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Naira softens against Dollar on parallel markets

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By Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM

 

The Naira eased slightly against the Dollar on the parallel markets as geopolitical concerns weighed on emerging market currencies.

 

Reports of Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserve falling by $2.1 billion in 30 days compounded downside pressures with the Naira trading around 360 against the Dollar. An appreciating Dollar, prospects of higher US interest rates, jitters ahead of the 2019 general elections and geopolitical tensions across the world present downside risks to the Naira. With the economic calendar in Nigeria relatively light for the rest of the trading week, the local currency is likely to be influenced by external forces.

 

Risk sentiment wanes on geopolitical concerns

 

Asian stock markets tumbled this morning following a lacklustre session on Wall Street overnight that saw the Dow Jones fall more than 100 points.

 

The incredible rally in Chinese equities yesterday clearly failed to jumpstart risk sentiment as geopolitical tensions weighed heavily on investor confidence. Global equity bulls seem to be entangled in a gruelling battle with ongoing US-China trade disputes, global growth concerns, geopolitical tensions and prospects of higher US interest rates. With the various geopolitical risk factors bubbling violently in the cauldron, all the ingredients for a market-shaking selloff across global stocks seem to be in place. All good things must come to an end and this could be the story for the bullish global equity markets.

 

Dollar gains on safe-haven demand

 

The Dollar remains a popular destination for safe-haven flows amid the mounting geopolitical tensions across the world.

 

Uncertainty over Brexit negotiations, the standoff over Italy’s budget and US-Saudi tensions have sent investors rushing to the Dollar. With the Greenback also supported by optimism over the US economy and prospects of higher US interest rates, the fundamental outlook points to further upside. In regards to the technical picture, the Dollar Index is bullish on the daily charts with prices trading near a two-week high above 96.10. A solid weekly close above 96.00 has the potential to trigger a move towards 96.20 and 96.48.

 

 

Commodity spotlight – Gold

 

Gold bulls hit the ground running this morning as geopolitical concerns promoted risk aversion and accelerated the flight to safety.

 

The yellow metal has scope to shine with intensity this week as the risk-off mood sends investors rushing to any form of safety. However, with the Dollar also benefiting from safe-haven flows there could be fierce competition between the two. Gold seems to be winning the battle of the safe-havens this morning with prices trading around $1,231 as of writing. A solid breakout and daily close above the $1,233.50 resistance level is likely to inject Gold bulls with enough inspiration to challenge $1,245.

 

Currency spotlight – GBPUSD

 

Brexit-related uncertainty remains the primary culprit behind Sterling’s weakness.

 

The clock is ticking with under six months left until the official Brexit deadline and the Irish border issue remains an unsolved puzzle. Investor attraction towards the Pound is likely to diminish as investors evaluate the possibility of a no-deal Brexit scenario. The GBPUSD is under pressure on the daily charts with a breakdown below 1.3000 opening a path towards 1.2930.

 

 

 

 

 


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E-Financial

CBN Licenses Unified Payments as Second Provider for PTSA Services for Nigeria

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has awarded the country’s second Payment Terminal Service Aggregator (PTSA) license to Unified Payments, Nigeria’s premier financial technology company, following a rigorous and transparent process,

CBN Licenses Unified Payments as Second Provider for PTSA Services for Nigeria

The move is targeted at enforcing existing requirement that all transactions from point-of-sale channels in Nigeria must go through a licensed Payment Terminal Service Aggregator (PTSA).

The CBN is enforcing the laws to clamp down on financial crimes and other market misconducts and it aligns with the CBN’s objectives to fully track all electronic transactions in Nigeria, given the propensity of using such transactions to fund insecurity, violent crimes, banditry, kidnapping as well as other vices.

According to one analyst, “By awarding a second PTSA license, the apex bank has proactively responded to industry operators who had expressed serious concerns about channelling all transactions through a single aggregator, the Nigeria Interbank Settlement System PLC (NIBBS), as has been the case for some years.

“With the new policy direction, payments service providers would henceforth route all transactions through either of the two licensed Companies.”

Other financial analysts and industry players have commended the Central Bank, affirming that “the move can be a massive step in the right direction. They also commended the open, transparent, and inclusive manner via which the selection process was managed, and the license awarded.

“The selection process, which lasted for months, began with an invitation for qualified organisations within the payment industry to submit an Expression of Interest document, alongside other requisite documentation and additional capital requirement of N1 billion.”

 

The new management of CBN decided not to give the license out without going through an open process – and for the first time in licensing a payment service provider – the apex bank went through a public bid process outlined in its publication of Friday, January 5, 2024, in different national newspapers. At the end of the process, Unified Payments emerged as the most preferred service provider.

Unified Payment Services Limited, also called Unified Payments or UP, is a shared service provider within Nigeria’s financial technology sector owned by a consortium of Nigerian banks. For over 26 years, the firm has provided payment technology to banks and other industry operators. The first and only non-bank entity that is a principal member and licensed acquirer of all of American Express, Mastercard, Visa, UnionPay and Payattitude. Unified Payments facilitates both local and international transactions.

Formerly known as ValuCard Nigeria Plc, Unified Payments led the way to introduce POS payments in Nigeria under its card scheme known as ValuCard which is the first payment card to be issued in Nigeria. The company later transformed into a scheme-neutral and option-neutral service provider enabling transactions under different schemes.

The company has continued to provide leading payment technologies and services, enabling different operators to leverage its capabilities and licenses, enabling prompt and seamless transactions.

Among the shareholders of Unified Payments are First Bank, Access Bank, United Bank for Africa (UBA), Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, Zenith Bank and Fidelity Bank. Other shareholders are Citibank Nigeria Limited, Ecobank of Nigeria Plc, First City Monument Bank Plc, Keystone Bank Ltd, Polaris Bank Ltd, Stanbic IBTC Bank Plc, Sterling Bank Plc and Wema Bank Plc.


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E-Financial

CIBN says Recapitalization will Empower Banks to Lend more to Economy

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Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria, CIBN, has expressed support for the ongoing banking recapitalization exercise saying it will empower banks to lend more to the economy.

CIBN President, Dr. Ken Opara stated this yesterday while speaking at the annual lecture of the institute in Lagos, with the theme “Improving Availability of Credit in the Nigerian Real Economy: The Critical Importance of Liquidity.”

Okpara noted that the volume of credit to the real sector activities namely agriculture, manufacturing and services is low compared to their critical role in driving economic growth.

Consequently, he called for more credit to the real sector, saying, “I   propose that we consider offering more credit to these key sectors and particularly the agriculture sector. It is for this reason that the Recapitalization exercise is a welcome development.

“The recently announced upward review of the Minimum Capital Requirements of Nigeria by the Central Bank of Nigeria would further empower banks to extend more credit to the economy’s productive sectors.”

To address these factors impeding credit to the real sector, Okpara suggested that, “The government needs to improve further the ease of doing business and infrastructural development, such as power, roads, rail networks, etc.

“Setting up industrial centres where these companies can co-habit and share common infrastructure. Harmonize and reduce the various taxes and levies, including locating them in a single hub.

“Banks need to be deliberate in de-risking these companies via Capacity building programmes, and Advisory services.

Specialised Financial Institutions can be created in addition to the Bank of Industry (BOI), especially credit guarantee agencies and risk-sharing institutions, to further facilitate the deepening of credit as practiced in countries such as China which significantly transformed its economy.


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E-Financial

New Report Reveals 20% of Nigerians Use Bitcoin to Transact Daily

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A new report claims that 20 per cent of Nigerians are using Bitcoin to carry out financial transactions every day.

According to the open-source blockchain website, Elastos, the research was compiled from online interviews conducted with 1,407 self-defined ‘tech savvy’ respondents in Brazil, Germany, Nigeria, South Korea, UAE, the UK, and the US.

The interviews were completed by a third party, a registered market research company and completed between 30 March and 04 April ’24.

The report further revealed that 67 per cent of Nigerians would have more trust in Bitcoin to put their life savings than banks and local governments.

The report reads; “The inaugural BIT Index (Bitcoin; Innovation & Trust) – compiled from over 1,400 self-defined ‘tech savvy’ respondents from 7 countries across the globe – sheds light on the actual perception and use of Bitcoin in people’s daily lives, irrespective of its current valuation. Elastos’ BIT Index is part of ongoing research to better track the ‘real world’ use of Bitcoin together with users’ motivations, expectations and barriers around the same.

“In particular, the data reveals the role being played by emerging markets in terms of understanding, usage and confidence around Bitcoin. Nigerian respondents’ levels of usage and trust compare starkly with those expressed from so-called ‘established’ markets such as Germany and the UK and Germany where daily usage levels are just 8% (for German respondents) and (9% for their UK counterparts).

“In terms of the trust – in addition to Nigeria – significant proportions of respondents from Brazil (35 per cent) and the UAE (32 per cent) would have more confidence in Bitcoin-based services to protect their life savings compared to those from markets such as the UK (20 per cent) and Germany (22 per cent).

“When it comes to ensuring the integrity of online transactions, emerging market respondents also revealed their relative confidence in Bitcoin, compared to alternatives. According to the data, 66 per cent of Nigerian respondents and 35 per cent from Brazil have more confidence in Bitcoin-based systems than alternatives such as banks, or national Governments, compared to figures of just 16 per cent (Germany) and 21 per cent (UK) who feel the same.


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