E-Financial
Expert causions Nigeria on Adherence to its Oil Cap
Lukman Otunuga, senior research analyst at FXTM, an award-winning international forex broker has described Nigeria’s 2020 revenue targets as highly optimistic if the country could maintain its projected oil production cap of 2.8 million barrels per day.
Otunuga described some of the revenue targets set by the executive arm of government as ‘quite ambitious’, while noting also that the revenue targets of the budget would expose the country to external risks.
He made these remarks while speaking with journalists in Lagos, referring to the last time Nigeria consistently produced more than two million barrels of oil per day was 2013, hence setting the budget target at 2.18 million barrels per day was ‘overly optimistic’.
In his words: “When we look at the 2020 budget, looking at the numbers, government expenditure is going to be N10.33 trillion, revenue target N8.155 trillion, that leaves a deficit of N2.18 trillion, already, that alone, Nigeria will have to finance that debt domestically or externally — that’s the first weight on the economy,” he said.
“Secondly, I feel the major talking point is oil because if you look at the numbers, Nigeria is projecting $57 oil in 2020 average and to pump 2.18million barrels a day, if you look at the oil market, you will know that it is very difficult for oil to push high due to demands side dynamics.
“Concerns of slowing global growth, rise in production from US shale, rise in crude oil inventories in the United States, you know when you put all of these together, 57 is quite ambitious for oil.
“At the same time, if you look at Nigeria’s oil production, in August, Nigeria produced about 1.86 million barrels roughly, but Nigeria pledged OPEC to keep oil production down around roughly 1.7 million barrels per day and if you look deeper, the last time Nigeria was able to produce over two million barrels a day according to OPEC was back in 2013.
“We haven’t seen over two million barrels a day for almost six years, so how are we going to get that amount in 2020. So when you look at the figures, oil revenue accounts for N2.6 trillion, already if you are unable to meet the revenue, it is going to impact the implementation of the budget.”
Otunuga spoke passionately about the diversification of the economy. This, according to him, is one sure way the government can meet up with it buoyant economic pursuit.
He said, “On diversification, it is so bad that even IMF is telling Nigeria that they need to do more with it; the fact that 90 percent of foreign exchange is still from oil and 70 percent of government’s expenditure is still from oil.
“So where is the diversification? I think when we start seeing less foreign exchange earnings coming from oil and government being less reliant on oil, then we can say diversification is kicking in.
“The budget itself on paper has the ability to elevate Nigeria’s economy but meeting those spending targets is the question. If Nigeria is able to meet the targets, the outlook is positive.
“But let me say the repeat of 2019 budget, where even recent reports have shown that government’s spending target is only about 58 percent, it is still going to be the same; we have a budget and it is not reflecting on the economy.”
The Senior Research Analyst at FXTM however, extolled the Executive and the legislative arms of Government for seeking to reset the budget cycle to run from January to December 2020, away from the irregular budget cycles of the past.
Flutterwave has distanced itself from reports claiming the federal government has approved a $75 million investment in the company as a precursor to a public listing.
In a statement, Flutterwave dismissed the reports as “inaccurate,” specifically refuting claims that it is on the verge of a $250 million Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The denial follows a flurry of local media reports on Monday, sparked in part by a now-deleted social media post from a special assistant to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
Flutterwave has said it has no knowledge of a reported $75 million investment by Nigeria’s federal government, pushing back against local media reports that suggested the deal had been approved as part of the company’s path toward a public listing.
Earlier reports on Monday, including a now-deleted tweet from a special assistant to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, stated that the president had authorised an investment of $75 million in the payments company through the Ministry of Finance Incorporated (MoFI).
Flutterwave’s spokesperson clarified the company’s position stating that, “Flutterwave is not in any way close to an IPO, and they have made no announcements regarding a listing or fundraising tied to an IPO as described.”
The confusion highlights the intense scrutiny surrounding the unicorn, which was valued at over $3 billion during its 2022 funding round.
While Flutterwave has long been touted as the torchbearer for African tech on the global public stage, the company appears to have pivoted toward a more conservative timeline.
The reports also indicated that the startup was preparing to raise up to $250 million in an initial public offering.
CitiTrust Financial Services Limited, the parent company of Osun-partly owned LivingTrust Mortgage Bank, has approached the Court of Appeal sitting in Lagos, following the company’s conviction at the Federal High Court, Lagos, over alleged fraud and illegal financial operations.
CitiTrust, is challenging the conviction and asset forfeiture order handed down by the Court in the case brought the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).
EFCC accused it of money laundering, illegal financial operations, and operating a Ponzi scheme.
Federal High Court, had ordered the forfeiture of the firm’s assets to the federal government of Nigeria, citing evidence of unlawful financial activities.
CitiTrust is fighting back according to the hearing notice No. CA/L/571/2025, issued on April 15, 2026, the appeal against the federal government, will be heard at the Court of Appeal complex in Tafawa Balewa Square, Lagos.
The matter, listed before Court 1, will first address a motion by the appellants seeking leave to file their appeal out of time.
Oyetola Muyiwa Atoyebi (SAN), counsel to the appellants, in a motion dated September 23, 2025, argued that procedural delays necessitated the application.
He explained that although the Record of Appeal was transmitted on May 26, 2025, the defence could not file its Brief of Argument within the stipulated 45 days due to time constraints and competing professional obligations.
Atoyebi further noted that the appellants’ brief exceeds the 35-page limit prescribed under the Court of Appeal Rules, 2021, by three pages, requiring the court’s permission for its adoption.
The appellants are therefore seeking the leave of the court to file and serve their Brief of Argument out of time, an order extending the time for filing, and an order deeming the already filed brief as properly filed.
The EFCC had earlier secured a conviction against CitiTrust and its subsidiaries, CitiTrust Asset Management Limited and CitiTrust Holding Plc, over alleged fraudulent financial operations.
It would be recalled that in a ruling delivered by Justice Friday Nemakonam Ogazi of the Federal High Court, Lagos, the judge held that there was overwhelming evidence linking the firms to unlawful activities.
The court found that one of the entities was not duly registered with regulatory authorities, including the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), describing the operations as illegal despite corporate registration.
Relying on Section 12 of the Proceeds of Crime (Recovery and Management) Act, 2022, the court ruled that the EFCC had established, on a balance of probabilities, that the assets were proceeds of unlawful activity.
Justice Ogazi also invoked provisions of the Advance Fee Fraud and Other Fraud Related Offences Act and the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA), holding that the corporate veil could be lifted where fraud is alleged.
“The law is that when issues of fraud arise, the corporate veil must be lifted. Statutory provisions cannot be used as a refuge to justify illegality,” the court held.
The court subsequently ordered the final forfeiture of CitiTrust-linked assets, forfeiture of shares held in LivingTrust Mortgage Bank Plc, compensation of investors from recovered funds, and transfer of any balance to the Federal Government.
The anti-graft agency had also declared some executive directors of the firm wanted, alleging that they are currently on the run.
Federal court in Lagos has suspended the enforcement of Nigeria’s most comprehensive framework for regulating digital lending apps.
On April 15, Justice Ambrose Lewis-Allagoa of the Federal High Court in Lagos granted an interim injunction blocking the enforcement of the Digital, Electronic, Online, or Non-Traditional Consumer Lending Regulations 2025, better known as the DEON Regulations.
The order followed an urgent ex parte application filed the previous day by the Wireless Application Service Providers Association of Nigeria (WASPA Nigeria), the industry body representing wireless application service providers operating mainly within the telecoms ecosystem.
The suit targets twelve specific provisions of the text, covering licensing, sanctions, compliance obligations and data-handling rules, according to court documentation published by Lawyard.
Until the next hearing on April 27, 2026, the regulator cannot impose sanctions, enforce compliance directives, or issue new instructions to WASPA members.
The judge also barred the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) from interfering with the ongoing commercial operations of association members.
The case pits two actors whose respective mandates the Nigerian legal framework has never clearly separated.
On one side stands the FCCPC — the federal agency established in 2018 to enforce consumer protection and competition — which gazetted the DEON Regulations on July 21, 2025, under sections 17, 18 and 163 of its founding Act.
In a press statement dated September 3, 2025, Tunji Bello, executive vice chairman, FCCPC, justified the rules by citing “a long history of complaints” involving exploitative practices, data breaches, abusive debt recovery, and harassment.
On the other side, WASPA Nigeria contests the very legitimacy of the FCCPC’s intervention, arguing that services tied to telecoms — airtime credit, data loans, mobile-financing products — fall exclusively under the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), the telecoms regulator created by the Nigerian Communications Act of 2003.
In the affidavit deposed by Ayo Stuffman, the association contends that the FCCPC is acting ultra vires and creating a regulatory regime parallel to the NCC’s.
A jurisdictional war that stretches far beyond a procedural dispute
The conflict is not limited to a question of legal boundaries. It strikes at the commercial core of the market: who collects the licensing fees, who sets the operational conditions, who governs the financial products embedded in telecom networks.
Nigeria’s consumer credit stock reached 3.82 trillion naira at the end of December 2024, up 21.27% on September, according to Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) data relayed by The Cable and AFP.
In the fourth quarter of 2024 alone, personal loans disbursed amounted to approximately 470 billion naira.
A growing share flows through mobile applications and telecom-embedded lending products — including MTN’s MoMo Airtime Lending, operated by the country’s largest telecom operator.
If the court validates WASPA’s position, these products fall outside the FCCPC’s scope and come under the sole authority of the NCC, a regulator historically less active on consumer protection issues.
Available data on demand illustrate the social stakes. Between 2021 and 2023, the FCCPC recorded more than 11,000 consumer complaints for harassment, data abuse and unethical debt recovery practices, according to the agency.
The number of lending applications approved by the FCCPC rose from 269 in September 2024 to 408 in March 2025, while 47 apps were delisted and 88 were placed on the watchlist, according to data compiled by AFP and OneSafe.
The DEON Regulations were meant to introduce interest-rate caps, precontractual disclosure obligations, continuous supervision of recovery practices and fines of up to 100 million naira per violation, according to Legit.ng. The compliance deadline was set for January 5, 2026, and the FCCPC had issued written compliance notices to operators with an April 16 deadline, according to WASPA’s affidavit.
It is precisely this enforcement pressure that triggered the legal challenge.
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