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Report Reveals Pension Funds’ Fixed Income Yields Rise

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Pension funds’ exposure to the equities market declined by 6.4 per cent as investors pursue safer, higher yields rate in the fixed income assets, a report by Coronation Merchant Bank has revealed.

The report noted that in July, the share of local equities to total pension fund assets fell to its lowest level since November 2020.

Nigerian pension funds being the largest part of the domestic offtakes with total Assets Under Management pegged at N14.36 trillion as of July 2022 has been tipped off to further recede from equities.

According to the report, “Year-to-date, domestic institutional investors have accounted for 60.0 per cent of transactions on the NGX Exchange. Nigerian pension funds are the largest part of this group, with total Assets Under Management of N14.36 trillion as of July 2022.

“However, data from the pension industry regulator shows that Nigerian pension funds’ domestic equity exposure fell to 6.4 per cent in July 2022, the lowest since November 2020, from a 15-month high of 7.1per cent at the end of April.”

The withdrawal, the report said, is slated to spiral into an unprecedented outrun on the fortunes of equities, especially as foreign investors have taken flight due to economic uncertainties related to pre-election jitters.

It added: “First, we looked back at pension funds’ historical exposure to domestic equities and found that Nigerian pension funds have essentially halved their equity exposure today, from 11.9 per cent levels at the end of 2013. This is understandable given equities have returned a measly 5.0 per cent annually in the period, compared to average inflation of over 13.0 per cent.

“But how do changes in equity exposure affect stock market returns, analysing quarterly data from as far back as 2013, we found that equity market returns and changes in Nigerian pension funds asset allocation to equities are correlated. In the month of July, PFA equity exposure fell by 42bps m/m while the NGX ASI fell by 2.8 per cent m/m.”

It further added, “With domestic institutional investors continuing to dominate trading in the equities market, it is likely that further reductions in PFA exposure to equities, especially as fixed income yields continue rise, could lead to further softening of the NGX-ASI.”

Analysts at United Capital had in a report stated that; “PFAs who currently set the pace of equity market direction tend to develop itchy feet towards Nigerian equities in a pre-election cycle. For FPIs, the consensus that they tend to exit emerging market equities whenever an election season starts holds true for Nigeria.

For context, over the past two pre-election years, data from the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) show that FPIs have been net sellers of Nigerian equities to the tune of N81.8billion in the second half of a pre-election year.

“In addition, data from the National Bureau of Statistics show that equity FPI inflows in the second half of the last three pre-election years have declined by an average of 26.9 per cent, compared to the first half of the same year, H2-2010: -2.2 percent, H2-2014: -13.4 percent, and H2-2018: -65.0 percent.”

 


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Nigeria Customs Deploys AI to Cover Revenue Leaks

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The Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) has rolled out an artificial intelligence (AI) driven capacity-building programme to improve revenue generation and reconciliation across its operations.

The initiative, unveiled during a three-day training event in Abuja, aims to transition the agency toward data-driven administration as Nigeria seeks to boost non-oil revenue.

The adoption of AI will enable the service to better manage complex trade systems, detect anomalies and reduce revenue leakages, says Bashir Adewale Adeniyi, comptroller-general of the NCS.

AI-powered tools are already being integrated into risk management and cargo scanning systems to allow for real-time analysis of trade patterns.

The technology marks a transition from manual, reactive processes to predictive and automated decision-making, Adeniyi adds.

The programme also reflects a shift in the relationship between the NCS and the National Assembly toward a collaborative framework focused on transparency and efficiency.

The training is a strategic intervention to address persistent gaps in revenue management, says Kikelomo Adeola, deputy comptroller-general of the NCS.

AI applications, ranging from automated data analysis to predictive intelligence, will significantly enhance the integrity of public financial systems, she says.

The initiative aligns with broader efforts to modernise governance and improve compliance across revenue-generating agencies, says Bamidele Salam, chairman of the House Public Accounts Committee.

Lawmakers and fiscal authorities at the event underscored the urgency of adopting advanced technologies amid rising budgetary pressures.

This move comes as the federal government increases scrutiny over revenue leakages and audit discrepancies.

The partnership between the NCS and the legislature is critical to strengthening fiscal discipline and ensuring all revenue due to the federation is accurately captured, Adeniyi concludes.


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Lagos Targets Vulnerable Residents in Expanded Social Register

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Lagos State Government has intensified efforts to strengthen its social protection framework with a fresh push to update the state’s Single Social Register.

Lagos Targets Vulnerable Residents in Expanded Social Register

Babajide Sanwo-Olu, Governor, Lagos

This was contained in a press statement on the government’s Facebook page on Wednesday.

The initiative, led by the Lagos State Ministry of Economic Planning and Budget, formed the focus of a strategic engagement held on Monday with Community-Based Targeting teams, local government coordinators and field enumerators across the state’s 57 Local Government Areas and Local Council Development Areas.

The meeting, themed “Closing the Gap: Accelerating Lagos State Single Social Register Update,” took place at the Radio Lagos Multipurpose Hall in Agidingbi, Ikeja.

Officials said the exercise is aimed at improving the accuracy and reach of the register, which serves as a critical tool for planning and delivering targeted social interventions, including financial support, healthcare and education services.

Speaking at the session, Ope George, commissioner for Economic Planning and Budget, commended field workers for their commitment while urging them to scale up their efforts.

He called on participants to be “more intentional by intensifying their commitment,” reaffirming the government’s resolve to “continuously strengthen and refine the Register to reflect evolving realities.”

Also speaking, Olayinka Ojo, permanent secretary in the ministry, described the register as central to effective governance and service delivery.

She said “it remains a cornerstone for effective planning and delivery of social intervention programmes,” adding that the ongoing update is designed to “further enhance data reliability, coordination, and service delivery outcomes.”

Ojo noted that sensitisation efforts would be expanded across all councils to ensure wider inclusion of residents, stating that “the advocacy and sensitisation will scale throughout the 57 LGAs and LCDA to give more to Lagos residents.”

According to the government, the updated register is expected to expand access to social protection programmes and improve the targeting of interventions for the most vulnerable populations.

The engagement also provided a platform for stakeholders to strengthen collaboration, improve data quality and reinforce transparency in grassroots data collection.

The state government reiterated its commitment to leveraging accurate data and partnerships to drive inclusive development, reduce vulnerability and improve living standards across Lagos.


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Study Shows 38% of Northern Women Lack Access to Financial Services

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A new study by Bayero University, Kano, has found that 38 per cent of women in Northern Nigeria do not have access to financial services.

The study, carried out by the Aminu Kano Centre for Democratic Studies of the university, was supported by the Gates Foundation. It examined how social norms and behavioural factors influence financial inclusion across the 19 Northern states.

The report, titled “Understanding Influence and Behaviour in Northern Nigeria” and unveiled in Abuja on Wednesday, stated that while 52 per cent of women are financially served, only 45 per cent access formal financial services through deposit money banks, merchant banks, interest-free banks and microfinance institutions.

It stated that “38 per cent of women across the region lack access to financial services. “52 per cent of women are financially served, while 45 per cent access formal financial services through Deposit Money Banks, merchant banks, interest-free banks and microfinance institutions. An additional seven per cent utilise other formal non-bank financial products, including insurance services. ”

Speaking at the unveiling, the Director of Academic Planning at Bayero University, Prof. Yusuf Garba, who represented the Vice Chancellor, Prof. Haurna Musa said the research was designed to uncover why the region lags in financial access.

“This study, which started in 2024, aims to examine how social norms influence attitudes and behaviour of various groups across Northern Nigeria, particularly to find out why states in the region fall behind in access and use of financial services,” he said.

Garba explained that the research, conducted over 18 months, produced two volumes detailing how influence structures, trust hierarchies, gender norms, and religious considerations shape decisions around finance, health and education.

He added, “The report is structured into volumes to provide a unified explanation of how social norms, authority structure, and trust shape financial behaviour across Northern Nigeria.”

On the findings, the Principal Investigator, Prof. Ismael Zango, said the data aligns with figures from the National Bureau of Statistics, particularly on poverty and unemployment.

According to him, “unemployment in the region stands at about 37 per cent,” while “poverty levels average about 80 per cent across Northern Nigeria, with Sokoto State recording the highest rate at over 80 per cent.”

Zango stressed that addressing financial exclusion requires more than temporary interventions.

“Economic empowerment must go beyond token financial support,” he said, adding that “sustainable development requires equipping women and youths with relevant, market-driven skills.”

He cited women-led initiatives such as groundnut processing groups in Kebbi State and the Women in Agriculture programme in Kano State as practical models.

“These initiatives should be scaled up to bring more people into productive economic activities and reduce poverty,” he said.

In her remarks, the Chief Executive Officer of Enhancing Financial Inclusion and Advancement, Mrs. Foyinsolami Akinjayeju, described financial inclusion as both an ethical and economic imperative.

Akinjayeju called for stronger collaboration among stakeholders, including government, financial institutions and development partners, as well as policy reforms to address existing gaps.

“Everyone has a role to play, but commitment must come from the top,” she said.

The findings come amid growing concerns over low financial inclusion rates in Northern Nigeria, driven by poverty, unemployment, and entrenched social norms that limit women’s economic participation.


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