E-Financial
Nigerian’s Economy Set To Overtake South African’s – Survey

A new poll by Reuter- providers of breaking news, business, financial and investing articles from around the globe found that Nigeria could snatch South Africa’s crown as the continent’s economic champion within two years.
This is helped by a major statistical revision of the size of its economy.
Reuters reported that Nigeria’s gross domestic product will receive an enormous boost when it is rebased later this year to more accurately reflect changes is in the economy over the last two decades.
Analysts, however, say the much-delayed exercise may moderate growth.
“The rebasing of national accounts will result in a meaningful increase in nominal GDP,” said Samir Gadio, a strategist at Standard Bank.
“Because Nigeria is growing faster than South Africa it is likely to become the largest economy on the continent.”
But Gadio added that growth will probably slow further as output moves to a higher base under the new time series.
The rebasing could add up to 50% to Nigeria’s economy, giving it a nominal GDP of around $375 billion – almost the size of South Africa’s – and strong domestic demand will see it clinch the title of Africa’s biggest economy if growth rates maintain the current pace.
The current GDP base is from 1990 and fails to capture booming technology and telecoms industries that have emerged since then.
“Strong real growth is expected to be underpinned by robust domestic demand stemming from sustained high levels of agriculture and services activity,” said Angus Downie, strategist at Ecobank.
According to the survey of 13 analysts Nigeria’s economy is set to grow 6.8% this year, up from an estimated 6.6% in 2012, helped by lower interest rates and subdued inflation.
In contrast South Africa, currently Africa’s largest economy is battling high unemployment and a slowdown in the euro zone, its main trading partner. It is set to grow at just 2.6% this year, making it vulnerable to losing its number one spot.
Though being number one in the continent could boost the profile of the country, according to economists, South Africa still enjoys a better GDP-per-capita ratio compared to Nigeria, and therefore a slightly better living standard.
Angola, the continent’s number two oil producer behind Nigeria, is expected to show even faster economic growth at 7.4% this year, slightly weaker than last year’s 7.5% estimate on lower crude oil prices.
The monthly Reuters survey for oil prices suggests that prices will fall this year on weak demand from many flagging industrialised nations and improving global supply.
Twenty seven analysts forecast Brent crude oil to average $110.10 per barrel in 2013, down from an average of $111.70 last year. The downtrend will continue, with Brent averaging $109.00 in 2014 and $107.90 in 2015.
Nigeria’s annual inflation is expected to ease this year to a median 9.9% from estimates of 12.2 % in 2012 due to a tight monetary policy stance.
The benchmark interest rate was kept at 12% for the eighth time in row at the central bank’s January meeting.
Consequently consumer inflation eased to 9% in January, down from 12% in December. While food price inflation stuck to double digits it eased to 10.1%.
Analysts have been expecting interest rates to start falling in Africa’s biggest oil producer, which would support growth of the credit sector, adding to spin-offs for the services sector of the over 160 million population.
The poll also suggests Angola’s annual inflation will likely ease to single digits this year of 9.0% from an estimated 10.3% in 2012, though the rate is still considered to be chronically high due to infrastructure bottlenecks.
Angola’s annual consumer inflation rose to 9.04% in February from 8.9% in January.
E-Financial
Nigeria, Others Lose $88bn Yearly to Illicit Flows —Edun

Wale Edun, minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, has raised concern over Africa’s mounting revenue losses, warning that the continent forfeits an estimated $88 billion annually to illicit financial flows (IFFs), a development he described as a critical threat to sustainable growth.

Speaking at the 5th Session of the Sub-Committee on Tax and Illicit Financial Flows of the African Union, in Abuja, Mr Edun said the persistent outflows continue to deprive African countries of vital resources required for infrastructure, healthcare, and overall economic development.
The high-level meeting, held at Transcorp Hilton Abuja, brought together policymakers, tax administrators, and development partners to examine strategies for strengthening fiscal systems amid evolving global economic uncertainties.
Mr Edun stressed the need for African countries to reduce reliance on external financing sources such as debt, aid, and foreign investment, noting that these options are becoming increasingly unpredictable. He maintained that domestic resource mobilisation must serve as the foundation for long-term economic sustainability.
“Our ambition is to finance up to 90 per cent of Africa’s development needs from domestic resources,” he said, referencing the continent’s Agenda 2063 development framework.
He identified structural challenges, including tax evasion, weak institutional capacity, and limited economic diversification, as key impediments, while emphasising that curbing illicit financial flows remains central to unlocking Africa’s fiscal potential.
Highlighting ongoing reforms under President Bola Tinubu, Mr Edun noted that measures such as tax system reforms, fuel subsidy removal, and exchange rate unification are beginning to improve revenue performance and boost investor confidence.
He added that initiatives like the National Single Window are helping to reduce trade-related leakages, while enhanced international tax cooperation is supporting efforts to recover lost revenues. He also cited Executive Order 9 as a key policy aimed at strengthening transparency in the oil and gas sector.
Calling for broader continental action, Mr Edun urged African nations to expand their tax base, strengthen public financial management systems, and deepen financial inclusion. He listed institutional strengthening, digital infrastructure investment, and cross-border collaboration as critical reform priorities.
“The question is no longer whether we must reform, but how urgently and how boldly we act,” he said, warning that failure to act could leave African economies exposed to external shocks.
On his part, Mr Zacch Adedeji, executive chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), called for urgent steps to safeguard domestic resources and address widening financing gaps across the continent.
Mr Adedeji noted that illicit financial flows ranging from tax evasion and trade mispricing to aggressive tax avoidance continue to weaken Africa’s capacity to fund critical sectors such as infrastructure, healthcare, and education.
“Every year, billions meant for development are lost through illegal financial transfers. These are lost hospitals, lost schools, and lost opportunities,” he said.
He stressed that the cross-border nature of illicit flows requires coordinated responses at both national and continental levels, adding that Nigeria is pursuing reforms to modernise revenue administration through expanded tax coverage, improved compliance, and digital innovation.
According to him, efficient and transparent tax systems are essential not only for revenue generation but also for strengthening public trust in government institutions.
E-Financial
CBN Says 33 Banks Raise Fresh N4.65 Trillion in Recapitalisation Exercise

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced the successful conclusion of the banking sector recapitalisation programme initiated in March 2024.

Over the 24-month period, Nigerian banks raised a total of N4.65 trillion in new capital, strengthening the resilience of the financial system and enhancing its capacity to support the economy, according to a statement that was issued by CBN on Wednesday.
The programme recorded strong participation from both domestic and international investors, with 72.55 per cent of capital sourced locally and 27.45 per cent from international markets, reflecting sustained confidence in the Nigerian banking sector.
Olayemi Cardoso, governor, CBN, said: “The recapitalisation programme has strengthened the capital base of Nigerian banks, reinforcing the resilience of the financial system and ensuring it is well-positioned to support economic growth and withstand domestic and external shocks.”
The CBN confirmed that 33 banks have met the revised minimum capital requirements established under the programme. A limited number of institutions remain subject to ongoing regulatory and judicial processes, which are being addressed through established supervisory and legal frameworks.
All banks remain fully operational, ensuring continued access to banking services for customers.
The apex bank stated that the programme has strengthened capital adequacy ratios (CAR), with the sector maintaining levels above international Basel benchmarks.
Minimum CAR thresholds remain at 10 per cent for regional and national banks and 15 per cent for banks with international authorisation.
The recapitalisation, implemented alongside an orderly exit from regulatory forbearance, has improved asset quality, reinforcing balance sheet transparency and overall financial system stability.
To safeguard the gains, the CBN said it has strengthened its risk-based capital adequacy framework, requiring banks to conduct regular stress testing across defined scenarios and maintain appropriate capital buffers.
It stated that key regulatory measures, including prudential guidelines and the supervisory framework, are subject to periodic review to support ongoing strengthening of governance, risk management and sector resilience.
The recapitalisation programme was carried out without disruption to banking services, ensuring continuous access for individuals and businesses throughout the process.
The successful completion of the programme establishes a stronger and more resilient banking system, better positioned to support lending, mobilise savings, and withstand domestic and global shocks, the CBN said in the statement that was issued by Olubukola A. Akinwunmi, director, banking supervision, and Hakama Ali, acting director, corporate communications.
“The Central Bank of Nigeria remains committed to maintaining a stable, transparent, and resilient financial system that inspires confidence among depositors, investors, and the broader public, and to advancing the sustainability of the nation’s financial architecture,” the statement read in part.
E-Financial
Rising Fraud Threatens Nigeria’s Digital Banking Gains — Experts

Nigeria’s fast-growing digital banking ecosystem is facing increasing scrutiny over consumer safety, as rising fraud cases and weak redress mechanisms threaten to erode public trust in the sector.

Over the past decade, Nigeria has witnessed a remarkable shift from cash-based transactions to digital financial services, driven by mobile banking applications, instant transfers and Unstructured Supplementary Service Data (USSD) platforms.
Industry data show that Point-of-Sale (POS) transactions rose to a record N18 trillion in 2024, representing a 69 per cent increase year-on-year, while the number of deployed POS terminals more than doubled to 5.5 million nationwide.
Mobile banking has also emerged as the most widely used digital financial channel, with about four in five Nigerians reportedly accessing such services within a 90-day period.
Analysts say the growth reflects significant progress in financial inclusion and technology adoption, but warn that the expansion has exposed gaps in consumer protection.
According to a 2024 Nigeria Consumer Protection Survey by Innovations for Poverty Action, nearly one in four users of digital financial services reported experiencing unexpected charges, hidden fees or fraud attempts within the past year.
The report further indicated that only about half of affected users pursued formal complaints, a trend experts attribute to declining confidence in dispute resolution processes.
Data from the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS) also highlight growing risks, with fraud-related losses rising to N52.26 billion in 2024.
Although the number of reported fraud cases declined, stakeholders note that the scale of losses per incident has increased significantly, suggesting more sophisticated and high-impact attacks.
Experts identify social engineering as the most prevalent fraud method, relying on deception rather than complex technology to exploit unsuspecting customers.
They also warn that insider involvement remains a critical concern, with cases of internal compromise posing systemic risks to the integrity of financial institutions.
The development, according to analysts, underscores a widening gap between the rapid expansion of digital banking infrastructure and the pace of consumer protection frameworks.
“Convenience and security must evolve together. When one outpaces the other, it creates vulnerabilities that fraudsters can exploit,” a financial analyst said.
Regulators, however, have taken steps to address the challenges.
Nigeria’s exit from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) grey list in 2025 signalled improvements in the country’s financial safeguards.
In addition, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) introduced risk-based cybersecurity frameworks for deposit money banks in 2024, setting stricter standards for managing digital risks.
Industry-wide enforcement has also intensified, with regulatory penalties reportedly exceeding N15 billion in 2024, reinforcing compliance with consumer protection rules.
Within the banking sector, institutions are increasingly investing in advanced security systems designed to monitor transactions in real time, detect anomalies and prevent fraud before it occurs.
Analysts note that such proactive measures, though largely invisible to customers, play a critical role in safeguarding digital transactions.
The experience of Union Bank of Nigeria illustrates this approach, with the bank reporting strong customer satisfaction across its digital platforms, including mobile banking, USSD services and enterprise solutions.
Observers attribute this performance to sustained investment in backend security infrastructure, proactive fraud monitoring systems and a corporate culture that prioritises customer protection.
Industry stakeholders agree that trust remains the cornerstone of banking, particularly in a digital environment where transactions are increasingly intangible.
They warn that without sustained improvements in security, transparency and accountability, the gains recorded in financial inclusion could be undermined.
As Nigeria continues to expand its digital financial ecosystem, experts say the next phase of growth must prioritise safety alongside convenience to ensure long-term sustainability.
“Digital banking has transformed access to financial services in Nigeria, but its future will depend on how well institutions protect the people who rely on it,” an industry stakeholder said.
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