E-Financial
Nigeria’s “Era of Renewed Stability” and the Truths the CBN Chooses to Overlook

By Blaise Udunze
At the Annual Bankers’ Dinner, when the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Yemi Cardoso, recently stated that Nigeria had “turned a decisive corner,” his remark aimed to convey assurance that inflation was decelerating with headline inflation eased to 16.05percent and food inflation retreating to 13.12 percent, the exchange rate was stabilizing, and foreign reserves ($46.7 billion) had climbed to a seven-year peak. However, beneath this announcement, a grimmer and conflicting economic situation challenges households, businesses, and investors daily.

CBN
Stability is not announced; it is felt. For millions of Nigerians, however, what they are facing instead are increasing difficulties, declining abilities, diminished buying power, and susceptibilities that dispute any assertion of a steady macroeconomic path.
The 303rd MPC gathering was the most significant in recent times, revealing policies and statements that prompt more questions than clarifications. It highlighted an economy striving to appear stable, in theory, while the actual sector struggles to breathe.
This narrative explores why Cardoso’s assertion of “restored stability” is based on a delicate and partial foundation, and why Nigeria continues to be distant from attaining economic robustness.
Manufacturing: The Core of Genuine Stability Remains Struggling to Survive
A strong economy is characterized by growth in production, increased investment, and competitive industries. Nigeria lacks all of these elements.
The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) expressed this clearly in its response to the MPC’s choice to keep the Monetary Policy Rate at 27 percent. MAN stated that elevated interest rates are now” hindering production, deterring investment, and weakening competitiveness.
Producers are presently taking loans at rates between 30-37 percent, an environment that renders growth unfeasible and survival challenging. MAN’s Director-General, Segun Ajayi-Kadir, emphasized that although stable exchange rates matter, no genuine industry can endure borrowing expenses to those charged by loan sharks.
The CBN’s choice to maintain elevated interest rates is based on drawing foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) to support the naira’s stability. However, FPIs are well-known for being short-term, speculative, and reactive to disturbances. They do not signify long-term stability. Do they represent genuine economic development?
Genuine stability demands assurance, in manufacturing beyond financial tightening. Manufacturers are expressing, clearly and persistently, that no progress has been made.
Oil Output and Revenue: The Engine Behind Nigeria’s Stability Is Misfiring
Nigeria’s oil sector, which is the backbone of its fiscal stability, is underperforming. The 2025 budget presumed:
· $75 per barrel oil price
· 2.06 million barrels per day production
Both objectives have fallen apart. Brent crude lingers near $62.56 under the benchmark. Contrary to the usual explanations, experts attribute the decline not mainly to external shocks but to poor reservoir management, outdated models, weak oversight, and delayed technical decisions.
Engineer Charles Deigh, a regarded expert in reservoir engineering, clearly expressed that Nigeria is experiencing production losses due to inadequate well monitoring, obsolete reservoir models, and technical choices lacking fundamental engineering precision. These shortcomings result directly in decreased revenue. By September 2025:
– Nigeria had accumulated N62.15 trillion from oil revenue
– instead of the N84.67 trillion budgeted.
– In September, the Federal Inland Revenue Service reported a startling 49.60 percent deficit in revenue from oil taxes.
A nation falling short of its main revenue goals by 50 percent cannot assert stability. Instead, it will take loans. Nigeria has taken loans.
A Stability Built on Debt, Not Productivity
Nigeria is now Africa’s largest borrower, and the world’s third-biggest borrower from the World Bank’s IDA, with $18.5 billion in commitments. By mid-2025, the total public debt amounts to N152.4 trillion, marking a 348.6 percent rise since 2023.
From July to October 2025, the government secured contracts for: $24.79 billion, €4 billion, ¥15 billion, N757 billion, and $500 million Sukuk loans. Nevertheless, in spite of these acquisitions, infrastructure continues to be manufacturing remains limited, and social welfare is still insufficient.
Uche Uwaleke, a finance and capital markets professor, cautions that Nigeria’s debt service ratio is “detrimental to growth.” Currently, the government spends one out of every four naira it earns on servicing debts. Taking on debt is not harmful in itself, provided it finances projects that pay for themselves. In Nigeria, it supports subsistence. A country funding today, through the labour of the future, cannot assert restored stability.
The Naira: A Currency Supported by Fragile Pillars
The CBN contends that elevated interest rates and enhanced market confidence have contributed to the naira’s stabilisation. However, this steadiness is based on grounds that cannot endure even the slightest global disturbance. The pillars of a stable currency are:
– Rising domestic production
– Expanding exports
– Reliable energy supply
– Strong security
– A thriving manufacturing base
None of these is Nigeria’s current reality. What Nigeria actually receives is capital from portfolio investors, and past events (2014, 2018, 2020, 2022) have demonstrated how rapidly these funds disappear.
Unemployment: “Stable” Figures Mask a Rising Youth Crisis
The CBN touts a reported unemployment rate of 4.3 percent. However, the International Labour Organisation (ILO), along with economists, cautions that the approach conceals more serious issues in the labour market.
Youth joblessness has increased to 6.5 percent, and the Nigerian Economic Summit Group cautions that Nigeria needs to generate 27 million formal employment opportunities by 2030 or else confront a disastrous labour crisis. The employment crisis is a ticking time bomb. A country cannot maintain stability when its youth are inactive, disheartened, and financially marginalized.
FDI Continues to Lag Despite CBN’s Positive Outlook
During the 2025 Nigerian Economic Summit, NESG Chairman, Niyi Yusuf stated that Nigeria’s efforts to attract direct investment (FDI) continue to be sluggish despite the implementation of reforms. FDI genuinely reflects investor trust, not portfolio inflows. FDI signifies enduring dedication, manufacturing plants, employment, and generating value. Nigeria does not have any of this as of now. An economy unable to draw long-term investments lacks stability.
139 Million Nigerians in Poverty: What Stability?
The recent development report from the World Bank estimates that 139 million Nigerians are living in poverty, and more than half of the population faces daily struggles. This is not stability. It is a humanitarian and economic crisis.
Food inflation continues to stay structurally high. The cost of a food basket has risen five times since 2019. Low-income families currently allocate much, as 70 percent of their earnings to food. A government cannot claim stability when its citizens go hungry.
A Fragile, Failing Power Sector
The power sector, another cornerstone of economic stability, is failing. Over 90 million Nigerians are without access to electricity, which is one of the highest figures globally. Even homes linked to the grid get 6.6 hours of electricity daily. Companies allocate funds to generators rather than to technology, innovation, or growth. Nigeria has now emerged as the biggest importer of solar panels in Africa, not due to environmental goals but because the national power grid is unreliable.
A country cannot achieve stability if it is unable to supply electricity to its residences, industrial plants, or medical centers.
Insecurity: The Silent Pillar Undermining All Economic Policy
Banditry, terrorism, abduction, and militant attacks persist in agriculture, manufacturing, logistics, and investment. Nigeria forfeits $15 billion each year due to insecurity and resources that might have fueled industrial development.
Food price increases are mainly caused by instability, and farmers are unable to cultivate, gather, or deliver their products. Nevertheless, the MPC approaches inflation predominantly as an issue of policy. In a country where insecurity fundamentally hinders the economy tightening policy cannot ensure stability.
Inflation Figures Under Suspicion
Questions have also emerged regarding the reliability of inflation data. Dr. Tilewa Adebajo, an economist, affirmed that the CBN might not entirely rely on the NBS inflation figures, highlighting increasing apprehension. A sharp decrease to 16 percent inflation clashes with market conditions.
Families are facing the food costs in two decades. Costs, for transport, housing rent, education fees, and necessary items keep increasing. Food prices cannot decline when farmers are abandoning their farmlands and fleeing for safety. If inflation figures are manipulated or partial, the stability story based on them becomes deceptive. There is, quite frankly, a significant disconnect between governance and the lived experience of ordinary Nigerians.
Foreign Reserves: A Story of Headlines vs Reality
Even Nigeria’s celebrated foreign reserves require scrutiny. The CBN reported $46.7 billion in reserves. However, a closer examination shows:
– Net usable reserves are only $23.11 billion
– The remainder is connected to commitments, swaps, and debts
Gross reserves make the news. Net reserves protect the currency. The difference is too large to assert that the naira is stable.
Nigeria’s Economic Contradiction: Stability at the Top, Volatility at the Bottom
In reality, Nigeria is caught between official proclamations of stability and lived experiences of volatility. The disparity between the CBN’s account and the actual experiences of Nigerians highlights a reality:
– Macroeconomic changes have failed to convert into improvements in human well-being.
– Nigeria might appear stable officially. Its citizens are experiencing instability in truth.
– Taking on debt is increasing
– Poverty is worsening
– Manufacturing is contracting
– Jobs are scarce
– Authority is breaking down
– Feelings of insecurity are growing stronger
– Inflation is undermining dignity
– Companies are struggling to breathe
– Capital is escaping
– Misery, among humans, is expanding
A strong economy is one where advancement is experienced, not announced.
What Genuine Stability Demands
To move from paper stability to real stability, Nigeria must:
1. Support domestic production. Cut interest rates for manufacturers, reduce borrowing costs, and provide targeted credit.
2. Fix oil production technically. Revamp reservoir engineering, implement surveillance. Allocate resources to adequate technical oversight.
3. Prioritize security. Secure farmlands, highways, and industrial corridors.
4. Reform the power sector. Invest in grid reliability, renewable integration, and private-sector-led transmission.
5. Attract real FDI. Streamline rules, enhance the framework, and maintain consistent policy guidance.
6. Anchor debt on productive projects. Take loans exclusively for infrastructure projects that produce income.
7. Prioritize reforms in welfare. Adopt crisis-responsive, domestically funded safety nets.
8. Improve transparency. Ensure inflation, employment, and reserve data reflect reality.
Stability Is Not Given; It Has to Be Achieved
The CBN Governor’s statement of “renewed stability” is hopeful. It remains unproven. The inconsistencies are glaring, the statistics too. The real-world experiences are too harsh. Nigerians require outcomes, not slogans. Stability is gauged not through statements on policy but by whether:
– Manufacturing plants are creating (factories operate at full capacity),
– Food is affordable,
– Young people have jobs
– The naira is strong without artificial props,
– Electricity is reliable,
– Security is assured,
– Poverty rates are decreasing.
Unless these conditions are met, Nigeria is not experiencing a period of restored stability. Instead, it is going through a phase of recovery, one that will collapse if the actual economy keeps worsening while decision-makers prematurely applaud their successes. The CBN must rethink its approach. Nigeria needs productive stability, not statistical stability.
Blaise, a journalist and PR professional, writes from Lagos, can be reached via: [email protected]
E-Financial
NGX Gives Securties Firm 10 Days to Resolve Theft, Forgery Allegations

NGX Regulation Limited has given a 10 working-day ultimatum to Global Assets Management Limited, a securities company, to resolve the allegations of alleged forgery, theft, diversion of proceeds, and possibly money laundering leveled against it by Mr Kolawole Oladapo Adesina, a complainant.

Adesina had alleged that shares belonging to him and Emmanuel Olanipekun Adesina, his late father, from different companies were stolen and proceeds diverted to unknown persons.
In the same vein, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) also launched investigations into the same complaints against the same securities company.
NGX Regulation, is a wholly owned subsidiary of Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX group) committed to promoting just and equitable principles of trade and sound business practices in the Nigerian capital market by strictly enforcing clients’ listing and trading rules in accordance with global best practices.
Its activities seek to promote the integrity, transparency and efficiency of our market, ensuring that the standards set are effective in maintaining a fair and orderly market where investors are adequately protected.
In a letter with reference number NGXRECO/MRIVG/7160/1/26, signed by Chinedu Akamaka, Head, Market Regulation, the regulatory body acknowledged the petition of the complainant and stated that “In line with rule 5(4) of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) rules on Complaints Management Framework of the Nigerian Capital Market 2015, your firm is required to solve this complaint within ten(10) working days and forward a report on resolution or non resolution. Your report should reach NGX Regco not later than 30 January 2026”.
SEC, in its own letter dated January 7, 2026 and signed by Mr John Abel Briggs, the Head, Lagos Zonal Office stated that while acknowledging Adesina’s petition, it has commenced investigations into the matter.
“Please be informed that we have commenced investigations by seeking Global Assets Management Limited, CSCS, and NGX to investigate the allegations in line with the Complaint Management Framework of the Nigerian Capital Market (NCM).
The company in the eyes of the storm, Global Assets, has however denied any wrongdoing in its reply addressed to NGX Regulation and signed by Sir Babatunde Sobamowo, managing director, saying the allegations were unfounded.
Adesina, still smarting from the shocking revelation that his father, Prince Emmanuel Olanipekun Adesina, a late Banker with the United Bank of Africa (UBA) who allegedly died intestate did not, but has a will.
He’s currently battling to have the will read at the Probate Registry of the High Court of Lagos State, Ikeja Judicial Division.
In the many shocking revelations while going through his parents’ documents, he discovered many shares his father had bought for him since the time of his youth.
Most of these shares, and that of his father, has disappeared without a trace, only relying on the father’s documentation to trace them.
In a 15 paragraph affidavit he deposed to and filed at the registry of the Ikeja High Court, which formed his petition before SEC, the complainant narrated his ordeal this:
“I am the beneficial owner of securities and investments held with Global Asset Management Limited under account number 23278460(old account number A0457245) and Clearing House No C4928105AN. I have held the investments registered in my name since my childhood, acquired and maintained by my late father for my benefit.
My late father, whose particulars I can provide on request, purchased shareholdings in my name up to and including the date of his death on February 21, 2006.
I did not authorize any sale of the Securities held in my account and have never knowingly sold any holdings in that account;
“On or about August 25,2022 when I attended the offices of Global Assets Management to effect a sale of certain securities to raise funds, I was provided with documentation and account records indicating that a substantial (and in some cases total) portion of my securities had already been sold and the sale proceeds diverted.
“No such sale had been authorized by me and no proceeds of such alleged sale were paid to me or credited to the account records held by Global Assets in my name;
“Upon inspection of the physical file and documents in my possession and in the custody of Global Assets Management, I discovered numerous stock transfers, notes on sale and other documents bearing my signature which I did not sign. I verily believe that the said signatures are forged”.
With this discovery, Adesina directed his lawyers, Pich Solicitors, to write a letter of demand to the company requesting production of all documents and materials relating to his account from February 21, 2006 till date. The company however failed to comply. He therefore urges SEC to compel the company to produce the documents and other materials requested. He fears if it’s not compelled, the company may alter, delete, or otherwise fail to preserve records relevant to the matters that are subject of his complaint.
Adesina exhibited over 10 documents to support his complaint which include copies of his account statements, copies of stock transfers bearing alleged forged signatures, CSCS certificate/ deposit forms relating to his holdings, sales contract notes and transaction confirmations, CSCS printout on stocks held in his name, dividend statements and dividend warrants in his name, copies of his share certificates in Berger Paints Nigeria Plc, Nigerian Bottling Company Plc, Grammac Industries Plc, and West African Portland Cement Plc. “I unequivocally and verily believe that the exhibits listed are materials relevant to the issues raised in this application and that they substantiate the allegations of unauthorized sales, forged signatures,and diversion of sales proceeds”, he averred.
Adesina’s petition was copied to the Chairman of Global Assets Management, Dr S.T.V Adegbite and all other directors of the company. It’s also copied to DG SEC, CEO, Nigerian Exchange Group, MD, Central Securities Clearing System Plc(CSCS), The Chairman, Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), Director, Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit(NFIU), and Commissioner of Police, Force CID(Financial Crimes Unit).
In its response addressed to NGX Regulation, Global Assets Management Limited described all the allegations as unfounded. “In compliance with our regulatory obligations, we have carefully reviewed the allegations contained in the petition and hereby provide our response, addressing each issue raised by the petitioner sequentially and supported by relevant documentation”, the response stated.
The company explained that their real client was the petitioner’s mother, late Mrs Frances Omorolaun Adesina. “Our professional relationship with her spanned several years during which she conducted securities transactions through our firm until her demise. At no time prior to her death did the petitioner operate the relevant account independently or maintain a separate trading mandate with GAM”, it stated.
GAM maintained that its first formal interaction with the petitioner occured through his lawyer, Pich Solicitors, requesting information relating to the state of the petitioner’s father. Subsequently the petitioner personally visited and was availed with a CSCS statement relating to his account and a KYC update form which the petitioner never returned.
The company stated further: “According to records obtained directly from CSCS, the only securities credited to the petitioner’s account were deposited on September 15, 2009, three years after the death of his father in 2006. We are unable, and not required to determine whether the shares were purchased by his late father or late mother. However the records show that no securities were deposited into the petitioner’s account in 2006 or earlier. Only three securities were deposited through GAM”.
The company also listed as exhibits documents which includes a duly executed sale order form dated April 4, 2014, Statement of account of the late mother, copy of cheque, letter of authority dated January 11, 2014 signed by the petitioner and his sister authorizing their late mother to transact on matters relating to their father’s estate, and GAM bank statement confirming payment of the proceeds to the named beneficiary.
However, there seems to be discrepancies in the signature tendered by both parties as they did not correspond. SEC will therefore determine which one is genuine and having regard to the power of a parent to trade on an adult child securities without proper consent.
Credit… The Nation
E-Financial
KongaPay K-Save Users Save over N3.2Bn

KongaPay has announced that users have collectively saved more than N3.2 billion through its K-Save product, an outstanding milestone in Nigeria’s fast-evolving digital finance landscape.

K-Save, KongaPay’s savings feature, allows users to set aside funds seamlessly within the Konga ecosystem, combining ease of access with automated savings habits.
As inflation continues to erode disposable income, digital savings products like K-Save are emerging as practical instruments for everyday financial resilience.
Industry analysts note that such platforms play a growing role in Nigeria’s broader financial inclusion agenda, particularly among young professionals, informal sector workers, and digitally native consumers who may be underserved by traditional banking models.
KongaPay described the achievement as a community-driven milestone, crediting users for consistently committing to savings goals despite macroeconomic headwinds.
The company said the ₦3.2 billion saved so far represents thousands of individual financial journeys, ranging from emergency funds and education plans to business capital and long-term wealth building.
With Nigeria’s fintech sector increasingly focused on deposits, savings, and wealth management, beyond payments alone, the K-Save milestone positions KongaPay as an active participant in shaping consumer savings behaviour in the digital economy.
As competition intensifies across fintech savings products, platforms that combine trust, accessibility, and tangible value are expected to capture a growing share of Nigeria’s expanding digital finance market.
E-Financial
How Crypto Criminals Stole $700m from People – often Using Age-Old Tricks

There’s something uniquely agonising about having your cryptocurrency stolen. All transactions are recorded in a digital ledger, known as a blockchain, so even if someone takes your money and puts it in their own crypto wallet, it remains visible online.

“You can see your money there on the public blockchain, but there’s nothing you can do to get it back,” says Helen, who lost around $315,000 (£250,000) to thieves.
She likens it to watching a burglar pile up your prized possessions on the other side of an impassable chasm.
For seven years, Helen and her husband Richard (not his real name), both UK residents, had been buying and stacking up crypto coins called Cardano.
They liked the idea of investing in a digital asset that had the potential to rise dramatically in value, unlike funds saved in more conventional ways. They knew it was riskier, but they were careful to keep their digital keys safe.
But somehow hackers got into their cloud storage account, where they kept information about their crypto wallets and how to access them.
In February 2024, after a small test transfer, the criminals swiftly and silently transferred all the couple’s coins to their own digital wallets.
The couple then watched for months as their money was moved from one wallet to another, powerless to do anything. (The inherent contradiction with cryptocurrency is that all transactions are publicly trackable, but users can be publicly untraceable if they choose.)
Helen and Richard are not wealthy. She is a personal assistant, he is a composer, and they had high hopes for their Cardano investments.
“We’d been buying these coins for so long… We used every scrap of money we could find to buy more,” says Richard. “Aside from my parents’ deaths, this theft is the worst thing to happen to me.”
Ever since, Helen has been on a mission to recover their money. She obtained detailed reports from various police forces and the Cardano developers. Now, even though she has the criminals’ wallet addresses, there is nothing anyone can do to unmask them.
Their plan is to save up enough to engage private investigators to try to trace the hackers.
“It leaves you with a feeling of helplessness,” she says, “but I am going to keep trying.
An explosion in crypto crime
A survey carried out for the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in August 2024, suggested that approximately 12% of British adults owned crypto-assets – equivalent to about seven million people.
Globally, it has been estimated that 560 million people are now crypto owners. But as ownership rose, so did theft. The pandemic ushered in a surge in the value of crypto coins and, with it, an explosion in attacks on the industry.
And 2025 was another bumper year for crypto criminals, with total thefts standing at more than $3.4bn (£2.5bn), according to investigators at blockchain analysis firm Chainalysis. The annual figure has remained in the same ballpark since 2020.
Most of the money is being stolen through massive cyberattacks on crypto companies. For example, North Korean hackers swiped $1.5bn (£1.1bn) from crypto exchange Bybit in February 2025.
The losses in this case and the vast majority of others are covered by the deep-pocketed crypto firms, with little impact on individuals. But 2025 also saw an increase in the number of attacks on individual crypto investors.
Chainalysis research says these individual attacks rose from 40,000 in 2022 to 80,000 last year.
Hacking, scamming or coercing of individuals accounted for an estimated 20% of all crypto value stolen – estimated at $713m (£532m).
But the company adds that the number could be far higher, as not all victims will choose to report thefts publicly. When this happens, you could be left on your own.
Many thefts or scams in traditional finance are covered by banks or card companies. In the UK, you can complain to the Financial Ombudsman Service and may be compensated by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme.
“Crypto remains largely unregulated in the UK and high-risk,” says the FCA. “If something goes wrong, it is unlikely you will be protected so you should be prepared to lose all your money.”
A stark reminder of this comes if you search online for “Binance account hacked” – Binance is the world’s largest crypto exchange with a reported 1.4m UK users – but the page on its website offering advice to victims of theft is blocked in the UK.
The company has not been accepting new UK clients since 2023 because it is not authorised by the FCA to operate. Yet criminals don’t care where victims are, and people are being targeted all over the world indiscriminately.
Chainalysis has described these attacks on individuals as the “under-documented frontier for crypto crime”.
They put the volume of crimes down to the number of people entering the crypto world as investors, as the value of coins has risen, and argue that improved security practices at major services could have pushed “attackers toward individuals perceived as easier targets”.
Then there is the fact that the more crypto you hold and the more public you are about it, the more likely you are to be targeted – small-time holders (or hodlers, as the community calls them) are far less likely to be affected.
Burglaries, muggings and ‘wrench attacks’
As for the thieves, they could be anywhere.
In October, blockchain researchers from Elliptic, a crypto analysis company, warned that North Korean state-sponsored hackers are increasingly targeting wealthy cryptocurrency owners. There are plenty of young scammers and hackers from other countries, too.
In December in the US, 22-year-old Evan Tangeman pleaded guilty to being part of a group of crypto thieves calling themselves the Social Engineering Enterprise, who are accused of stealing more than $260m (£194m) between October 2023 and May 2025.
Prosecutors allege they targeted the crypto-rich using hacked databases, tricking victims into thinking they were cryptocurrency exchanges, and persuading them to transfer coins.
Members of the gang, who were all young men mostly in the US, are said to have spent the stolen coins on private jets, expensive cars and luxury handbags that they would give away at nightclubs.
In some cases, prosecutors say, the gang organised home break-ins to steal hardware containing the keys to crypto stashes.
Burglaries and muggings have become so common that there is now a term for them in the crypto community – “wrench attacks” – so called because criminals have been known to threaten victims with spanners.
Last April, crypto criminals in Spain tried to force a man and woman to part with their cryptocurrency.
Spanish police said the man was shot in the leg and he, along with his partner, were held captive for several hours while the criminals tried to access their crypto wallets. Eventually, the woman was released, but her partner remained missing, with his body later found in woodland.
Five people were arrested in Spain in connection with the case, while four others in Denmark were charged.
There have been several similar cases in France, including one when an attempted kidnap was captured on video.
Source.. BBC
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