E-Financial
Mixed Oil Markets and Q2 Slowdown Signal Economic Warnings to Nigeria

By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM,
Another recent escalation in the trade dispute between the US and China has punished crude Oil prices and set off warning signals for Oil-producing countries like Nigeria.
At the same time, Nigeria’s GDP slowed down to 1.94 percent in the second quarter from 2.1 percent in the first quarter, following the trend seen in several economies such as Germany and the UK.
It is becoming quite clear that as long as oil dependence remains one of Nigeria’s biggest risks, this will continue weighing heavily on the economy for the rest of 2019. While the GDP data should nudge the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to cut interest rates for the second time this year in September in an effort to stimulate growth, this is a temporary fix to a bigger problem
What trade disputes mean for Nigeria’s economy
Persistent trade disputes between the world’s two largest economies is set to fuel fears over a global slowdown or even recession. Oil prices declined on the basis that a decelerating global growth may result in lower demand for the commodity Nigeria relies on for 90% of its export earnings.
In the context of a trade dispute, tariffs are like bombs exploding on trading relationships, supply deals and eventually on company profits.
Trade tensions also remain a direct threat to Nigeria’s economy. The risk factors are escalating along with the probability that the world may see an economic slowdown in the short-to-medium term.
Under the current circumstances, there are three main challenges Nigeria must navigate. They are China’s slowdown, lower oil prices, and the need for fast and adaptive monetary policy to handle local and external shocks.
Will China impact Nigeria’s growth prospects?
China’s growth slowed to 6.2% in the second quarter, its weakest expansion in three decades.
Most recently, China’s backing in the form of loans reached $16 billion and its vested interest is seen as a key support for the current production level of 1.85 million barrels per day.
However, Nigeria aims to reach three million barrels per day and needs more investment from China, which may prove to be more difficult going forward if China’s economy continues to decline.
The high level of debt to China is also proving to be a weight on fiscal revenues because Nigeria spent 50% of its 2018 government revenues on debt repayment.
Indeed, the IMF has urged Nigeria to curb its large appetite for Chinese loans as the country struggles with a €70 billion debt burden. That’s up from €62 billion in 2017, representing a year-on-year rise of 12.25 percent.
Lower oil prices remain a threat to Nigeria’s recovery
The prospect of high debt levels to China amid lower oil prices is something that must not be overlooked.
At the time of writing, Oil benchmarks come under continuous pressure from demand-side concerns, including recession fears stemming from trade disputes.
The money from Oil sales is the lifeblood of the Nigerian economy. In the worst-case scenario, if Oil prices start drifting lower there could be unwelcome consequences such as even slower GDP growth, job losses, sovereign debt defaults, less money in the fiscal budget for development, and constrained consumer spending.
Reduced crude Oil sales would affect government revenues and reserves, meaning the capacity to fund projects will be weakened. Stock markets together with investor sentiment domestically and externally would be impacted and possibly even trigger capital outflows.
Can Monetary policy handle downside shocks?
One would have expected economic momentum to pick up from Q1 after CBN cut interest rates in March and forced lenders to dish out more credit in a bid to boost growth.
While lower rates have the potential to keep the economy running, the answer to Nigeria’s woes can be found in diversification. The level of progress the nation has made in breaking away from the shackles of oil reliance remains a question for many with even the International Monetary Fund urging the nation to diversify revenues.
Another concern is friction over a recent UK court decision allowing a natural gas company to take over nine billion USD worth of Nigerian sovereign assets in London. The government has refused to accept the ruling and plans to appeal but the CBN may still need to step in to defend the Naira.
There is still some light at the end of the tunnel for the Nigerian economy if the right steps are taking in breaking away from oil reliance to other sustainable sources of economic growth. However, if Oil prices continue to send warning signals to Nigeria’s economic policy makers by trading sideways or declining, fiscal measures combined with monetary policy easing measures may become urgently needed to accelerate economic diversification.
E-Financial
NIBBS to Boost Financial Inclusion with Offline Payment Solutions

The Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS) is looking into offline payment solutions as part of its efforts to increase financial inclusion and reach Nigerians who have limited or no access to mobile data.

The project was announced by Ngover Nwankwo, NIBSS executive director for business and products, at the 2026 CHBO Conference in Lagos.
Nwankwo pointed out that the rapid expansion of digital payments must be matched by purposeful inclusion initiatives, cautioning that innovation should not exclude groups of the population that still rely largely on cash.
She emphasised that cash is still an important element of Nigeria’s economy and that digital and cash-based payments must coexist to safeguard disadvantaged users while boosting efficiency for digitally connected customers.
Nwanko also commended banks for operational performance, particularly during the December 2025 cash demand period, which she said was met with few public complaints.
Lloyd Onaghinon, Bankers Warehouse Plc,had similar sentiments on the enduring need of cash. He explained that cash usage remained high globally due to cultural, demographic, and trust-related factors
However, he cautioned that surplus currency outside the banking system undermines financial intermediation and monetary policy efficacy, demanding greater cooperation among regulators, banks, and other stakeholders.
Director Solaja Olayemi, representing the Central Bank of Nigeria, stated that around 90% of Nigeria’s cash remained outside the banking system and encouraged banks to collaborate with fintechs and microfinance institutions..
He added that fintechs with substantial agent networks, such as Moniepoint, OPay, and Kuda, are better positioned to drive inclusion, with some companies now holding national licenses.
E-Financial
CBN Upgrades Licences of Opay, Moniepoint, Kuda, Palmpay, Paga to National Status

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has approved the upgrade of operating licences for major FinTech companies and Microfinance Banks (MFBs), including Opay, Moniepoint MFB, Kuda Bank, Palmpay and Paga, to national status, formalising their nationwide operations after fulfilling regulatory compliance requirements.

The development addresses the rapid expansion of these digital platforms, which have leveraged mobile technology and extensive agent networks to serve millions across Nigeria, outgrowing their previous regional or state-level licences.
Yemi Solaja, Director of the CBN’s Other Financial Institutions Supervision Department, announced the upgrades during the annual conference of the Committee of Heads of Banks’ Operations (CHBO) in Lagos.
Institutions like Moniepoint MFB, Opay, Kuda Bank and others have now been upgraded. In practice, their operations are already nationwide, Solaja stated, highlighting the mismatch between prior licensing scopes and actual service footprints.
He underscored the critical need for physical customer support infrastructure, especially for informal sector users who form the bulk of their clientele, noting that Most of their customers operate in the informal sector. They need a clear point of contact if any issues arise.
With national licences, these institutions must adhere to elevated standards, including a minimum capital base of N5 billion for national MFBs, establishment of dedicated offices for complaint resolution, and rigorous Know-Your-Customer (KYC) protocols to bolster consumer protection and financial system stability.
The reforms align with CBN’s broader strategy to integrate large-scale digital operators into a robust regulatory framework commensurate with their reach, while harnessing their potential to deepen financial inclusion across Nigeria’s underserved populations.
This milestone follows intensified oversight, exemplified by 2024 penalties of N1 billion each imposed on Moniepoint and Opay for KYC non-compliance during routine audits, alongside similar actions against other players like Kuda and Palmpay, which prompted operational overhauls.
Such measures reflect the apex bank’s commitment to balancing innovation with risk management in the fintech sector, which has revolutionised access to banking services for millions in the informal economy through agent banking and mobile wallets.
Industry observers view the national upgrades as a vote of confidence in these trailblazers, while signalling that sustained compliance remains non-negotiable for their continued dominance in Nigeria’s digital finance ecosystem.
E-Financial
Nigeria’s 9 Top FinTech Firms Valued at $10.6Bn in January 2026
Nigeria’s leading financial technology companies are now collectively valued at about $10.6 billion as of January 2026, underscoring the country’s growing influence in Africa’s digital finance ecosystem and renewed investor confidence in technology-driven financial services.
According to report by the Tribune, based on data from Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings, Bloomberg and other publicly available sources, Flutterwave remains Nigeria’s most valuable fintech company with an estimated valuation of $3 billion.
It is followed closely by OPay at $2.75 billion.
Together, both firms account for more than half of the total valuation of the country’s top fintech players, reflecting their dominance in payments infrastructure, merchant services and consumer finance.
Moniepoint and Interswitch are valued at about $1 billion each, reinforcing their positions as critical pillars of Nigeria’s digital payments architecture.
While Moniepoint has rapidly expanded its reach among small and medium-sized businesses, Interswitch continues to play a foundational role in switching, transaction processing and payment infrastructure for banks and fintechs across the country.
PalmPay, valued at $0.85 billion, and Moove, estimated at $0.75 billion, illustrate how Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem is evolving beyond traditional payments.
PalmPay has built a strong footprint in mobile financial services, while Moove represents the growing convergence between fintech and mobility by providing innovative vehicle financing solutions for drivers on ride-hailing platforms.
Kuda and Paystack, both valued at $0.5 billion, remain important players in digital banking and online payments, respectively.
Kuda has strengthened its position as one of Nigeria’s leading digital-only banks, while Paystack continues to be a trusted gateway for online transactions across Africa.
Paga, valued at $0.25 billion, completes the list, sustaining its relevance through mobile payments and a strong focus on financial inclusion, particularly in underserved and unbanked communities.
In summary, Nigeria’s top fintech companies by market value as of January 2026 are: Flutterwave ($3.0 billion), OPay ($2.75 billion), Moniepoint ($1.0 billion), Interswitch ($1.0 billion), PalmPay ($0.85 billion), Moove ($0.75 billion), Kuda ($0.5 billion), Paystack ($0.5 billion) and Paga ($0.25 billion), bringing their combined valuation to $10.6 billion.
These figures reinforce Nigeria’s position as Africa’s leading fintech hub, driven by its large and youthful population, rising smartphone penetration and increasing demand for digital financial services.
Analysts note that fintech remains one of the most attractive sectors for venture capital on the continent, consistently accounting for a significant share of startup funding over the past decade.
Commenting on the broader impact of technology-driven businesses, Professor Chris U. Kalu said fintech has become a major force in reshaping Nigeria’s financial landscape.
“Generally, fintech has played a very significant role in the Nigerian financial ecosystem,” he said. “The same applies to e-commerce, where platforms like Konga and Jumia are competing favourably and contributing meaningfully to the economy. In e-hailing too, companies such as Uber, Bolt and Lagride are creating value and jobs. This is really a good time for Nigeria and Nigerians, even though development challenges still exist. They are surmountable.”
Despite the impressive valuations, industry observers caution that the fintech ecosystem still faces challenges, including regulatory uncertainty, infrastructure gaps, currency volatility and uneven access to capital. However, the steady rise in company valuations suggests that investors remain optimistic about long-term opportunities in the sector.
EnterpriseNGR recently noted that Nigeria remains Africa’s undisputed fintech capital, with digital payment platforms processing ₦1.08 quadrillion in transactions in 2024, representing a 79 per cent year-on-year increase. It added that by 2026, the payments segment alone is expected to contribute about $6 billion to GDP, supported by strong growth in digital payments and lending, as well as the expansion of wealthtech and insurtech services.
With innovation spreading across payments, digital banking, lending, mobility finance and e-commerce enablement, Nigeria’s fintech sector is increasingly being viewed not only as a regional leader, but also as a critical driver of economic transformation and financial inclusion across Africa.
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