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FXTM Analysis: Markets Stabilize But Have Brexit Jitters Subsided?

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Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM.
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Global stocks weathered the Brexit blues during trading on Wednesday with most major markets clawing back previous losses as optimism grew over central banks intervening to stabilize the post-Brexit turmoil.

Sentiment towards the global economy continues to show signs of improvement with the renewed risk appetite encouraging investors to seek riskier assets.

Asian stocks were elevated from Tuesday’s stock market rally and propelled higher on Wednesday from the growing expectations over the Bank of Japan expanding on stimulus measures.

European equities seized the positivity from Asia and surprisingly strolled back into the green territory despite the growing uncertainty over the UK’s future.

Although Wall Street could lurch higher from the bullish momentum borrowed from Europe, questions may be asked if this stock market rally is just another dead cat bounce.

While more short term gains in stocks may be realized as speculations risetowards the central banks mitigating the turmoil in the financial markets, the fundamentals which have been dragging prices lower have not changed whatsoever.

Fears over diminishing global growth may weigh on global sentiment, while the Brexit woes could leave most central banks cautious.

It should be kept in mind that overall confidence towards the global economy is fragile and this relief rally could come to an end when the risk-off trading environment motivates investors to scatter from riskier assets to safe-haven investments.

Sterling Bears On A Tea Break
The Sterling staged a slight recovery on Wednesday with the GBPUSD piercing back above 1.3350 as a combination of profit taking and easing Brexit anxieties provided a foundation for bulls for pounce.

Regardless of short term gains, the Sterling remains bearish and could be destined for further declines when the persisting uncertainty over the immeasurable impacts of a Brexit haunt investor attraction towards the currency.

Many questions remain unanswered post-Brexit, while uncertainty mounts as fears grow over the UK having no clear path to leaving the European Union.

With expectations dangerously increasing that the Bank of England could slash UK rates in the events of a Brexit fueled recession, any true recovery in the Sterling’s value may have been sabotaged.

Another sharp decline could be pending and the catalyst may be the clarity provided when the Article 50 is triggered. From a technical standpoint, the GBPUSD is heavily bearish and sellers could exploit this relief rally to send prices lower. Previous support at 1.3850 could transform into a potential resistance that invites sellers to send the GBPUSD back towards 1.3200.

EU Summits commences… without the UK
European Union leaders have begun their discussion on a range of critical global and economic issues in the summit without Britain as they search for stability post-Brexit.

The Brexit has left the Eurozone under extreme pressure with the growing concerns over other countries leaving the bloc posing one of the greatest challenges presented to European leaders.

Mario Draghi has already expressed his sadness over the Brexit victory while expectations continue to heighten that the European Central Bank takes action in a bid to reviving Eurozone growth.

Weak GDP growth and static inflation have punished the European economy and the Brexit adding to the mix weighs heavily on Eurozone sentiment. The EUR could be set for a slippery decline if the growing Brexit anxieties encourage market participants to relinquish their Euros for safer currencies such as the Dollar and Yen.

Gold finds support above $1308
Gold found minor support above $1308 during trading on Wednesday as a mixture of Dollar weakness and risk aversion from the Brexit jitters ensured the metal remained buoyed.

This precious metal remains fundamentally bullish and could be poised to trade towards $1350 as the Brexit concerns impact US rate hike expectations.

Further Dollar weakness and a flight to safe-haven safety amid the global uncertainty could provide bulls a foundation to install another heavy round of buying. From a technical standpoint, prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the upside. Previous resistance around $1308-1300 could act as a dynamic support which triggers an incline towards $1350.

Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM


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E-Financial

Chapel Hill Denham Says Banks Lose N2.5 Trillion Annually to High CRR in New Report

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Nigeria’s banking sector is losing an estimated N2.5 trillion in annual earnings due to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s high Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) policy, according to a new report by Chapel Hill Denham.

Chapel Hill Denham Says Banks Lose N2.5 Trillion Annually to High CRR in New Report

The investment banking and research firm said the policy continues to impose significant constraints on bank profitability by requiring lenders to keep a large portion of customer deposits with the Central Bank without earning returns on them, effectively locking away funds that could otherwise support lending and income generation.

In its report titled “The Nigerian Banking Paradox: High Returns, Deep Discounts,” Chapel Hill Denham noted that although Nigerian banks rank among the highest return-on-equity performers in Africa, they remain undervalued compared to peers, largely due to regulatory constraints and macroeconomic uncertainty.

The firm identified the CRR regime as a key structural factor limiting the sector’s earnings potential, arguing that it reduces balance sheet efficiency and restricts credit creation to the real economy.

According to the report, banks are still required to pay interest on deposits while a significant portion of those funds remains sterilised at the apex bank.

Chapel Hill Denham stated that the current policy framework, which evolved in response to past financial sector instability and exchange rate pressures, may now be exerting a heavier drag on growth and profitability than originally intended.

“Our analysis reveals that Nigerian banks operate under a uniquely restrictive regulatory perimeter,” the report said, adding that the structure suppresses reported returns despite underlying profitability strength.

The report also compared Nigeria’s reserve requirements with other jurisdictions, noting that the country’s CRR remains significantly higher than several African and emerging markets.

While South Africa operates a 2.5 per cent CRR, Kenya maintains 4.25 per cent, Ghana 15 per cent, and Egypt 16 per cent, with Morocco reported to have reduced its reserve ratio to zero.

Analysts at the firm said a moderation of Nigeria’s CRR from 50 per cent to 30 per cent could release up to N8 trillion into the banking system and potentially boost annual pre-tax profits by about N800 billion.

They added that investors currently price Nigerian banks on the assumption that the tight monetary stance will persist, limiting valuation upside despite strong earnings performance.

At its February 2026 meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria retained the CRR for Deposit Money Banks at 45 per cent, while Merchant Banks remained at 16 per cent, and public sector deposits outside the Treasury Single Account framework at 75 per cent, as part of efforts to sustain tight monetary conditions and manage liquidity pressures.


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Lagos Sanctions 15 Money Lending Firms for Operational Violations

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Lagos State Government has sanctioned 15 money lending firms over violations of operational guidelines and practices considered harmful to residents.

Lagos Sanctions 15 Money Lending Firms for Operational Violations

Ibrahim Layode, commissioner for Home Affairs, disclosed this during the 2026 Ministerial Press Briefing held in Ikeja.

Layode said the affected firms were penalised for engaging in sharp practices contrary to regulations guiding money lending operations in the state.

According to him, the government remains committed to enforcing strict compliance within the sector to curb fraudulent financial activities and protect Lagos residents from exploitation.

“The firms were sanctioned to ensure strict adherence to guidelines and to protect Lagosians from sharp practices by financial firms,” he said.

The commissioner described money lending as an important part of the economy, noting that it provides quick and accessible credit facilities to petty traders and small-scale business owners who often face difficulties obtaining loans from commercial banks due to stringent requirements.

“Moneylending business is one of the vital parts of the economy which allows people in the small-scale industry and petty traders to have stress-free access to quick loans to finance their businesses,” Layode said.

He explained that the Ministry of Home Affairs is responsible for processing applications, issuing and renewing licences for money lenders, as well as monitoring and supervising their operations across the state.

Layode added that the ministry regularly organises stakeholders’ forums to expose operators to global best practices and improve professionalism within the industry.

“We also conduct stakeholders’ forums for moneylender operators in order to bring them up to speed on the latest world best practices,” he said.

The commissioner further disclosed that the ministry collaborates with federal regulatory agencies, including the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) and the Special Control Unit Against Money Laundering (SCUML), to ensure compliance with financial and consumer protection regulations.

According to him, the ministry also profiles and monitors money lending firms to protect residents from fraudulent operators and dubious schemes.

“In addition, the Ministry registers, profiles and monitors the viability of such companies with a view to ensuring that while the money lenders are in business, the general public is also protected from being scammed by fraudulent people of questionable characters,” Layode said.

He noted that licensed money lenders have contributed significantly to the growth of micro and small businesses in Lagos by providing alternative sources of financing outside the conventional banking system.

“This partnership has greatly assisted small-scale business owners in Lagos to keep their petty businesses afloat without having to contend with high interest rates and clauses of the big commercial banks,” he added.

Layode revealed that between 2025 and 2026, the ministry received 112 new applications from money lending operators, while 214 existing licences were renewed.

On naturalisation and special immigrant status applications, the commissioner said the ministry, in collaboration with the Federal Ministry of Interior, continued to process applications from foreign nationals seeking Nigerian citizenship or permanent residency.

He explained that naturalisation is granted to foreigners who have resided continuously in Nigeria for at least 15 years and have established investment interests in their states of residence.

“The objective of the exercise is to grant citizenship rights to foreigners who have lived in the country continuously for fifteen years and above with investment interests in their states of residence,” he said.

Layode added that special immigrant status is granted to foreign nationals married to Nigerian citizens to promote integration and economic development.

According to him, applicants undergo screening and verification processes involving the Nigerian Immigration Service, Department of State Services, Nigeria Police, Lagos State Ministry of Justice and the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service.

He disclosed that 68 applications for naturalisation and special immigrant status were received during the period under review, while 20 applicants were screened and cross-examined for onward transmission to the Federal Ministry of Interior for final approval.


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FirstBank, Visa Launch Multicurrency Signature, Naira Debit Cards

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First Bank of Nigeria Limited, in partnership with Visa, has launched its multicurrency Visa Signature card, a premium offering designed for Nigeria’s affluent segment, as well as the Naira Visa Debit Card aimed at extending accessible, reliable electronic payment capabilities to a broader segment of the Nigerian population.

FirstBank, Visa Launch Multicurrency Signature, Naira Debit Cards

According to First Bank, the Signature card offers an exclusive portfolio of lifestyle benefits, global travel privileges, and curated merchant offers through Visa’s worldwide acceptance network, giving high-spending Nigerians a product built around how they live.

Commenting on FirstBank’s ambition for its premium cardholders, Chuma Ezirim, group executive, eBusiness & Retail Products, FirstBank, said Visa Signature is crafted to meet those expectations and lifestyle privileges that empower customers to live without boundaries.

“At FirstBank, we are dedicated to creating financial solutions that reflect the evolving lifestyles of our customers. We understand that our premium customers aspire to experiences that reflect their global outlook.

“Visa Signature is crafted to meet those expectations, offering access to exclusive experiences, global connectivity, and lifestyle privileges that empower our customers to live without boundaries. We remain focused on creating value and reinforcing our position as the partner of first choice for Nigerians at home and abroad.”

Highlighting the strategic importance of the FirstBank partnership, Andrew Uaboi, vice president and Cluster head, West Africa, Visa, noted “Nigeria’s affluent consumers are among the most active and globally connected spenders on the continent. Visa Signature is designed to serve that profile with the depth of benefits and the breadth of acceptance they deserve. We are delighted to work with FirstBank in making this available to the Nigerian market.”

Ezirim explained that through Visa Global benefits and Visa Destination offers, the Signature cardholders gain access to preferential rates, premium experiences, and priority services across hundreds of partner merchants, hotels, airlines, and destinations around the world. The card which is multicurrency in nature supports both domestic and cross-border transactions, ensuring seamless payment experiences.

Also speaking on the launch of the Naira Visa Debit Card, Ezirim said the card is “designed to make life easier for our customers, whether they are paying for groceries, settling utility bills, or shopping online. By extending reliable electronic payment access across Nigeria, we are helping more people transition confidently from cash to digital payments, supporting the nation’s cashless policy and empowering communities with greater financial inclusion.”

On his part, Uaboi, noted that “a strong payments ecosystem works for everyone. The Naira Visa Debit Card extends reliable electronic payment access to everyday Nigerian consumers, and this in addition to the cards in our portfolio continues to demonstrate what a truly comprehensive card portfolio looks like for the Nigerian market. Visa is proud to power this offering with FirstBank.”


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