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Moody Says MTN, LIT Exposed to Currency Volatility, Inflation Risks in Nigeria, Others

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MTN and Liquid Intelligent Technologies (LIT) are exposed to inflation and currency depreciation in their South Africa, Zimbabwe and Nigerian markets, said Moody’s Ratings, adding though that regional telecoms operators stood to benefit from booming population and increased uptake of mobile services.

Moody Says MTN, LIT Exposed to Currency Volatility, Inflation Risks in Nigeria, Others

South African telecoms groups have forayed into regional markets, including MTN and Vodacom, where they are also running broadband and setting up mobile money services to broaden revenues and earnings.

However, for operators like MTN, exposure to exchange rates mainly comes from translating results into its rand reporting currency and from the dollar indexation element on its tower leases, especially in Nigeria, said Moody’s senior analyst, Lisa Jaeger.

It is less exposed to a currency mismatch between earnings and debt because it has shifted debt from dollars into rand and naira over the past two to three years and continues to raise debt in local currency at its subsidiaries,” noted Jaeger and other analysts in a new report by Moody’s on the Sub Saharan African telecommunications sector.

On the other hand, LIT – the independent fibre network operator – earns around 75% of its revenue in local currencies such as the Zimbabwe Gold South African rand. Most of LIT’s customer contracts “do not include any price escalation mechanisms, exposing LIT to inflation and currency depreciation” risks.

LIT’s contracts, however, leaves some room for price increases to cover for this as they can be renegotiated periodically, usually on an annual basis while in some countries these have to be approved by the local regulator, adding some regulatory risks and volatility to earnings.

In the case of MTN, in the 18 months to June 2024, the operator’s financial performance suffered significantly from depreciation in Nigeria’s naira.

MTN’s “naira earnings became worth less” when translated into rand, significantly contributing to its 20% drop in group revenue over the half-year period to the end of June.

To offset currency depreciation, mobile network operators operating in volatile markets such as in the case of MTN are resorting to raising tariffs in line with inflation, which is usually correlated to depreciation.

LIT’s strategy to reduce exposure to currency depreciation comes in the form of matching its rand earnings with rand-denominated debt.

However, there remains a mismatch between revenue earned in other local African currencies and its dollar-denominated debt for around 45% of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (Ebitda) including Zimbabwe and around 20% of Ebitda when excluding Zimbabwe.

“Zimbabwe continues to experience high inflation and a weakening currency, even after the introduction of the new currency Zimbabwe gold (ZiG) in April 2024. Even though dollar availability has improved, there remain limitations on converting any cash generated in Zimbabwe into dollars and on moving it out of the country,” notes the Moody’s report on the regional telecoms sector.

 


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Lebara Nigeria, MVNO Oils Machine for Q3 Launch with Personalized Number Reservations

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Lebara Nigeria is building excitement for its upcoming Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO) launch, giving customers a chance to secure a personalized piece of their mobile identity.

Lebara Nigeria, MVNO Oils Machine for Q3 Launch with Personalized Number Reservations

The company has opened a Number Reservation Portal, allowing users to reserve their preferred mobile numbers before the official service goes live in the third quarter of 2025.

This strategic move is all about giving customers a sense of ownership from day one. Using the carrier’s 0724 prefix, users can choose a number that’s meaningful to them, whether it’s a birthday, a lucky number, or an easy-to-remember pattern.

The reservation process is straightforward. Users must be at least 13 years old and provide a few basic details to get a one-time password via email.

Once verified, they’ll need to enter their National Identification Number (NIN), which the system uses to confirm personal information.

After this, a list of available numbers appears, and a final confirmation email completes the reservation.

Lebara, a London-based global MVNO, according to yozzo.com,  is no stranger to the telecom world, with a strong presence as a mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) across Europe and other regions.

Its entry into Nigeria is a calculated move to carve out a space in the highly competitive market.

By allowing customers to pick their numbers early, Lebara hopes to build loyalty and highlight its customer-first philosophy.

The company plans to operate a lean, technology-driven model by leveraging existing network infrastructure, which will help keep costs low and make its pricing competitive.

At launch, Lebara will offer nationwide coverage, a dedicated 0724 number series, and both SIM and eSIM options.

Beyond traditional connectivity, Lebara is also partnering with local government and the Ministry of Arts, Culture, Tourism, and Creative Economy to launch public Wi-Fi hubs and promote digital inclusion for creators and underserved communities.

The core of its proposition is affordability, transparent billing, and a strong customer service model designed to challenge established players.

Lebara’s entry won’t be without its challenges.

It will face off against many other competitors in Nigeria’s emerging MVNO space.

This wave of new entrants comes after the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) issued 46 MVNO licenses, with many of the licensees expected to have already launched.

Despite this, the local media’s focus has largely been on only a couple of them, Vitel and now Lebara.


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Why Half of MVNOs in Nigeria May Collapse- Experts

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Telecoms stakeholders have cautioned that many Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) in Nigeria could struggle to survive unless they address infrastructure gaps, target niche markets, and adapt to local realities.

Why Half of MVNOs in Nigeria May Collapse- Experts

The warning came during the sixth edition of the Telecoms Sector Sustainability Forum, organised by Business Remarks in Lagos on Tuesday.

According to the stakeholders, securing a license from the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) is not enough to ensure survival in a market dominated by major Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) like MTN, Airtel, and Glo.

Chidi Ajuzie, director of USK Mobile, highlighted the stark reality facing MVNOs, noting that none of the over 40 licensed operators have fully launched services.

“Licenses are not cash cows. Too many people think that once you get a license, the money will start rolling in. The truth is, you must build infrastructure, study the market, and create services that meet consumer needs. Without that, many MVNOs will die out quickly,” Ajuzie said.

Ajuzie pointed out that smaller operators, particularly those in Tier 4 and Tier 5 categories, face significant financial hurdles in building their own infrastructure to support capacity.

However, he sees this as an opportunity for innovation, urging MVNOs to target niche markets such as youth, migrant workers, or fintech services, as seen in successful models in South Africa and India.

“Half of us may launch, but only those with clear strategies will survive,” he warned, predicting mergers and consolidations in the coming years.

Tony Emoekpere, president of the Association of Telecommunications Companies of Nigeria (ATCON), echoed Ajuzie’s concerns, stressing that market differentiation is critical for MVNO survival.

“The MNOs already provide enterprise services, internet, and fintech. MVNOs must find gaps and focus on those,” Emoekpere said.

He cited Kenya’s M-Pesa, which revolutionized payments by targeting rural and low-income users, as a model for local innovation.

Emoekpere suggested that MVNOs could capitalize on Nigeria’s underserved rural areas, where millions lack access to reliable telecom and financial services. “Something as simple as a low-data package for POS machines in rural areas could be a game-changer,” he added.

Olusola Teniola, director, IPNX, cautioned against adopting foreign business models without considering Nigeria’s unique environment. “In some villages, people still travel by canoe or horse for hours to access basic services. If your business model doesn’t account for that, it will fail,” Teniola said.

He urged MVNOs to focus on the bottom of the pyramid, where millions lack basic connectivity, rather than competing for urban smartphone users.

Teniola also warned that failure to strengthen indigenous companies could lead to more profits leaving Nigeria through foreign-owned operators, emphasizing the need for policies to protect data sovereignty and foster local innovation.

The stakeholders said while MVNOs have the potential to expand Nigeria’s telecom sector and increase consumer choice, their survival hinges on strategic planning, niche targeting, and a focus on rural connectivity.

Without urgent action to address infrastructure challenges and adapt to local needs, many MVNOs risk disappearing before they can establish a foothold in Nigeria’s competitive telecom landscape.

 

 

 

 


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NCC Claims Nigeria’s Telecom Tariffs among Cheapest despite 50 Percent Hike

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Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) has defended the recent upward review of telecom tariffs, insisting that Nigeria’s rates remain among the cheapest in the world due to strong industry competition.

NCC Claims Nigeria’s Telecom Tariffs among Cheapest despite 50 Percent Hike

Speaking at a media briefing in Abuja recently, Dr. Aminu Maida, executive vice chairman, NCC, said that despite a 50% hike in tariffs, call rates have only moved from ₦15 per minute in the early 2000s to about ₦18–₦19 per minute today.

“Even with the increase, not all operators adjusted their tariffs. Some are still undercutting others. That is competition at work,” Maida explained.

He assured that the commission will continue to strengthen regulations to encourage competitiveness and transparency.

According to him, NCC is adopting an information disclosure strategy to enable consumers to make informed choices.

Maida also cautioned Nigerians against relying on Truecaller for identity verification, stressing that it is not linked to Nigeria’s SIM registration database and often provides misleading results.

He noted that while all SIMs in use are registered, some individuals deliberately use proxies, including domestic staff, to register SIMs an act he described as a crime.

The NCC boss disclosed that in September, the commission will launch a coverage and tariff map to help subscribers compare network quality and pricing across operators.

He further revealed plans for spectrum trades and leases to optimise usage and improve service delivery, adding that most Nigerian phones already support 4G, which remains the “sweet spot” for mobile broadband.

Maida emphasised the need for fresh capital and stronger corporate governance within the sector to sustain growth, enhance service quality, and strengthen national security.


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