News
Coronation Merchant Bank Projects 2.8% GDP Growth for 2023
Experts at Coronation Merchant Bank have projected 2.8 per cent growth in Gross Domestic Product for 2023, attributing it to slow policy implementations and capital expenses due to laser focus on the general elections and transition between administration in the first half of the year.
Chinwe Egwim, the Chief Economist and Head, Economic Research/Intelligence, Coronation Merchant Bank, in a presentation stated that the GDP growth is projected to be driven mainly by the non-oil sector.
According to her, “The services, agriculture and manufacturing sectors are likely to remain key growth drivers, supported by financial interventions by the CBN. Furthermore, the effective implementation of the 2022 Finance Act and the Strategic Revenue Growth Initiatives should contribute to the growth drive through increased non-oil revenues.
“We also considered stable oil prices above USD80/barrel. However, we expect domestic crude oil production to remain below pre-COVID19 levels, due to existing challenges within the sector.
“We have also taken into consideration, relatively weak consumption patterns on the back of high inflation and its impact on service-oriented sectors, the impact of foreign exchange depreciation and increased borrowing costs on business activities.”
She noted that there would Be increased foreign exchange demand due to the need for safe- haven currency (USD) on the back of security concerns.
We expect weak portfolio investment inflow on the back of negative real returns (yields vs inflation) and the political risks surrounding the 2023 general elections. We considered the absence of Nigeria from the ICM in the near term, which does not bode well for external reserves.
“Accordingly, we expect that the existing demand patterns in the parallel market will continue. In our base case scenario, we see the foreign exchange rate at the NAFEX/I&E window at N505/ USD by end-2023.
“We considered: stable growth in non-oil exports boosted by the RT 200 foreign exchange program, continuous injections by the CBN (avg. seven per cent of total inflows on a m/m basis), halt to fuel subsidy payments by end-H1 2023.
She stated that analysts at Coronation Merchant Bank expected inflation to moderate in 2023, partly attributed to positive base effects and the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) current stance on the policy rate.
She noted that the persistent supply shocks on the back of the on-going Russia-Ukraine crisis as well as structural issues impacting the cost of doing business such as insecurity and other logistical challenges would likely keep inflation elevated.
“Other factors include, base effects, depreciation of the naira in the parallel market and an uptick in the price of PMS, due to the potential subsidy removal which would impact the cost of transport and possible demand-pull inflation triggered by increased fiscal stimulus.
“In our base case scenario, we see inflation at 18.3per cent y/y for end-2023,” she added. Speaking at the leading financial institution’s Economic Review and Outlook themed: “baton handoff economic headwinds and risk resilience in Lagos recently,” she noted
Also speaking at the event, Mr. Banjo Adegbohungbe, the MD/CEO, Coronation Merchant Bank, in his opening speech said imminent transition is the overall theme of 2023 as Nigeria is currently having transitions in so many spheres happening at once.
According to him, “And not just that this transition is happening at the domestic environment, we also have the domestic impact of a lot of events that are occurring across the globe at the same time.
“For example, the recent downgrades of Nigeria’s risk ratings highlight various concerns around critical challenges that are filled the spotlight on our direction post transition in 2023.
“While there are significant headwinds in 2023, we believe that the potential also exists to tap into new opportunities.
“At the end of the day, the focus is simple and that is to enable you navigate the headwinds and achieve your respective strategic objectives by identifying those new opportunities.”
News
EXIM Bank of the United States, NEXIM Bank Sign MoU to Strengthen Economic Cooperation
The Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the Nigerian Export-Import Bank (NEXIM) that will deepen collaboration and trade ties between the United States and Nigeria.
The agreement was signed by Exim President and Chair, Reta Jo Lewis, on behalf of Export Import Bank of United states, while Abba Bello, Managing Director/ Chief Executive of NEXIM signed on behalf of the Nigerian Export-Import Bank.
During the signing ceremony, EXIM President and Chair, Reta Jo Lewis, highlights increased opportunities for U.S. exports to Nigeria in critical minerals, clean energy, aviation and infrastructure.
Also, NEXIM MD/CE, Abba Bello, highlights that the partnership is a significant milestone for Nigeria and the US that will provide increased access to trade financing for Nigerian businesses whilst facilitating smoother and more robust mutually beneficial trade flows between the two countries.
The MOU demonstrates a shared desire to identify and promote trade and economic cooperation between the two countries, especially in sectors like clean energy, critical minerals, aviation, maritime transport, digital connectivity, and infrastructure, amongst others.
“Nigeria is the second largest U.S. export destination in Sub-Saharan Africa, but there is so much opportunity to grow,” said Chair Lewis.
“This MOU with NEXIM sends a strong market signal to Nigeria that EXIM is eager to forge a stronger commercial relationship by supporting U.S. exports in key sectors.”
The MD/CE NEXIM in his own remarks noted that, “This collaboration marks a significant milestone in our efforts to strengthen trade ties between Nigeria and the United States.
We are confident that this partnership will open new avenues for economic growth and development”. The MOU, signed virtually marks a significant milestone for the United States and Nigeria.
The MOU will enhance the competitiveness of companies in both nations and strengthen collaboration by exploring options for utilizing EXIM’s medium- and long-term loan guarantees and/or direct loans to finance U.S. exports to Nigeria.
This MOU contributes directly to EXIM’s Sub-Saharan Africa mandate. Over the past three years, EXIM has approved approximately $4 billion of authorizations in support of U.S. exports to sub-Saharan Africa.
The Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) is the nation’s official export credit agency with the mission of supporting American jobs by facilitating U.S. exports.
To advance American competitiveness and assist U.S. businesses as they compete for global sales, EXIM offers financing including credit insurance, working capital guarantees, loan guarantees, and direct loans.
As an independent federal agency, EXIM contributes to U.S. economic growth by supporting tens of thousands of jobs in exporting businesses and their supply chains across the United States.
News
EFCC to Arraign Otudeko, Others on Monday over Alleged N12.3Bn Fraud
Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has filed a 13-count charge of N12.3 billion fraud against Chief Oba Otudeko, chairman, Honeywell Group, and Stephen Olabisi Onasanya, the former managing director, First Bank of Nigeria (FBN).
The charges were filed at the Federal High Court in Lagos.
They are joined by Soji Akintayo, a former board member of Honeywell, and Anchorage Leisure Limited, a company linked to Otudeko.
The four defendants are accused of orchestrating a fraudulent scheme involving the diversion of N12.3 billion from First Bank, with the fraudulent activities allegedly occurring between 2013 and 2014.
The charges against them include claims that they unlawfully obtained funds in multiple transactions, including N5.2 billion, N6.2 billion, N6.15 billion, N1.5 billion, and N500 million.
These funds were allegedly obtained under the false pretence of credit facilities for V-Tech Dynamic Links Limited and Stallion Nigeria Limited.
The EFCC further alleged that the defendants falsified documents to mislead First Bank into processing these transactions.
In the first charge, the defendants were accused of conspiring to fraudulently obtain N12.3 billion from First Bank, misrepresenting that it was for V-Tech Dynamic Links Limited and Stallion Nigeria Limited, despite knowing the information to be false.
In the second charge, they allegedly obtained N5.2 billion from First Bank on November 26, 2013, by falsely claiming it was for V-Tech Dynamic Links Limited.
Between 2013 and 2014, the defendants are accused of obtaining N6.2 billion from First Bank, falsely claiming it was for Stallion Nigeria Limited.
The EFCC also alleged that, on or about September 3, 2013, the defendants forged documents, including a “Letter of Application” to deceive First Bank into believing that the documents were from V-Tech Dynamic Links Limited.
In a similar manner, they were accused of forging a document titled “Authorization to Issue Investment Certificate to First Bank” with the intent to mislead the bank.
Additionally, the charges included accusations that the defendants procured the transfer of N6.2 billion from Stallion Nigeria Limited’s account at First Bank to conceal fraudulent activities.
On December 11, 2013, the defendants allegedly facilitated a transfer of N2.09 billion from Stallion Nigeria Limited’s account to Emmerado Logistics Limited as part of the fraudulent scheme.
Alos, Chief Otudeko is accused of failing to declare a personal interest in a loan facility of N6.15 billion sought by V-Tech Dynamic Links Limited, in breach of banking regulations.
The charges are based on violations of the Advance Fee Fraud and Other Fraud Related Offences Act 2006, the Miscellaneous Offences Act, the Money Laundering (Prohibition) Act 2011, and the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act 2004.
The four defendants are expected to face serious legal consequences if found guilty.
The case is set to proceed on January 20, 2025, and could set an important precedent in the fight against financial fraud in Nigeria’s banking sector.
News
TikTok Plans to Shut Down App in US on Sunday- Sources
TikTok plans to shut U.S. operations of its social media app used by 170 million Americans on Sunday, when a federal ban is set to take effect, barring a last-minute reprieve, people familiar with the matter said.
The Washington Post reported President-elect Donald Trump, whose term begins a day after a ban would start, is considering issuing an executive order to suspend enforcement of a shutdown for 60 to 90 days. The report did not say how Trump could legally do so.
Users who have downloaded TikTok would theoretically still be able to use the app, except that the law also bars U.S. companies starting Sunday from providing services to enable the distribution, maintenance, or updating of it.
The Trump transition team did not have an immediate comment. Trump has said he should have time after taking office to pursue a “political resolution” of the issue.
“TikTok itself is a fantastic platform,” Trump’s incoming national security adviser Mike Waltz told Fox News on Wednesday. “We’re going to find a way to preserve it but protect people’s data.”
The New York Times separately reported that Tiktok CEO has been extended an invitation to attend the President-elect’s inaugration and sit in “a position of honor”.
A White House official told Reuters Wednesday President Joe Biden has no plans to intervene to block a ban in his final days in office if the Supreme Court fails to act and added Biden is legally unable to intervene absent a credible plan from ByteDance to divest TikTok.
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