E-Financial
Nigeria’s Quest to Reclaiming Economic Stability

Sentiment towards the Nigerian economy received a painful blow in July following the shocking reports that the nation had slipped into a technical recession.
Africa’s largest economy has been heavily pressured by falling commodity prices, while external global uncertainties continue to expose the nation to noticeable downside risks.
It should be kept in mind that approximately 70% of Nigeria’s government revenues are attained from oil sales, with the incessant declines in oil prices sending shockwaves across the board.
Amid this turmoil, the renewed militancy in the south of Nigeria which has seen crude oil exports tumble to 27 year lows continue to enforce further pressures on an economy that is already in a very delicate situation.
The Naira has been pressured since the de-peg with the currency hitting record lows of 330 per Dollar on the official markets as traders examined lower levels to attract liquidity amid the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) inaction.
A combination of Dollar appreciation, depressed oil prices and concerns of diminishing domestic growth have created a foundation for bears to install repeated rounds of selling momentum on the Naira.
Further Naira weakness could be expected in the future as the natural forces of supply and demand determine its true equilibrium value.
Although there remain concerns over the Naira devaluation punishing the Nigerian economy further, the benefit of an increase in foreign investments in the long run could overshadow fears of rising inflation.
From a technical standpoint, the Naira is bearish and could weaken further against the Dollar on both the official and black market exchanges.
Speaking of inflation, Nigeria’s inflation lurched to the highest rate in almost 11 years as the mixture of Naira vulnerability and persistent concerns over the domestic economy punished purchasing power.
The sharp rise in inflation of 16.5% in June should be no surprise following the CBN’s decision to de-peg which sent prices on a steep decline.
Although inflation is at a worrying rate, the longer term impacts could elevate GDP growth, consequently boosting investor risk sentiment. With uncertainty still an ongoing theme in the financial markets, most central banks have adopted a cautious stance and this could also affect the Central Bank of Nigeria.
While it is widely expected that the Central Bank will keep policy measures unchanged in the upcoming July meeting, interest rates could be hiked before year end as a method to stabilise inflation while reducing some pressures on the Nigerian economy.
Global markets are still unstable from the post-Brexit uncertainty which has sent shockwaves across the board consequently punishing many nations. With Nigeria still a member of the Commonwealth, the painful impacts of the Brexit could indirectly have an effect on the fragile Nigerian economy.
Fears have already heightened over a potential Brexit fuelled recession in the UK economy and this could erode the amount of foreign investments towards Nigeria.
The ramifications of a decline in foreign investments may depress Nigeria’s GDP growth while reinforcing further pressure on the nation that is currently entangled in losing battle with depressed oil prices.
Major financial institutions, such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), have cut Nigeria’s growth forecasts for 2016 which hasweighed heavily on investor confidence. The nation’s growth predictions for this year have been predicted to contract by 1.8%, a very sharp drop from the previous 2.3% forecast in April. While speculations have mounted over this probable decline in GDP growth, Nigeria’s finance minister Kemi Adeosun has said that there should be no panic.
Her positivity can be commended and if Nigeria follows the blue print of diversification then the future could potentially look bright for the nation.
Before Nigeria embarks on its quest to economic stability, questions must be asked over the Central Bank of Nigeria’s policy measures which may have enforced further pressures in this period of declining oil prices.
The initial Naira-Dollar peg at 197 heavily diminished the nation’s foreign exchange reserves while ban of foreign exchange currency cash deposits punished domicile citizens. Transparency is lacking and this can be seen with the stealth intervention implemented by the CBN after the first initial announcement of the Naira de-peg in June.
With the Central Bank saying one thing and doing something completely different, this could inevitably repel foreign investors consequently leaving the economy pressured.
As of now, the Naira is the worst performing currency in Africa and this could be a recurrent theme if changes are not put in place.
The problem Nigeria faces is falling oil prices and the solution is diversification. It should be kept in mind that diversification is critical for the nation to be self-reliant with efforts to revitalizing agriculture, fixing infrastructure and an expansion on taxation bolstering economic growth.
With the CBN taking the initiative to truly de-peg the Naira against the Dollar, there are hopes that the attracted foreign investment and also increase in domestic competition elevates the economy in the longer run.
The country has already entered a currency deal with China in attempt to reduce the pressure of Dollar demand. Since over 70% of Nigeria’s imports come from China, this deal could be beneficial in the long term.
Questions should also be raised over the existence of Nigeria’s black market exchange which has also spiralled out of control with the Naira trading at 378 to the Dollar. It seems that the lack of liquidity and 41 banned items which cannot be purchased on the official exchange has naturally attracted investors to dabble into the black markets.
If the Central Bank of Nigeria wants to eradicate the disparity between the black markets and official, then the best action could be to remove the banned items.
Rather than banning the items on the exchange it could be more effective to enforce rules which make it difficult for these same items to enter the country.
Currency stability and economic growth are key factors that naturally attract foreign investors. If Nigeria succeeds in doing this via diversification and transparency, the future of the world’s largest African economy could look bright.
It must be understood that the cause of Nigeria’s woes has been the painful declines in oil prices which have punished government revenues while also weakening the Naira.
With diversification already in progress and the Naira de-pegged, the first steps taken to reclaiming self-reliance and stability have been taken. It is visible that Nigeria has entered a recession, but if the nation can weather this period of uncertainty then the positive outcome may exceed all expectations.
E-Financial
BVN Enrollments Hit 69.55m- NIBSS

Nigeria’s Bank Verification Number (BVN) database expanded to 69.55 million as of July 5 2026 from 69.32 million in June 2026, according to latest data released by the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS).

BVN is an 11-digit biometric identification system introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria and managed by the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS) to secure customer accounts and reduce fraud.
This means that BVN enrolments increased by 228,947 between June and July 5 this year.
With the BVN database standing at 67.8 million as of December 31, 2025, it also means that the database grew by 1.75 million between the end of last year and July 5, 2026.
Specifically, with less than 1.8 million BVN enrolments so far recorded for this year, it is looking highly unlikely that BVN registrations at the end of 2026 will come close to the 4.3 million total registrations recorded in 2025.
Analysts note that while the expansion in the BVN database last year was largely driven by the introduction of the NonResident Bank Verification Number (NRBVN) initiative, which enables Nigerians in the diaspora to do their BVN enrolment remotely, thereby removing physical barriers and boosting cross-border financial engagement, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in March this year, announced a revised BVN regulatory framework, that saw it introducing stricter controls on suspected fraudulent transactions, BVN enrollment, and data access within the banking system.
According to the regulator, the amendments to the BVN framework, which came into effect on May 1, 2026, were aimed at strengthening fraud monitoring, improving identity management within the financial system and safeguarding the integrity of banking transactions, by strengthening identity verification and ensuring that BVN registration aligns with legally recognised age thresholds.
Thus, under the revised BVN framework, the apex bank introduced a stricter age requirement for BVN enrolment, limiting registration to 18-year-old individuals and above.
Also, under the new framework, customers will only be allowed to change the phone number associated with their BVN once. The CBN further stated: “Under the new guidelines, financial institutions are required to establish and maintain a temporary watch-list for BVNs linked to suspected fraudulent transactions reported within the banking system.
“A BVN may remain on this temporary Watch-list for a maximum period of twentyfour (24) hours, during which the BVN owner shall be contacted to provide clarification regarding the identified transaction(s).”
Launched on February 14, 2014, by the CBN in collaboration with the Bankers’ Committee, the NIBSS, and the German firm Dermalog, the BVN scheme was designed to capture the biometrics of all bank customers and provide each with a unique 11-digit identification number that can be verified across the Nigerian banking industry.
E-Financial
CBN Warns against Rejection of N100 Banknotes

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has reaffirmed that the standard N100 banknote remains legal tender across the country, warning that its rejection by individuals, businesses and institutions violates the law.

The clarification follows reports that some members of the public have refused to accept the standard N100 note over concerns about its legal tender status following the introduction of the commemorative N100 banknote issued to mark Nigeria’s centenary.
In a statement signed by Mrs. Hakama Sidi-Ali, acting director of Corporate Communications, the apex bank stressed that “both the commemorative N100 banknote and the standard N100 banknote are valid legal tender and must be accepted for all transactions nationwide.”
The CBN explained that the commemorative N100 note was introduced to celebrate Nigeria’s centenary and did not replace the existing standard N100 banknote.
The CBN cautioned individuals, businesses, financial institutions and other economic agents against rejecting the standard N100 note, noting that such action contravenes the provisions of the CBN Act and undermines public confidence in the national currency.
It warned that appropriate enforcement measures would be taken against any person or organisation found violating the law.
The apex bank reaffirmed its commitment to protecting the integrity of the naira, maintaining confidence in all duly issued banknotes and ensuring the smooth circulation of currency across the country.
The CBN also urged members of the public to continue accepting and transacting with all banknotes legally issued by the Bank and advised anyone seeking further clarification to use its official communication channels.
E-Financial
GCR Upgrades FCMB Asset Mgt Rating on Disciplined Liquidity, Consistent Earnings

FCMB Asset Management Limited (FCMBAM), the asset management arm of FCMB Group Plc, has received an upgrade to its national scale long-term and short-term issuer ratings of A(NG) and A1(NG), from A-(NG) and A2(NG), by GCR Ratings, a leading pan-African credit rating agency.

The outlook on the ratings remains stable, said the rating agency.
The upgrade is anchored on FCMBAM’s competitive resilience and financial discipline, alongside the strengthened credit profile of FCMB Group.
GCR highlighted FCMBAM’s decade-long track record of strong performance, well-established brand franchise, diversified product suite and robust distribution network as key drivers of its standalone strength.
These are further supported by consistent earnings growth and a disciplined, unleveraged balance sheet, it said.
According to GCR, FCMBAM’s competitive position is supported by “its relatively long track record, strong brand franchise, established product and geographical distribution network and cross-selling opportunities,” with the rating agency noting that FCMBAM ranks among the top five asset managers in Nigeria, with an estimated five per cent share of a fragmented market as of 31 December.
The Company’s financial performance underpinned the upgrade, with revenue growing by 30 per cent and operating cash flow increasing by 13 per cent, enabling the business to be fully funded without recourse to debt.
Liquidity strengthened further, with liquidity sources versus uses improving to 5x as of December 2025, from 3.6x a year earlier, while the EBITDA margin edged up to over 58 per cent.
Commenting on the upgrade, the Chief Executive Officer of FCMB Asset Management, James Ilori, said: “This upgrade is an important external validation of a strategy we have pursued with discipline over many years: building an investment franchise that performs reliably, governs itself rigorously, and earns trust in every market cycle. It speaks to the strength of our membership of FCMB Group and to a culture that holds itself to local and global standards of risk management and capital stewardship.
“As Nigeria’s asset management industry enters a new era of higher capital thresholds and rising investor expectations, we intend to lead from the front – ahead of regulatory timelines, ahead in digital transformation and ahead in the outcomes we deliver for the clients who trust us to assist them in achieving their investment objectives.”
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