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The Economist, UK Newspaper Calls Jonathan “an Ineffectual Buffoon”

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The Economist, an English-language weekly newspaper owned by the Economist Group, has described Nigeria’s former president Goodluck Jonathan “an ineffectual buffoon”.

In an article titled “Nigeria’s economy Crude tactics”, the newspaper said: Buhari’s government has cracked down on corruption, which had flourished under the previous president, Goodluck Jonathan, an ineffectual buffoon who let politicians and their cronies fill their pockets with impunity.”

Below is the full article:

“MORE than 30 years ago, a young general swept to power in the fifth of Nigeria’s military coups since independence in 1960. The country he inherited was a mess: bled dry by pilfering politicians within and hammered by falling oil prices without. Last year that general, Muhammadu Buhari, became president again—this time in a democratic vote. The problems he has inherited are almost identical. So are many of his responses.

In the eight months since Mr Buhari arrived at Aso Rock, the presidential digs, the homicidal jihadists of Boko Haram have been pushed back into the bush along Nigeria’s borders. The government has cracked down on corruption, which had flourished under the previous president, Goodluck Jonathan, an ineffectual buffoon who let politicians and their cronies fill their pockets with impunity. Lai Mohammed, a minister, reckons that just 55 people stole $6.8 billion from the public purse over seven recent years.

Mr Buhari, who—unusually among Nigeria’s political grandees—is said to have just $150,000 and a couple of hundred cattle to his name, abhors such excess. As military ruler he jailed, fired or forced into retirement thousands of bureaucrats whose fingers had been in the till.

This time, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has arrested dozens of bigwigs, including a former national security chief accused of diverting $2.2 billion.

The EFCC has a poor record of securing convictions; but a single treasury account has been introduced to try to stop civil servants siphoning off cash.

And agencies which may not be remitting their fair share to the state are having their books trawled by Kemi Adeosun, the finance minister.

Such measures are doubly important because the economy is swooning along with the oil price. The sticky stuff directly accounts for only 10% of GDP, but for 70% of government revenue and almost all of Nigeria’s foreign earnings.

Oil’s price has fallen by half, to $32 a barrel, in the months since the new government came to power, sending its revenues plummeting.

Income for the third quarter of 2015 was almost 30% lower than for the same period the year before, and foreign reserves have dwindled by $9 billion in 18 months.

Ordinarily there would be buffers to cushion against such shocks, but Mr Jonathan’s cronies have largely squandered them. Growth was about 3% in 2015, almost half the rate of the year before and barely enough to keep pace with the population. The stockmarket is down by half from its peak in 2014.

Domestic oil producers are feeling the pinch worst. Many borrowed heavily to buy oilfields when crude was worth more than $100 a barrel, and are now struggling to pay the interest on loans, says Kola Karim, the founder of Shoreline Group, a Nigerian conglomerate.

This, in turn, threatens to create a banking crisis. About 20% of Nigerian banks’ loans were made to oil and gas producers (along with another 4% to underperforming power companies).

Capital cushions are plumper than they were during an earlier banking crisis in 2009; but, even so, bad debts are mounting and banks that are exposed to oil producers may find themselves in trouble. “It wouldn’t surprise me if one or two went down,” says a senior banker in Nigeria.

The government’s response to the crisis has been three-pronged. First, it is trying to stimulate the economy with a mildly expansionary budget.

At the same time, it is trying to protect its dwindling hard-currency reserves by blocking imports. Third, it is trying to suppress inflation by keeping the currency, the naira, pegged at 197-199 to the dollar. Only the first of these policies seems likely to work.

The budget, which includes a plan to spend more on badly needed infrastructure, is a step in the right direction. Although government revenues are under pressure from the falling oil price, Mr Buhari hopes to offset that by plugging “leakages” (a polite term for theft) and taxing people and businesses more. That seems reasonable. At 7%, Nigeria’s tax-to-GDP ratio is pitifully low. Every percentage point increase could yield $5 billion of extra cash for the coffers, reckons Kayode Akindele of TIA Capital, an investment firm. Mr Buhari also plans to save some $5 billion-$7 billion a year by ending fuel subsidies—a crucial reform, if he sticks with it. Even so he will be left with a deficit of $15 billion (3% of GDP) that will have to be filled by domestic and foreign borrowing.

Yet his policies on the currency seem likely to stymie that. The central bank has frozen the naira at its current overvalued official rate for almost a year.

The various import bans (on everything from soap to ballpoint pens) are supposed to reduce demand for dollars, but have little effect.

Businesses that have to import essential supplies to keep their factories running complain that they have been forced into the black market, where the naira currently trades at 300 or more to the dollar.

Several local manufacturers have suspended operations. International investors, knowing that the value of their assets could tumble, have slammed on the brakes and some have pulled money out of the country just as their dollars are most needed (see chart).

Nigeria is fortunate in having low levels of public debt (less than 20% of GDP), but it is not helped by high interest rates, which mean that 35% of government revenue goes straight out of the door again to service its borrowings. It would not take much to push it into a debt crisis.

Frustratingly, this crunch is one that Nigeria has been through before—under the then youthful Mr Buhari. Then, as now, he refused to let the market set the value of the currency. Instead he shut out imports, causing the legal import trade to fall by almost 50% and killing much of Nigeria’s nascent industry in the process. Between 1980 and 1990, carmaking fell by almost 90%. Today, as in the 1980s, the president is making a bad situation worse.”


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EFCC to Arraign Emefiele for Allegedly Printing N684.5m Notes with N18.96Bn Wednesday

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Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) will arraign Godwin Emefiele, former governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Wednesday for allegedly approving the printing of N684.5m at the rate of N18.96bn.

EFCC to Arraign Emefiele for Allegedly Printing N684.5m Notes with N18.96Bn Wednesday

The arraignment was originally scheduled for April 30, 2024, but was rescheduled following the agreement of the court and the parties.

In the four-count charge filed against him, the EFCC alleged that Emefiele disobeyed the direction of law with intent to cause injury to the public during his implementation of the naira swap policy of the administration of former President Muhammadu Buhari.

The anti-graft agency also accused Emefiele of unlawfully approving the withdrawal of N124.8 billion from the Consolidated Revenue Fund of the Federation.

The former CBN governor will be arraigned on these counts before Justice Maryann Anenih of the FCT High Court, Abuja.

This arraignment will bring to three the number of charges pending against the former CBN governor.

On Nov. 17, 2023, Emefiele was arraigned before Justice Hamza Muazu on a six-count charge of procurement fraud to which he pleaded not guilty.

He was also accused of abusing his office by approving a contract for the acquisition of 43 vehicles totalling N1.2 billion from 2018 to 2020.

On April 8, 2024, the EFCC also arraigned the former banker alongside one Henry Omoile before Justice Rahman Oshodi of the Special Offences Court sitting in Ikeja, Lagos for an alleged $4.5bn and N2.8bn fraud.

He’s also pleaded not guilty to the charge.

The new charge, dated April 2, 2024, was filed by the EFFC prosecutor Rotimi Oyedepo (SAN) alongside eight other lawyers acting on behalf of the Attorney General of the Federation.

Counts one to four of the charge, reads,  “STATEMENT OF OFFENCE: Public Servant disobeying direction of law with intent to cause injury to the public contrary to and punishable under Section 123 of the Penal Code Law, Cap. 89 Laws of the Federation, 1990.

“PARTICULARS OF THE OFFENCE: That you GODWIN IFEANYI EMEFIELE between the 19th day of October 2022 and 5th March 2023 in Abuja, knowingly disobeyed the direction of Section 19 of the CBN Act, 2007, by approving the printing of N375,520,000.00 pieces of colour swapped N1, 000, at the total cost of N11,052, 068,062 without the recommendation of the Board of Central Bank and the strict approval of the President, Federal Republic of Nigeria which conduct of yours caused injury to the public and you thereby committed an offence.”

COUNT 2: “That you, GODWIN IFEANYI EMEFIELE, between the 19th of October 2022 and 5th March 2023 in Abuja, knowingly disobeyed the direction of Section 19 of the Central Bank of Nigeria Act, 2007, by approving the printing of 172,000,000 pieces of colour swapped N500 (Five Hundred Naira) Notes, at the total cost of N4, 471,066,040 without the recommendation of the Board of Central Bank and the strict approval of the President, Federal Republic of Nigeria which conduct of yours caused injury to the public and you thereby committed an offence.

COUNT 3: “That you GODWIN IFEANYI EMEFIELE between the 19th day of October 2022 and 5th March 2023 in Abuja, knowingly disobeyed the direction of Section 19 of the CBN Act, 2007, by approving the printing of 137,070,000 pieces of colour swapped N200 (Two Hundred Naira) Note, at the total cost of N3, 441, 005, 280 without the recommendation of the Board of Central Bank and the strict approval of the President, Federal Republic of Nigeria which conduct of yours caused injury to the public and you thereby committed an offence.”

COUNT 4: “That you, GODWIN IFEANYI EMEFIELE, on or about the 7th day of October 2020, in Abuja, within the jurisdiction of this Honorable Court, knowingly disobeyed the direction of Section 80 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1999 (As Amended), by approving the withdrawal of the total sum of N124, 860, 227, 865.16 from the Consolidated Revenue Fund of the Federation in a manner not prescribed by the National Assembly, which conduct of yours caused injury to the public and you thereby committed an offence.”

 


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KPMG Says Higher Taxes Don’t Necessarily Lead to Sustainable Growth

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KPMG, a global tax and advisory firm, has said that “no country can tax its way to prosperity,” adding that there is empirical evidence to prove that higher taxes do not lead to sustainable growth.

KPMG Says Higher Taxes Don’t Necessarily Lead to Sustainable Growth

KPMG criticised the actions of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) regarding its move to implement a cybersecurity levy.

It noted that the timing of the implementation of the section of the Act is wrong considering the prevailing economic conditions in the country.

It stated that because Nigeria faces a significant revenue challenge, the government may go to any length to mobilise the required revenue. However, it was noted that higher taxes do not lead to sustainable growth.

It highlighted that even though the cybercrime levy is not new—it has existed since 2015—the timing of its implementation is suspect, considering prevailing economic challenges.

“The timing of any reforms is essential to the success of such reforms. This underscores the current public resistance to the implementation of the levy. This is certainly not the right time to implement this levy,” it said.

It stated that various reports have indicated that the government may raise about N3 trillion annually from the levy, but the government should have made a formal presentation to the public of the cost and benefit analysis. “It is always critical that the enactment of any tax or levy be accompanied by the tax expenditure statement to provide information as to whether the benefits of such tax or levy outweigh its cost,” it said.

KPMG also questioned how the implementation of the act would drive financial inclusion in the country, given the fear that individuals and businesses would resort to other forms of transaction.

Last week, the CBN asked banks and payment service providers to begin deducting 0.5 percent from electronic transactions as a cybersecurity levy to be managed by the Office of the National Security Adviser (ONSA).

President Bola Tinubu has now urged the CBN to suspend the implementation of this levy and called for a review.


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Firm Identifies Significant Security Risks in Widely used Cinterion Modems

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Kaspersky ICS CERT researchers have detected critical vulnerabilities in Cinterion cellular modems. The discovery showcases flaws that allow a remote unauthorised attacker to execute arbitrary code, constituting a major threat to millions of industrial devices. Kaspersky experts presented details on these vulnerabilities at OffensiveCon in Berlin, on May 11.

Kaspersky ICS CERT identified severe security vulnerabilities in Cinterion cellular modems, widely deployed in millions of devices and vital to global connectivity infrastructure.

These vulnerabilities include critical flaws that permit remote code execution and unauthorised privilege escalation, posing substantial risks to integral communication networks and IoT devices foundational to industrial, healthcare, automotive, financial and telecommunications sectors.

Among the vulnerabilities detected, the most alarming is CVE-2023-47610, a heap overflow vulnerability within the modem’s SUPL message handlers. This flaw enables remote attackers to execute arbitrary code via SMS, granting them unprecedented access to the modem’s operating system.

This access also facilitates the manipulation of RAM and flash memory, increasing the potential to seize complete control over the modem’s functionalities—all without authentication or requiring physical access to the device.

Further investigations exposed significant security lapses in the handling of MIDlets, Java-based applications running on the modems.

Attackers could compromise the integrity of these applications by circumventing digital signature checks, enabling unauthorised code execution with elevated privileges.

This flaw poses significant risks not only to data confidentiality and integrity, but it also escalates the threat to broader network security and device integrity.

“The vulnerabilities we found, coupled with the widespread deployment of these devices in various sectors, highlight the potential for extensive global disruption. These disturbances range from economic and operational impacts to safety issues.

“Since the modems are typically integrated in a matryoshka-style within other solutions, with products from one vendor stacked atop those from another, compiling a list of affected end products is challenging.

“Affected vendors must undertake extensive efforts to manage risks, with mitigation often feasible only on the telecom operators’ side. We hope that our in-depth analysis will help stakeholders implement urgent security measures and establish a valuable reference point for future cybersecurity research,” says Evgeny Goncharov, head of Kaspersky ICS CERT.

To counter the threat posed by the CVE-2023-47610 vulnerability, Kaspersky recommends the only reliable solution: disabling nonessential SMS messaging capabilities and employing private APNs with strict security settings.

Regarding the other zero-day vulnerabilities registered under CVE-2023-47611 through CVE-2023-47616, Kaspersky advises enforcing rigorous digital signature verification for MIDlets, controlling physical access to devices, and conducting regular security audits and updates.

In response to these discoveries, all findings were proactively shared with the manufacturer prior to public disclosure. Cinterion modems, originally developed by Gemalto, are cornerstone components in machine-to-machine (M2M) and IoT communications, supporting a wide array of applications from industrial automation and vehicle telematics to smart metering and healthcare monitoring.

Gemalto, the initial developer, was subsequently acquired by Thales. In 2023, Telit acquired Thales’ cellular IoT products business, including the Cinterion modems.


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