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Nigeria among Top Winners of UK-Africa Investment Summit

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By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM,

The UK-Africa Investment Summit held in London yesterday was a major milestone in international relations and paved the way to fresh partnerships across Africa.

More than $6.5 billion worth of commercial deals in sectors including infrastructure, energy, retail and technology were signed at the summit. Among the top winners was Nigeria as it secured business deals with four British companies. While this development is encouraging for Nigeria as the country steers away from oil dependence, any positive impacts will be longer term.

Nigeria certainly has the potential to secure a better trade deal with the UK post Brexit but this will depend on a host of factors. During the 11-month transition period, most of the UK’s efforts will be on the European Union and other major trading partners, meaning that African nations may be down the list on trade. However, a UK outside of the European Union may have less negotiating power which gives Nigeria and other African nations a chance to secure mutually beneficially deals.

The main event risk for the Nigerian economy this week will be the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) policy meeting on Friday which is expected to conclude with interest rates left unchanged at 13.5%. With inflationary pressures making a return amid border closures and the 50% increase in VAT from 5% to 7.5% possibly adding fuel to the fire, will the CBN surprise by hinting a rate hike?

Euro steady after Trump-Macron truce

In other news, the Euro held steady against the Dollar after France announced an agreement with the United States on a truce in their digital tax dispute.

With the accord lasting until the end of 2020, this is a welcome development for the Eurozone as tensions ease between both sides. In regards to the technical picture, the EURUSD is trading around 1.1095 as of writing. A breakout above 1.1100 may open the doors towards 1.1170. Alternatively, a move back below 1.1080 could trigger a decline towards 1.1040.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Gold is set to remain the prime destination for safe haven buyers this week as developments in China and caution ahead of the Davos summit dent risk sentiment. The precious metal is trading around $1566 as of writing and could challenge $1580 if risk aversion intensifies. A solid breakout above here will most likely open the doors back towards $1600.

 

 


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Ugo Onwuaso is an ICT enthusiast. He believes technology should be used for general good. He holds a Master of Public Administration (MPA) degree from the Lagos state University.

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E-Financial

Nigerian Manufacturing Sector Contracts for 5th Consecutive Month – CBN

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The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in September stood at 46.9 index points, indicating a contraction in the Nigerian manufacturing sector for the fifth month.

This was disclosed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in its September PMI report released last week.

According to the report, four out of the 14 sub-sectors surveyed reported expansion (above the 50 per cent threshold) in September.

It listed the expansion order as electrical equipment; transportation equipment; cement and nonmetallic mineral products.

It said the remaining sub-sectors reported contractions in the following order: petroleum & coal products; primary metal; furniture & related products; printing & related support activities; food, beverage & tobacco products; textile, apparel, leather & footwear; chemical & pharmaceutical products; fabricated metal products and plastics & rubber products; while the paper product sub-sector was stable.

Production

At 47.3 points, the production level index for the manufacturing sector indicated contraction in September for the fifth consecutive month.

Of the 14 sub-sectors surveyed, five recorded increased production level, one reported same level of production, while eight recorded declines in production.

New Orders

At 46.4 points, the new orders index also contracted in September for the fifth consecutive month. Six sub-sectors reported expansion in new orders, while the remaining eight recorded contraction in the month.

Supplier Delivery Time

The manufacturing supplier delivery time index stood at 53.5 points in the month, indicating a faster supplier delivery time for the fifth time.

Six of the 14 sub-sectors recorded improved suppliers’ delivery time, five reported same level, while three recorded slower delivery time

Employment Level

The employment level index stood at 44.1 points, indicating contraction in employment level for the sixth consecutive month.

Of the 14 sub-sectors, two recorded growth in employment, three recorded same level of employment, while the remaining nine recorded lower employment level in the review month.

Raw material Inventories

The manufacturing sector inventories index also contracted for the sixth consecutive time in September to 43.0 points. Four of the 14 sub-sectors recorded growth in inventories, while the remaining 10 recorded lower raw material inventories.


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FG Sacked IST Members over Fraud- Ahmed

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Mrs Zainab Ahmed, minister of Finance Budget and National Planning, has said the Federal Government sacked some past members of the Investments and Securities Tribunal (IST) as they indulged in corruption.

FG Sacked IST Members over Fraud- Ahmed

Inaugurating the new members, the minister charged the new members to eschew corruption and be forthright.

Bar. Azi Amos Isaac was appointed as Chairman for a five year term and Bar. Nosa Smart Osemwengie, was re-appointed as member for a second term of four years.

“The problem with the tribunal has been infighting amongst members, lack of industrial harmony and series of complaints bordering on maladministration.

“This has been the bane of the tribunal and a source of embarrassment not only for the Ministry of Finance but for the government in general,” Ahmed said.

The new chairman, Azi, assured the finance minister that, “the teething issue of restiveness has been addressed since he assumed duty,” adding that, “The place is calm and the staff have become very supportive.”

Azi said since 2003, the tribunal has “given judgment in the value of assets worth over N844 billion and that from 2017 to date, they have given decisions in monetary value totalling over N28bn.

“It has not failed in its adjudicatory responsibility.

“It has carried out its assignment with candour and integrity and intends to improve on what has been on ground.”

 


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CBN Bans Customer-to-Customer Forex Transfer

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has banned transfer of foreign exchange (forex) from one customer to another.

CBN Bans Customer-to-Customer Forex Transfer

According to the apex bank, forex cash lodgements into domiciliary accounts can only be done by the account owners henceforth.

An internal memo available in the media space explains that the new guidelines are necessary to review the utilisation of inflows into customers domiciliary accounts.

The circular states: “Forex inflows cannot be credited to customers until the legitimacy of funds is established.

“They can have unfettered access by telegraphic transfers up to a limit of $40,000 monthly for payment of medical bills, school fees, subscription to professional bodies subject to existing CBN guidelines.

“Transfers from one customer to another is prohibited. Transfer within related companies is allowed subject to a limit of $50,000 per month.”

It recommended that proceeds from non-oil exports should be sold to banks, used for repayment of dollar term loans, and self-utilisation for trade transactions for LC, bills and Form A.

Also oil export proceeds from E&P companies are to be used to pay contractors and service providers employed by the oil companies in addition to the recommended uses for non-oil FX proceeds.

Offshore forex inflows from other Nigerian banks and internal account to forex transfers sourced from offshore inflows are to be used for trade transactions subject to eligibility for E-Form M.

“Upon confirmation of the legitimacy of the inflows, customers can have unfettered access, subject to a maximum of $50,000,” the document read.

“Utilisation for trade transactions subject to processing of eligible trade transactions using E-Form M. Payment for services must be backed with demand note from offshore beneficiary and other regulatory documents.

“Related party transfers are allowed to the maximum of the inflow received. The transfer request should be backed by a signed instruction from the account holder.” Payment of government fees and levies are also allowed to the maritime, oil and gas, aviation. government parastatals and export processing zones.

 


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