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Nigeria Expected to Expand 2.38% in Q4; Fed Meeting in Focus

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By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM,

A sense of confidence restored over the Nigerian economy this week. This comes after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) governor stated that economic growth could expand 2.38% during the final quarter of 2019.

It has been a rough and rocky year for the global economy due to trade uncertainty and geopolitical risk factors weighing heavily on investor sentiment. However, Nigeria has displayed some resilience against external and domestic risks with economic growth expanding 2.28% during the third quarter of 2019 compared to the 1.94% seen in Q2. Although the CBN has refrained by cutting interest rates from 13.5%, other methods have been enforced to stimulate economic growth. The CBN is reportedly proposing to increase the country’s loan to deposit ratio for banks to 70% from 65%. Making sure money is in circulation, instead of being tied up in government bonds, is a sound way to keep the economy on the road to recovery. However, it will be interesting to see whether this will be enough to stimulate economic growth.

Markets tepid ahead of Fed interest rate decision

Asian markets were subdued on Wednesday morning as investors grew increasingly anxious over the lack of update on US-China trade talks.

Repeated mixed signals and messages ahead of the December 15 tariff deadline is fostering confusion across financial markets. This sentiment continues to be reflected in global equities as markets adopt a ‘wait and see’ approach until clarity and direction are offered on the trade front. In Europe, shares are expected to make a cautious start ahead of the U.S Federal Reserve’s final interest rate decision of 2019. Given how uncertainty remains a dominant theme this week, safe-haven assets like Gold and the Japanese Yen have the potential to appreciate as investors head for safety.

Steady Dollar ahead of Fed meeting

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at 1.75% in December.

However, much of the focus will be directed towards the policy statement, economic projections, dot plot and press conference for clues on future monetary policy. Speculation around the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates anytime soon have been quelled by November’s blockbuster US jobs report. Although markets are pricing in a 54% probability of a rate cut by September 2020, it will be interesting to see whether the dot plot mirrors market expectations. Appetite towards the Dollar will also be influenced by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks on the US economy and monetary policy. Should the press conference and policy statement adopt a dovish tone, the Dollar Index may dip back towards 97.40.

Pound dips on UK poll projections

Sterling’s depreciation against the Dollar on Wednesday continues to highlight how the currency remains extremely sensitive to polls.

Appetite towards the Pound was dealt a blow heavy after a poll showed a narrowing lead for Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party. Given how the general election is around the corner, the British Pound is set to remain volatile and highly reactive to polls.

Focusing on the technical picture, the GBPUSD is struggling to defend 1.3100 on the daily charts. A solid breakdown below this point should encourage a decline towards 1.3000 in the short to medium term.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Gold is grinding higher amid caution ahead of a looming tariff deadline on December 15th. The precious has gained roughly 0.25% since the start of the week thanks to investors adopting a guarded approach. The sense of uncertainty is likely to continue supporting appetite for safe-haven assets for the rest of this week.

Gold is seen swinging within a range in the near term ahead of the tariff deadline. Prices are seen testing $1470 amid the market caution, with further uncertainty injecting bulls with enough confidence to attack $1476.50 and $1480, respectively. Given how the precious metal remains highly sensitive to trade headlines, any good this week could result in a decline back below $1458.

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E-Financial

Senate Considers Bill to Empower CBN to Regulate Fintech

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Senate on Thursday began debate on a bill seeking to amend the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act (BOFIA) 2020 to empower the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to designate and supervise systemically important non-bank financial institutions, particularly major fintech operators whose activities now constitute critical national infrastructure.

Senate Considers Bill to Empower CBN to Regulate Fintech

Leading the debate, Tokunbo Abiru, sponsor of the bill and chairman of the Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance and Other Financial Institutions, said the amendment had become urgent due to the rapid transformation of Nigeria’s financial ecosystem and the emergence of large technology-enabled service providers operating at a scale previously unseen in the country.

Abiru noted that fintechs such as mobile money operators, payment service banks, wallet providers, digital lenders and switching companies now serve tens of millions of Nigerians, process huge daily transaction volumes and hold vast pools of sensitive financial data, yet operate within a regulatory framework that has not fully evolved to match their systemic importance.

“The reality today is that a non-bank institution, because of its market dominance, data concentration, customer reach or technological capacity, may pose risks equal to or even greater than those posed by a traditional bank,” Abiru said.

“We are therefore confronted with a regulatory gap that leaves critical parts of the financial system operating outside the highest tier of statutory oversight. This bill seeks to correct that mischief.”

He warned that without modernising BOFIA, the country risked exposing itself to data insecurity, foreign control of sensitive financial infrastructure and vulnerabilities that could undermine national security.

The senator stressed that many fintechs operate across foreign-owned networks, store customer data offshore, or use cloud systems outside regulatory reach, raising concerns around data sovereignty.

“Today, we cannot say with certainty where all the financial and behavioural data processed by some of these institutions is stored, who has access to it, or which foreign jurisdictions may lay claim to it,” he said.

Abiru recalled the temporary CBN restriction on fintech onboarding in April 2024, following issues around KYC compliance, money-laundering red flags and suspicious transactions, a development that, he said, demonstrated the limitations of existing regulatory tools.

The amendment bill proposes five key objectives, including establishing a statutory framework for designating systemically important institutions, creating a national registry of fintechs, empowering the CBN to impose enhanced supervisory requirements, strengthening data sovereignty, and improving consumer protection.

He dismissed suggestions that a new regulatory agency should be created for fintech oversight, arguing that such duplication would fragment regulation and undermine efficiency.

“Fintech regulation is deeply intertwined with monetary policy, payments oversight, prudential supervision, and systemic-risk monitoring, functions that already reside naturally within the Central Bank,” he said.

“International best practice overwhelmingly favours integrating fintech oversight within existing regulators, not creating new bureaucracies.”

Abiru urged the Senate to support the bill, which carries no financial implications under Senate rules.

Contributing to the debate, Adams Oshiomhole, former president of the Nigerian Labour Congress (NLC), shared the experience of how his accounts were once hacked, disclosing that the hackers accessed him through one of the Fintech banks.

Oshiomhole also said the identities of most of the key owners of online operators were not known and might not be held accountable for infractions since there was no law binding them to any commitments.

“I know the directors of our regular banks, but I can’t say the same of these Fintech banks.

“I don’t know the directors of MoniePoint, Opay and all others”, he added.

Oshiomhole further argued that when properly regulated through an enabling law, the operations of online financial institutions would better serve the interest of Nigerians.

Senators unanimously passed the bill for second reading and referred it to its Committee on Banking, Insurance and Other Financial Institutions for more legislative work.


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Binance Launches ‘Binance Junior’ Crypto Savings Account for Kids and Teens

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Binance, global cryptocurrency exchange, has announced the launch of Binance Junior, a new parent-controlled savings app designed for children and teenagers between the ages of six and 17.

Binance Launches ‘Binance Junior’ Crypto Savings Account for Kids and Teens

Binance

The company said the initiative would allow parents to open and manage crypto savings accounts for their children, enabling them to save and earn digital assets in a secure environment.

According to Binance, the platform restricts trading activities but permits savings through its Flexible Simple Earn feature, while parents retain full oversight of all transactions.

Co-Chief Executive Officer of Binance, Yi He, said the product was part of the firm’s broader family finance initiative aimed at preparing the next generation for financial literacy in a digital economy.

“As parents who love our children, we not only nurture them in their early development but long-term growth with responsibility and wisdom.

“Financial health and literacy are key to preparing them for the future, especially as money is evolving,” she said.

The company explained that teenagers aged 13 and above would be able to initiate transfers within the app, subject to daily limits and local regulations, while parents would be notified of every transaction and could disable accounts at any time.

Binance also unveiled a self-published educational book, ABC’s of Crypto, which introduces children and families to basic concepts of blockchain, security, and digital assets in a simplified format.

The firm noted that Binance Junior would be available in select countries via the Apple App Store and Google Play Store.


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CBN Scraps Cash Deposit Limits, Raises Weekly Withdrawal Threshold

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has removed the limit on cash deposits and raised the weekly cash withdrawal limit across all channels to N500,000, up from N100,000.

CBN Scraps Cash Deposit Limits, Raises Weekly Withdrawal Threshold

CBN

The apex bank disclosed this in a circular to all banks titled “Revised Cash-Related Policies”, signed by Dr. Rita Sike, Director, Financial Policy & Regulation Department.

According to the CBN, the policy is designed to reduce the cost of cash management, strengthen security, and curb money laundering risks associated with the economy’s heavy reliance on physical currency.

“These policies, issued over the years in response to evolving circumstances in cash management, sought to reduce cash usage and encourage accelerated adoption of other payment options, particularly electronic payment channels. With the effluxion of time, the need has arisen to streamline the provisions of these policies to reflect present-day realities,” the CBN stated.

Effective January 1, 2026, the circular announced several key changes. The cumulative deposit limit has been removed, and the fee previously charged on excess deposits will no longer apply.

The CBN also stated that the cumulative weekly withdrawal limit across all channels has been reviewed to N500,000 for individuals and N5 million for corporates. Withdrawals above these thresholds will attract excess withdrawal charges as specified in the circular. In addition, the special monthly authorisation that allowed individuals to withdraw N5 million and corporates N10 million once a month has been abolished.

For Automated Teller Machines (ATMs), daily withdrawal remains capped at N100,000 per customer, with a maximum of N500,000 weekly, which forms part of the overall weekly withdrawal limit applicable to all channels, including point-of-sale (POS) transactions.

The circular further disclosed that excess withdrawals above the stipulated limits will attract charges of 3 per cent for individuals and 5 per cent for corporate customers, shared in the ratio of 40 per cent to the CBN and 60 per cent to the operating bank or financial institution.

Banks have also been directed to load all currency denominations in ATMs, while the existing limit on over-the-counter encashment of third-party cheques remains pegged at N100,000. Such withdrawals will also be counted as part of the cumulative weekly limit.

Additionally, banks are required to render monthly returns to the relevant supervisory departments, including the Banking Supervision Department, Other Financial Institutions Supervision Department, and the Payments System Supervision Department.

The CBN clarified that revenue-generating accounts of federal, state, and local governments, as well as the accounts of microfinance banks and primary mortgage banks held with commercial and non-interest banks, are exempted from the new withdrawal and excess-fee rules. However, the long-standing exemption previously enjoyed by embassies, diplomatic missions, and aid-donor agencies has been removed.


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