E-Financial
FXTM Analysis: French Election Relief Rekindles Risk Sentiment

FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga comments on the potential market effects of the forthcoming French presidential elections.
Financial markets received a solid boost during early trading on Monday, after Centrist Emmanuel Macron secured a position in the second round of the French presidential elections. With Macron’s market-friendly, first round victory dissolving some risks associated around a potential anti-establishment shocker, the Euro lurched to fresh five-month highs above 1.0930. Although this risk-on sentiment could support the Euro in the short term, upside gains may face obstacles if uncertainty starts to mount once again ahead of the second round of voting on 7 May. While expectations remain somewhat elevated over Macron becoming the next French President, the live threat of an unexpected Trump-style victory by Marine Le Pen could still expose the Euro to downside shocks.
From a technical standpoint, although the sharp appreciation on the EURUSD has made prices bullish on the daily charts, questions should be asked about the longevity of the current rally. Bulls need to secure a daily close above 1.0900 to open a path towards 1.1000. In an alternative scenario, weakness below 1.0800 could open a path towards 1.0750 and lower.
Greenback Stumbles into New Week
The Dollar Index found itself pressured below 100.00 last week, after the combination of soft economic data and fading rate hike expectations enticed sellers to attack.
Although U.S President Donald Trump has announced that a big tax reform and tax reduction will be announced this Wednesday, markets have received this news with a big pinch of salt.
The skepticism over Trump’s ability to deliver is becoming quite visible and the growing threat of fiscal spending falling short of expectations may potentially punish the Dollar further.
From a technical standpoint, prices have commenced the trading week under renewed pressure and a break below 98.80 could open a path lower towards 98.50.
Stock Markets Uplifted by Macron
Global stocks were mostly higher during Monday’s trading session, as participants mulled over the market-friendly outcome of the first round of the French Presidential elections. With Macron’s impressive performance and victory in the first round easing some Frexit-related concerns, stocks in Asia and Europe marched into gains.
The newly found appetite for risk should support Wall Street this afternoon. While stock markets have the ability to edge higher in the short term as a result of this relief, potential anxiety ahead of the second round of voting and ongoing Trump uncertainties still have the ability to limit gains.
Commodity spotlight – Gold
The renewed appetite for riskier assets has reduced Gold’s glimmer on Monday, with the metal trading around $1270 as of writing.
While the current risk-on environment has the ability to expose the yellow metal to further losses, bulls remain in control above $1260. With uncertainty likely to heighten ahead of the second round of the French elections in the coming fortnight and Brexit developments weighing on sentiment, bulls still have a chance to send prices higher.
From a technical standpoint, the candlesticks are still trading within the daily bullish channel while the MACD points to the upside. A break back above $1280 could open a path higher towards $1280. A daily close below $1260 invalidates this daily bullish setup.
E-Financial
CBN Wins Central Bank of the Year Title @13th Global Awards

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has been named Central Bank of the Year 2026 by an awards committee in London.

The award recognises the bank’s major reforms that helped stabilise Nigeria’s economy and improve investor confidence.
The award is part of the 13th annual Central Banking Awards. It highlights how the CBN helped turn around Nigeria’s economy, which was close to crisis in 2023.
At that time, Nigeria faced serious problems such as high inflation, a weak currency, low foreign reserves, and about $7 billion in unpaid foreign exchange obligations.
There was also a big gap between official and black-market exchange rates.
After Olayemi Cardoso was appointed governor in October 2023 by Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the CBN introduced strong reforms. These reforms focused on proper monetary policies, transparency, and market-based systems.
One major change was in the foreign exchange system.
The CBN removed multiple exchange rates and introduced a “willing-buyer, willing-seller” system. This made the market more transparent and reduced manipulation.
The bank also cleared old foreign exchange debts owed to sectors like aviation and manufacturing.
This helped restore trust in the economy. By late 2025, the gap between official and black-market exchange rates dropped to less than 2%.
Nigeria’s foreign reserves also improved, rising to $46.7 billion by November 2025 the highest level in almost seven years.
This was due to better foreign exchange inflows, stronger exports, and renewed investor confidence.
The International Monetary Fund praised these reforms, saying they improved the foreign exchange market and made pricing more reliable.
Inflation, which peaked at 34.8% in December 2024, dropped to 15.1% by January 2026. The CBN achieved this by raising interest rates and carefully managing the economy.
The bank also improved its internal operations. It stopped some programmes that were increasing money supply and causing inflation.
It strengthened its systems, improved compliance, and introduced digital tools, including artificial intelligence.
In the banking sector, the CBN introduced new rules requiring banks to increase their capital. This is expected to make the financial system stronger.
Nigeria also improved its fight against financial crimes. In 2025, the country was removed from a global watchlist for money laundering after improving its monitoring systems.
These reforms boosted Nigeria’s global image. Credit rating agencies upgraded the country’s outlook, and investor interest increased. Nigeria’s 2025 Eurobond attracted more than five times the expected subscriptions.
Although progress has been made, the CBN says challenges still remain, such as maintaining low inflation and completing banking reforms.
Overall, the award shows that Nigeria is regaining its position in the global financial system, thanks to strong policies and reforms by the CBN.
E-Financial
Providus Bank Fully Meets CBN Capital Requirement, Sets Record Straight

Providus Bank Limited has dispelled media reports over its compliance with regulatory capital requirements, confirming that it has successfully met and exceeded the recapitalisation threshold set by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

In a statement, the bank clarified that under the CBN’s recapitalisation framework, regional commercial banks are mandated to maintain a minimum capital base of N50 billion, stating unequivocally that it achieved this benchmark as far back as January 2025 and has since strengthened its financial standing.
According to the bank, its current paid-up capital stands at N65 billion, significantly above the regulatory minimum, underscoring its resilience and commitment to sound financial management.
The bank noted that this strong capital position places it in good stead to support its growth strategy and continue delivering value to customers and stakeholders.
Providus Bank emphasied that any suggestion implying non-compliance with the CBN’s recapitalisation requirement was inaccurate and does not reflect its current regulatory status.
The bank reiterated its dedication to maintaining robust governance standards and aligning with all prudential guidelines set by the apex regulator.
It explained: Providus Bank Limited notes recent media reports regarding the recapitalisation status of certain banks and considers it important to provide factual clarification as it relates to the Bank. Under the CBN recapitalisation framework, regional commercial banks are required to maintain a minimum capital base of N50 billion.
“Providus Bank confirms that it had met its capital requirement since January 2025 and currently has a capital base of N65 billiom which is in excess of its capital requirement.
Accordingly, any suggestion that Providus Bank has not met the applicable recapitalisation threshold is not consistent with its current regulatory standing.”
The Olayemi Cardoso-led Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) had, on March 28, 2024, announced a two-year bank recapitalisation exercise which commenced on April 1, 2024.
The 24-month timeline for compliance ends on March 31, 2026. The upward capital revision is expected to ensure that Nigerian banks have the capacity to take on bigger risks and stay afloat amid both domestic and external shocks.
Specifically, the recapitalisation exercise requires a minimum capital of N500 billion, N200 billion, and N50 billion for commercial banks with international, national, and regional licences, respectively.
E-Financial
UBA UK, BII Sign Letter of Intent to Slash Africa’s $80Bn Trade Finance Gap

United Bank for Africa (UK) Limited (“UBA UK”) and British International Investment plc (“BII”), the UK’s development finance institution and impact investor, today announced that they have signed a letter of intent to develop trade finance collaboration opportunities. The proposed initiative aims to expand access to trade and working capital facilities for businesses operating across Africa.

L-r: West Africa Director and Head of Office Africa Coverage, BII West Africa, Benson Adenuga; Managing Director and Head of Africa, BII, Chris Chijiutomi; Lok Mishra, Chief Executive Officer, UBA UK, Loknath Mishra; Group Managing Director, United Bank for Africa (Plc) during the signing of letter of intent to develop trade finance collaboration opportunities.
Access to trade finance remains one of the most significant structural constraints on African trade. Businesses – particularly small and medium-sized enterprises – are frequently unable to secure letters of credit, guarantees, and supply chain finance on commercially viable terms, limiting their capacity to export and import competitively. This trade finance gap is estimated by the African Development Bank to be over USD 80 billion annually.
To help close this gap, UBA UK, the London subsidiary of UBA Group, Africa’s Global Bank, will leverage its deep relationships across the Group’s 20-country African network to originate and structure trade finance transactions. While BII, with a mandate to support productive, sustainable, and inclusive growth across Africa, can support transactions that might otherwise fall outside conventional commercial appetite.
Lok Mishra, Chief Executive Officer, UBA UK, said: “The signing of this letter with BII represents a landmark moment for UBA UK and for the UBA Group’s global ambitions. As the Group’s hub for Trade Operations, UBA UK is uniquely positioned to connect African businesses with the international financial system.
“Working alongside BII, we can extend that capability further — mobilising capital where it matters most and helping to close the trade finance gap that holds back so much African potential.”
Chris Chijiuitomi, Managing Director and Head of Africa, said: “British International Investment is committed to catalysing private sector growth across Africa, and trade finance is a critical enabler of that growth.
“We welcome the opportunity to collaborate with UBA Group, whose pan-African network and deep institutional relationships can help advance our ambition to expand access to trade and working capital finance, particularly in frontier markets.”
The announcement builds on growing momentum around intra-African trade facilitated by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), which entered into force in 2021 and represents one of the world’s most ignificant trade integration initiatives.
Both institutions have identified the operationalisation of AfCFTA as a priority catalyst for a trade finance facility, with UBA UK’s network across major AfCFTA economies offering a basis for supporting businesses navigating the emerging continental market.
This also complements the UK Government’s broader engagement with African economic development, including commitments made at the UK-Africa Investment Summit, and reinforces the City of London’s role as a leading international finance centre for Africa-focused capital mobilisation.
Future cooperation remains subject to further assessment, due diligence and the completion of internal approvals by both parties.
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