General News
Scary! Get Ready for $10 a Barrel Oil

This is a very bad time for oil dependent country like Nigeria because a scary analysis in Bloomberg by Gary Shilling has predicted a further tumble in oil price,
According to Shilling, at about $50 a barrel, crude oil prices are down by more than half from their June 2014 peak of $107.
They may fall more, perhaps even as low as $10 to $20.
Here’s why.
U.S. economic growth has averaged 2.3 percent a year since the recovery started in mid-2009.
That’s about half the rate you might expect in a rebound from the deepest recession since the 1930s.
Meanwhile, growth in China is slowing, is minimal in the euro zone and is negative in Japan.
Throw in the large increase in U.S. vehicle gas mileage and other conservation measures and it’s clear why global oil demand is weak and might even decline.
At the same time, output is climbing, thanks in large part to increased U.S. production from hydraulic fracking and horizontal drilling.
U.S. output rose by 15 percent in the 12 months through November from a year earlier, based on the latest data, while imports declined 4 percent.
Something else figures in the mix: The eroding power of the OPEC cartel. Like all cartels, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries is designed to ensure stable and above- market crude prices. But those high prices encourage cheating, as cartel members exceed their quotas.
For the cartel to function, its leader — in this case, Saudi Arabia — must accommodate the cheaters by cutting its own output to keep prices from falling. But the Saudis have seen their past cutbacks result in market-share losses.
So the Saudis, backed by other Persian Gulf oil producers with sizable financial resources — Kuwait, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates — embarked on a game of chicken with the cheaters.
On Nov. 27, OPEC said that it wouldn’t cut output, sending oil prices off a cliff. The Saudis figure they can withstand low prices for longer than their financially weaker competitors, who will have to cut production first as pumping becomes uneconomical.
What is the price at which major producers chicken out and slash output? Whatever that price is, it is much lower than the $125 a barrel Venezuela needs to support its mismanaged economy. The same goes for Ecuador, Algeria, Nigeria, Iraq, Iran and Angola.
Saudi Arabia requires a price of more than $90 to fund its budget. But it has $726 billion in foreign currency reserves and is betting it can survive for two years with prices of less than $40 a barrel.
Furthermore, the price when producers chicken out isn’t necessarily the average cost of production, which for 80 percent of new U.S. shale oil production this year will be $50 to $69 a barrel, according to Daniel Yergin of energy consultant IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates.
Instead, the chicken-out point is the marginal cost of production, or the additional costs after the wells are drilled and the pipes are laid. Another way to think of it: It’s the price at which cash flow for an additional barrel falls to zero.
Last month, Wood Mackenzie, an energy research organization, found that of 2,222 oil fields surveyed worldwide, only 1.6 percent would have negative cash flow at $40 a barrel.
That suggests there won’t be a lot of chickening out at $40. Keep in mind that the marginal cost for efficient U.S. shale-oil producers is about $10 to $20 a barrel in the Permian Basin in Texas and about the same for oil produced in the Persian Gulf.
Also consider the conundrum financially troubled countries such as Russia and Venezuela find themselves in: They desperately need the revenue from oil exports to service foreign debts and fund imports. Yet, the lower the price, the more oil they need to produce and export to earn the same number of dollars, the currency used to price and trade oil.
With new discoveries, stability in parts of the Middle East and increasing drilling efficiency, global oil output will no doubt rise in the next several years, adding to pressure on prices. U.S. crude oil production is forecast to rise by 300,000 barrels a day during the next year from 9.1 million now.
Sure, the drilling rig count is falling, but it’s the inefficient rigs that are being idled, not the horizontal rigs that are the backbone of the fracking industry. Consider also Iraq’s recent deal with the Kurds, meaning that another 550,000 barrels a day will enter the market.
While supply climbs, demand is weakening. OPEC forecasts demand for its oil at a 14-year low of 28.2 million barrels a day in 2017, 600,000 less than its forecast a year ago and down from current output of 30.7 million. It also cut its 2015 demand forecast to a 12-year low of 29.12 million barrels.
Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency reduced its 2015 global demand forecast for the fourth time in 12 months by 230,000 barrels a day to 93.3 million and sees supply exceeding demand this year by 400,000 barrels a day.
Although the 40 percent decline in U.S. gasoline prices since April 2014 has led consumers to buy more gas-guzzling SUVs and pick-up trucks, consumers during the past few years have bought the most efficient blend of cars and trucks ever.
At the same time, slowing growth in China and the shift away from energy-intensive manufactured exports and infrastructure to consumer services is depressing oil demand. China accounted for two-thirds of the growth in demand for oil in the past decade.
So look for more big declines in crude oil and related energy prices.
General News
Nearpays, Nigerian Fintech Becomes First African Startup to Win UN’s AI for Good Innovation Factory

Nearpays, Nigerian fintech, has won the AI for Good Innovation Factory grand finale — the first African startup ever to take the global title in the competition, which runs as part of the United Nations’ AI for Good Global Summit.

The competition drew more than 500 startups worldwide, each pitching AI solutions aimed at social and economic challenges.
The summit itself is organised by the UN through the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) in partnership with several UN agencies, convening governments, researchers, startups, and technology companies around AI’s role in development.
Nearpays’ route to the title ran through Johannesburg, where it won the African regional competition, before advancing to the global finals in Geneva.
There, the company progressed through the semi-finals and claimed the grand finale — a first for the continent.
The company describes the win as bigger than a corporate milestone, calling it a victory for African innovation and proof that technology built to solve local problems can compete, and win, on the world stage.
Nearpays was founded to close a stubborn gap in African payments: small and medium-sized businesses that can’t afford or access traditional point-of-sale terminals.
Cost, availability, and deployment hurdles have kept many merchants — particularly in rural and underserved communities — locked out of digital payments.
Its answer is SoftPOS: an AI-powered platform that turns compatible Android smartphones into payment acceptance devices, letting merchants take contactless card payments with nothing more than their phones. AI is embedded across the platform, supporting payment processing, compliance, fraud detection, and business operations.
Crucially, the platform was built for African infrastructure realities — it works both online and offline, so merchants can keep accepting payments even without internet connectivity.
The company credited its team’s years of product development and customer engagement for the result, and thanked the UN, the ITU, and the AI for Good initiative for building a platform where innovators can apply AI to real-world problems.
It also said it hopes the win encourages more African founders to build technology that answers local needs while competing internationally.
For Nearpays, the title closes one chapter and opens another, as the company pushes on with expanding digital financial infrastructure across Afric
General News
LASG Signs PPP Concession Agreements to Advance Digital Services, Others

The Lagos State Government has signed four major concession agreements across healthcare, transportation, digital governance and outdoor advertising sectors, paving the way for private sector participation into areas central to the State’s infrastructure and service delivery agenda.

The agreements were signed at a ceremony coordinated by the Office of Public-Private Partnerships, in collaboration with the Ministries of Health, Transportation, Justice, Environment and Water Resources, as well as the Motor Vehicle Administration Agency (MVAA), Lagos State Blood Transfusion Committee (LSBTC) and the Lagos State Signage and Advertisement Agency (LASAA), in Lagos.
One of the key projects is the development of MyLagosApp, a unified digital platform designed to make government services more accessible to residents and visitors.
Under a 10-year concession agreement, LA Crème Nigeria Limited, with technical support from MTN Nigeria, will design, finance, build, operate, maintain and transfer the platform. Once operational, it will provide users with seamless access to a wide range of government services, including payments, traffic updates, emergency support, business information and tourism resources through a mobile application.
The State also signed a 20-year concession agreement with Anchor Advisory Partners for the full automation of the Lagos State Motor Vehicle Administration Agency (MVAA).
Reflecting on the significance of the agreements, the Special Adviser on Public-Private Partnerships, Mrs. Bukola Odoe, said the projects demonstrate how strategic partnerships can translate government policy into tangible improvements in the lives of Lagosians.
She added, “Government is at its best when it is practical – when policy leaves the boardroom and shows up in the hospital ward, at the licensing office, on the commuter’s phone and along the streets of our city. That is what today is about.”
In his response, Mr. Oluwaseun Osiyemi, Commissioner for Transportation, commended all stakeholders who contributed to the successful execution of the agreements.
He also noted that the signing reflects the State’s determination to continually improve public service delivery, adding that residents would begin to experience the benefits as implementation progresses across the various sectors.
General News
Fintech Brands Should Communicate Right in a VUCA Economy

By John Kokome
In today’s business environment, success is no longer determined solely by the quality of a product or the sophistication of technology. Increasingly, it is shaped by how effectively an organisation communicates, especially in periods of uncertainty. For fintech companies operating in Nigeria and across Africa, communication has become as critical as innovation itself.

The world has become what strategists describe as a VUCA environment, volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous. Economic shocks, fluctuating exchange rates, changing regulations, cybersecurity threats, misinformation, and evolving customer expectations have made the financial services landscape more unpredictable than ever. In such an environment, silence creates suspicion, while poor communication erodes trust. For fintech brands whose business model depends almost entirely on trust, getting communication right is no longer optional; it is existential.
Unlike traditional banks that have spent decades building institutional credibility, many fintech companies are relatively young. They rely on digital interactions rather than physical branches. Customers often never meet anyone representing the company. Every notification, social media post, customer service response, email, and public statement, therefore, becomes an opportunity either to strengthen or weaken confidence.
The collapse of several global crypto platforms, periodic payment service disruptions, and increasing incidents of digital fraud have made consumers more cautious than ever. Users now ask difficult questions before trusting any financial technology platform. Is my money safe? Is my data protected? Can I rely on this platform during periods of market uncertainty? The answers are communicated not only through actions but through consistent, transparent and timely messaging.
Communication during crises often separates resilient brands from those that struggle to recover. Too many organisations still believe that crisis communication begins when a system fails or when negative stories trend online. In reality, crisis communication starts long before a crisis emerges. It begins with building credibility over time.
When service interruptions occur, as they inevitably will in any technology-driven business, customers rarely expect perfection. What they expect is honesty. They want prompt acknowledgement, clear explanations, regular updates, and realistic timelines for resolution. Delayed responses or corporate jargon often inflict more reputational damage than the technical failure itself.
The same principle applies to regulatory communication. Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem continues to evolve under the guidance of regulators seeking to balance innovation with consumer protection. Policy adjustments, licensing requirements, compliance directives, and foreign exchange reforms frequently affect operations. Fintech companies must resist the temptation to hide behind legal language. Instead, they should translate regulatory developments into simple, customer-friendly information that explains what is changing, why it matters, and what customers need to do.
Equally important is internal communication. Employees are often the first ambassadors of any organisation. During uncertain economic conditions, staff members also seek reassurance about business direction, leadership decisions, and organisational stability. When employees receive little information, rumours fill the vacuum. Companies that communicate openly with their teams are more likely to maintain morale, improve customer experience, and protect their reputation.
Another defining feature of the VUCA economy is the speed at which misinformation spreads. A single misleading social media post can trigger panic withdrawals, damage investor confidence, or create unnecessary anxiety among customers. Fintech brands therefore require active reputation management, digital listening, and rapid response mechanisms. Waiting for mainstream media to pick up a story before responding is increasingly a costly mistake.
Beyond crisis management, communication should also educate. Financial literacy remains relatively low across many parts of Africa. Many customers still struggle to understand digital payments, cross-border transactions, digital assets, savings products, or cybersecurity risks. Fintech brands that invest in continuous customer education position themselves not merely as service providers but as trusted financial partners. Educational communication creates confidence, drives adoption, and builds long-term loyalty.
Leadership visibility also matters. In uncertain times, people trust people more than logos. Founders, chief executives, and senior executives should communicate regularly, not merely during product launches or fundraising announcements. Thought leadership, media engagements, stakeholder dialogues, and community participation help humanise brands and reinforce credibility.
Perhaps the greatest communication challenge for fintech companies is balancing optimism with realism. Marketing campaigns naturally celebrate innovation and growth. Yet credibility demands acknowledging challenges while demonstrating preparedness. Customers are increasingly sophisticated; they recognise exaggerated promises and quickly lose confidence when expectations are not met.
As competition intensifies across Africa’s digital financial services industry, product differentiation alone will become increasingly difficult. Features can be copied. Pricing can be matched. Technology can be replicated. Trust, however, remains a durable competitive advantage, and trust is built through consistent communication.
The fintech brands that will thrive in this VUCA economy will not necessarily be those with the most sophisticated applications or the largest funding rounds. They will be those who communicate with clarity, consistency, empathy, and transparency. In an era where confidence is currency, effective communication is no longer a support function; it is a strategic asset that can determine whether a fintech brand merely survives uncertainty or leads through it.
John Kokome is the Corporate Communications Manager at FlashChange, a fintech platform redefining secure digital asset exchange. With experience across fintech, cryptocurrency, telecoms, and development communications in Africa. He currently leads strategic storytelling, reputation management, and stakeholder engagement initiatives at the company, focusing on building trust, transparency, and financial literacy in the digital assets space.
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