E-Financial
Africa’s Fintech Market Expected to Reach $65bn by 2030

Africa is the world’s fastest-growing continent when it comes to fintech revenue, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32%.

This means that by 2030, the African fintech market will be worth around $65 billion (~R1.2 trillion), according to a recent report by Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and QED Investors.
The report found that South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya and Egypt lead the fintech race in Africa. This is partly due to a lack of legacy infrastructure holding these countries back from exploring new financial ecosystems to serve underbanked and unbanked citizens.
Just under 500 million people in Africa are unbanked, whereas just over 410 million are underbanked.
“Fintech could be the vehicle to solve the access issue, with smartphones presenting major opportunities in payments and lending for regional champions with full-stack attacker models,” explains Caio Anteghini, partner at BCG Johannesburg.
“Globally and in Africa, the fintech journey is still in its early stages and will continue to revolutionise the financial services industry as we know it,” he adds.
How the rest of the world stacks up
Africa is currently winning the growth race for fintech, with a predicted 13 times growth to be achieved by 2030. The continent is followed by Latin America, with a 12.5 times growth rate.
Asia-Pacific is expected to grow by 8.5 times and Europe by 5.5 times. By 2030, North America is expected to grow by four times.
However, these are growth rates, not overall revenue value. While Africa’s fintech market is expected to be worth $65 billion by 2030, this is the smallest value of all.
The Latin America fintech market is expected to be worth $125 billion; the European market will be $190 billion; the North American market will be $500 billion and the Asia-Pacific market will top $600 billion by 2030.
“We expect to see continued growth not only in developed markets in the US and Europe, but also in developing fintech markets in Latin America, Asia and Africa, where the inertia and friction are even greater,” says QED Investors managing partner Nigel Morris.
Why Africa is in a good position for fintech market growth
Globally, financial services is one of the most profitable sectors, but it struggles with innovation and customer satisfaction. African companies have seized the opportunity to plug holes in the market through innovative fintech services that provide some financial freedom to local users. Mobile money services are a common trend among African telcos.
In addition to telcos joining the financial services sector, many banks have also launched fintech services to retain market share and accelerate their own digital journeys. Even in South Africa, some banks offer points-based reward systems or digital currencies of their own.
“In Africa, although cash is still king, fintech could be a vehicle to solve the access issue, as most of the population is still either underserved by banks or fully unbanked.
As the youngest and fastest-growing region globally – with a median age of roughly 19 and projected population growth of an additional 1.2 billion people by 2050 – demographic shifts and earning-power increases will deepen the need for financial access,” reads the report.
“Most Africans’ first interaction with the financial services sector may be through their smartphones – presenting major fintech opportunities in payments and lending…” continues the report. This can already be seen with telcos and their fintech offerings that have spurred on growth in the African sector.
The future of fintech services
Currently, payments are the largest fintech segment and the cause of the initial growth. Payments are likely to remain the biggest use of fintech until 2030, but business-to-business-to-any-user (B2B2X) and B2B services may become the next big thing for the market.
B2B2X is a new business model in which a telco delivers financial services to its end-users. The idea is to combine telecoms and IT services with applications used by companies to offer services to their customers, retailers, partners, suppliers or whoever might make up the “X”. It’s set to be an emerging business model that relies on fintech.
Currently, B2B fintech revenue is projected to grow at a 32% CAGR until 2030. With roughly 400 million small-to-medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) globally, hundreds of millions of small business owners could benefit from joining the fintech revolution and unlock financial benefits for their companies. In Africa, SMEs provide 80% of all jobs, so the opportunity for growth in the fintech space is massive.
Regulation needs to catch up with the fintech market
The regulation of the fintech sector in Africa has been a bit light and fragmented. Some countries have better systems in place to regulate their fintech ecosystems, while others have almost no measures in place to help guide and structure the market. However, industry regulators must ensure they do not over-regulate this sector, otherwise innovation and growth will be severely stifled.
The role of regulators is to level the playing field and enable easy pathways for fintech businesses to become licensed and accredited. This will help to facilitate an open banking system that supports digital infrastructure and economic growth. Some countries have started to tax mobile money transactions, which is viewed by some as a setback to years of progress in the sector.
The fintech market has already unlocked financial benefits for many citizens in Africa, but the role of regulators now becomes crucial in maintaining the growth curve and facilitating new ways to bank through digital technologies.
Regulatory frameworks need to accept the co-existence of fintech services with traditional financial services, either by granting standalone fintech licences or by accepting that fintech service providers are part of the financial ecosystem.
With the rapid growth of fintech services in Africa and the rest of the world, it’s certainly here to stay. African businesses need to adapt and enable fintech payments to reach underbanked or unbanked customers. 4C Group offers fintech services to telcos and other businesses in Africa. Using our software, users can deposit, transfer and receive digital payments from a network of mobile money providers and registered agents.
These services include our iNSight payment gateway and other fintech offerings that revolutionise the way we do business. Enterprises across the continent can rely on 4C Group for innovative digital tools and fintech technology. If you’d like to find out more about these offerings, please contact us today.
E-Financial
KPMG Identifies ‘Flaws, Inconsistencies, and Omission’ in New Tax Law

KPMG Nigeria has identified what’s described as “errors, inconsistencies, gaps and omissions” in Nigeria’s tax laws that came into force at the beginning of this year.

The professional services company warns that these issues could undermine the attainment of the tax reforms’ stated objectives if left unaddressed.
The reforms, anchored on the Nigeria Tax Act (NTA) and the Nigeria Tax Administration Act (NTAA), alongside the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) Establishment Act and the Joint Revenue Board (JRB) Establishment Act, are aimed at improving revenue generation, simplifying tax administration, and enhancing competitiveness.
Authorities have repeatedly described the overhaul as critical to strengthening Nigeria’s weak tax-to-GDP ratio and adapting the tax system to changing economic realities.
Capital gains, inflation, and market behaviour
One of the most far-reaching concerns relates to the computation of chargeable gains under Sections 39 and 40 of the Nigeria Tax Act, which require capital gains to be calculated as the difference between sale proceeds and the tax-written-down value of assets, without any adjustment for inflation, analysis by KPMG revealed.
This approach has attracted attention largely because of Nigeria’s inflation environment. Headline inflation has remained in double digits for eight consecutive years, averaging above 18 percent between 2022 and 2025, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics. Over the same period, asset price movements have been heavily influenced by currency depreciation and general price increases.
Actual market behaviour shows a mixed reaction to tax policy expectations, despite a strong full‑year rally, with the NGX All‑Share Index up more than 50 percent and market capitalisation near N99.4 trillion, the equities market saw significant sell‑offs in late 2025, including a N6.5 trillion drop in market value in November amid uncertainty over the new capital gains tax rules, underscoring investor sensitivity to tax policy shifts.
In its review of the law, KPMG Nigeria noted that taxing nominal gains in a high-inflation environment could result in taxpayers being assessed on inflationary gains rather than real economic value. The firm recommended the introduction of a cost indexation allowance to adjust asset values for inflation when computing chargeable gains.
According to the analysis, such an adjustment would reduce distortions in effective tax rates while still allowing the government to generate additional revenue from genuine capital appreciation.
Indirect transfer rules and foreign investment risks
Another provision drawing scrutiny is Section 47 of the Nigeria Tax Act, which subjects gains from indirect transfers of shares or assets by non-residents to Nigerian tax where such transfers result in changes in ownership of Nigerian companies or assets located in Nigeria.
The provision is being introduced amid weak foreign investment inflows. Data from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development shows that foreign direct investment into Nigeria remains below pre-2019 levels, reflecting broader investor caution.
While similar indirect transfer rules exist in other jurisdictions, analysts note that such regimes are typically supported by detailed guidance and clear thresholds to reduce uncertainty.
KPMG’s analysis recommended that Nigerian tax authorities issue clear administrative guidance defining the scope, thresholds, and reporting obligations associated with indirect transfers. The firm noted that clarity would reduce the risk of disputes, improve compliance, and mitigate potential negative effects on foreign investment flows.
FX deductions clash with economic realities
Section 24 of the Nigeria Tax Act limits businesses from deducting foreign-currency expenses beyond their naira equivalent at the official CBN rate.
In practice, this means a company importing goods, paying foreign software subscriptions, or settling overseas vendor invoices cannot claim as tax-deductible any amount they spent above the official exchange rate.
For many companies, this is a real problem. Access to official foreign exchange is limited, forcing businesses to pay higher rates on the parallel market. Under the law, the extra cost becomes non-deductible, effectively increasing taxable profits and raising their tax bills.
KPMG warns that while the rule aims to curb speculative foreign exchange activity, it fails to account for supply shortages. The firm recommends that deductibility should reflect the actual cost incurred, provided proper documentation, so businesses aren’t penalized for circumstances beyond their control.
VAT-linked expense disallowances
Section 21(p) of the Nigeria Tax Act disallows deductions for expenses on which value-added tax has not been charged, even where such expenses were incurred wholly for business purposes.
This intersects with Nigeria’s VAT compliance challenges. The informal sector accounts for a significant share of economic activity, and VAT compliance gaps remain wide, according to assessments by tax authorities and development institutions.
Analysts note that the provision effectively transfers part of the VAT enforcement burden to compliant taxpayers, who may be penalised for supplier non-compliance.
KPMG recommended that Section 21(p) be deleted or substantially modified, arguing that deductibility should depend solely on whether an expense was wholly, exclusively, and necessarily incurred for business purposes. The firm noted that VAT compliance should instead be enforced directly through audits and penalties on defaulting suppliers.
Non-resident taxation and compliance ambiguity
Uncertainty also surrounds the compliance obligations of non-resident companies. While Section 17 of the Nigeria Tax Act provides that withholding tax constitutes final tax for certain non-resident payments where there is no permanent establishment or significant economic presence, the Nigeria Tax Administration Act does not clearly exempt such entities from registration or filing requirements.
Nigeria has signed over a dozen double taxation treaties (DTTs), including the UK, South Africa, Canada, and France, which align with the principle that final WHT extinguishes further tax obligations in the absence of a taxable presence. Experts say harmonizing the NTA and NTAA with these treaties is critical to avoid conflicts and deter foreign investors.
KPMG recommended that the relevant provisions of the Nigeria Tax Act and the Nigeria Tax Administration Act be harmonised, with explicit exemptions for non-resident companies whose Nigerian tax obligations have been fully discharged through withholding tax. According to the firm, such alignment would reduce compliance friction and improve Nigeria’s attractiveness for cross-border transactions.
As Nigeria enacts its most comprehensive tax overhaul in decades, the path to success will depend on clarity, alignment with international best practices, and swift adoption of recommended amendments. Without these measures, businesses may face higher costs, non-residents could be discouraged from investing, and capital markets may remain volatile. For policymakers, the challenge is not just raising revenue but ensuring that the reforms strengthen competitiveness and sustainable economic growth.
E-Financial
19 Nigerian Banks Meet CBN Recapitalization Targets Ahead of March Deadline

Nineteen Nigerian banks have fulfilled the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) recapitalization requirements as of January 6, 2026, six weeks before the March 31 deadline, according to data from The Cable Index.

CBN
Access Bank, Fidelity Bank, First Bank, GTBank (GTCO), UBA, and Zenith Bank—holders of international licenses—lead compliance among six major players.
National and regional licensees Citibank Nigeria, Ecobank Nigeria, Globus Bank, Stanbic IBTC, Sterling Bank, Wema Bank, PremiumTrust Bank, and Providus Bank have also hit the benchmarks.
Two non-interest banks, Jaiz and Lotus, alongside merchant banks FSDH, Greenwich, and Nova, round out the compliant group, meeting thresholds of N10-N20 billion for non-interest, N50 billion for merchants, N200 billion for nationals, and N500 billion for international banks as set in March 2024.
Approximately 14 banks remain non-compliant, underscoring urgency ahead of the deadline despite broad progress.
E-Financial
BVN Enrollment Up 6.87 Percent to 67.84m in 2025 – NIBSS

Bank Verification Number (BVN) enrollments in the country rose by 6.87 per cent , or 4.36 million, to 67.84 million as at the end of December 2025 from 63.48 million in the corresponding period of the preceding year, according to latest data released by the Nigeria Interbank Settlement System (NIBSS).

This means that a total number of 4.36 million BVN enrolments were recorded between the end of December 2024 and the end of last year.
The BVN scheme was launched on February 14, 2014 by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in collaboration with the Bankers’ Committee, NIBSS and the German firm, Dermalog, with the aim of capturing biometrics of all bank customers and giving each bank customer a unique 11-digit identity number (BVN) that can be verified across the Nigerian banking industry.
Lamido Sanusi, governor of the CBN, at the time, said at the event that the BVN scheme would enable the apex bank to significantly reduce incidents of fraud and money laundering in the banking industry and also help accelerate financial inclusion by opening up opportunities for credit to millions of Nigerians who do not have a standard means of identification.
In October 2017, the CBN released a regulatory framework for BVN operations and Watchlist for the financial system. It stated that the Watchlist comprises a database of bank customers identified by their BVNs, who have been involved in confirmed fraudulent activities in the Nigerian banking industry.
An analysis of the latest NIBSS data shows that BVN enrollment maintained an upward trend in the last five years, rising from 51.90 million in 2021 to 56.90 million and 60.12 million in 2022 and 2023 respectively, before hitting 63.48 million in 2024 and 67.84 in 2025.
Analysts attribute the rise in BVN enrolments in recent years to policy measures introduced by the CBN as part of its efforts to tackle fraud.
For instance, on December 1, 2023, the apex bank issued a circular directing Deposit money banks (DMBs) Non-interest banks, Payment Service Banks, other financial institutions and mobile operators, to ensure that all funded bank accounts or wallets, without BVN or National Identification Number (NIN) are placed on “Post No Debit or Credit,” by April 1, 2024.
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