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Higher US Interest Rates Burn through Nigeria’s Reserves

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By Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM

 

Defending the Nigerian Naira against the mighty Dollar has come at a steep price to the central bank of Nigeria in the form of falling reserves.

Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves have declined by roughly $2.1 billion in the last 30 days thanks to a broadly stronger Dollar and prospects of higher US interest rates. With the Fed expected to raise interest rates again in December, reserves are seen falling even further on the widening interest rate differentials between both central banks. If the Oil bull rally sputters and government revenues in Nigeria end up thinning, protecting the Naira could become increasingly complicated and strenuous for the central bank

 

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Week ahead: Italian budget, ECB meeting & US GDP in focus

Asian shares were mostly higher this morning as Chinese indexes rallied more than 4% on verbal support from the country’s top officials.

Although the positive momentum from Asia has seeped into European markets, gains remain threatened by fragile risk sentiment. With investors bombarded by geopolitical factors such as trade tensions, Italy’s budget woes and Brexit-related uncertainty, caution is set to prevail this week. Global equity bulls still have an opportunity to re-enter the scene on the back of robust corporate earnings. However, expectations of higher US interest rates, global growth fears and geopolitical tensions all present downside risks to equity markets across the world.

 

Trade tensions sizzle in the background

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US-China trade developments were back in focus following reports of White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow accusing Beijing of doing “nothing” to ease trade disputes ahead of a G20 meeting in Argentina next month.

This development has not only reduced optimism over the United States and China finding a middle ground on trade but raised prospects of the US next year boosting the tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese imports from 10% to 25%.

With a full-blown trade war between the world’s two largest economies presenting a significant threat to global growth and stability, sentiment is poised to remain fragile.

 

Markets eye Italy budget

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Italy’s budget woes with the European Union enters a critical phase today as Rome faces a noon deadline to explain why it is in breach of EU fiscal rules. With the Italian government bracing for the EU to reject its 2019 budget on Tuesday, the Euro is likely to take a hit. Uncertainty in Italy remains one the major geopolitical factors weighing on global sentiment and denting investor confidence.

 

ECB meeting on Euro’s radar

All eyes will be on this week’s European Central Bank meeting which is expected to conclude with monetary policy left unchanged.

With no rate moves expected, investors should not be quick to label this meeting as a non-event. Given the growing uncertainty revolving around the political situation in Italy, there will be an extra focus on Mario Draghi’s press conference. It will be interesting to hear Draghi’s thoughts on the developments in Italy and possible impacts they may have on the Eurozone economy. If the central bank head strikes a cautious and dovish tone, the Euro will most likely depreciate.

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Taking a look at the technical picture, the EURUSD is trading back above the 1.1520 level this morning on the back of Dollar weakness. Intraday bulls could push the currency pair towards 1.1580 in the near term.

 

Focus on US Q3 GDP growth

The main event risk in the United States this week will be the first reading of third quarter GDP data scheduled for release on Friday. US economic growth is expected to have expanded 3.3% during the third quarter of 2018, slower than the 4.2% achieved in Q2. An upside surprise on GDP growth has the potential to boost buying sentiment towards the Dollar and reinforce market expectations of higher US interest rates.

 

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General News

Nwokolo, Nollywood Actor Claims Internet Fraud is “Keeping Economy Afloat’

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Ugo Nwokolo, Nollywood actor, has shared a controversial opinion on internet fraud, saying it has been keeping the nation’s economy afloat amid a tougher economic climate.

Nwokolo, Nollywood Actor Claims Internet Fraud is “Keeping Economy Afloat’

Ugo Nwokolo, Nollywood Actor 

Nwokolo made the assertion in a video interview currently circulating on social media.

According to the actor, the cost of living and soaring house rent have made life unbearable for legitimate income earners.

He said high rent in major cities like Lagos and Abuja has edged out those earning N50,000 and N90,000 monthly.

Nwokolo said, “Personally, I think Yahoo has helped keep the economy afloat. Do you expect a civil servant to afford house rent of N3 million or N5 million in Abuja?”

The actor maintained that only the rich, including fraudsters, could meet up with the rising cost of living.

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“If you go to Lagos now, the least you’ll see for a two-bedroom apartment is about N7 million or N8 million. Who is supposed to afford it? The civil servants? Of course, it’s the fraudsters,” he stressed.

However, he argued that he was not justifying crime but merely stating fact.

“I’m not justifying crime, but yes, Yahoo is helping the economy. How do you expect people to live in this kind of economy?” he said.

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Dangote Plans to Donate One-Third of Wealth to Charity as Legacy

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Aliko Dangote
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Aliko Dangote, Africa’s richest man, plans to dedicate one-third of his wealth to charity as part of his succession plan, Halima Dangote, his daughter, has revealed.

Dangote Plans to Donate One-Third of Wealth to Charity as Legacy

Aliko Dangote

Halima, a trustee of the Aliko Dangote Foundation, disclosed this in an interview with Bloomberg published on Tuesday, saying the billionaire had secured the support of his family to commit 33 per cent of his estate to philanthropy.

According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Dangote’s net worth is estimated at $35.1 billion, meaning one-third of his current wealth would be worth about $11.7 billion if his fortune remains at that level.

Halima explained that her father views philanthropy as a key part of his legacy and has incorporated it into the family’s long-term succession plans.

She said Dangote had structured his estate to ensure that charitable giving continues across generations, particularly in areas such as healthcare and education.

“He sort of put all the structure in place whereby we focus a lot on health and education. He actually donated 25 per cent to the foundation. If you look at it, it is what we call in Sharia Code in Islam; it means he has donated 33 per cent of his whole inheritance to his foundation,” she said.

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Halima added that Dangote believes giving back is central to the success of his businesses and the family’s values.

She said the billionaire asked her, her two sisters, and his mother to sign the agreement allowing 33 per cent of his inheritance to be dedicated to humanitarian causes.

The planned donation builds on Dangote’s longstanding philanthropic activities through the Aliko Dangote Foundation, which was established in 1994.

According to Halima, the foundation received an endowment of $1.25 billion about a decade ago and has since received an additional $700 million in funding.

She said about 70 per cent of the foundation’s spending goes to programmes in Nigeria, while 20 per cent supports projects across Africa, with the remaining funds directed to initiatives in other parts of the world.

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The foundation’s interventions focus on healthcare, education, nutrition, and humanitarian support, including partnerships that contributed to the eradication of wild poliovirus in Africa.

Dangote’s planned charitable commitment adds to increasing global attention on billionaire philanthropy.

Although the proposed 33 per cent allocation is below the 50 per cent commitment associated with the Giving Pledge, it would rank among the largest philanthropic commitments announced by an African billionaire.

Earlier this year, Dangote was named among the world’s most influential philanthropists by TIME magazine’s inaugural TIME100 Philanthropy list, recognising the impact of the Aliko Dangote Foundation, which reportedly spends more than ₦50 billion annually on programmes across Africa.

 

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Nigeria Atomic Energy Commission Seeks Collaboration on Power Plants

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Nigeria Atomic Energy Commission (NAEC), has said that there are plans for Nigeria to begin to generate electricity from nuclear sources.

Nigeria Atomic Energy Commission Seeks Collaboration on Power Plants

Mr Anthony Godwin Ekedegwa, chief executive, NAEC stated this when he recently visited Mr Umar Yusuf Girei, acting managing director, National Inland Waterways Authority (NIWA),in Abuja.

He was at NIWA’s office to solicit the support of NIWA in achieving the numerous advantages of using nuclear energy technology in the country.

According to him, the partnership of critical stakeholders in Nigeria will position the country well in developing and maintaining its nuclear power plant.

The NAEC chief said Nigeria intends to begin the generation of electricity from nuclear sources instead of fossil-based power plants and hydro-based power plants, stressing that for Nigeria to develop, there is a need for the country to diversify its energy needs.

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In his remarks, Mr Girei assured NAEC of his agency’s readiness to collaborate on the advancement of a nuclear power plant in Nigeria.

He promised the full support of NAEC for the success of a nuclear power plant in the country, saying that as the organisation saddled with the responsibility of regulating and developing Nigeria Inland Waterways, his entity is strategically positioned to play a critical role in the federal government’s quest for sustainable energy through the new technology.

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