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The Missed Opportunities of the Nigerian Election 2023: A Metaphorical Analysis

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By Austin Okere

Following the turbulence of #NigeriaDecides2023, and with a calmer state of mind after the emotionally charged aftermath of the election, now may be an appropriate time to reflect and evaluate.

The opinions expressed here are solely my own and do not represent any institution to which I have direct or indirect ties. Given the highly charged and divisive nature of the overall discourse, it is essential to provide an impartial context.

I feel it’s relevant to disclose that I have a mixed heritage, being part Igbo, part Yoruba, and part Ghanaian. My paternal grandfather hails from Owerri in Imo State, while my paternal grandmother is from Offa in Kwara State, and my mother is Ghanaian. With that said, we can now delve into a metaphorical analysis of the missed opportunities presented by this significant election.

I believe that the history of a nation with enormous potential but lacking significant achievement is riddled with missed opportunities. Nigeria, a country that has been blessed by nature with abundant resources, including human, material, and commodities, has had tremendous opportunities to excel on the global stage.

One of the most conspicuous examples of wasted opportunities is in the Oil and Gas industry. Despite being Africa’s largest oil producer for decades, Nigeria’s output has been hindered by theft and sabotage in recent years. As a result, according to OPEC reports, the country has fallen to the fourth-largest oil producer in Africa.

Our persistent mistake is the failure to utilize the opportunities presented by oil windfalls to propel Nigeria forward as a nation, similar to contemporary countries like Saudi Arabia and Qatar. Since joining the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in 1971, Nigeria has had numerous boom opportunities.

For instance, oil prices increased by 400% in just six months following the Yom Kippur War, triggered by the Arab Oil Embargo. In 1981, the price of crude oil doubled from $14 to $35 per barrel after the Iran/Iraq war. Additionally, the uncertainties associated with the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and the ensuing Gulf War in 1990 led to a spike in crude oil prices, known as the ‘Gulf War windfall’ during the reign of Head of State Ibrahim Babangida.

The most recent windfall occurred in 2022 due to the Russia-Ukraine war, with the five largest Oil and Gas companies in the West earning over $134b in excess profits, according to Global Witness.

However, this event barely caused a ripple on Nigeria’s economic landscape, as life in the country has become increasingly challenging, leading to an acute brain drain referred to as “JAPA” – the local term for emigration. This stands in stark contrast to Nigeria’s peak economic growth in 2014, when the country had a GDP of $569b, making it the largest economy in Africa. South Africa, with a GDP of $381b, was a distant second.

On a positive note, Nigeria has made major strides in the past two decades, particularly in the technology sector. The most successful GSM auction, led by Dr. Ernest Ndukwe, who was then the Executive Vice Chairman of the Nigerian Communications Commission, set the foundation for the dynamic and innovative growth of the telecoms and Fintech industries.

This has led to the emergence of unicorns and aspiring unicorns like MTN Nigeria, Airtel, Paystack, Interswitch, Flutterwave, and FifthLab by CWG Plc.

Another sector that has been greatly exploited is the creative industry, where Nigerian artists are considered one of the most remarkable inventions since sliced bread. Tems, 2Face, Burna Boy, Wizkid, Kunle Afolayan, and Stan Nze, among others, have not only won international awards but also regularly fill concert halls and stadiums worldwide.

Looking at the other side of the ledger we must examine the rued opportunities and see what we can learn from them. The most recent significant opportunities include, the eNaira (a bold attempt at digitizing the currency), the Naira redesign policy which according to the Central Bank of Nigeria, will enable her to take control of the naira in circulation, manage inflation, combat counterfeiting and ransom payment. Noble as these initiatives were, sloppy implementations have robbed us of the momentum trust into a new and better life.

The mother of all lost opportunities is the Nigerian election 2023. Here was an opportunity to outdo ourselves against the June 12, 1992 election, which has generally been adjudged as the most free, fair and credible election in the land.

A lot of work had gone into bringing this aspiration into reality; a key electoral act had been passed that ensured that election process would eliminate unnecessary manual steps that provide room for manipulation thereby aiding a free, fair and credible election process.

The Independent Electoral Commission had gone to great lengths to revamp the technology base for the election; the INEC Voter Enrollment Device (IVED), the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System (BVAS) to help reduce the cases of manual manipulation of figures, and the INEC Election Result Viewing Portal (IREV) that will enable seamless transmission and display of election results in almost real time, so that results could be verified with what was declared and signed onto by all representatives at the polling units. The system had been successfully tested in the 2022 governorship elections in three states in the South West and South Eastern Regions.

INEC had a budget of N40b annually but was able to secure an additional N305b to conduct the 2023 elections. Despite the significant amount of money allocated and spent on the process, Nigerians saw it as a valuable investment in ending electoral manipulation and allowing the electorate to choose their leaders. This led to increased youth engagement, with many advocating for voter registration and participation. However, on election day, there were significant issues with the use of BVAS and the promised IREV portal was not utilized, leading to the announcement of results that many believed did not reflect the votes cast. This broke the trust that is necessary for an electoral process to be successful. Elder statesmen, including former President Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, called for the cancellation of elections in areas where BVAS was not used. This was a missed opportunity to take a significant step forward for Nigeria’s future and will be remembered as the most controversial election in the country’s history. Electoral hopes were supremely raised and woefully dashed. It is important to understand what went wrong and why, in order to prevent future failures.

Failure is not something to be proud of, but in Nigeria, it seems to be the norm. The INEC has stubbornly refused to offer any apologies or explanations to those who are dissatisfied with the election results, instead directing them to seek redress in court. While going to court may expose the flaws in the process and ultimately strengthen it, it is only a part of the healing and improvement process.

This election had the potential to be a turning point for Nigeria, and the country could have been celebrated as a trailblazer for modern elections in Africa, which could have put an end to the endless conflicts and losses that come with electoral disputes. However, it seems that we are choosing to ignore the truth while at the same time hoping for a just and peaceful outcome. It feels like we are in a bus careening towards a ditch.

In my opinion, any action we take now will be too little, too late. Even if INEC ultimately declares either Peter Obi of the Labour Party or Abubakar Atiku of the Peoples Democratic Party the winner following court proceedings, the process has already been tainted, and trust has already been lost. Whoever takes office on May 29th, 2023, will lack popular legitimacy, a burden they will carry throughout their tenure.

But we are Nigerians, a people of unparalleled resilience. We will keep pushing forward and try again in four years. May God save our country.

Austin Okere is a thought leader, and business mentor. Currently an Entrepreneur-in-Residence at Columbia Business School, New York, Austin has also facilitated at the United States International University in Kenya and has been appointed to the Advisory Board of the Global Business School Network in Washington in recognition of his contribution to the development of business education and knowledge transfer in Africa.


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NCC to Curb SIM Fraud, Strengthen Digital Security with New Platform

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Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) has unveiled plans to introduce a Telecoms Identity Risk Management System (TIRMS) platform to tackle SIM-related fraud, strengthen digital security and boost confidence in Nigeria’s digital economy.

NCC to Curb SIM Fraud, Strengthen Digital Security with New Platform

Aminu Maida, executive vice chairman of the commission, disclosed this on Thursday in Abuja at a stakeholders’ consultative forum on the proposed platform and planned regulatory changes.

Maida, represented by Rimini Makama, executive commissioner, Stakeholder Management, said the Mobile Station International Subscriber Directory Number (MSISDN), commonly known as SIM or mobile phone number, had become central to financial transactions, digital identity and access to services, but warned that its widespread use had also created vulnerabilities.

He noted that fraudulent activities linked to recycled, swapped, churned and barred SIMs had emerged as a major channel for identity theft and financial crimes, weakening trust in digital platforms.

He said, “The Mobile Station International Subscriber Directory Number commonly known as the SIM or mobile phone number has evolved into a critical identifier underpinning financial transactions, digital authentication, and access to essential services across all sectors of our economy.

“This evolution, however, has created new and challenging vulnerabilities. The fraudulent use of churned, recycled, swapped, and barred MISISDN’s has become a significant vector for financial fraud and identity theft, eroding public trust in our digital platforms and undermining the identity of systems we have worked hard to build.

“It is in direct response to these challenges that the Commission has initiated the Telecoms Identity Risk Management System Platform.”

According to him, the platform will enable service providers to verify mobile numbers flagged for suspicious or fraudulent activities before granting access, a move expected to reduce exposure to fraud and improve accountability.

He added that the system would enhance coordination among regulators, financial institutions and security agencies to build a more resilient digital ecosystem.

To support the rollout, the commission has proposed amendments to its Quality of Service Business Rules and the Registration of Communications Subscribers framework.

The proposed changes will require telecom operators to notify subscribers at least 14 days before recycling their lines and to upload details of churned numbers to the platform within seven days.

The amendments also introduce stricter provisions for blocking fraudulently registered or misused SIMs, aimed at improving transparency and protecting consumers.

Maida said the initiative reflects the commission’s commitment to collaboration and a whole-of-government approach to addressing digital risks, urging stakeholders to actively contribute to shaping the framework.

Also speaking, Olatokunbo Oyeleye, director of Cybersecurity and Internet Governance at the commission, emphasised the importance of trust in the digital economy.

“As rightly noted, digital trust is the operating licence of modern economy. Without it, nothing scales and with it everything accelerates. For our sector, this trust must be embedded across the entire value chain,” she said.

It was reported earlier that the NCC proposed that telecom operators must give subscribers a minimum of 14 days’ notice before deactivating their SIM cards over inactivity or post-paid churn.

The proposal was contained in a consultation paper titled Stakeholders Consultation Process for the Telecoms Identity Risks Management Platform, dated February 2026 and published on the Commission’s website.

Under the proposed amendments to the Quality-of-Service Business Rules, the NCC stated that “prior to churning of a post-paid line, the Operator shall send a notification to the affected subscriber through an alternative line or an email on the pending churning of his line.”

It added, “This notification shall be sent at least 14 days before the final date for the churn of the number.”

A similar provision was proposed for prepaid subscribers. The commission said, “prior to churning of a pre-paid line, the Operator shall send a notification to the affected subscriber through an alternative line or an email on the pending churning of his line,” stressing again that the notice “shall be sent at least 14 days before the final date for the churn of the number.”


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Kidnappers Now Use Banks to Collect Ransoms — Expert

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Dr. Kabir Adamu, a security expert, has raised concern that kidnappers in Nigeria are now using banks to collect ransom payments.

Kidnappers Now Use Banks to Collect Ransoms — Expert

Pix… CNBC

Adamu explained that in the past, kidnappers typically demanded cash payments for ransom.

However, there has been a noticeable shift to using mainstream banks for transactions.

Speaking on Arise News, Adamu, who is the CEO of Beacon Security and Intelligence Ltd, said this trend is worrying. In the past, kidnappers usually demanded cash, but now they are asking victims’ families to pay money through bank accounts.

He revealed that his team has tracked cases where ransom money was paid into bank accounts and successfully withdrawn.

Although he did not mention the banks involved, he said some progress is being made to address the issue.

Adamu explained that criminals previously used fintech platforms, but have now moved to traditional banks. This shift raises serious concerns about how well banks are monitoring transactions and following regulations.

He said Nigeria has improved its financial intelligence systems, especially after being removed from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) gray list.

However, he noted that there are still weaknesses in how rules are enforced.

According to him, “A lot has been done in terms of policy, but there are still major gaps in operations and compliance.”

“We’ve monitored kidnapping for ransom cases where the ransom is being collected by formal banks,” Adamu said.

“My team and I were shocked when the ransom demand was made in a formal bank. It was paid and collected. I don’t want to mention the names of the two banks that were extremely guilty, but even for those two, progress is being made,” he said.

The security expert noted that although fintech platforms had previously been linked to ransom payments, criminals have now shifted their operations to traditional banking channels, raising significant concerns about compliance and oversight in the banking industry.

Adamu emphasized that this shift in tactics underscores the urgent need for stronger accountability measures and compliance standards within Nigeria’s financial institutions.

He also pointed out the challenges faced by regulatory bodies in fully addressing the issue, despite recent advancements in financial intelligence efforts.

“From the point of view of policy, a lot has been done, but from the point of view of operations, there is still a lot that remains to be done,” Adamu stated.

According to a report by SBM Intelligence, Nigeria’s kidnap-for-ransom crisis generated at least N2.57 billion for criminal groups between July 2024 and June 2025.

The report, titled “The Year Ahead at an Inflexion Point,” highlighted that despite kidnappers’ demands totaling N48 billion during the year, they only received N2.57 billion in actual payments.

 


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Stakeholders at Crisis Management Flagship Conference 2026 Call for AI-Driven Preparedness, National Coordination

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CMC Connect LLP (Perception Consulting) convened the Crisis Management Advocacy Month Flagship Conference 2026 in Lagos, spotlighting the urgent need for artificial intelligence-driven strategies and more coordinated systems to address today’s rapidly evolving crisis landscape.

The conference, held at the Metropolitan Club, Lagos, brought together key stakeholders from government, industry, and the communications ecosystem under the theme, “Crisis Management in the AI Milieu: Fresh Threats, Smarter Responses.” Discussions throughout the event reinforced the need to shift from reactive crisis management to a more proactive, intelligence-led approach to preparedness.

In his welcome address, Yomi Badejo-Okusanya, Lead Partner at CMC Connect LLP, called for a fundamental repositioning of crisis management within organisational leadership. He noted that crisis management must move from the background to the centre of leadership, stressing the importance of anticipation, preparation, and decisive leadership in navigating crises. He described the conference as part of a broader movement aimed at redefining preparedness in an increasingly volatile environment.

Badejo-Okusanya also announced the launch of Crisis-X, an AI-driven crisis management platform developed by CMC Connect LLP, describing it as “built for speed, intelligence, and the demands of the current moment.”

“In the age of AI, a stitch in time doesn’t just save nine, it preserves reputation, leadership, and the trust that underpins both,” he added.

Delivering the keynote address, Bosun Tijani, Honourable Minister of Communications, Innovation and Digital Economy, highlighted the growing importance of data, technology, and coordinated systems in managing modern crises.

He emphasised the need for a forward-looking approach, stating that while crises are inevitable, responses can be shaped through preparedness. “With the right data and systems, organisations can move from reacting to crises to anticipating risks and managing them in real time,” he said.

A key highlight of the conference was the unveiling of the CMC Connect Crisis-X Intelligence Engine, an AI-powered platform designed to enhance how organisations detect, analyse, and respond to crises. The solution integrates real-time monitoring, sentiment analysis, strategic response planning, and recovery mechanisms. It also incorporates emotional intelligence capabilities to help organisations better interpret and respond to public sentiment during critical situations.

In addition, a Public Verification Portal was introduced to help combat misinformation by enabling organisations to validate and disseminate accurate information in real time, thereby safeguarding credibility and strengthening public trust.

Discussions at the conference reflected a shared concern about the speed and complexity of modern crises, particularly in an era shaped by digital platforms and artificial intelligence. Speakers noted that misinformation now spreads faster than institutional responses, placing credibility and trust at the centre of effective crisis management.

As one of the key observations from the sessions highlighted, “today, crises are faster than facts, louder than truth, and increasingly engineered,” reinforcing the urgency for organisations to adopt faster, more coordinated, and intelligence-driven responses.

As the conference drew to a close, participants collectively underscored the importance of embedding preparedness as a strategic priority. There was a shared commitment to leveraging innovation, collaboration, and responsible use of technology to navigate an increasingly complex risk environment.

In his goodwill message, Olalekan Fadolapo, Director General and Chief Executive Officer of the Advertising Regulatory Council of Nigeria, who represented the Honourable Minister of Information and National Orientation, Mohammed Idris Malagi, commended the Board and Management of CMC Connect LLP for its forward-thinking approach to crisis management.

He raised concerns about the growing misuse of artificial intelligence by unregulated content creators to spread misinformation and amplify negative narratives, urging stakeholders to deploy AI more responsibly in support of national development.

Dignitaries at the event also included Femi Olubanwo, Immediate Past President of Igbobi College Old Boys Association and Partner at Banwo & Ighodalo; Kunle Elebute, Immediate Past Chairman of KPMG Africa and current Chairman of CMC Connect LLP; and Bolajoko Bayo-Ajayi, the first female President and Chairman of Council of the Nigerian Institute of Marketing, among other distinguished guests.

The Crisis Management Advocacy Month Flagship Conference ultimately reinforced a central message, while crises are inevitable, organisations that invest in anticipation, intelligence, and coordinated response will be better positioned to protect trust and emerge stronger.


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