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Nigeria’s Quest to Reclaiming Economic Stability

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Sentiment towards the Nigerian economy received a painful blow in July following the shocking reports that the nation had slipped into a technical recession.

Africa’s largest economy has been heavily pressured by falling commodity prices, while external global uncertainties continue to expose the nation to noticeable downside risks.

It should be kept in mind that approximately 70% of Nigeria’s government revenues are attained from oil sales, with the incessant declines in oil prices sending shockwaves across the board.

Amid this turmoil, the renewed militancy in the south of Nigeria which has seen crude oil exports tumble to 27 year lows continue to enforce further pressures on an economy that is already in a very delicate situation.

The Naira has been pressured since the de-peg with the currency hitting record lows of 330 per Dollar on the official markets as traders examined lower levels to attract liquidity amid the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) inaction.

A combination of Dollar appreciation, depressed oil prices and concerns of diminishing domestic growth have created a foundation for bears to install repeated rounds of selling momentum on the Naira.

Further Naira weakness could be expected in the future as the natural forces of supply and demand determine its true equilibrium value.

Although there remain concerns over the Naira devaluation punishing the Nigerian economy further, the benefit of an increase in foreign investments in the long run could overshadow fears of rising inflation.

From a technical standpoint, the Naira is bearish and could weaken further against the Dollar on both the official and black market exchanges.

Speaking of inflation, Nigeria’s inflation lurched to the highest rate in almost 11 years as the mixture of Naira vulnerability and persistent concerns over the domestic economy punished purchasing power.

The sharp rise in inflation of 16.5% in June should be no surprise following the CBN’s decision to de-peg which sent prices on a steep decline.

Although inflation is at a worrying rate, the longer term impacts could elevate GDP growth, consequently boosting investor risk sentiment. With uncertainty still an ongoing theme in the financial markets, most central banks have adopted a cautious stance and this could also affect the Central Bank of Nigeria.

While it is widely expected that the Central Bank will keep policy measures unchanged in the upcoming July meeting, interest rates could be hiked before year end as a method to stabilise inflation while reducing some pressures on the Nigerian economy.

Global markets are still unstable from the post-Brexit uncertainty which has sent shockwaves across the board consequently punishing many nations. With Nigeria still a member of the Commonwealth, the painful impacts of the Brexit could indirectly have an effect on the fragile Nigerian economy.

Fears have already heightened over a potential Brexit fuelled recession in the UK economy and this could erode the amount of foreign investments towards Nigeria.

The ramifications of a decline in foreign investments may depress Nigeria’s GDP growth while reinforcing further pressure on the nation that is currently entangled in losing battle with depressed oil prices.

Major financial institutions, such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), have cut Nigeria’s growth forecasts for 2016 which hasweighed heavily on investor confidence. The nation’s growth predictions for this year have been predicted to contract by 1.8%, a very sharp drop from the previous 2.3% forecast in April. While speculations have mounted over this probable decline in GDP growth, Nigeria’s finance minister Kemi Adeosun has said that there should be no panic.

Her positivity can be commended and if Nigeria follows the blue print of diversification then the future could potentially look bright for the nation.

Before Nigeria embarks on its quest to economic stability, questions must be asked over the Central Bank of Nigeria’s policy measures which may have enforced further pressures in this period of declining oil prices.

The initial Naira-Dollar peg at 197 heavily diminished the nation’s foreign exchange reserves while ban of foreign exchange currency cash deposits punished domicile citizens. Transparency is lacking and this can be seen with the stealth intervention implemented by the CBN after the first initial announcement of the Naira de-peg in June.

With the Central Bank saying one thing and doing something completely different, this could inevitably repel foreign investors consequently leaving the economy pressured.

As of now, the Naira is the worst performing currency in Africa and this could be a recurrent theme if changes are not put in place.

The problem Nigeria faces is falling oil prices and the solution is diversification. It should be kept in mind that diversification is critical for the nation to be self-reliant with efforts to revitalizing agriculture, fixing infrastructure and an expansion on taxation bolstering economic growth.

With the CBN taking the initiative to truly de-peg the Naira against the Dollar, there are hopes that the attracted foreign investment and also increase in domestic competition elevates the economy in the longer run.

The country has already entered a currency deal with China in attempt to reduce the pressure of Dollar demand. Since over 70% of Nigeria’s imports come from China, this deal could be beneficial in the long term.

Questions should also be raised over the existence of Nigeria’s black market exchange which has also spiralled out of control with the Naira trading at 378 to the Dollar. It seems that the lack of liquidity and 41 banned items which cannot be purchased on the official exchange has naturally attracted investors to dabble into the black markets.

If the Central Bank of Nigeria wants to eradicate the disparity between the black markets and official, then the best action could be to remove the banned items.

Rather than banning the items on the exchange it could be more effective to enforce rules which make it difficult for these same items to enter the country.

Currency stability and economic growth are key factors that naturally attract foreign investors. If Nigeria succeeds in doing this via diversification and transparency, the future of the world’s largest African economy could look bright.

It must be understood that the cause of Nigeria’s woes has been the painful declines in oil prices which have punished government revenues while also weakening the Naira.

With diversification already in progress and the Naira de-pegged, the first steps taken to reclaiming self-reliance and stability have been taken. It is visible that Nigeria has entered a recession, but if the nation can weather this period of uncertainty then the positive outcome may exceed all expectations.

 

 


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E-Financial

SEC Partners EFCC to Tackle Market Infractions

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Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) have announced collaboration to minimise trade manipulations in the virtual sphere.

SEC Partners EFCC to Tackle Market Infractions

Emomotimi Agama, acting director-general, SEC,  said that his the organisation was ready to collaborate with the EFCC to accomplish the national goal of ensuring that criminal activity is prevented from flourishing.

Agama stated this when he received a team from the EFCC led by Ola Olukoyede, executive chairman, in Abuja.

“We believe this form of cooperation is in the best interest of Nigerians. Only last week, we met the fintech community, and we made it clear to them that the SEC will not condone illegal trading on any platform, especially P2P. It’s a dangerous trend, and we cannot allow it to continue. This collaboration is very necessary for us to get out of this forex crisis.

According to Agama, the commission is preparing an economic regulatory centre to upload requests and have other sister agencies respond immediately, adding that the commission was implementing the Revised Capital Market Master Plan, intended to boost the economy and draw in FDIs.

“The opportunities in the capital market are enormous, and we are yet to tap the full potential for economic growth. The economy has a lot of issues, and the capital market is one of the avenues that can lead to economic emancipation. The President has said he wants to re-engage the youth, and that is why we are making efforts to ensure that our markets have the right products that can attract them,” he asserted.

According to the EFCC chairman, it is necessary to investigate the role virtual traders are playing in undermining the Nigerian economy.

He noted that the commission was prepared to use its authority to boost the economy and characterised the SEC as crucial to regulatory compliance.

“We are enforcers and not regulators, and that is why we need the SEC to ensure people play by the rules. We have done a lot to discourage people from forex malpractices,” he remarked.

Olukoyede emphasised that other agencies must cooperate with the EFCC in its fight against corruption, saying that it was a team effort.


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World Bank Blacklists 58 Nigerian Firms, Individuals over Corruption

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World Bank has blacklisted 58 Nigerian companies and individuals for engaging in corrupt practices, a move which comes as part of the institution’s ongoing efforts to uphold integrity and transparency in its projects and operations.

World Bank blacklists 58 Nigerian Firms, Individuals over Corruption

Among those affected are 39 Nigerian companies previously debarred by the African Development Bank (AfDB), along with 19 individuals identified by the World Bank under the cross-debarment policy.

The total number of debarments now stands at 58, rendering the implicated entities ineligible to participate in projects and operations financed by institutions of the World Bank Group.

The list which the World Bank updates every three hours, contains a total of 1,210 companies and individuals globally at the time of this report.

A debarment renders firms/individuals ineligible to participate in projects and operations financed by institutions of the World Bank Group.

According to the World Bank report, the sanctions were imposed following an administrative process conducted by the Bank, which allowed the accused firms and individuals to respond to the allegations. This process adhered to the Bank’s procedures for sanctions proceedings and settlements in bank-financed projects.

“Through July 2007, this process was conducted in accordance with the Sanctions Committee Procedures adopted on August 2, 2001. The process is currently conducted in accordance with Bank Procedure: Sanctions Proceedings and Settlements in Bank Financed Projects. For more information on the two-tier sanctions process go to Sanctions,” it stated in the report.

Cross-debarment, as per the Agreement for Mutual Enforcement of Debarment Decisions, was enforced in accordance with the agreement dated 9 April 2010.

This agreement has been made effective by several international financial institutions, including the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Inter-American Development Bank, and African Development Bank.

Cross-debarment in accordance with the Agreement for Mutual Enforcement of Debarment Decisions dated 9 April 2010, which, as of July 1, 2011, has been made effective by the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Inter-American Development Bank, and African Development Bank.”

 

In addition to debarment, the Bank reserves the right to apply other actions to firms and individuals found in violation of its policies, which may not necessarily result in debarment.

The prohibited conduct leading to debarment is defined in the applicable Procurement or Consultant Guidelines, as well as in the World Bank Procurement Regulations for Investment Project Financing Borrowers. The specific guidelines may vary depending on the nature of the project in question.

The World Bank’s actions underscore its commitment to combating corruption and promoting accountability in development projects, ensuring that funds are used effectively for the benefit of the people.

 

 

 

 


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Again, Moniepoint Inc Emerged as Africa’s Fastest Growing Financial Institution by the Financial Times

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Moniepoint Inc, parent company of Nigeria’s leading financial institutions, Moniepoint MFB and TeamApt Ltd has been ranked by the Financial Times, one of the world’s leading business news organizations, recognized internationally for its authority, integrity, and accuracy as Africa’s fastest-growing financial institution.

Tosin Enioorunda, Group CEO Moniepoint Inc

The world’s leading financial publication confirmed Moniepoint Inc’s accolade in its annual “Africa’s Fastest Growing Companies” survey, released today. It is the second consecutive year Moniepoint has achieved both the fastest-growing fintech milestone, and, ranked in Africa’s top four fastest-growing companies overall.

The survey was compiled by Statista, a leading research company renowned for its insight into African companies’ actual performance, in a rigorous screening process. In this survey, companies are ranked based on 2019-2022 data by their absolute growth rate of revenues and their compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Moniepoint’s growth rates of 7,979% (absolute) and 332% (CAGR) ranked it ahead of hundreds of leading companies from diverse industries such as technology, telecoms, financial services, and healthcare.

Moniepoint Inc has long been one of Africa’s largest business payments platforms, processing over $182 billion for customers in 2023. It will be recalled that in August 2023, Moniepoint MFB entered the personal banking market offering reliable banking services to millions of individuals across Nigeria. The holding group also doubled its global headcount, growing to over 1,800 employees by the end of 2023.

This recognition highlights Moniepoint’s success as Africa’s leading fintech, driving financial inclusion by empowering underserved businesses and individuals to access the formal financial system, contributing to a key goal of the Nigerian government.

Tosin Eniolorunda, Group CEO of Moniepoint Inc., said: “We are thrilled to be recognised by the Financial Times as Africa’s fastest growing fintech for the second consecutive year. Achieving rapid growth and scale is a fantastic achievement; maintaining that year-on-year is even better. The ranking is a testament to the dedication and hard work of the entire Moniepoint team, and the trust of millions of customers across Africa in the Company.

“2023 was a pivotal year for Moniepoint. Moniepoint has moved from being an agency-dominated institution to becoming merchant-dominated as we have seen a lot more people embrace more digital payment solutions. It is humbling to see that we have become a household name that people have come to know and trust, the bellwether for reliable transactions every time.

With our foray into the personal banking market, we have been able to deliver seamless and reliable payment solutions for Nigerians especially those in underserved communities as we continue to supercharge access to financial services and contribute to economic growth and wealth creation. 2024 is set to be even more exciting with continued growth, driving compliance and innovation, as we maintain our leading role within the African fintech sector, driving financial inclusion across Africa.”

According to David Pilling, FT Africa Editor, “The third year of our now expanded ranking of Africa’s Fastest Growing Companies comes against a background in which many economies are struggling to recover from the Covid pandemic. The FT-Statista list reveals the type of companies that, even in hard times, have managed to grow, often by disrupting markets…This year, our ranking has a wider geographical spread of companies than before. The big newcomer is Morocco, with 12 companies in the top 125 against just three last time. Mauritian-domiciled companies also did well with nine winners, against four in 2022. South Africa had 42 companies in the list, followed by Nigeria’s 25, while Kenya tied third at 12.”

Moniepoint Inc.’s technology powers over five million businesses and their customers, offering all the payment, banking, credit and business management tools they need to succeed. Establishing itself as a market leader in Nigeria across various segments from commerce to health and hospitality amongst many others, Moniepoint’s transformational and positive strides has earned it local and international plaudits.

In 2023, for the second year running, Moniepoint Inc was named amongst the 100 most promising private fintech companies by CB Insights. Moniepoint MFB received the Rising Star Family Business Award at the Pwc/Businessday Family Business Summit; while bagging the Fintech Company of the Year award at the 16th edition of Leadership Newspapers Conference and Awards.

Industry analysts have averred that as a strongly embedded and systemic institution in the digital payment services segment, with an eye on the future, Moniepoint Inc is poised to continue to deliver innovative solutions that promote inclusivity, drive sustainability and create new vistas in the markets where they operate.


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