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Visa-Commissioned Study Estimates Migration to ePayments Added $300Bn to GDP Across 70 Countries

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Visa Inc. on Thursday released the results of a new 2016 study conducted by Moody’s Analytics that analyzed the impact of electronic payments on economic growth across 70 countries between 2011 and 2015.

The Visa-commissioned study  found that increased use of electronic payment products, including credit, debit and prepaid cards, added US$296B to GDP, while raising household consumption of goods and services by an average of 0.18 percent per year.

In addition, Moody’s economists estimate that the equivalent to 2.6 million new jobs were created on average per year over the five year period as a result of increased use of electronic payments.

The 70 countries in the study make up almost 95 percent of global GDP. 

“Electronic payments are a major contributor to consumption, increased production, economic growth and employment creation,” noted Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics. “Those countries which saw large increases in card usage also saw larger contributions to overall growth in their economies.”

Findings from the study were shared in the report “The Impact of Electronic Payments on Economic Growth” which also indicated that the electronification of payments benefited governments and contributed to a more stable and open business environment.

Additionally electronic payments helped to minimize what is commonly referred to as the grey economy — economic activity that is often cash-based and goes unreported. 

As a result, electronic payments provided a higher potential tax revenue base for governments, while also bringing the added benefits of lower cash handling costs, guaranteed payment to merchants and greater financial inclusion for consumers.

”These findings reinforce the many positive benefits that electronic payments bring to local economies all over the world,” said Charlie W. Scharf, Chief Executive Officer, Visa Inc. “This research also suggests that the right public policies can create an open, competitive payment environment, and contribute to economic growth and job creation. At Visa we are partnering globally with governments, financial institutions, merchants and technology companies to develop innovative payment products and services that will accelerate electronic acceptance, grow commerce, and bring the benefits of card payments to more people everywhere.”

Highlights of the global study include:
Growth Opportunities:
Card Penetration: Real consumption grew at an average of 2.3 percent from 2011 to 2015, of which 0.01 percent is attributable to increased card penetration.

This implies that card usage accounted for about 0.4% of growth in consumption.

Since consumption growth is, on average, faster in emerging economies, those countries also have more to gain by increasing card usage.

‎Card Usage: Countries with the largest increases in card usage experienced the biggest contributions in growth.  For example, big increases in GDP were recorded in Hungary (0.25%), the United Arab Emirates (0.23%), Chile (0.23%), Ireland (0.2%), Poland (0.19%) and Australia (0.19%).

In most countries, card usage increased regardless of economic performance.

Contribution to Employment:
Increased card usage added the equivalent to almost 2.6 million jobs on average per year across the 70 countries sampled between 2011 and 2015.

Notably, the two countries with the greatest average job increases were China (427,000 jobs added) and India (336,000 jobs added), which both had large gains in employment because of the combination of fast growing labor productivity and increased card usage.

Emerging Markets and Developed Countries:
Both emerging markets and developed countries experienced gains in consumption due to higher card usage.

Increased card usage added 0.2 percent to consumption in emerging markets, compared with 0.14 percent in developed countries between 2011 and 2015.

The corresponding figures for GDP were 0.11 percent for emerging economies and 0.08 percent for developed countries, and suggests that all markets, regardless of current card penetration rates, can benefit from increases in consumption due to increases in card usage.
 
Potential Future Growth: 
Across the 70 countries in the study, Moody’s found that each 1% increase in usage of electronic payments could produce, on average, an annual increase of approximately $104 billion in the consumption of goods and services.

Assuming all future factors remain the same, this could result in an annual average increase of 0.04% to a countries GDP attributable to card usage.

The study highlights that expanding electronic payments alone will not necessarily increase a country’s prosperity — it requires the support of a well-developed financial system and healthy economy to have the greatest impact.

The report recommends at a macro-level, to encourage the further electronification of payments, countries must promote policies that minimize unneeded regulation, create a robust financial infrastructure, and lead to greater consumption.

Regional highlights include:
Contribution to GDP
African countries experienced, on average a 0.05% increase in GDP due to increased card penetration.

Many African countries are in the early stages of developing their financial systems with appropriate infrastructure to support electronic payments.

In the coming years, the increase in the use of mobile phone technologies to make payments is expected to increase electronic payments penetration.

Increased electronic payment usage added US$640,000,000 to Nigeria’s GDP from 2011 to 2015.

Contribution to Jobs
African countries had the second lowest average number of jobs added per year from increased card usage (8,000), which is not surprising given the region’s low usage rates and developing financial infrastructure to facilitate electronic payments.

Increased electronic payment usage created the equivalent to an average of 16,880 jobs in Nigeria per year between 2011 and 2015.


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Nigeria CommunicationsWeek believes that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. So since 2007, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and how they affect lives.

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E-Financial

FCCPC Dismisses Report Claiming Approval of 48 New Loan Apps

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Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) has dismissed as false a report claiming it approved 48 additional digital loan applications, raising the number of licensed digital lenders in Nigeria to 505.

FCCPC Dismisses Report Claiming Approval of 48 New Loan Apps

 

In a statement posted on its official X handle on Sunday, the commission described the publication, titled “FCCPC Approves 48 More Loan Apps, Raises Licensed Digital Lenders in Nigeria to 505,” as “false, misleading and” not reflective of its actions.

The commission said it had not granted any new approvals or licences for digital lenders, stressing that it was complying with an ex parte order of the Federal High Court restraining the implementation of the Digital, Electronic, Online and Non-Traditional Consumer Lending Regulations, 2025, pending further proceedings.

The statement read, “The attention of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission has been drawn to a publication titled ‘FCCPC Approves 48 More Loan Apps, Raises Licensed Digital Lenders in Nigeria to 505.’ The publication is false, misleading and does not represent the position or actions of the Commission.

“The FCCPC is a law-abiding institution and is fully complying with the ex parte Order of the Federal High Court restraining the implementation of the Digital, Electronic, Online and Non-Traditional Consumer Lending Regulations, 2025 pending further proceedings.

“Consequently, the Commission has not granted any new approvals or licences pursuant to those Regulations. Any publication suggesting that the Commission recently approved additional digital lenders under the Regulations is entirely false.”

The commission urged members of the public, industry stakeholders and media organisations to disregard the publication and rely only on information released through its official communication channels.

It reiterated its commitment to complying with court orders and providing accurate information on its regulatory activities.

 


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PalmPay Calls for Trust, Infrastructure and Responsible AI to Drive Payment Ecosystem Innovation

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Industry leaders, regulators, and payment experts have called for stronger infrastructure, responsible artificial intelligence (AI) adoption, and deeper cross-sector collaboration to unlock the next phase of growth in Nigeria’s digital payments ecosystem.

The stakeholders made the call during the 2026 Digital Pay Expo held in Lagos on June 17 and 18, 2026. This year’s event focused heavily on the transformative role of AI, cybersecurity, cross-border transactions, and deepening financial inclusion across Africa.

Speaking at the event, Dr. Rekiya Yusuf, Director of the Payment System Supervision Department at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), represented by Chika Ugwueze, Deputy Director, stated that Nigeria’s payment ecosystem is rapidly evolving beyond digital adoption into deeper digital transformation.

According to Yusuf, artificial intelligence is emerging as a critical driver of this shift, particularly in real-time fraud detection and expanding access to underserved populations. “The goal is to make financial transactions seamless. AI is now driving innovation, helping in real-time fraud detection and helping to expand access,” she said.

She noted, however, that important gaps remain, particularly around infrastructure and inclusion. Building a resilient digital market system in the AI era requires reliable connectivity, robust infrastructure, intentional talent development, and sustained capacity building.

Echoing the regulator’s call for robust ecosystem support, Chika Nwosu, Managing Director of PalmPay Nigeria, said trust, access, and practical financial support remain critical to helping small businesses participate more meaningfully in the formal economy.

He noted that while micro, small, and medium enterprises (SMEs) contribute an impressive 40 per cent to Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), limited access to credit and reliable payment infrastructure continues to slow their ability to grow and scale.

To drive true innovation, Nwosu argued that financial inclusion must move beyond simply opening accounts and enabling basic transactions; it requires building a foundation of trust and tangible economic empowerment.

“SMEs contribute 40 per cent of the country’s GDP. For us at PalmPay, we don’t just provide payment solutions to them, we also support them with financial tools they need to expand and create jobs,” he said. .

Nwosu further emphasised the importance of digital literacy, noting that stronger understanding of digital tools and AI-enabled systems will be essential to buildling long-term trust and participation across the ecosystem.

The discussions at Digital Pay Expo 2026 reflected a growing consensus across the industry: the future of African digital payments will depend on getting the fundamentals right. That means stronger infrastructure, responsible use of AI, better cybersecurity, and closer collaboration between regulators, fintechs, and other ecosystem players.

For PalmPay, the event reinforced the importance of building a payments ecosystem that is more resilient, more secure, and better equipped to support inclusion and growth at scale.


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ngCERT Raises Alarm over Surge in Banks’ ATM Cyberattacks

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Nigeria’s Computer Emergency Response Team (NgCERT) has urged financial institutions to reinforce their cybersecurity systems following a surge in automated teller machine (ATM)-related attacks targeting banks across Africa.

In a cybersecurity advisory issued on June 25, the agency classified the threat as “high risk,” warning that the attacks could inflict significant financial losses, disrupt banking operations and damage public confidence if not promptly addressed.

NgCERT, the federal agency responsible for coordinating responses to cyber threats in Nigeria under the Office of the National Security Adviser (ONSA), said the warning was prompted by a recent cyberattack on United Bank for Africa (UBA) in Senegal.

According to the advisory, cybercriminals successfully compromised the bank’s card authorization infrastructure, enabling them to manipulate transaction controls and carry out 3,421 ATM withdrawals that resulted in losses exceeding $2 million.

The agency said the attack demonstrated a sophisticated methodology that poses a serious threat to financial institutions operating similar ATM and payment card systems across Africa.

“This methodology poses a significant threat to financial institutions operating similar ATM and card systems across the region,” the advisory stated.

NgCERT explained that investigations into recent incidents indicate that attackers typically gain initial access to bank networks through phishing campaigns, vulnerabilities within third-party supply chains or insider assistance.

Once inside the network, the attackers conduct extensive reconnaissance to identify critical systems responsible for ATM transaction processing, card management and transaction authorisation.

The agency said the threat actors then deploy malware, escalate their system privileges and manipulate key security controls, including ATM withdrawal limits, transaction velocity restrictions, fraud monitoring thresholds and payment card parameters.

It added that the attackers are also capable of creating new payment card records or altering existing ones, enabling coordinated cash-out operations involving multiple operatives simultaneously withdrawing large amounts of cash from ATMs across different locations.

NgCERT warned that successful exploitation of these vulnerabilities could result in massive financial losses through the rapid depletion of ATM cash reserves, compromise of core banking infrastructure and manipulation of customer accounts.

Beyond direct financial losses, the agency said such attacks could trigger regulatory sanctions, reputational damage, service disruptions and broader network compromise that may lead to sensitive data breaches.

To mitigate the threat, ngCERT advised banks to strengthen privileged access management and enforce multi-factor authentication for all administrative accounts.

The agency also urged financial institutions to immediately harden their ATM infrastructure by disabling unnecessary remote access, applying the latest firmware updates and reviewing all third-party remote access channels and vendor accounts.

Other recommendations include implementing strict network segmentation, enhancing real-time transaction monitoring, conducting continuous threat-hunting activities, carrying out regular penetration testing and red-team exercises, and strengthening employee awareness of phishing attacks and insider threats.

NgCERT further called on banks to regularly test and update their incident response plans to ensure they are equipped to respond effectively to sophisticated ATM cash-out attacks as cyber threats continue to evolve.


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