E-Financial
FXTM Analysis: The Tale of OPEC and U.S Shale

The growing optimism over big oil-producing countries extending output cuts to mitigate oversupply woes propelled WTI Crude to a fresh monthly high at $51.76 on Wednesday.
Although OPEC and Non-OPEC members have, on repeated occasions, exploited oil’s sensitivity to generate speculative boosts in prices, this may come at a heavy cost if oil markets fail to rebalance.
While WTI Crude is likely to appreciate higher if OPEC and Non-OPEC producers extend the current output cut deal by another nine months, the question remains of how U.S Shale will react.
I believe that U.S Shale is a significant threat to the OPEC deal, especially when considering how the surging output from the U.S has seized market share from other OPEC members.
With the production cut agreement still not legally binding and no punishments in place for those who don’t adhere to its stipulations, there remains a strong temptation for individual countries to cheat in a bid to gain more market share.
The bearish sentiment towards oil remains intact amid the oversupply concerns with the “prisoner’s dilemma” between OPEC and U.S Shale limiting upside gains. While it may be too early to say that this is the end of OPEC, U.S Shale has considerably weakened the cartel’s grip on the global markets.
From a technical standpoint, WTI Crude has staged an incredible rebound on the daily charts with prices breaking above $51.50. Intraday bulls could exploit the upside momentum to send oil prices higher towards $52.
Fed Meeting Minutes In Focus
The Greenback experienced a technical bounce on Tuesday with prices trading towards 97.40 as investors offloaded bearish positions ahead of the anticipated Federal Reserve meeting minutes this evening.
A sense of uncertainty over Trump’s ability to implement the proposed fiscal policies has left investors on edge with questions being raised over the potential impact on the Federal Reserve.
While most expect the pending minutes to reinforce expectations of a June rate hike, investors will be searching for further clues on when, or if, a third rate hike is still on the table.
With economic data in the States becoming increasingly mixed and the Trump jitters returning with a vengeance, the prospects of a third U.S interest rate increase in 2017 could come under threat.
From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index remains under pressure on the daily charts. A breakdown back below 97.00 should encourage a further depreciation lower towards 96.00.
Sterling Searching For Direction…
The fact that Sterling has struggled to maintain gains above 1.3000 on repeated occasions despite the Dollar’s weakness continues to highlight how the currency remains gripped by Brexit uncertainty.
With soft economic data from the UK and anxiety over Brexit weighing heavily on investor sentiment, Sterling remains at risk of depreciating sharply if bulls fail to conquer 1.3000. Investors may direct their attention towards the second estimate for the first quarter GDP report released on Thursday which should provide some further insight to how Brexit has impacted the UK economy. An unexpected decline in the second estimate will most likely invite Sterling bears. From a technical standpoint, a breakdown below 1.2900 on the GBPUSD may open a path lower towards 1.2775.
Commodity spotlight – Gold
Gold prices edged lower on Tuesday as the combination of profit taking and a slightly appreciating Dollar attracted short-term bears to attack.
Regardless of the recent declines, Gold remains supported on the daily charts with the persistent Trump uncertainties limiting downside losses.
While Gold could face some punishment this evening if the Federal Reserve minutes cement expectations of a June rate hike, the Trump jitters should instill enough encouragement for bulls to remain in control in the medium to longer term.
From a technical standpoint, Gold bulls need to break above $1260 for a further incline towards $1275.
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E-Financial
Zenith Bank Gets Regulatory Approval for Full Takeover of Paramount Bank

Zenith Bank, Nigeria’s second biggest lender by market value, has received approval from the Competition Authority of Kenya (CAK) to acquire 100 percent of Paramount Bank Limited, clearing a key regulatory hurdle in its East African expansion drive.

In a statement on Thursday, CAK said the transaction is “unlikely to lead to a substantial prevention or lessening of competition in the market for the provision of banking services in Kenya” and would strengthen Paramount’s financial position, helping it meet enhanced core capital requirements over the long term.
The Kenyan regulator noted that the deal poses no risk of reduced competition in the country’s banking sector. Zenith currently has no banking operations in Kenya, while Paramount is a Tier III lender with a modest 0.2 percent market share.
“The approval is based on the Authority’s determination that the transaction is unlikely to harm competition, while any negative public interest concerns regarding employment can be addressed through mitigating remedies,” CAK added.
Paramount met the Central Bank of Kenya’s KSh3.0 billion core capital requirement in November last year, reporting KSh3.118 billion after raising KSh332 million from shareholders, according to Mwango Capital, a Nairobi-based research firm.
The deal reflects a broader shift among banks in East Africa’s largest economy as lenders seek growth opportunities beyond increasingly saturated home markets marked by weak credit expansion, rising regulatory costs, and intense competition.
While several global banks — including Standard Chartered and HSBC — have scaled back African operations over the past decade, Zenith’s move signals confidence in selective regional expansion, particularly in East Africa, where economic growth and financial inclusion trends remain supportive.
The banking group is also widening its continental footprint. Last month, the lender disclosed plans to expand into Ethiopia, Africa’s second most populous country, as it targets generating up to half of its profits outside Nigeria over the medium term.
Historically, Nigeria, the continent most populous nation contributed as much as 90 percent of the bank’s earnings, a dominance that is now gradually easing.
Data cited by The Africa Report show that profit contributions from foreign subsidiaries rose to 27 percent in the first nine months of 2025, up from 14 percent in 2024.
Nigeria’s banking recapitalisation drive is also pushing large lenders such as Zenith to deploy capital beyond their home market. In January 2025, Zenith — which holds an international banking licence — raised N350.4 billion ($242 million), lifting its paid-up capital to N614.6 billion ($425 million).
With higher capital buffers in place, banks are reassessing how best to deploy fresh funds as domestic earnings normalise following two years of windfall gains.
As part of the approval, Zenith has been required to retain Paramount’s 78 employees for at least 12 months after the transaction is completed.
The bank is listed on the Nigerian and London stock exchanges and operates across corporate, commercial, retail, and investment banking. Its international subsidiaries span the United Kingdom, Ghana, Sierra Leone, Gambia, the UAE, and China.
E-Financial
Court Jails Ogiemwonyi, Stockbroker for Theft of $80,000, N953m Shares Proceeds

Victor Ogiemwonyi, a Lagos stockbroker, and Partnership Securities Limited, his company, have been convicted for allegedly stealing shares worth N953 million and $80,000 belonging to one Mr. Arnold Onyekwere Ekpe, a former managing director of Ecobank Transnational Incorporated (ETI).

Ogiemwonyi was convicted after he was found guilty of two-count charges bordering on stealing, contrary to Section 285(1), (9) (b) and (c) of the Criminal Law of Lagos State, 2011 slammed on him by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).
Ekpe, through Messrs Margaret Onyema, his counsel, has sometimes in October 2016 in a petition to the EFCC alleged that he instructed the defendants to sell his 96,077,872 units of Ecobank Transnational Incorporated (ETI) shares, which were sold at the rate of N1,296,885,311.02.
But he said out of the proceeds of the sale, the stock broker paid only N300,000,000.00 to him while he dishonestly diverted the balance for personal use.
Following investigations, the defendants were charged with two counts of stealing.
Count one reads:
”Victor Ogiemwonyi and Partnership Securities Limited between the months of June, 2016 and September, 2016 at Lagos within the jurisdiction of this honourable court dishonestly stole the sum of N953, 535,861.57 (Nine Hundred and Fifty Three Million, Five Hundred and Thirty Five Thousand, Eight Hundred and Sixty one Naira Fifty Seven Kobo) being part of the proceeds of sale of 96, 077, 872 Ecobank Transnational Incorporated Shares, property of Mr. Arnold Onyekwere Ekpe”.
Count Two reads:
“Victor Qgiemwonyi and Partnership Securities Limited sometime between June, 2016 and July, 2016 at Lagos within the jurisdiction of this honourable court dishonestly stole the sum of USD$80,000.00 (Eighty Thousand United States of America Dollars) which formed part of the accrued dividends on 96, 077,872 Ecobank Transnational incorporated Shares, property of Mr. Anold Onyekwere Ekpe”.
At trial, the prosecution, led by Ola Sesan, called five witnesses and tendered 67 exhibits, all of which were admitted and marked by the court.
The defence, on its part, called three witnesses, including the first defendant.
Delivering judgment on Wednesday, Justice Modupe Nicole-Clay of the Lagos State High Court sitting in Ikeja, Lagos convicted Ogiemwonyi and his company, Partnership Securities Limited, guilty on all counts.
The court sentenced the first convict to pay a fine of N10 million, while the second convict was ordered to pay a fine of N20 million.
Also, the court directed the convicts to pay back the entire money stolen from the petitioner, both in naira and dollars.
Recall that Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, had in 2017 banned Victor Ogiemwonyi, from operating in the capital market for life over alleged unprofessional conduct in the Nigerian capital market.
He was also banned for life from holding directorship position in any public company in Nigeria.
He was also ordered to pay a penalty of N100,000.
SEC said Ogiemwonyi was banned after he was found guilty of breaching Rule 1(iii) of the Code of Conduct for Capital Market Operators and Their Employees as contained in its Rules and Regulations made pursuant to the Investments and Securities Act 2007.
The ban also followed petition by EFCC to SEC accusing Ogiewonyi of misappropriation of about N1.24 billion, $80,000.00, stealing and dishonest conversion of proceeds of share sale belonging to an investor.
It was alleged that he used his company to dupe over 300 investors over N4.8 billion with Arnold Ekpe a former Managing Director of Ecobank Transnational Incorporated, ETI, being one of his victims.
E-Financial
FCCPC Delists Non-Compliant Digital Lenders Post-January 5 Deadline

Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) has commenced enforcement actions against Digital Money Lending (DML) operators that failed to regularise their operations under the Digital, Electronic, Online and Non-Traditional Consumer Lending Regulations, 2025 (DEON Regulations).

FCCPC
The commission withdrew the conditionally approved status of non-compliant DML firms and removed them from its official register of approved digital lenders, effective immediately after the January 5 compliance deadline.
FCCPC Executive Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Mr Tunji Bello, announced the measures on Wednesday, emphasising their role in upholding regulatory standards and ensuring certainty in Nigeria’s digital lending sector.
Mr Bello stated that the compliance window provided under the DEON Regulations, which took effect on July 21, 2025, had closed, paving the way for fair, orderly and due process-driven enforcement.
He noted that the actions target persistent issues such as exploitative loan recovery tactics, data privacy breaches, harassment of borrowers and anti-competitive practices that have plagued the sector.
The DEON Regulations, issued on September 3, 2025, under the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act 2018, mandate all non-bank digital lenders to register, adhere to fair interest rates, ethical debt recovery and robust data protection measures.
Non-compliance now attracts severe penalties, including fines up to N100 million or one per cent of annual turnover, operational restrictions, app store delistings and potential director disqualifications for up to five years.
As of late 2025, the FCCPC had granted full approval to 438 digital lending companies, with recent data indicating over 521 firms now under regulatory scrutiny post-deadline.
The commission’s phased crackdown involves collaboration with the Central Bank of Nigeria, Google and Apple for account freezes and global app removals targeting unregistered platforms.
Industry watchers described the enforcement as a landmark move to sanitise Nigeria’s fast-expanding digital credit market, which has seen rising borrower complaints despite earlier 2022 interim guidelines.
The FCCPC reiterated its commitment to balancing innovation with consumer protection, urging affected operators to swiftly meet requirements for reinstatement.
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