bank—charges the court held were proven beyond reasonable doubt.
Delivering judgment, Justice Messiri ruled that the prosecution successfully established its case, finding the former bank chief guilty on all 49 counts of fraud.
The conviction has been widely linked to the renewed momentum within the EFCC under Mr. Ola Olukoyede, its Chairman, whose leadership has seen a reinvigoration of the agency’s resolve to pursue high-profile corruption cases to their logical conclusion.
Since assuming office, Olukoyede has repeatedly vowed that no individual, regardless of status or past influence, would be shielded from accountability.
Under his stewardship, the EFCC has intensified the prosecution of complex financial crimes, particularly cases involving public institutions and large-scale diversion of funds.
Observers say the sentencing of a former chief executive of a government-owned bank underscores the EFCC’s determination to restore public confidence in the anti-corruption fight and sends a strong signal that financial misconduct will attract severe consequences.
The judgment is regarded as one of the most significant convictions secured against a former banking chief in recent years, reinforcing the agency’s resolve to clamp down on economic crimes within Nigeria’s financial sector.
During his tenure at NEXIM Bank, Orya was initially credited with efforts to reposition the institution to support non-oil exports and improve its financial standing after earlier setbacks.
However, his administration later became enmeshed in controversies, including allegations of loan disbursement irregularities and procedural abuses.
The case, which culminated in Thursday’s judgment, centred on findings that Orya diverted public funds estimated at N2.4 billion—offences that ultimately led to his conviction and lengthy prison sentence.
News
NRS Chairman Outlines Ways Nigeria can Move from Potential to Economic Prosperity

Zacch Adedeji, chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) has called for a paradigm shift in dependence on raw material exports to one that embrace ideas, innovation and the production of complex products as a pathway to sustainable economic growth and national prosperity.

Adedeji made the submission while delivering the maiden distinguished personality lecture of the Faculty of Administration, Obafemi Awolowo University (OAU), Ile-Ife, Osun State, on Thursday.
A statement by his Special Adviser on Media, Dare Adekanmbi, said Adedeji, in the lecture entitled, ‘From Potential to Prosperity: Export-led Economy’, stressed the need to rethink growth through the lens of complexity by not just producing more of the same stuff.
He lamented that Nigeria possesses a high-tech oil sector and low-productivity informal sector as well as lacking “the vibrant, labour-absorbing industrial base that serves as a bridge to higher complexity.”
The NRS boss stated that Nigeria witnessed stagnation in its exportation drive for three decades between 1998 to 2023, and only added six new products in its export basket list between 2008 and 2023.
“Because of our current position, the Harvard Atlas concluded that we are positioned to take advantage of very few opportunities to diversify using what we already know.”
Adedeji urged Nigeria to learn from the world by comparative study of success and failure like Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia, South Africa and Brazil.
“We are not just looking at numbers in a vacuum; we are looking at the strategic choices made by nations like Vietnam, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Brazil, and South Africa over the same twenty-five-year period. While there are many ways to under perform, the path to success is remarkably consistent: it is defined by a clear strategy to build economic complexity.
“When we put these stories together, the divergence is clear. Vietnam used global trade to build a resilient, complex economy, while the others remained dependent on natural resources or a single low-tech niche.
“There are three big lessons here for us in Nigeria as we think about our roadmap. First, avoiding the resource curse is necessary, but it is not enough. You need a proactive strategy to build productive capabilities.
“Vietnam’s success came from integrating itself into Global Value Chains (GVCs). They positioned themselves as the assembly hub for the world’s electronics, importing high-tech parts and exporting finished products.
“This allowed them to “borrow” technology and management skills from abroad to build their own know-how.
“Nigeria, on the other hand, remains a supplier of raw materials to these chains, not an active participant within them. We must realise that productive capabilities are not permanent. The examples of South Africa and Brazil show us that you can actually lose your industrial edge if you are not careful. Over-reliance on the easy path of resource extraction creates economic and political incentives that crowd out the difficult, long-term work of building an industrial base.”
He added that for Nigeria, which is at an even earlier stage of development and even less diversified than these nations, the warning is stark.
“Relying solely on our natural endowments isn’t just a path to stagnation; it’s a path to regression. The global economy increasingly rewards knowledge and complexity, not just what you can dig out of the ground. If we want to move from potential to prosperity, we must stop being just a source of raw materials and start being a source of ideas, innovation, and complex products.
He added that President Bola Tinubu has already begun the difficult work of rebuilding the economy to ensure collective knowledge to innovate, produce and build a resilient economy.
“The journey from potential to prosperity is not a short one, but with the right map and the right resolve, it is a journey we can finally complete,’ he added.
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