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Bye-bye Frenzy, Back to the Familiar

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By Han Tan, Market Analyst at FXTM

 

Global markets are now revisiting a familiar script, with investors pushing broad asset classes higher on more signs pointing to the US economic recovery.

Stock markets Stateside posted new record highs and the futures contracts are holding steady at the time of writing. The S&P 500 is boasting a year-to-date gain once more, led by energy and financial stocks this week. Tech companies remain favoured by investors amidst a string of better-than-expected earnings, pushing the Nasdaq 100 to its highest-ever close.

Oil prices are also getting in on the act, with WTI futures set for a fifth consecutive daily gain to reach its best levels in over a year. This return to the way things were is also marked by signs of subdued day-trader mania, with GameStop having plummeted almost 90 percent from its 2021 peak amid the WallStreetBets-fueled frenzy. However, the stock is still showing gains of 184 percent so far this year.

Stronger jobs recovery to set base for more gains in risk-asset

Risk sentiment has been buoyed by Thursday’s lower-than-expected US jobless claims data, which marked its third weekly decline and lowest reading since late November.

This positive surprise has already prompted economists to make upward revisions to their forecasts for the January non-farm payrolls data due later today. Markets are expecting the headline print to increase by around 105,000 jobs, which would be an about-turn from the 140,000 positions lost in December.

But, the unemployment rate is set to remain unchanged at 6.7 percent, which is still some three percentage points higher compared to pre-pandemic levels. This elevated figure still underscores the need for more government support, even though President Biden’s $1.9 trillion proposal risks being diluted if we see evidence today that the job market recovery is truly underway.

With more states easing their respective virus-curbing measures as the Covid-19 vaccine continues to make its way through the US population, the labour market may find itself on firmer ground in the weeks and months ahead. On top of that, economic conditions are expected to be restored at a faster clip once more fiscal stimulus is unleashed upon households and businesses.

Such a risk-on narrative is what’s prompting market participants to push risk assets higher and this momentum in the markets could gain more impetus with a better-than-expected NFP print.

Gold declines on Dollar resilience

However, the US dollar and gold are apparently not singing the same tune as the rest of the choir.

The greenback has defied consensus calls for weakness this year, which in turn has sent bullion to its lowest levels since early December. The precious metal has also struggled against the steepening US yield curve. The idea that the US economic recovery would lead to faster inflationary pressures has not played out in gold’s favour, to the chagrin of the precious metal’s bulls.

With spot prices now trying to claw their way back to the psychologically important $1800 level, gold is set to have a battle on its hands over the near-term in trying to get on the market’s good side. A technical death cross, when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, looks imminent which indicates the potential for a major selloff.


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Ugo Onwuaso is an ICT enthusiast. He believes technology should be used for general good. He holds a Master of Public Administration (MPA) degree from the Lagos state University. Dear Reader, Your support matters. But we believe that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. That is why, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and finance and how they affect lives. Our incisive and analytical view of how technology news affects the daily life help individuals and organizations make up their minds. Quality journalism costs money. Today, we're asking that you support us to do more. Kindly support our effort to deliver technology and finance journalism to everyone in the world. Donate as little as N1,000. Bank transfers can be made to: UBA Plc 1017156876 Communication Week Media Ltd

General News

Cybersecurity Firm Detects a Wave of Crypto Phishing Following BlockFi Bankruptcy

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Kaspersky has detected a wave of phishing attacks preying on former customers of the bankrupt crypto lending platform BlockFi.

These scams leverage the ongoing distribution of customer assets following BlockFi’s 2022 bankruptcy, tricking victims into surrendering cryptocurrency wallet seed phrases, potentially leading to financial losses.

BlockFi, once a prominent provider of high-yield interest accounts and crypto-backed loans, announced bankruptcy in November 2022. The company began disbursing repayments to affected clients in 2024 as part of its restructuring plan.

Kaspersky has detected fraudulent emails mimicking BlockFi’s official branding, which falsely invite recipients to “claim the payment” they are “entitled to.” After clicking on the link, users land on a phishing page and are prompted to “connect their wallet”.

The attackers suggest that users import their existing wallet by typing in the secret phrase – this grants attackers direct access to the funds in the victim’s wallet.

“Phishing attacks like this are widespread, capitalising on real-world events to build trust and urgency. Victims who fall for these scams risk exposing their crypto wallets to theft. It’s critical for individuals to verify any communications directly through official channels and to check the address from where the email originates for legitimacy,” comments Roman Dedenok, anti-spam expert at Kaspersky.

The phishing emails feature convincing logos, colour schemes, and language, making them difficult to spot at first glance. Kaspersky recommends the following steps to avoid falling victim to this or similar scams:

  • Do not click on links or respond to unsolicited emails.
  • Protect Sensitive Information: Never share banking credentials, wallet seed phrases, or other private keys in response to an email or online form.
  • Use Security Tools: Enable two-factor authentication (2FA) on all financial accounts, employ reputable security software like Kaspersky Premium, and consider using a password manager to safeguard credentials.

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Universal Insurance to Raise N15bn to Meet Capital Rules

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Universal Insurance Plc has secured the approval of its shareholders to raise additional capital of N15 billion through a proposed recapitalisation exercise, as the insurer intensifies efforts to strengthen its balance sheet and position the company for long-term sustainability.

The approval will be granted at an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) scheduled for February 5, 2026 in Lagos.

Currently, Universal Insurance’s share capital stands at N8 billion, with 16 billion ordinary shares held by existing shareholders on the NGX. The board is seeking to revalidate, authorise, and regularise 14 billion unissued ordinary shares for the planned capital raise and also secure approval to list and admit the new shares for trading

Following resolutions passed at the Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM), Universal Insurance Plc is moving forward with a comprehensive recapitalisation programme aimed at reinforcing its capital base and improving its capacity to underwrite larger and more diversified risks.

Shareholders approved the plan to raise new equity through a combination of capital market instruments, subject to regulatory approvals, as part of efforts to meet industry capital requirements and support future growth.

Gross premium written rose to N18.59 billion, up from N12.29 billion a year earlier, driven by increased underwriting activity across key insurance segments. Insurance revenue also grew to N14.68 billion, compared with N9.85 billion in the prior period, reflecting stronger risk acceptance and improved pricing discipline.

Despite higher insurance service expenses, the company posted an insurance service result of N1.13 billion, while net investment income surged to N2.79 billion, supported largely by fair value gains on financial assets. As a result, net insurance and investment income increased to N5.18 billion, nearly double the N2.61 billion recorded in the same period of 2024.

On the balance sheet, total assets expanded to N21.82 billion as at September 30, 2025, from N18.14 billion a year earlier, supported by growth in financial assets and investment properties. Shareholders’ funds rose to N14.38 billion, up from N12.33 billion, reflecting improved profitability and reserve accumulation.

Investors have also responded positively to Universal Insurance’s performance, with its stock delivering an 83.33 percent return in 2025, rising from N0.66 to N1.21 per share, and trading volumes exceeding 6 billion shares.

The recapitalisation initiative, combined with the improving financial performance recorded in Q3’25, underscores Universal Insurance Plc’s determination to reposition itself as a more resilient and competitive player in Nigeria’s insurance industry.

The company aims to deliver improved value to policyholders, investors, and partners, while supporting broader economic activity and generating sustainable returns for shareholders.


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FG Rejects Northern Elders’ Gold Refinery Siting Claim

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Federal Ministry of Solid Minerals Development has debunked allegations by the Northern Elders Forum that the Federal Government sited a gold refinery in Lagos, breaching the federal character principle.

FG Rejects Northern Elders’ Gold Refinery Siting Claim

Minister Dele Alake

In a statement from Abuja, Special Assistant to Minister Dele Alake, Segun Tomori, described the claim by the forum’s spokesperson, Prof. Abubakar Jiddere, as “false and misleading.” He clarified that the minister never announced any government-owned gold refinery in Lagos or elsewhere.

Mr Tomori stressed that Minister Alake explicitly described the refinery as a private initiative by Kian Smith, one of several such projects nationwide. “The Federal Government does not compel private companies to site operations in specific regions,” he added, crediting founder Nere Emiko’s leadership.

The project supports the government’s value-addition policy to curb raw mineral exports and boost local processing. Reforms over two years have spurred investments like a $600 million lithium plant in Nasarawa, a $400 million rare earth facility there, and a $200 million ASBA lithium plant in Abuja.

Tomori highlighted the policy’s role in attracting foreign capital and creating jobs, describing the Lagos refinery as proof of successful reforms. He urged the Northern Elders Forum to back efforts for a stronger Nigerian economy rather than spreading misinformation.


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