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Nigeria and Oil: Looking Beyond Price Collapse Towards Post Recovery Savings (Part 1)

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Austin Okere
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By Austin Okere

“Oil prices hit three-year high as gas crunch starts to affect crude market” was the screaming headline in the Financial Times of September 27, 2021, with a rider ‘Goldman Sachs lifts year-end Brent forecast to $90 a barrel on widening ‘supply-demand deficit’.

The surge in crude oil prices, surpassing $82 a barrel on October 11, 2021, presents Nigeria with another golden opportunity that should not be floundered. I wrote this article on April 20, 2016, after the colossal collapse in Oil prices below $37 a barrel – It is as relevant now as it was then – probably more crucial now given our dire circumstances.

The article is in two parts hereunder:

The recurrent mistake we keep making as a Nation is failing to anticipate and plan for our oil windfalls. There have been many boom opportunities since Nigeria joined the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in 1971; Oil prices increased by 400% in six short months after the Yom Kippur War following the Arab Oil Embargo. Crude prices doubled from $14 in 1978 to $35 per barrel in 1981 following the Iran/Iraq war.

The price of crude oil spiked in 1990 with the uncertainties associated the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and the ensuring Gulf War – the so called ‘Gulf War windfall’ under then Head of State Ibrahim Babangida. Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration shows that the latest windfall happened between February 2011 and August 2014, under the Goodluck Jonathan presidency, when oil prices were much in excess of $100 per barrel. Another golden opportunity was squandered, characterised by organised kleptocracy of epic proportions as has now come to light.

During this same period Saudi Arabia has amassed a whopping $593b in foreign exchange reserves and has recently announced that it is creating a $2 trillion mega-sovereign wealth fund, funded by sales of current petroleum industry assets, to prepare itself for an age when oil no longer dominates the global economy. Coming closer home, Algeria, the second biggest African oil producer, with 1.9mbpd has accumulated foreign reserves of $156b and a sovereign wealth fund of $50b.

Nigeria, by far the biggest producer in Africa with 2.5mbpd has only managed foreign reserves of $28b and a sovereign wealth fund of a paltry $2.9b – about 5% that of Algeria.

The major difference being that while the Algerians saved for a rainy day during the boom years, Nigeria was busy squandering her wealth, with nothing to show by way of infrastructure or any solid investments.

Yet Nigeria was able to balance her budget, pay off her debts and save over $62b in foreign reserves during the Obasanjo presidency from 1999 to 2007, even though the price of crude was mostly under $40 per barrel, except for the two years between 2005 and 2007 when it hovered between $50 and $75 dollars per barrel.

It is bothersome that with the same level of oil price, Nigeria today is struggling to balance her budget and has resorted to aggressive borrowing to finance the deficit, inadvertently driving us back to where we were before escaping from the huge burden of sovereign debt and the attendant debilitating impact of debt servicing.

I believe that Nigeria can save as much as $36.5b in the coming year if oil prices recover towards the end of 2016 and through 2017 to the projected $80 per barrel. This assumes we have all agreed that the current crises is much too painful and too precious to waste.

It can actually be a blessing in disguise, affording us the much needed leverage to deliberately diversify our economy away from the over dependence on oil, and attempt to become self-sufficient in every low hanging opportunity such as feeding ourselves. There is a reason why the Chinese use the same word for challenge and opportunity; behind every challenge is an opportunity.

We must seize this golden opportunity with both hands and make the structural changes that will lead us to true prosperity as a nation. Almost every third Nigerian businessman you come across claims to be into Oil and Gas; usually, briefcase contractors who manage to have their ‘papers’ stamped, and proceed to collect money from the treasury of our commonwealth. Yet oil contributed only 6.4% to GDP growth in 2015.

An often overlooked area for rapid economic growth is telecoms, entertainment and media. At a recent event in Lagos, Dr. Doyin Salami, lecturer at Lagos Business School, remarked that ‘The telecommunication sector grew Nigeria’s GDP by 8.7% in 2015, generating spill overs, with uptakes in financial transactions technology and payment systems, e-commerce facilitation and proliferation of transport services, while making the offering of the burgeoning entertainment industry ubiquitous’.

Quite simply, if each of the 34 million MSME’s in Nigeria could be supported with technology to improve their businesses through online presence and seamless bookkeeping to the point of employing one more staff, they would create an additional 34 million jobs, much more than the government can ever provide. I totally agree with Dr. Salami that Nigeria’s economy has systematically and strategically diversified along the lines of technology and other services sector without Nigerians noticing.  The services sector today contributes as much as 52% of Nigeria’s GDP.

Agriculture is also another sector that could do with special attention. If we strive to produce what we eat, we will not only be saving a whopping $6b from our import bill, but also provide the opportunity for inclusive growth, with the spill over effects down the value chain, from logistics and transportation to light manufacturing. But we need to make the right investments in infrastructure such as roads and rail transport linking farms with their food processors and markets.

The change that will make all this happen is not the ‘outsourced variety’ where we believe that we can carry on with business as usual, or sit back and fold our arms while only the President delivers the promised change. All hands must be on deck, and we each have to be the change we desire.

The elephant in the room question is; who says oil prices will reach $80 per barrel?

Austin Okere is the Founder of CWG Plc, the largest ICT Company on the Nigerian Stock Exchange & Entrepreneur in Residence at CBS, New York. Austin also serves on the Advisory Board of the Global Business School Network, and on the World Economic Forum Global Agenda Council on Innovation and Intrapreneurship. Austin now runs the Ausso Leadership Academy focused on Business and Entrepreneurial Mentorship


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Firm Gives Advice on How to Stay Secure as AI, robots and VR are Redefining Family Life

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Over the past 10 years, families have experienced shifts in structure and a perceived increase in fragmented interactions at home, largely driven by the pervasive use of technology and changing social norms. What does the next decade hold in store?

According to a global survey* by Kaspersky’s market research center, an overwhelming 81% of people believe digitalisation will fundamentally alter families’ joint pastimes within the next decade. This shift points to a future where bonding is mediated by advanced technology, creating new rituals and challenges in equal measure.

Screen time is family time, but it has its risks

Nearly half (48%) of all respondents envision AI-powered bedtime stories becoming a norm, a figure that rises to 53% among 18–34-year-olds. Today, apps and smart devices offer AI-narrated tales with customisable characters and plot twists.

For the busy parent, it presents a novel aid, for the child, an endlessly patient, interactive storyteller.

Meanwhile, with 31% of families anticipating children opting for digital pets over real ones, it seems that ‘man’s best friend’ just got its first update.

It should be noted, however, that while AI has the potential to enrich a child’s life, it necessitates vigilance. When children interact with AI, for stories or learning, parents must be proactive.

Select services with strong privacy policies that do not unnecessarily store or misuse a child’s data or voice interactions and further enhance control with digital parenting assistants like Kaspersky Safe Kids to restrict content and balance screen time.

Parents would be well placed to treat AI interactions as a new digital playground where they can use parental controls to limit session duration, choose vetted, age-appropriate AI story platforms, and most importantly, maintain an open dialogue about what these stories are and how they are created. Explain to children that an AI is a tool, not a friend, and encourage them to report any strange or uncomfortable interactions, just as they would in the physical world.

The key is to ensure AI complements human interaction, not replaces the comfort of a parent’s voice.

Blowing out the digital candles

Another 43% predict family celebrations migrating to video call formats as a standard, not an exception, a trend accelerated by recent global events but now seen as a permanent fixture for dispersed families.

Meanwhile a daring 26% can imagine taking family vacations entirely in virtual reality. This sounds like the stuff of science fiction, but then 10 years ago, the type of generative AI being used today was not widely anticipated.

This fragmented outlook highlights that the future of family digital activity will not arrive as a uniform wave, but as a series of adoptions shaped by cultural openness and digital infrastructure. For security leaders like Kaspersky, this evolving landscape presents new vectors for risk within the most intimate of spaces, the smart home.

Preparing the digital home for tomorrow’s family

43% of all respondents foresee home robots as family members. Moving beyond voice-activated personal assistants or autonomous vacuum cleaners, these would be embodied AI companions capable of tutoring, playing games, or providing companionship.

In the eyes of hackers, however, every new device, from a VR headset to a robot nanny, is a potential entry point. To keep things secure, change default passwords immediately, ensure all device firmware is regularly updated, and segment your home network.

Use Kaspersky Premium with a Smart Home Monitor which scans users’ home Wi-Fi network 24/7, and shows a list of devices connected to it, including such details as device type, OS and IP address, and alerts when a new or unknown device connects.

As robots, AI, and VR devices become part of the family circle, security must be foundational, not an afterthought.

“The accelerating pace of technology is not fragmenting the family but redefining its shared spaces. The future, as seen by the global majority, is one where digital and physical experiences blend to create new forms of togetherness, from a grandparent joining a birthday party via hologram to a child caring for a digital pet with a sibling across the globe.

“The challenge and opportunity lie in building secure digital environments with intention, ensuring they are safe, respectful, and ultimately, tools that bring us closer,” comments Seifallah Jedidi, Head of Consumer Channel for META at Kaspersky.


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Corporate Comms in the Age of Crypto: Why Nigeria’s Digital Finance Future Depends on Trust

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By John Kokome

By the time you finish reading this article, the price of Bitcoin may have changed twice. That is the nature of cryptocurrency, fast, volatile, and borderless. Yet beyond price charts and trading apps lies a less discussed but critical pillar of Nigeria’s digital finance revolution: corporate communications. In the age of crypto, communication is no longer a support function. It is infrastructure.

Nigeria is one of the world’s fastest-growing crypto markets. Chainalysis ranked the country second globally in cryptocurrency adoption in 2023, driven largely by everyday retail users rather than institutions.

Between July 2023 and June 2024 alone, Nigerians received an estimated $59 billion in cryptocurrency value, the highest in Sub-Saharan Africa. Yet public perception remains sharply divided, crypto is seen as opportunity by some and risk or outright scam by others.

In such an environment, how crypto companies communicate can determine whether they earn trust, attract scrutiny, or lose credibility entirely.

The Complexity Challenge

Blockchain, decentralised finance, wallets, custody, smart contracts etc., are not everyday concepts for most Nigerians. Yet millions are expected to trust these systems with their savings, businesses, and livelihoods.

Corporate communications must therefore evolve from promotion to translation. Crypto companies must become educators, simplifying complex ideas without downplaying risks.

Hype must give way to clarity; speculation must yield to responsibility.

Some homegrown platforms, including FlashChange and other emerging African crypto brands, have begun prioritising financial literacy and user education. That shift is encouraging, but it must become the industry norm, not the exception.

Trust as a Strategic Asset

Trust in financial institutions is fragile globally, but particularly so in emerging markets where currency devaluation and policy uncertainty are familiar experiences. Crypto gained traction in Nigeria partly because people sought alternatives.

Still, crypto companies cannot assume automatic trust. In traditional banking, trust has been built over decades. In crypto, trust is built in real time, on social media, customer support channels, and community forums.

A single outage, security breach, or regulatory misunderstanding can escalate into a reputational crisis. Silence is read as guilt. Ambiguity feels deceptive. Delay looks incompetent. In Nigeria’s fast-moving digital ecosystem, communication speed must match market speed.

Nigeria’s policy evolution on crypto reinforces this point. In December 2023, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) issued guidelines allowing banks to open accounts for Virtual Asset Service Providers, effectively shifting from restriction to regulation.

The CBN acknowledged that global trends demand oversight, not exclusion, while warning of risks related to money laundering, terrorism financing, and consumer protection gaps.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has echoed this stance, emphasising that Nigeria’s digital asset future must be anchored on innovation, collaboration, and trust, with clear licensing and investor protection frameworks.The message is clear: crypto is now part of Nigeria’s financial architecture, and communication is central to compliance.

A Young, Digital Audience

Nigeria’s demographics explain crypto’s momentum. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, over 63 percent of Nigerians are under 25, and internet penetration now exceeds 50 percent, driven largely by mobile broadband. This digital-native population consumes information quickly, questions authority openly, and shapes narratives in real time.

Corporate communications teams must engage this audience with transparency and relevance, not marketing noise.

Crisis Communications in a 24/7 Market

Crypto markets never sleep. Crises do not respect office hours. Hacks, liquidity shocks, and regulatory announcements can happen at any moment.

Communications teams must therefore operate like newsrooms prepared, responsive, and coordinated. Pre-approved crisis playbooks, trained spokespersons, and real-time monitoring are no longer optional.

Most importantly, crisis communication must be human-centred. Nigerians want clear answers: Is my money safe? What happened? What comes next?

Brands that respond with honesty and empathy endure. Those that hide behind jargon do not.

Narrative Capital vs Market Share

In Nigeria’s crowded fintech and crypto space, companies often compete on fees and features. But the most durable advantage is narrative capital the credibility and emotional connection built over time.

Narrative capital determines whether users stay during downturns, regulators listen during consultations, and the media seek your voice. Platforms like FlashChange have a responsibility to tell Africa’s crypto story with authenticity, data, and purpose.

From Evangelists to Translators

Nigeria no longer needs crypto evangelists promising disruption. It needs translators, professionals who connect blockchain to remittances, wallets to small businesses, and decentralisation to economic opportunity.

As crypto matures, corporate communications will increasingly determine its legitimacy. Code may power platforms, but communication powers confidence. And confidence, more than any algorithm, will decide whether digital finance fulfils its promise for Nigeria.

John Kokome is the Corporate Communications Manager at FlashChange, a fintech platform redefining secure digital asset exchange. With experience across fintech, cryptocurrency, telecoms, and development communications in Africa. He currently leads strategic storytelling, reputation management, and stakeholder engagement initiatives at the company, focusing on building trust, transparency, and financial literacy in the digital assets space. John’s work sits at the intersection of policy, technology, and public perception, with a strong emphasis on Africa-first narratives and responsible innovation. He has contributed opinion pieces and thought leadership articles on governance, youth empowerment, branding, and Nigeria’s evolving digital economy.


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Senate confirms Oyewole as Supreme Court justice

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Senate has confirmed Hon. Justice Joseph Olubunmi Kayode Oyewole, JCA, as a Justice of the Supreme Court of Nigeria.

Senate confirms Oyewole as Supreme Court justice

Hon. Justice Joseph Olubunmi Kayode Oyewole, JCA

The confirmation was concluded on Tuesday, February 3, following the presentation and consideration of a report by the Senate Committee on Judiciary, Human Rights and Legal Matters.

The report was presented by the committee’s chairman, Senator Adeniyi Adegbonmire of the All Progressives Congress, representing Ondo Central.

Presenting the report, Senator Adegbonmire said: “That the Senate do Receive and Consider the Report of the Committee on Judiciary, Human Rights & Legal Matters on the confirmation of the nomination of Hon. Justice Joseph Olubunmi Kayode Oyewole, JCA, as a Justice of the Supreme Court of Nigeria.”

The confirmation followed a formal request by Bola Tinubu, who wrote to the Senate last Tuesday seeking legislative approval for the appointment. The letter was read on the floor of the Senate by the President of the Senate, Godswill Akpabio.

In the letter, President Tinubu stated: “Pursuant to Section 231 (2) of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria as amended.

“I am pleased to present for confirmation by the Senate the appointment of Hon. Justice Oyewole Kayode as Justice of the Supreme Court of Nigeria. While it is my hope that the Senate will consider and confirm the nomination expeditiously, please accept the assurances of my highest regards.”

Following the reading of the letter, Akpabio referred the executive communication to the Senate Committee on Judiciary, Human Rights and Legal Matters for further legislative action.

The committee was directed to carry out its work and report back to the Senate as soon as possible, a process that culminated in the confirmation approved by the chamber.


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