News
Nigeria Helped by Low Debt as it Tackles Slump Spending

Nigeria is facing a recession, a plunging currency, inflation at a decade-high and a widening budget deficit. It has one going for it; low debt.
That means the West African nation has room to tap international markets as it plans to spend its way out of an economic slump, according to analysts including Manji Cheto at Teneo Intelligence. Nigeria said on Aug. 8 it’s seeking banks to manage a Eurobond sale of as much as $1 billion, its first foray into the market since 2013.
“If you look at Nigeria’s debt profile, the additional external debt is not likely to have any material negative impact,” said Cheto, the London – based senior vice president at Teneo. “One is clear; however, the yield is likely to be higher than Nigeria’s last Eurobond sale in 2013, given that the macroeconomic fundamentals have deteriorated significantly.”
Yields on the country’s $500 million of bonds due July 2023 fell 11 basis points to 6.65 percent on Wednesday. The yield is down 203 basis points this year.
Nigeria’s dollar-denominated bonds have returned 1.9 percent this quarter, compared with the 4.7 percent average return of dollar debt in Sub-Saharan Africa, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
President Muhammadu Buhari approved a record 6.1 trillion naira ($19.3 billion) spending plan this year after Nigeria’s economy contracted in the first quarter as revenue fell because of lower oil prices and a decline in output. The country’s ratio of debt to GDP, at 13.2 percent, is the lowest in sub-Saharan Africa and about a third of the average of 37.2 percent, according to the IMF.
Nigeria plans to borrow as much as $4.5 billion in the bond market through 2018, according to its Debt Management Office, as capital spending rises to about 1.75 trillion naira, more than four times the amount in 2015.
The money will be spent on roads, railways, ports and electricity generation to support diversification of the oil-dependent economy into agriculture and solid-minerals development.
After shrinking 0.4 percent in the first quarter, the economy is set to contract 1.8 percent in 2016 as shortages of power and foreign currency curb output, according to the IMF. The Central Bank of Nigeria increased interest rates by 3 percentage points this year to 14 percent as inflation reached 16.5 percent in June.
The currency has slumped 38 percent against the dollar since the central bank allowed it to trade freely in the interbank market on June 20, removing a currency peg that had deterred foreign investment and squeezed importers.
“The recent devaluation of the naira is a barrier lifted,” Stuart Culverhouse, Chief Economist at Exotix Partners LLP, said by phone from London on Aug. 10. “We have seen economies slow elsewhere and that shouldn’t be a barrier to raising debt.”
Nigeria may have to pay between 7 and 7.5 percent for a new Eurobond issue, Culverhouse said.
“The market is well supported at the moment as sentiment remains constructive,” said Samir Gadio, head of Africa Strategy at Standard Chartered Bank Plc in London. Investors had expected Nigeria to borrow more than the $1 billion it plans to raise in the Eurobond market, he said.
The government has also approached the World Bank and export-credit agencies to borrow at concessionary terms in addition to commercial loans to help finance a budget gap of 2.2 trillion naira, Finance Minister Kemi Adeosun said on Aug.9 in Abuja, the capital.
“Nigeria’s debt profile is one of the most favourable ones in Africa and investors appreciate that,” Culverhouse said. “They should take the opportunity while it’s available.”
News
New Horizons Invests N50m to Empower Almajiris with Skills

New Horizons Nigeria has launched a N50 million initiative aimed at transforming 21 Almajiri children into skilled computer technicians within 90 days, to tackle youth unemployment and harness human potential.

The Almajiri-to-Tech programme, officially launched in Abuja on Monday, provides participants with full training, meals, clothing, tools, and logistics support, all fully funded.
Speaking at the launch, the Chief Executive Officer of New Horizons, Tim Akano, said the programme represents a new journey in the history of Nigeria by restoring the original purpose of the Almajiri system, which he described as “children sent out to seek knowledge.”
“The word Almajiri comes from an Arabic term meaning emigrant and seeker of knowledge. Historically, children were sent to learn morals, responsibility, and skills to add value to society,” Akano said.
He added that the disruption of this system during colonial times forced many children onto the streets, a challenge that persists today.
Akano highlighted the urgency of addressing the Almajiri issue, noting that there are an estimated 15 million Almajiris in the country, with a population growth rate of around three per cent annually.
“If we do not solve this problem as a country, we are sitting on a time bomb,” he warned.
According to him, the programme focuses on hands-on technical skills rather than theory. Trainees will learn to repair mobile phones, laptops, televisions, radios, standing fans, and other electronic devices, as well as build inverter batteries using recycled electronic waste.
“We are not teaching theory. We are teaching practical skills you can use to earn a living,” Akano said, stressing that the programme will not interfere with the participants’ Quranic education.
“We are still going to allow you, within the period of learning. Your learning computer here is not stopping your Quranic education.
“You still have time within our space here. Whenever you want to go and pray, you can pray, then come back to class,” the CEO stressed.
He added that participants will also receive daily meals, water, T-shirts identifying them as technicians-in-training, and access to all necessary tools and equipment throughout the 90-day programme.
Akano said the initiative is part of a larger mission by New Horizons Nigeria, which has spent the past 21 years training about 100,000 Nigerians annually in IT and related skills.
He said the new programme aims to “take human genius off the streets and convert it into human capital, enabling these youths to contribute meaningfully to the economy.”
He added that equipping Almajiris with skills could add 15 million people to Nigeria’s workforce and potentially increase the country’s GDP by as much as $20 billion, stressing that productivity depends on practical skills and opportunity.
“Everything that can be taught can be learned. If someone can memorize the Quran cover to cover, there is nothing that cannot be done. What they lack is information, opportunity, and infrastructure, and we are providing all of that,” Akano said.
Akano also stressed that the initiative is designed to inspire other organizations and government agencies to replicate similar programmes across the country.
“This is not just about 21 children; it is about showing Nigeria what is possible when resources meet intention and planning.
“If we succeed in empowering these Almajiris, we demonstrate that the country can turn social challenges into economic opportunities. It’s a blueprint for Nigeria’s future,” he said, noting that the initiative combines social reform, technical education, and economic empowerment.
Also speaking, one of the trainees, Fatima Umar, appreciated the organisers and promised to maximise the opportunity.
“We’ll make you proud of us. We have nothing to say here but to thank and appreciate you. May Almighty Allah continue to guide and protect you,” Umar said.
News
IMF Upgrades Nigeria’s 2026 Growth Projection to 4.4%

International Monetary Fund has upgraded Nigeria’s 2026 economic growth projection to 4.4 per cent, reflecting improved macroeconomic stability and sustained reforms.

IMF
The January 2026 World Economic Outlook Update forecasts Nigeria’s growth trajectory at 4.1 per cent in 2024, 4.2 per cent in 2025, and 4.4 per cent in 2026—a 0.2 percentage point increase from the October 2025 estimate.
This aligns with sub-Saharan Africa’s projected 4.6 per cent expansion in 2026 and 2027, driven by regional stabilisation efforts.
Globally, the IMF anticipates 3.3 per cent growth amid resilient conditions tempered by trade policy shifts and technology investments. For Nigeria, declining energy prices—expected to fall seven per cent due to weak demand—pose risks, though OPEC+ coordination and China’s stockpiling provide support.
Despite the optimism, downside risks persist from Middle East and Ukraine tensions, protectionism, high debt, and fiscal deficits. The Fund recommends rebuilding fiscal buffers, ensuring central bank independence, and limiting temporary fiscal measures to maintain stability.
Nigeria’s success hinges on consistent reforms and resilience against domestic and global shocks, the IMF concluded.
News
Nigeria’s Crude Output Falls to 1.486mbpd in November – OPEC

Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) reports that Nigeria’s crude oil production, excluding condensate, dropped by 0.7 per cent to 1.486 million barrels per day (mbpd) in November 2025 from 1.496 mbpd in October.

OPEC
The figure, drawn from secondary sources in OPEC’s December 2025 Monthly Oil Market Report, fell short of Nigeria’s 1.5 mbpd quota. Direct communication data showed output at 1.436 mbpd, up from October’s 1.401 mbpd, but still below target.
Nigeria produces around 196,028 bpd of condensate, excluded from quota calculations per Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission figures. Year-on-year, November’s output marked a slight gain over 1.417 mbpd in November 2024.
Expert Cites Insecurity, Governance Gaps
Petroleum economics expert Wumi Iledare described the quota miss as unsurprising, blaming persistent insecurity, an ageing oil basin lacking new finds, and unoffered hydrocarbon blocks. Governance shortcomings and policy uncertainty further erode investor confidence, he noted.
Selective implementation of the Petroleum Industry Act worsens the situation, with Nigeria needing a single authoritative leader for the sector rather than multiple proxies, Mr Iledare stressed. The country has struggled to consistently hit OPEC targets for years.
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