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FXTM Analysis: Markets Stabilize But Have Brexit Jitters Subsided?

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Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM.
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Global stocks weathered the Brexit blues during trading on Wednesday with most major markets clawing back previous losses as optimism grew over central banks intervening to stabilize the post-Brexit turmoil.

Sentiment towards the global economy continues to show signs of improvement with the renewed risk appetite encouraging investors to seek riskier assets.

Asian stocks were elevated from Tuesday’s stock market rally and propelled higher on Wednesday from the growing expectations over the Bank of Japan expanding on stimulus measures.

European equities seized the positivity from Asia and surprisingly strolled back into the green territory despite the growing uncertainty over the UK’s future.

Although Wall Street could lurch higher from the bullish momentum borrowed from Europe, questions may be asked if this stock market rally is just another dead cat bounce.

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While more short term gains in stocks may be realized as speculations risetowards the central banks mitigating the turmoil in the financial markets, the fundamentals which have been dragging prices lower have not changed whatsoever.

Fears over diminishing global growth may weigh on global sentiment, while the Brexit woes could leave most central banks cautious.

It should be kept in mind that overall confidence towards the global economy is fragile and this relief rally could come to an end when the risk-off trading environment motivates investors to scatter from riskier assets to safe-haven investments.

Sterling Bears On A Tea Break
The Sterling staged a slight recovery on Wednesday with the GBPUSD piercing back above 1.3350 as a combination of profit taking and easing Brexit anxieties provided a foundation for bulls for pounce.

Regardless of short term gains, the Sterling remains bearish and could be destined for further declines when the persisting uncertainty over the immeasurable impacts of a Brexit haunt investor attraction towards the currency.

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Many questions remain unanswered post-Brexit, while uncertainty mounts as fears grow over the UK having no clear path to leaving the European Union.

With expectations dangerously increasing that the Bank of England could slash UK rates in the events of a Brexit fueled recession, any true recovery in the Sterling’s value may have been sabotaged.

Another sharp decline could be pending and the catalyst may be the clarity provided when the Article 50 is triggered. From a technical standpoint, the GBPUSD is heavily bearish and sellers could exploit this relief rally to send prices lower. Previous support at 1.3850 could transform into a potential resistance that invites sellers to send the GBPUSD back towards 1.3200.

EU Summits commences… without the UK
European Union leaders have begun their discussion on a range of critical global and economic issues in the summit without Britain as they search for stability post-Brexit.

The Brexit has left the Eurozone under extreme pressure with the growing concerns over other countries leaving the bloc posing one of the greatest challenges presented to European leaders.

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Mario Draghi has already expressed his sadness over the Brexit victory while expectations continue to heighten that the European Central Bank takes action in a bid to reviving Eurozone growth.

Weak GDP growth and static inflation have punished the European economy and the Brexit adding to the mix weighs heavily on Eurozone sentiment. The EUR could be set for a slippery decline if the growing Brexit anxieties encourage market participants to relinquish their Euros for safer currencies such as the Dollar and Yen.

Gold finds support above $1308
Gold found minor support above $1308 during trading on Wednesday as a mixture of Dollar weakness and risk aversion from the Brexit jitters ensured the metal remained buoyed.

This precious metal remains fundamentally bullish and could be poised to trade towards $1350 as the Brexit concerns impact US rate hike expectations.

Further Dollar weakness and a flight to safe-haven safety amid the global uncertainty could provide bulls a foundation to install another heavy round of buying. From a technical standpoint, prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the upside. Previous resistance around $1308-1300 could act as a dynamic support which triggers an incline towards $1350.

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Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM

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E-Financial

Next Currency Crisis May Turn $300Bn in Stablecoins into National Currencies

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The next currency crisis could accelerate the shift of the roughly $315 billion global stablecoin market into a digital-dollar alternative for citizens in emerging economies, notably in regions like sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America.

Next Currency Crisis May Turn $300Bn in Stablecoins into National Currencies

As local fiat currencies face devaluation and high inflation, citizens and businesses are increasingly utilizing smartphone-based stablecoins (such as USDT and USDC) as hedges and primary mediums of exchange.

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the rapid adoption of dollar-linked digital assets—particularly in countries heavily affected by inflation like Nigeria—poses significant risks to monetary sovereignty.

With up to 95% of surveyed individuals in some African markets preferring to receive payments in stablecoins over local fiat, the rising volume of these decentralized, cross-border channels weakens domestic currency demand and dilutes the effectiveness of local monetary policy.

IMF observed in a report titled “Stablecoins in Nigeria: A Growing Cross-Border Channel”  noted that the widespread use of stablecoins poses risks to monetary sovereignty, particularly as more individuals and businesses turn to digital dollar-linked assets for savings and transactions.

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Nodding in agreement is Future Investment Initiative Institute (FII Institute), a non-profit organisation run by the Public Investment Fund, Saudi Arabia’s main sovereign wealth fund.

FII Institute said that central banks face structural challenges.

And according to the institute, when citizens move savings out of national banks and into private digital wallets, conventional capital controls lose their grip.

Institutions like the Bank for International Settlements warn that interest-bearing stablecoins compete directly with domestic-currency deposits, complicating financial oversight and making smartphone-based transfers incredibly difficult for authorities to monitor.

In Nigeria, Naira depreciation has pushed users toward dollar-stablecoins, according to report by Gino Matos in cryptoslate.com.

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A stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency designed to maintain a steady value by pegging its price to a reserve asset, such as a fiat currency (e.g., the U.S. dollar) or a commodity (e.g., gold).

They act as a bridge between traditional money and the digital asset world, providing the speed of crypto without the extreme price swings of assets like Bitcoin.

 

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FG to Raise N1.2 Trillion via Fresh Bond Offer – DMO

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Federal government has reopened three federal government of Nigeria (FGN) bond issues valued at N1.2 trillion for subscription as part of efforts to raise long-term funds from the domestic debt market.

FG to Raise N1.2 Trillion via Fresh Bond Offer - DMO

The Debt Management Office (DMO), which announced the offer on Tuesday, said the three reopened bond issues are each valued at N400 billion.

According to the DMO, the first offer is the January 2035 FGN Bond, a 10-year reopening, carrying an interest rate of 22.60 per cent per annum.

The second is the May 2028 FGN Bond, a 15-year reopening, with a coupon rate of 15.45 per cent per annum, while the third is the June 2037 FGN Bond, a 20-year reopening, also valued at N400 billion.

The office said the bond auction is scheduled for July 20, while successful subscriptions will be settled on July 22.

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It explained that the bonds are offered at N1,000 per unit, with a minimum subscription of N50 million and additional investments in multiples of N1,000.

For the reopened bonds, the DMO said successful bidders would pay a price based on the yield-to-maturity that clears the auction, in addition to any accrued interest on the instruments.

Interest on the bonds will be paid every six months, while the principal will be repaid in full on the respective maturity dates.

The DMO reaffirmed that FGN bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the Federal Government and constitute obligations chargeable on the general assets of the federation.

It added that the bonds qualify as trustee investment securities under the Trustee Investment Act and enjoy tax exemptions for eligible investors, including pension funds, under the Company Income Tax Act and Personal Income Tax Act.

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The bonds are listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) and FMDQ Securities Exchange and also qualify as liquid assets for banks in computing their liquidity ratios.

FGN bonds are long-term debt instruments through which investors lend money to the Federal Government in exchange for periodic interest payments and repayment of the principal at maturity.

 

 

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Gigbanc Nigerian Fintech Startup Closes Shop after 3 Years

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Gigbanc, Nigerian fintech startup, has announced it is winding down operations, after three years, citing a tough fundraising climate.

Gigbanc Nigerian Fintech Startup Closes Shop after 3 Years

Paul Omoregie Okundaye, and Babatope Oni, co-founders of Gigbanc

The company, which set out to build cross-border financial infrastructure for African freelancers, creators, entrepreneurs and businesses, confirmed the decision in a statement signed by its co-founders.

“After careful consideration, Gigbanc’s leadership has made the difficult decision to wind down operations,” the company said, adding that the move “reflects the broader funding environment affecting early stage startups in Africa, a challenge that has been widely documented across the ecosystem.”

Since its founding, Gigbanc grew a community of more than 150,000 people across multiple countries and processed over $7.28 million (N10 billion) in payment volume, helping thousands of users receive their first international payment.

The company also ran conferences, fellowships and community events aimed at connecting entrepreneurs and creators across the continent.

`Despite the shutdown, Gigbanc said it is not walking away emptyhanded.

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The company disclosed that it is in active acquisition discussions with a prominent financial infrastructure firm, with further details to be shared once the process closes.

Paul Omoregie Okundaye, co-founder and CEO,  and Babatope Oni, co-founder and CTO, framed the closure as the end of a chapter rather than the erasure of Gigbanc’s impact.

“While Gigbanc is winding down operations, we don’t see this as the end of what we built together. Instead, we see it as the completion of an important chapter,” the founders said. “The relationships, lessons, community, and impact we’ve created will continue to outlive the company itself.”

The founders thanked users for their trust throughout the company’s run, citing everything from transactions and feature requests to bug reports and criticism as forces that shaped the product

“We leave this journey incredibly proud. Proud of our team, who gave everything they had.

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Proud of the community that rallied behind us,” they said.

Gigbanc’s exit adds to a growing list of African startups that have shut down or scaled back operations in recent years as venture funding on the continent has tightened, with founders increasingly citing capital scarcity as the primary driver behind closures and consolidations.

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