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Warning Lights Flash Red for Nigeria as Oil Plunges into Bear Market

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By Lukman Otunuga, FXTMResearch Analyst

The taps are leaking dangerously on Oil prices and this is something no plumber can fix in the short to medium term.

Oil prices collapsed yesterday, sinking to levels not seen in six months, after stockpiles on US Crude unexpectedly jumped by the most in five weeks. The steep downside was fuelled by growing concerns over persistent US-China trade tensions negatively impacting growth and hitting demand for Crude Oil. Falling Oil remains a significant risk for Nigeria, especially when factoring in that a lion’s share of the nation’s export revenues is sourced from Oil sales. Should Oil prices remain depressed for prolonged periods, this has the potential to obstruct Nigeria’s economic recovery and threaten stability in the exchange rate.

USD buyers run into brick wall as speculation picks up Fed will accelerate car into reverse

Persistent expectations that the Federal Reserve will drive the car on interest rates into reverse and then accelerate at full speed in response to US-led trade disputes impacting economic sentiment have led to Dollar buyers hitting a brick wall.

Downbeat comments from St. Louis Fed President James Bullard on how a rate cut “may be warranted soon” have dealt the Dollar a knockout punch.

Market pessimism over US-led trade disputes negatively impacting the US economy is now threatening the Dollar’s previous position as a safe-haven in times of market uncertainty, and this view continues to be highlighted in price action for the Greenback. 

The Dollar is very much on the ropes just one week after it reached a new milestone high for 2019; attention will now be drawn towards the US employment report scheduled for release at the end of the week. Dollar buyers need to see signs of resilient job growth in the United States to see some light at the end of the tunnel. 

European Central Bank to repeat pessimism on global economy

Today’s highlight and major risk event for the Euro will be the European Central Bank meeting. It is widely expected that the ECB will leave monetary policy unchanged, but what everyone wants to know is what is the ECB’s take is on the pessimistic views that are surrounding the global economy.  

The Eurozone remains bombarded by a storm of domestic and external headwinds and therefore, the likelihood is high that the ECB will deliver a downbeat assessment of its economy.

A sharp slowdown in EU inflation earlier this week, returning concerns over the Italian budget and Brexit, among many other risks, are pressuring the ECB to remain in a defensive position.

The risk factors that investors will be paying close attention to are the ECB’s economic projections.  Another potential slide lower in economic forecasts, in line with revisions elsewhere that have been downgraded in recent weeks will fuel speculation that the ECB will leave interest rates at record-low levels far beyond 2020.   

Gold continues to glitter as window-shoppers loom

Gold has stormed back into fashion throughout the week following the acceleration in Dollar weakness.

Vulnerability in the Dollar has played an influential role in Gold’s rapid sprint up the hill, with prices punching above levels not seen in over three months to above $1340.

Market speculation over the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates amid trade tensions, a weaker Dollar and geopolitical risks should ensure Gold remains in demand moving forward.

 

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E-Financial

Moniepoint to Launch Second Edition of Nigeria’s Informal Economy Report in Abuja

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Nigerian fintech giant Moniepoint is set to unveil the second edition of its widely acclaimed Nigeria’s Informal Economy Report in Abuja, reinforcing its commitment to financial inclusion and data-driven policy advocacy.

The launch event, scheduled to take place later this month, will bring together key stakeholders from government, finance, and development sectors to explore insights into Nigeria’s vast informal economy, which accounts for a significant portion of the country’s workforce and GDP.

Moniepoint’s first edition of the report, released in 2024, was praised for shedding light on the challenges and opportunities within Nigeria’s informal sector, including access to credit, digital payments, and regulatory gaps.

According to company officials, the second edition will feature updated data, expanded regional coverage, and actionable recommendations aimed at empowering small businesses and informal workers through technology and financial services.

The report is expected to serve as a valuable resource for policymakers, researchers, and financial institutions seeking to better understand and support Nigeria’s informal economy.

Moniepoint has emerged as a leading force in Nigeria’s fintech space, providing digital banking solutions to millions of individuals and businesses across the country.


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FirstBank Brings Smart Banking to Abuja with New Tech-Driven Branch

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The Group Chief Executive Officer, First Bank of Nigeria Limited, Olusegun Alebiosu (second from left) and Senator Babangida Hussaini commissioning of FirstBank Digital Xperience Centre in Abuja on Wednesday, October 8, 2025.
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FirstBank of Nigeria has launched its latest Digital Xperience Centre (DXC) in Area 10, Abuja, marking a significant step in its drive to revolutionize banking through technology and innovation.

The Group Chief Executive Officer, First Bank of Nigeria Limited, Olusegun Alebiosu (second from left) and Senator Babangida Hussaini commissioning of FirstBank Digital Xperience Centre in Abuja on Wednesday, October 8, 2025.

The fully automated branch is the seventh of its kind across Nigeria, offering customers a paperless, self-service banking experience available 24 hours a day, including weekends.

Speaking at the unveiling ceremony, FirstBank Group CEO Olusegun Alebiosu said the initiative reflects the bank’s commitment to creating a modern, customer-centric banking environment.

“For us, the future is digital,” Alebiosu said. “From account opening to transfers, customers can now perform almost every transaction on their phones. But for those who still need to deposit or withdraw cash, our Xperience Centres provide a 24/7 self-service option.”

He added that the bank has integrated artificial intelligence and biometric verification into its security systems to protect customers against fraud.

The event was attended by dignitaries including Senator Babangida Hussaini, who commended FirstBank for its forward-thinking approach.

“This is a forward-thinking initiative. I commend FirstBank for investing in both people and technology,” Hussaini said.

Customers also expressed satisfaction with the new centre. Mrs. Toyin Balogun described the experience as “smoother and faster,” praising the staff for their friendliness.

The new Abuja centre joins existing DXC locations in Victoria Island, University of Ibadan, Wuse, Banana Island, Lekki, and the University of Nigeria, Nsukka.

FirstBank says the centres are designed to provide seamless access to world-class banking solutions, including instant account opening, interactive digital support, and advanced transaction automation.

 


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Fidelity Bank Set to Disburse NCGC N5bn Credit Guarantee Facility to Boost MSME Financing

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L-R: Executive Director, South Directorate, Fidelity Bank Plc, Pamela Shodipo; Executive Director, Lagos & South West, Fidelity Bank, Dr. Ken Opara; Executive Director, Strategy and Operations, National Credit Guarantee Company Limited (NCGC), Mrs. Tinuola Aigwedo; Executive Director/Chief Risk Officer, Fidelity Bank Plc, Kevin Ugwuoke; MD/CEO, NCGC, Mr. Bonaventure Okhaimo; Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer, Fidelity Bank Plc, Dr. Nneka Onyeali-Ikpe; Executive Director/Chief Operations and Information Officer, Fidelity Bank Plc, Stanley Amuchie; and Executive Director, Risk Management, NCGC, Prof Ezekiel Oseni, during the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) Signing Ceremony between Fidelity Bank and NCGC in Lagos.
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Fidelity Bank Plc, tier one lender, has announced its readiness to begin the disbursement of funds under the National Credit Guarantee Company (NCGC) N5 billion Credit Intervention Scheme. The initiative is designed to expand access to finance for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), as well as businesses owned by women and youths across Nigeria.

 

L-R: Executive Director, South Directorate, Fidelity Bank Plc, Pamela Shodipo; Executive Director, Lagos & South West, Fidelity Bank, Dr. Ken Opara; Executive Director, Strategy and Operations, National Credit Guarantee Company Limited (NCGC), Mrs. Tinuola Aigwedo; Executive Director/Chief Risk Officer, Fidelity Bank Plc, Kevin Ugwuoke; MD/CEO, NCGC, Mr. Bonaventure Okhaimo; Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer, Fidelity Bank Plc, Dr. Nneka Onyeali-Ikpe; Executive Director/Chief Operations and Information Officer, Fidelity Bank Plc, Stanley Amuchie; and Executive Director, Risk Management, NCGC, Prof Ezekiel Oseni, during the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) Signing Ceremony between Fidelity Bank and NCGC in Lagos.

This was disclosed by the Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of Fidelity Bank Plc, Dr. Nneka Onyeali-Ikpe, during the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between the bank and NCGC.

According to Dr. Onyeali-Ikpe, the partnership with NCGC represents a significant step in the bank’s ongoing efforts to enhance financial inclusion and stimulate economic growth through increased access to credit. “This guarantee will enable us to further expand financing opportunities for those who need it most, while strengthening our capacity to support businesses across key sectors of the Nigerian economy,” she said.

The facility will cover critical sectors including food processing, secondary agriculture (such as fish and poultry processing), fashion, green energy, light manufacturing, the agricultural value chain (feed mills and equipment fabrication), export-oriented businesses, and education.

Dr. Onyeali-Ikpe highlighted that Fidelity Bank has consistently supported diverse sectors through targeted initiatives such as the Green Energy Financing Programme for renewable energy entrepreneurs, the Fidelity SME Hub for small businesses with a special arm – Creativerse, dedicated to the creative industry and the Fidelity Bank Education Support Scheme which provides affordable financing for educational infrastructure and technology upgrades.

“With the backing of the NCGC credit guarantee, we can now extend financing to businesses that have traditionally been excluded from formal credit systems—without compromising our risk standards or operational efficiency,” she added. “While we have supported MSMEs with short-term facilities in the past, this partnership allows us to provide long-term credit facilities that empower businesses to expand sustainably.”

Over the past five years, Fidelity Bank has disbursed over N500 billion in loans to MSMEs, empowering thousands of entrepreneurs and creating sustainable livelihoods.

Also speaking at the event, Managing Director of NCGC, Mr. Bonaventure Okhaimo, emphasized that the organization was established to bridge the financing gap faced by MSMEs in Nigeria by mitigating lender risks through credit guarantees.

“Although MSMEs are key contributors to Nigeria’s economic development, many of them struggle to secure funding from financial institutions due to perceived high risks,” he said. “Through the credit guarantee scheme, NCGC shares this risk with banks, making it easier for MSMEs to access much-needed capital.”

Mr. Okhaimo added that NCGC and Fidelity Bank will also collaborate to provide financial literacy and business management training to MSME beneficiaries, ensuring they have the knowledge and skills to effectively manage their loans and achieve sustainable growth.

The Fidelity Bank–NCGC partnership reinforces both institutions shared commitment to fostering entrepreneurship, strengthening MSMEs, and driving inclusive economic development across Nigeria.

Ranked among the best banks in Nigeria, Fidelity Bank Plc is a full-fledged Commercial Deposit Money Bank serving over 9.1 million customers through digital banking channels, its 255 business offices in Nigeria and United Kingdom subsidiary, FidBank UK Limited.

The Bank is a recipient of multiple local and international Awards, including the 2024 Excellence in Digital Transformation & MSME Banking Award by BusinessDay Banks and Financial Institutions (BAFI) Awards; the 2024 Most Innovative Mobile Banking Application award for its Fidelity Mobile App by Global Business Outlook, and the 2024 Most Innovative Investment Banking Service Provider award by Global Brands Magazine.

Additionally, the Bank was recognized as the Best Bank for SMEs in Nigeria by the Euromoney Awards for Excellence and as the Export Financing Bank of the Year by the BusinessDay Banks and Financial Institutions (BAFI) Awards.


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