E-Financial
FXTM: Dollar Sensitivity Seizes Centre Stage

Global stocks descended deeper into the abyss in the first trading week of May following the tepid Chinese manufacturing data and slash in Europe’s growth outlook that renewed concerns about the health of the global economy.
European equities were left depressed with the FTSE100 attracting most of the headline attention yesterday after the major index dropped to its lowest level in around three weeks.
The bearish contagion from Europe encouraged investors to scatter away from riskier assets and this consequently punished American markets that also closed negative.
With expectations rapidly diminishing over further central bank interventions by the BoJ, Asian markets could remain pressured for an extended period as an appreciating Yen weighs heavily on the Nikkei.
Investors should keep in mind that confidence towards the global economy is strikingly low and with oil prices almost puppeteering the movements in the stock markets, further declines could be pending in the near term.
FTSE100 Spotlight
The elevated concerns over the health of the global economy complimented with the incessant declines in oil prices have soured investor risk appetite, consequently leaving the FTSE100 vulnerable to further losses.
This index has been weighed down by a variety of different factors with this including: mining stocks being dragged lower, a resumption of concerns over economic momentum in China following factory activity shrinking in April, and an unexpected UK Manufacturing PMI contraction.
These attributes combined have provided a foundation for bearish investors to install a heavy round of selling with prices edging towards 6150.
From a technical standpoint, this index is under pressure on the daily timeframe.
Prices are trading below the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the downside. Previous support at 6200 could transform into a dynamic resistance that could open a path to 6150.
Dollar Trades with Fragility
The dimming expectations over the Federal Reserve raising US rates in Q2 have provided a platform for bearish investors to ruthlessly attack the Dollar Index to levels not seen since January 2015, below 92.00.
Sentiment is undeniably bearish towards the Dollar, and with domestic data in the United States pointing to further weakness in the economy, Dollar vulnerability could remain the dominant theme in the global currency markets.
With the NFP looming this week, Dollar sensitivity could heighten as market participants ponder on the likelihood of a figure that exceeds expectations.
With global developments constantly exposing the US economy to downside risks, it seems likely that a positive NFP may do little to boost optimism over another US rate hike in 2016.
All eyes should remain on the Dollar in May as the Dollar Index approaches a major support level that if breached below, could spell an even deeper correction lower for the Dollar.
The potential for another period of extended weakness in the Dollar is technically looking strong at present from a technical and fundamental perspective.
If even a positive NFP report leads to a sudden surge in expectations over a possible US rate hike, the fundamentals disagree and as such could provide a relief rally for bearish investors to exploit.
From a technical standpoint, the Dollar is bearish as there have been consistently lower lows and lower highs while the MACD also trades to the downside. If prices can breach the weekly support at 92.50 then the flood gates could be open for a steeper decline towards 90.00
BoJ Feeling the Heat
Investors were left bewildered last week following the Bank of Japan’s unexpected decision to leave monetary policy measures unchanged despite the economy wheezing for further central bank intervention. The disappointment from the BoJ’s inaction triggered a sharp appreciation in the Yen, which caused the USDJPY to plummet to 18-month lows.
Falling commodity prices have left Japan under intense pressure while an appreciating Yen continues to erode the nation’s export competitiveness, consequently rekindling fears of deflationary woes.
Expectations are swiftly fading over further interventions by the BoJ and this could spell more gains for the Yen which may simply punish the nation that is already entangled in a losing battle with falling inflation.
From a technical standpoint, the USDJPY is extremely bearish and with Yen strength becoming a dominant theme in the currency markets, prices could decline towards 105.00. This momentum may likely take the USDJPY towards 105.00 in the medium term. If prices decide to bounce, then previous support at 107.50 could become a dynamic resistance for a decline towards 105.00.
GBPUSD Plummets as Brexit Camp Leads
The Sterling/Dollar tumbled with force during trading on Tuesday after a poll which displayed the Brexit camp as leading renewed a wave of jitters that haunted investor attraction towards the Sterling. This decline was complimented with the unexpected contraction in the UK manufacturing PMI that rekindled fears over the health of the UK economy.
With UK data repeatedly following a tepid path, expectations over the BoE hiking UK rates have declined considerably and such has offered a platform for bears to attack. Sentiment is heavily bearish towards the pound and prices could be poised to decline towards 1.44 if the 1.45 support is breached.
From a technical standpoint, the candlesticks are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has also crossed to the upside. Sterling bears simply need to exploit the window of weakness below 1.45 to reclaim some control under 1.44.
WTI Bulls Struggle Below $46.50
WTI Crude found resistance at $46.50 during trading this week as news dispersed of OPEC production output nearing record highs in April, which renewed fears over the excessive supply in the saturated markets.
It is becoming increasingly clear that WTI is fundamentally bearish and with expectations rapidly retracting over any production cuts, bears could attack prices back towards $41.40.
While from a technical standpoint prices are bullish on the daily timeframe, bears only need a window of weakness to send this unstable tower crashing back down.
If crude oil inventories have risen in today’s report then this could be the first catalyst needed for WTI crude bears to send prices lower.
From a technical standpoint, there have been consistently higher highs and higher lows while the MACD also trades to the upside. A breakdown below $44 could open the gates to $41.40 and potentially lower. While these short term gains are impressive, the fundamentals continue to signal to the downside and such should keep investors diligent.
Gold Regains Allure
Gold edged closer to a major resistance around $1305 this trading week following the explosive mixture of Dollar weakness and steep declines in equity markets that boosted investor attraction to safe haven assets.
We remain fundamentally bullish on Gold and Dollar weakness may provide a platform for bullish investors to install another heavy round of buying momentum.
With concerns over slowing global growth and fading expectations over the Fed raising US rates in Q2 magnifying the metal’s allure, prices could be poised for further inclines. Although Gold has descended back towards $1280, this correction could provide a platform for bulls to send the metal back towards $1305 and potentially higher.
From a technical standpoint, prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the upside. Previous support at $1270 could encourage buyers to send Gold prices back towards $1305.
The Article is the opinion of Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM
E-Financial
NGX REGCO Fines 5 Firms N291m for Market Manipulation

NGX Regulation Limited (NGX REGCO), a wholly owned subsidiary of Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX Group) has sanctioned five trading license holders for alleged market manipulation and other prohibited trading activities, imposing fines totaling N291million.

In a notification dated March 27, 2026, and addressed to Emomotimi Agama, director-general of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the regulator said the decision followed deliberations of its Regulatory and New Business Committee (RNBC) held on March 16 and 24, 2026.
The sanctioned firms are CSL Stockbrokers Limited, Cowry Securities Limited, Meristem Stockbrokers Limited, SMADAC Securities Limited, and Associated Asset Managers Limited.
NGX RegCo stated that the cases were escalated by its Investigation Panel after hearings on February 25 and March 17, 2026, which uncovered repeated infractions such as wash trades, self-matching transactions, artificial price formation, and misleading market activity.
CSL Stockbrokers was fined N91.29 million, while Cowry Securities, Meristem Stockbrokers, SMADAC Securities, and Associated Asset Managers were each penalized N50 million in accordance with the Investment and Securities Act 2025.
The Exchange also directed the affected firms to undertake mandatory compliance and market conduct training to reinforce regulatory adherence and enhance market discipline.
It noted that the sanctions are proportionate to the violations and are intended to deter future misconduct, reaffirming its commitment to safeguarding market integrity, protecting investors, and strengthening confidence in Nigeria’s capital market.
E-Financial
FG Launches Cross-Border Digital Payments Report

Federal government has launched the “Cross-Border Digital Payments and Identity in Nigeria under the AfCFTA” report, urging stakeholders to unlock trade opportunities for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) to access the $3.5 trillion African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) market.

The high-level report, hosted by the Office of the Vice President in collaboration with ODI Global under the Supporting Investment and Trade in Africa (SITA) programme, was unveiled by Ibrahim Hassan-Hadejia, deputy chief of staff to the President, in Abuja.
Hassan-Hadejia described the research as both timely and strategic, noting the strong coordination by the Office of the Vice President and the leadership of the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment.
He revealed that the cross-border payments report followed earlier milestones, including the development and launch of Nigeria’s Digital Trade Strategy and a capacity-building programme for subnational leaders.
Furthermore, he said Nigeria is increasingly assuming a leading role in shaping the digital trade agenda across the African continent, necessitating that the country remains at the forefront of AfCFTA implementation.
He noted that deepening engagement with AfCFTA and enabling businesses, particularly SMEs, to conduct seamless cross-border transactions will be critical to unlocking trade, fostering growth, and creating jobs.
He further stated that efficient cross-border payments, supported by trusted digital identity systems as recommended in the report, will be key to realising President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s Renewed Hope vision for Nigerian MSMEs.
The Deputy Chief of Staff also observed that while the report identifies the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System as a critical platform for cross-border digital payments, Nigerian fintech firms such as PalmPay and Moniepoint, which have some of the largest and most active user bases, will play a pivotal role in driving adoption.
He assured that the Federal Government remains committed to strengthening critical infrastructure, regulatory frameworks, and partnerships to ensure Nigeria is not only ready for digital trade but continues to lead.
“I appreciate the efforts of all stakeholders and urge us to move AfCFTA beyond a continental agreement to a $3.5 trillion trade juggernaut that will reinvigorate our industries, unlock intra-African trade, and domesticate African prosperity,” he added.
He said “intra-African trade will be driven not only by large corporations but by small businesses empowered through digital trade and e-commerce, while noting that issues of trust, identity, and logistics, as highlighted in the report, must be addressed”.
Commenting on the report, Temitola Adekunle-Johnson, special Adviser to the President on Job Creation and MSMEs, said the report – developed under the purview of the Office of the Vice President-would significantly strengthen the MSME ecosystem.
He expressed optimism that the report’s findings and recommendations would enable Nigerian SMEs to achieve seamless access to continental markets.
Salihu Dasuki, special Assistant to the President on ICT Policy, Office of the Vice President, disclosed that the office, in partnership with development partners, has developed a framework to fast-track seamless cross-border payments for MSMEs.
He added that “a key pillar of President Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda is enabling Nigerians to access digital trade, which informed the capacity-building programme conducted for subnational governments last year”.
Shuda Ahmed, special assistant to the President on Project Support, Office of the Vice President, commended ODI Global for leading the research underpinning the report.
She noted that without seamless and affordable cross-border payment systems, MSMEs across the continent would be unable to scale beyond their domestic markets.
The event was attended by officials of ODI Global, representatives of AfCFTA, the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), National Identity Management Commission (NIMC), Nigerian Petroleum Development Company (NPDC), Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC), and MSMEs, among other key stakeholders.
E-Financial
Interswitch Deepens Strategic Partnership with KCB Group to Advance Digital Payments and Financial Inclusion

Interswitch, Africa-focused integrated payments and digital commerce enabler, has reaffirmed and expanded its longstanding partnership with KCB Group within the East Africa region, marking a significant milestone in the drive to accelerate seamless, secure, and inclusive digital payments across the region.

During a recent executive engagement at KCB Group Headquarters in Nairobi, Interswitch Founder and Group CEO, Mitchell Elegbe, led a cross-functional delegation from the company’s Lagos and Nairobi offices, including Interswitch’s Kenya Country General Manager, Bernard Kinara, in high-level discussions with KCB leadership, including Group CEO, Paul Russo, and Director of Strategy & Innovation, Mark Mwongela.
The engagement reinforced both organizations’ shared commitment to scaling digital payment infrastructure and delivering innovative financial solutions that meet the evolving needs of individuals, businesses, and institutions across the region.
Interswitch recently announced an expansion of Verve card acceptance footprint in Kenya, leveraging it’s consolidated partnership with KCB Group, Kenya’s largest financial services group by assets, following a similar move in Uganda through the local KCB Franchise in February 2022.
At the core of the strengthened collaboration is the integration of Interswitch’s robust payment rails, card scheme, and emerging digital token solutions with KCB Group’s expansive regional footprint and trusted banking franchise. This integration enables the acceptance of Verve cards and tokenized payment solutions across KCB’s extensive merchant point-of-sale network in Kenya and Uganda, significantly enhancing everyday usability for customers while strengthening KCB’s digitally driven retail payments offering.
The consolidated partnership is expected to drive increased merchant acquisition, improve interoperability across payment ecosystems, and expand access to secure, cashless transactions. It also reinforces both organizations’ shared objective of deepening financial inclusion and accelerating digital commerce across East Africa.
Speaking on the strategic engagement with KCB Group, Mitchell Elegbe noted:
“Our collaboration with KCB Group represents a powerful alignment of vision and capability. By combining our technology-driven payment solutions with KCB’s strong regional presence, we are unlocking new opportunities to scale access, drive innovation, and deliver greater value to customers across East Africa.”
As digital transformation continues to reshape Africa’s financial services landscape, Interswitch and KCB Group remain focused on building resilient, interoperable systems that empower businesses, support economic growth, and drive broader participation in the digital economy.
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