E-Financial
What Does Sub-Zero Oil Mean for Nigeria’s Economic Outlook?

By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM,
April 20, 2020 will go down in the history books as the day when WTI crude futures expiring in May plunged more than 300 percent, falling as low as minus $40.32 per barrel amid COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns.
Utter chaos ensued after the US benchmark prices for crude Oil went sub-zero for the first time ever, driven down by the producer’s desperate attempt to pay buyers to take the commodity off their hands. This was due to fears that storage capacity could run out in May.
As Oil sank, tanker stocks soared, reflecting an intense increase in demand for crude storage space. It says a lot about the unprecedented nature of the coronavirus pandemic when we see that the fastest-growing demand trend in the Oil markets is for storage space.
Prices rose spasmodically after Iran launched its first military satellite, earning President Donald Trump’s ire. But this has not changed the fundamental themes weighing on Oil.
For Nigeria, these fundamental themes of collapsing demand and oversupply are big headwinds even if the country’s Oil is benchmarked against Brent Crude. The Nigerian state depends on Oil for 60 percent of its revenues and 90 percent of its foreign exchange. But with prices for several Oil benchmarks falling below zero, Nigeria is generating massive losses for every barrel it produces, meaning the economic outlook is growing more precarious.
It’s likely that foreign exchange reserves will stay on the firing line while the Naira remains exposed to downside shocks. A further weight on the currency and government revenues is that Nigeria spent four times as much moneysubsidising fuel versus building schools, health centres and science labs in 2019. Another inefficiency which may come back to haunt is the fact that Nigeria produces crude Oil which is sold to the US, China and Europe only to re-import natural gas at higher prices.
With the cost of producing Oil at around $15-$17 per barrel, the current volatility and weakness in Oil prices may fuel fears of a sovereign debt crisis. Nigeria’s total debt stands at around $84 billion with up to 80% of its bilateral debt owed to China. Already, Fitch Ratings has cut Nigeria’s Long-Term Foreign Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to B from B+.
Weakening outlook notwithstanding, Nigeria is making the same choice as most other world governments – to stop the spread of coronavirus. The plan is to raise as much as $6.9 billion from multilateral lenders to help fund efforts to stop the disease in its tracks.
This is the right choice, and could give the economy a better chance to recover more quickly after the pandemic ends.
Meanwhile, the short-term outlook for Oil prices remains grim due to demand destruction and slowing global growth after China experienced an economic contraction in Q1 on top of a lack of storage space.
Given that Oil sector weakness is set to remain a dominant theme in the short-to-near term, Nigeria must act fast and break away from the chains of Oil reliance to other sustainable sources of growth. Diversification is the lifesaving elixir to Nigeria’s ailments but the benefits will not happen overnight.
Digitalisation has become a hot trend in many countries as populations and governments seek to reduce human contact but increase human connection. In the same vein, the government’s ‘Change’ agenda has never been more important than it is now. Technology and innovation may be the focus of increased investment as other economic sectors come to a standstill under lockdowns.
To sum up the new reality, Nigeria has displayed resilience to external and domestic risks in the recent past but the coronavirus pandemic and collapsing Oil prices could present one of the biggest economic tests in its history. Will Nigeria be able to weather the storm, evolve and rise from the ashes like a phoenix or will Africa’s largest economy face the same fate as Venezuela and Zimbabwe?
My sincere hope is that the economy will adapt quickly, resulting in a faster-than-expected comeback.
E-Financial
Reps Committee Recovers N521m Unremitted VAT from CBN

House of Representatives Public Accounts Committee (PAC) says it has recovered over ₦521 million in unremitted Value Added Tax (VAT) from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

This is part of an ongoing investigation into revenue leakages and outstanding funds owed to the federal government.
Bamidele Salam, chairman of the Committee, disclosed this while providing an update on the probe into transactions conducted through the Remita platform.
According to Salam, the investigation was initiated following a resolution of the House of Representatives to examine alleged revenue leakages, non-compliance with standard operating procedures and breaches of service level agreements linked to the Remita payment platform.
He said the committee had uncovered several outstanding liabilities and led to multiple recoveries.
Salam revealed that the committee discovered that the CBN failed to remit VAT amounting to ₦521,765,134.17, representing tax deductions on fees earned from Remita transactions.
He described the recovery as evidence of the effectiveness of legislative oversight in promoting accountability and safeguarding public resources.
The lawmaker maintained that the committee would recover all outstanding funds due to the Federal Government and blocking avenues for revenue leakages across public institutions.
It added that the CBN has been directed to remit the outstanding amount into the Federal Government Treasury and provide evidence of compliance.
The Public Accounts Committee is expected to continue its hearing on the matter on Monday, June 8, 2026, at the National Assembly in Abuja.
E-Financial
CBN Imposes N100m Penalty on Dealing Bank Inadequate Processing of Forex Documents

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said that any authorised dealer bank the processes foreign exchange (forex) transactions without proper documentation will be fined N100 million.

In addition, the bank will pay N10 million for each transaction involved.
The sanctions are contained in the fourth edition of the Foreign Exchange Manual, which serves as a guide for participants in Nigeria’s forex market.
According to the CBN, the updated manual aims to improve compliance, increase transparency, and strengthen confidence in the foreign exchange system.
Banks are now required to obtain, verify, and keep all necessary documents before releasing foreign currency to customers.
Similar documentation requirements apply to forward and swap transactions, where proof of the underlying trade or obligation must be provided before settlement.
For import transactions, importers must continue to provide documents such as Form M, invoices, certificates of origin, packing lists, and shipping documents.
They must also submit Exchange Control Documents within 90 days after negotiating shipping documents through overseas correspondent banks.
The CBN warned that failure to meet documentation requirements will attract escalating sanctions.
A first violation will result in a 90-day suspension from forex transactions, a second violation will attract a 180-day suspension, and a third offence will lead to a one-year suspension.
A fourth violation could result in a complete ban from participating in forex transactions.
Banks that fail to report cases of default to the CBN will also face sanctions.
The apex bank further tightened reporting requirements. Institutions that submit required daily or monthly returns late will be fined N500,000, while those that fail to submit returns at all will pay a minimum of N5 million, plus an additional N500,000 daily until compliance is achieved.Afternoon Paper Subscription
The revised manual also strengthens oversight of banks’ foreign currency exposure.
Financial institutions that exceed approved Net Open Position limits will receive a warning for the first offence, a 10-working-day suspension from the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market for the second offence, and a 90-day suspension for the third violation.
The CBN also imposed sanctions on unauthorised reallocation of foreign exchange funds. Any bank found engaging in such practices will be fined N10 million per transaction and may face additional disciplinary action under the Bankers’ Committee ethics framework.
According to the CBN, the new measures are aimed at promoting transparency, strengthening market discipline, reducing abuses, and improving investor confidence in Nigeria’s foreign exchange market.
E-Financial
BOI Wins Dual Honours @ EMEA Finance Awards for Sustainability and Social Impact Leadership

The Bank of Industry (BOI) has been recognised with two prestigious awards at the recently concluded EMEA Finance Achievement Awards, reinforcing its position as a leading development finance institution driving inclusive and sustainable economic growth across Africa.

The Bank received the Best Sustainability Deal in Africa Award for its financing intervention under the Nigeria Distributed Access through Renewable Energy Scale-up (DARES) Project and the Best Social Development Deal in Africa Award for its flagship Guaranteed Loans for Women (GLOW) programme.
The award-winning DARES initiative is being implemented by BOI in collaboration with the Rural Electrification Agency (REA) and supported by the World Bank through a $750 million International Development Association (IDA) credit facility. The programme is designed to expand electricity access across underserved and unserved communities through the deployment of solar mini-grids.
The initiative forms part of BOI’s broader Power and Utilities portfolio, through which the Bank disbursed ₦27 billion to eight businesses in 2025. According to BOI’s 2025 Annual Development Impact Report, all supported projects demonstrated 100 per cent financial additionality, indicating that they would not have proceeded without BOI’s intervention.
The Bank’s Power and Utilities portfolio also recorded the highest Development Impact Framework score across all sectors financed by BOI, underscoring the transformational impact of its investments in sustainable energy infrastructure.
Similarly, the GLOW programme was recognised for advancing financial inclusion and economic empowerment for women-owned and women-led businesses across Nigeria.
Designed to address longstanding barriers faced by female entrepreneurs, including limited access to affordable finance, collateral constraints, and capacity gaps, GLOW provides tailored financing, business support services, and capacity-building opportunities to women-led enterprises across multiple sectors of the economy.
Beyond financing, GLOW provides training, mentorship, market access support, and opportunities for women-owned businesses to strengthen their competitiveness and expand into regional and international markets, including opportunities presented by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).
Speaking on the awards, Dr. Olasupo Olusi, MD/CEO BOI, described the recognition as an affirmation of BOI’s commitment to financing initiatives that create lasting developmental impact.
“These awards reflect the Bank of Industry’s deliberate focus on supporting projects and programmes that deliver measurable economic, social, and environmental outcomes for Nigerians. Whether it is bringing reliable electricity to underserved communities through renewable energy solutions or empowering women entrepreneurs by providing access to affordable finance and growth opportunities, our goal remains the same: to build a more inclusive, resilient, and sustainable economy. We are honoured by this international recognition and remain committed to deepening our impact across sectors that matter most to national development.”
The dual recognition further underscores BOI’s growing reputation as a catalyst for sustainable development and inclusive industrialisation, leveraging innovative financing solutions to address critical development challenges while unlocking opportunities for businesses and communities across Nigeria.
As Nigeria’s foremost development finance institution, BOI continues to play a pivotal role in advancing the Federal Government’s economic transformation agenda through strategic investments that stimulate enterprise growth, create jobs, improve livelihoods, and strengthen the country’s long-term economic competitiveness.
Telecom3 days agoTikTok Tax Scam Exposed: Two Arrested Over Alleged £153 Million Fraud Scheme
E-Financial3 days agoIFC, NGX Group Unveil Nigeria Gender Programme
Telecom3 days agoNITDA Backs NiRA’s Ambitious 2026 Plan to Drive Massive .ng Domain Adoption
General News3 days agoNITDA, Benin’s Digital Agency Strengthen Ties on Digital Transformation
Telecom3 days agoFG Targets Alleged N3tn Capital Flight, Opens Airtime Credit Market to Nigerian Fintechs
Telecom3 days agoMTN Dismisses Data Theft Claims, Blames Network Challenges on Fibre Cuts, Vandalism
E-Financial15 hours agoBOI Wins Dual Honours @ EMEA Finance Awards for Sustainability and Social Impact Leadership
Telecom15 hours agoPrice of Data in Nigerian Mobile among Top Four Cheapest Globally – MTN CEO


















