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Digital Dividend and Consolidations: Elixirs for The Indisposed Communications Sector

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Osondu C. Nwokoro, Director External Affairs, ntel
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By Osondu C. Nwokoro

There have been some momentous events in the telecommunications industry very lately. The visit of Google CEO, Sundar Pichai (following on the heels of earlier visits by Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg and Microsoft’s Satya Nadella) readily comes to mind.

Equally significant are the recent approvals of an ICT Roadmap (2017 -2020) which adopts the spirit of the National Broadband Plan of 2013 and is supposed to stimulate the creation of around 2.5 million jobs, boost broadband penetration to 30% and increase ICT contribution to GDP to 20% by 2020, as well as the establishment of a multi-campus ICT University, by the Federal Executive Council.

Also, the internationally renowned mobile operator, Etisalat, pulled out of the Nigerian market and pursuant to this, the local replacement brand, 9mobile, emerged.

These events are noteworthy from two perspectives: they revalidate the three key stakeholder segments in the Nigerian broadband ecosystem – the content providers, government and network operators, and also serve as a reflection of the enthusiasm levels of each of the said segments for the industry and the attainment of the broadband goals.

It is unanimously agreed among all stakeholders that the opportunities offered by broadband are virtually boundless. Content providers are excited at the prospect of eager subscriptions and patronage in a massive national market of over 180 million people, over half of whom are under thirty years old. Government, naturally, is bullish about the socio-economic developmental benefits that will accrue from extensive broadband uptake. But while the operators are expected to make extensive investments in building and managing the networks upon which broadband traffic will be carried, every indicator points to the fact that they have strong reservations about the continued viability of their businesses in the face of base-level average revenues per user (ARPU), earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) and non-existent profit margins.

The two major local industry associations – the Association of Licensed Telecommunications Operators of Nigeria (ALTON) and the Association of Telecommunications Companies of Nigeria (ATCON) – as well as the worldwide body for mobile communications service providers, the GSMA, have consistently offered guidance, for some time now, on this state of affairs which effectively threatens the continued growth of the communications industry and has been reaffirmed somewhat dramatically by the Etisalat incident.

The causes of profit value erosion in the industry have been well-highlighted:  rampant multiple taxation, steady dip in tariffs since industry inception in 2001 as against all other sectors which have since been enjoying tariff increases, heavy import dependencies for network components (most of which have a life cycle of between two to four years), wide foreign exchange variations among others.

Engagements are ongoing within the industry ecosystem and with government to address a good number of these issues, and the aim of this piece is not to focus on same.  Rather, the purpose is to project that in the face of these unrelentingly constricting market conditions, after having voluntarily implemented various cost-saving practices like outsourcing, infrastructure sharing and staff-streamlining in recent years which have not ipso facto translated to profitability, in line with trends in more established markets, the next logical step for the network operators will be to go into “market self-correction” mode, to effect a reduction in the number of market players in order to remedy certain structural in-balances therein and re-energize market growth and, consequently, the attainment of the broadband aspirations.

Typically, this will be effected through mergers and consolidations as the market landscape presently displays the trappings of a consolidation-ready environment  seen from the presence of multi-operators who are mostly in negative financial health and having disparate subscriber numbers as well as random frequency spectrum holdings.

The benefits of this option would include ensuring that  existing investments are fully protected, the network and operating assets of the consolidating parties fully optimized/deployed to deliver more robust services to subscribers, and the emergent consolidated entity will have more subscribers as well as a larger market share than the component entities. The bottom line from these will be that the consolidated entity will be a much more profitable enterprise than its progenitors and therefore be attractive to additional investments for further expansion to facilitate the provision of truly world-class broadband services.

it is axiomatic that frequency spectrum is the oxygen which gives life to 4G LTE mobile broadband networks and so there must be assurances to investors who seek to consolidate incumbent networks that this resource will be available for the use of the re-engineered emergent entity. This is even more so in a situation where one of the consolidation targets owns  slots of spectrum which are the points of attraction for the transaction. Assurance of availability will be in the form of prompt regulatory confirmation by the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) of the right of the emergent entity to use the frequency spectrum that had been assigned to each of the component consolidating networks without let or hindrance, upon due diligence inquiry. Such assurance will also be offered by the instant withdrawal of the “digital dividend” spectrum of 700/800mhz from the broadcasting industry by the National Frequency Management Council (NFMC) and allocation of same to the communications sector, followed by the publication of a transparent process for its assignment to the operators for the provision of 4GLTE services within a definite time frame as has been advised by the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) which had prescribed two  separate cut-over dates that Nigeria has been unable to meet.  Such institution of certainty and predictability should also arrest the incidence of indiscriminate acquisition of slots of the said frequency spectrum by eager operators, as has been witnessed in recent times.

The importance of frequency spectrum availability as a success factor in the  merger of mobile companies has been underscored in various jurisdictions in Europe, North America, Asia and Africa where changing market conditions such as are currently being witnessed in Nigeria have driven such consolidations. Our summation is that this internationally recognized trend will also play out here and so urgent steps need to be taken by the relevant government offices to address the issues around frequency spectrum availability as outlined above. To this end, pursuant to the commendable work it is doing in the area of spectrum use reform via the ongoing spectrum trading and active infrastructure sharing consultations, the NCC will be required to publish rules around frequency spectrum administration in a consolidated market while the NFMC, working with the Ministries of Communications and Information (which have responsibility for telecommunications and broadcasting respectively) effects the devolution of the “digital dividend” frequency spectrum to the NCC (and retrieval of irregularly held slots of same) for transparent assignment to operators.

The implementation of these measures will certainly infuse the promoters of the incumbent network operators and prospective fresh investors with the confidence to commence definite discussions around the merger and consolidation of the operating companies. The result of successful consolidations will be beneficial to not just the investors who will enjoy enhanced returns but also to the content providers and other sub sectors in the service delivery value chain in the form of greater business volumes, the subscribers by way of modern and world class service offerings as obtainable in other more developed markets. Equally and more importantly, government stands to gain specially – directly and indirectly – as its broadband target and other relevant goals which are set out in the National Broadband Plan  and the ICT Roadmap will be attained. This will therefore be a win-win for all stakeholders in the ecosystem.

The operators and investment community are expectant of the implementation of the  afore-highlighted frequency spectrum availability proposals by government as a green light for the commencement of discussions on consolidation.

Osondu C. Nwokoro is Director External Affairs, ntel.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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PwC Warns Nigeria Telcos of AI Fraud Risks

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Telecom companies should invest in sophisticated anti-fraud tools that employ machine learning and Artificial Intelligence (AI) to enhance detection and response times while conducting regular audits to ensure that systems remain up-to date and effective.

PwC Warns Nigeria Telcos of AI Fraud Risks

That’s according to Pricewaterhouse Coopers (PwC’s) latest paper on AI fraud in the Telecom sector.

The paper notes the dual role of Artificial Intelligence as both a threat and a shield highlights the need for Nigerian telecom operators to adopt AI deliberately and strategically.

It calls for a deeper understanding of how technological disruption is transforming fraud risks today and how those risks may evolve in the.

The professional services firm noted that the rapid adoption of AI is reshaping the fraud landscape in the telecommunications sector, enabling criminals to automate scams, impersonate victims through deepfake technologies, and scale fraudulent schemes with unprecedented speed.

The 16-page report, titled ‘AI’s Dual Role in Telecom Fraud’, noted that while AI is helping fraudsters launch more sophisticated attacks, the same technology can also serve as a powerful defensive tool for telecom operators and financial institutions.

“AI has tremendous potential to drive positive change across sectors, but it also enables fraudsters to create and disseminate scams quickly and at scale,” PwC said, warning that the expanding digital ecosystem linking telecom networks and financial services is creating new vulnerabilities.

Fraud has long posed a significant challenge for telecom operators worldwide, resulting in financial losses, reputational damage, and regulatory scrutiny.

Globally, telecom fraud was estimated at approximately $38.95 bn in 2023, highlighting the scale of the problem. In Nigeria, the sector has also faced rising risks.

According to the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), citizens lost approximately N12.5 bn to telecom-related financial crimes between 2019 and January 2023.

PwC said the growing integration between telecom networks and financial services, such as mobile money platforms and digital banking, is further complicating the fraud landscape.

“When fraud occurs across interconnected platforms, both telecommunications and financial services providers face regulatory scrutiny and erosion of customer trust,” the report said.

The firm added that telecom operators are increasingly becoming critical infrastructure for digital financial services, exposing them to greater risk as criminals target the ecosystem.

Despite these risks, PwC said telecom companies have a unique advantage in the fight against fraud due to the vast amount of network and customer data they possess.

By deploying advanced AI systems, telcos can detect suspicious activity patterns, flag unusual call behaviour, and identify fraudulent transactions in real time.

For example, AI-driven pattern recognition can analyse large datasets to detect irregular call durations, unusual call frequencies, or activity occurring at odd hours, indicators that may signal fraudulent activity.

Machine learning models trained on historical fraud cases can also help identify subtle warning signs that traditional detection systems might miss.

PwC noted that some telecom operators are already deploying AI-powered spam detection tools capable of analysing hundreds of behavioural parameters to determine whether a message is fraudulent.

Real-time data analysis, the firm added, can allow companies to block fraudulent activities before they cause major financial damage.

Beyond fraud detection, AI can also help organisations respond more effectively to incidents.

Using natural language processing, generative AI systems can convert technical security data into simplified reports tailored for regulators, executives, and compliance officers.

However, PwC said technology alone will not be enough to curb the growing threat.

The firm stressed that stronger collaboration between telecom operators, financial institutions, and regulators is essential to prevent fraud from spreading across digital platforms.

Telecom companies, it said, possess sophisticated tools capable of monitoring call patterns and network behaviour, which could help banks detect suspicious activities such as SIM swap attempts.

At the same time, banks have developed advanced fraud detection algorithms that could enhance telecom operators’ ability to identify suspicious activity across their networks.

“By sharing insights and real-time threat intelligence, both sectors can strengthen their individual and collective defences,” PwC said.

The firm cited international examples where such collaboration has improved fraud detection and response times, including initiatives in the United Kingdom, Singapore, Australia, and the Philippines. PwC also emphasised the importance of closer engagement with regulators such as the Central Bank of Nigeria and the Nigerian Communications Commission to ensure clear and responsive regulatory frameworks that support innovation while protecting consumers.


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MTN Nigeria Races Ahead in Fibre Broadband Market

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MTN Nigeria expanded its lead in Nigeria’s fixed broadband market after adding 13,433 subscribers to its fibre-to-the-home service in December 2025. The gains come as smaller providers struggle to retain users amid rising demand for high-speed internet.

MTN Nigeria Races Ahead in Fibre Broadband Market

Industry data from the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) showed sharp subscriber losses among smaller operators.

21st Century Technologies saw its subscriber base fall from 175 in December to 82 in January, a drop of more than 50 percent.

SWIFT Nigeria recorded an even larger decline.

The company lost 11,285 users, with total subscribers falling from 25,484 to 14,199, a 44.3 percent decrease.

The gap between large infrastructure providers and smaller operators is widening as broadband demand grows across Nigeria.

Companies with extensive fibre networks can offer faster speeds and wider coverage, while smaller competitors face higher costs and limited scale.

MTN has accelerated its investment in network infrastructure to maintain its lead.

The company spent ₦1 trillion, or about $715 million, in capital expenditure in 2025, more than double the ₦443.5 billion invested in 2024.

The investment followed a return to profitability, with profit after tax reaching ₦1.1 trillion after losses in 2024 linked to foreign-exchange pressures.

Spending focused on network modernization, 4G expansion, 5G rollout and deeper fibre deployment.

The operator expanded its fibre-to-the-home footprint to about 4 million households, concentrating deployments in Lagos, Abuja, Port Harcourt, Kano and Ibadan as data traffic rose 34 percent.

Network vandalism remains a challenge. MTN recorded 9,218 fibre cuts in 2025, an average of 25 incidents per day, affecting 211 base stations.

Key Takeaways

Nigeria’s broadband market is entering a scale phase where infrastructure investment is becoming the main competitive advantage.

Telecom operators with strong balance sheets are deploying billions of naira into fibre networks to capture demand for high-speed connectivity driven by streaming, remote work, digital payments and cloud services.

Fibre infrastructure also strengthens mobile networks by connecting base stations and improving 4G and 5G performance.

However, the economics of building and maintaining fibre networks remain challenging in emerging markets. Infrastructure vandalism, power supply instability and high deployment costs increase operational risk.

These factors make it difficult for smaller internet service providers to compete with large telecom operators that can spread costs across millions of customers.

As demand for broadband continues to grow in Africa’s largest economy, the sector may see further consolidation, with dominant operators strengthening their market position while regulators face increasing pressure to maintain competition and affordable access to high-speed internet.

 

credit…. dabafinance.com


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VDT Communications Achieves Two Prestigious Certifications ISO /IEC 27001:2022, ISO/IEC 27032:2023 Reinforcing its Leadership in Broadband Service Provision

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L-r: Oluwaseyi Omoloja,Special Project Manager(SPM), Iriowen A. Osemwegie, Head, Audit &Control, Mrs. Bimbo Ikumariegbe, COO, Engr. Biodun Omoniyi,GMD, Engr. Yemi Oladele, CTO, Engr. Oluwasanmi Kehinde, Team Lead, Service Quality Improvement and Busuyi Ojarotade, Head Network Service - all of VDT Communications Limited displaying the latest certifications: ISO/IEC 27032 for Cybersecurity and ISO/IEC for Information Security recently awarded to the company.
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VDT Communications Limited, a provider of Enterprise communication solutions, is proud to announce that it has been awarded the ISO/IEC 27001:2022 Information Security Management System (ISMS) and ISO/IEC 27032:2023 Cybersecurity Management System certifications.

These prestigious certifications demonstrate VDT’s commitment to maintaining the highest standards of information security and cybersecurity, ensuring the protection of sensitive customer data and maintaining the trust of its clients.

These certifications are a testament to VDT’s dedication to implementing robust information security and cybersecurity measures, aligning with international best practices.

The ISO/IEC 27001:2022 certification recognizes VDT’s ability to establish, implement, maintain, and continually improve its ISMS, ensuring the confidentiality, integrity, and availability of customer information. The ISO/IEC 27032:2023 certification highlights its commitment to protecting its customers’ information assets and preventing Cyber threats.

VDT Communications Limited has consistently demonstrated its commitment to excellence, previously earning and maintaining ISO 9001:2015 Quality Management System and ISO 20000-1:2018 IT Service Management certifications. These certifications have enabled the company to deliver high-quality services, ensuring customer satisfaction and loyalty.

“We are thrilled to receive these two prestigious certifications, which reinforce our commitment to information security and cybersecurity. These certifications demonstrate our dedication to implementing robust security measures that ensure confidentiality, integrity and availability of customer data” said Engr. Abiodun Omoniyi, GMD of VDT Communications Limited.

The ISO/IEC 27001:2022 and ISO/IEC 27032:2023 certifications bring numerous benefits to VDT’s customers, including:

  • Enhanced information security and cybersecurity posture
  • Protection of sensitive customer data
  • Compliance with international standards and regulations
  • Improved risk management and incident response
  • Increased trust and confidence in VDT’s services

“We are proud to serve our customers with the highest level of security and quality,” Bimbo Ikumariegbe, Chief Operating Officer (COO) of VDT. “These certifications demonstrate our commitment to excellence and our dedication to delivering innovative communication solutions that meet the evolving needs of our customers” – Olufemi Akinola, Head, Information Technology.


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