E-Financial
FXTM Analysis: Markets Behaving Calmly as UK Election Aftermath Begins

FXTM Vice President of Market Research, Jameel Ahmad comments on the financial markets following the UK general election result.
All major headlines and attention are still surrounding the United Kingdom following the uncertain outcome to the UK election at the end of last week.
The British Pound appears to have stabilized and is trying to maintain its footing around 1.27, after suffering a decline just above 2% at one point following it becoming clear that the UK was heading for a hung parliament.
There is a viewpoint that the Pound should remain supported over the near-term despite the uncertainty, due to the likelihood that the forming of a coalition government would encourage Theresa May to cool it down when it came to her previous hardline approach towards the European Union and the imminent Brexit negotiations.
The possibility that Theresa May will be left with no choice but to adopt a diplomatic approach towards Brexit is what has been seen as the most supportive factor for the Pound over the near-term. It’s not something that I am buying into however, and I think this might be a short-lived consolidation around 1.27.
I personally still see downside risks for the Sterling and see the potential for the market to become encouraged towards selling in the likelihood that the UK is set to begin negotiations next week and looks very unprepared for such complex negotiations.
The whole reason for the UK election in the first place was so that Theresa May would have more powers to influence the Brexit process, but not only has this play backfired, the UK looks more unprepared than ever to go head-to-head with the EU as it currently stands. I personally remain bearish on the Sterling.
What was noticeable when European trading commenced on Monday was that the FTSE dipped lower, which some could attribute to the uncertainty in the aftermath of the UK election. It is also worth pointing however that the FTSE looked under pressure around the same time that the Pound was at that point consolidating a little higher, which could be the inverse Sterling/FTSE relationship that we have talked about in the past.
There has been a trend over the past year where increased Sterling purchasing sentiment can encourage selling in the FTSE and selling momentum in the Sterling can support the FTSE, which we saw once again at the end of the UK election. It certainly is a strange correlation, but it is thought to be supported by the mindset that when corporations on the FTSE exchange their earnings back into Sterling they are left with more currency.
While the attention around the United Kingdom is by all accounts going to remain centred around the political uncertainty, there is also key economic data to come out over the week ahead. The latest inflation reading, employment data and BoE interest rate decision are all scheduled to be announced in the next few days.
When it comes to the jobs data and inflation numbers, the major headline will be whether further indications are provided that price pressures are increasing at a faster pace than wage growth. This is seen as a crucial factor in the possibility that consumer spending might be pressured over the upcoming months.
By most accounts the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to leave interest rates unchanged as they have been for nearly a year, but it will be interesting to see if Governor Carney comments on the current political instability and what it means to the monetary policy outlook for the United Kingdom.
Time For Another US Interest Rate Rise?
Away from the United Kingdom and the ongoing political uncertainty that is dominating attention, the Federal Reserve is largely expected to raise US interest rates on Wednesday evening.
Most of the expected US interest rate rise has already been priced into the Dollar, but the US currency might find support in the run up to the Federal Reserve decision.
Will the probable US interest rate rise direct the Dollar over the longer-term? Not really, and as soon as the Fed most likely pulls the trigger on another rate rise on Wednesday, attention will circle towards when the central bank will next raise interest rates as it’s expected that another one or two will be announced before the end of the year.
Any hesitance from the Federal Reserve when it comes to providing clarity on its future monetary policy outlook and interest rate circle will likely weigh on the Dollar as investors want clarity.
What About Emerging Market Currencies?
The likelihood that the Federal Reserve will be raising US interest rates this coming week might put a pause to the recent rally we have witnessed in emerging market currencies, like the Malaysian Ringgit and Chinese Yuan.
Whether the emerging market currencies can later brush away the probable US interest rate hike this Wednesday will depend on the timing of the next interest rate rise from the United States, which by most accounts knowing the previous language from the Federal Reserve, will not include precise timing for the next rate increase and later support the emerging currencies. By most accounts the Dollar topped a long time ago, and this means those emerging currencies that were heavily pressured in the six months following US election day can continue to push on and attract buyers.
Update on WTI Oil
After a pressured couple of weeks following the OPEC meeting, WTI Oil has found support at $45 and is expected to attempt a recovery from here.There is still a risk that US inventories/shale production will offset the efforts from OPEC Non-members when it comes to trimming the oversupply in the markets, however Oil looks oversold at $45 to my eye until we can see clear signs that there is increased inventories from the United States.
E-Financial
SEC Revokes Registration of Kensington Agro Trading Limited

Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has revoked the registration of Kensington Agro Trading Limited as a capital market operator with immediate effect.

In a public notice issued by the Commission, the regulator announced that Kensington Agro Trading Limited’s registration as a Commodity Broker/Dealer and Collateral Manager has been withdrawn, effectively stripping the company of its authority to operate within Nigeria’s capital market.
According to the notice, the revocation was carried out pursuant to the powers vested in the Commission under Section 61(6) of the Investments and Securities Act, 2025, as well as Rule 34(1) of the SEC Rules and Regulations 2013, as amended.
The SEC stated that the decision takes immediate effect and urged all stakeholders to take note of the development.
“Accordingly, commodity exchanges, the investing public, commodity traders, and all capital market stakeholders are advised to discontinue capital market-related dealings with the company,” the Commission said.
The directive means that Kensington Agro Trading Limited is no longer authorised to engage in any capital market activities under the regulatory oversight of the SEC. Market participants have been cautioned to avoid entering into transactions or maintaining business relationships with the firm in its former capacity as a registered operator.
While the notice did not specify the reasons for the revocation, such regulatory actions are typically taken in line with the Commission’s mandate to ensure compliance with extant laws, protect investors, and maintain market integrity.
The SEC, headquartered in Abuja, reiterated its commitment to upholding transparency, investor protection, and strict adherence to regulatory standards in Nigeria’s capital market.
The Commission’s action underscores its continued enforcement drive aimed at sanitizing the market and ensuring that only duly registered and compliant operators are permitted to function within the ecosystem.
Stakeholders and members of the public are encouraged to verify the registration status of capital market operators through official SEC channels before engaging in investment-related transactions.
E-Financial
NRS Targets N40trillion in Tax, Royalty Revenue in 2026

Nigerians’ commitment to paying taxes has produced historic results. In 2025, voluntary compliance propelled the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) to collect a record ₦28.3 trillion, exceeding its target of ₦25.2 trillion and setting the stage for an even more ambitious 2026.

Dr. Zacch Adedeji, the Executive Chairman of NRS, while hailing the development recorded in 2025, announced that the service is targeting ₦40.7 trillion in tax and royalty collections for 2026, a 44% increase over last year.
The projection reflects reforms consolidating petroleum and mineral royalties under the NRS, streamlining a process previously handled by over 60 federal agencies, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission and the Nigeria Customs Service.
“With legislative support, we are confident of achieving this,” Dr. Adedeji said at a stakeholders’ roundtable organized by the House of Representatives Committee on Appropriations in Abuja.
The reforms, anchored in the Nigeria Revenue Service Establishment Act, 2025, signed by President Bola Tinubu, formalized the NRS and launched the most comprehensive tax overhaul in decades. By consolidating fragmented revenue collection, the NRS has strengthened efficiency, reduced compliance burdens, and expanded the tax base, particularly in non-oil sectors.
Finance Minister Mr. Wale Edun emphasized that the reforms aim to reduce reliance on Ways and Means financing and unsustainable subsidy arrangements funded by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited.
Meanwhile, Chairman of the House Committee on Appropriations, Rep. Abubakar Bichi, during the stakeholders’ roundtable organized by the House of Representatives Committee on Appropriations in Abuja, assured that legislative oversight will ensure credibility, transparency, and accountability in revenue collection and enforcement.
The NRS’s new mandate signals more consistent enforcement, reduced regulatory overlap, and closer scrutiny of non-oil sectors and mineral operators. For investors, the reforms indicate a centralized revenue administration and a broader, more reliable tax base, potentially reducing macroeconomic volatility if targets are met.
Dr. Adedeji, speaking at the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) Annual Strategic Stakeholders Retreat, emphasized that Nigeria’s journey toward a one-trillion-dollar economy depends heavily on trust.
“Strong bank capitalization and effective enforcement give confidence to the system. When people know their funds are safe, whether one naira or billions, they are more willing to save, invest, and participate in nation-building,” he said.
The NRS has also strengthened collaboration with key stakeholders, including a courtesy visit from KPMG executives, who commended the leadership and timely implementation of new tax laws, pledging continued professional engagement in support of national economic growth.
In another strategic engagement, Dr. Adedeji and Minister of State for Finance, Dr. Doris Uzoka-Anite, met with Central Bank of Nigeria Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, to align fiscal and monetary policies, further promoting sustainable national development.
With strong momentum from 2025 and a clear vision for 2026, the NRS aims not only to boost domestic revenue but also to strengthen public trust, enhance compliance, and drive national development. As Dr. Adedeji emphasized, “Your compliance strengthens our economy and drives national development.”
Nigeria’s taxpayers can take pride in their role in this historic achievement, and in shaping the country’s economic future.
E-Financial
Nigeria’s Net Reserves Surge 50% to $34.8bn in 2025 – CBN Governor

Nigeria’s net foreign exchange reserves surged to $34.80 billion by end-2025, Central Bank Governor Olayemi Cardoso disclosed, marking a 50.58 percent rise of $11.69 billion from $23.11 billion in 2024.

CBN
The figure—a 772.18 percent leap or $30.81 billion improvement from 2023’s $3.99 billion—exceeds 2023’s gross reserves of $33.22 billion, signaling robust external financial buffers after adjusting for short-term liabilities like FX swaps and forwards.
Gross external reserves simultaneously grew from $40.19 billion in 2024 to $45.71 billion in 2025, up $5.52 billion, providing a truer gauge of capacity to meet immediate obligations.
Cardoso credited stronger external fundamentals, FX management transparency, and monetary reforms boosting investor confidence and exchange rate stability.
The CBN remains focused on reserve adequacy for macroeconomic balance and seamless FX operations. Cardoso noted in February 2026 that gross reserves continued climbing amid reform momentum.
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