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Coronation Merchant Bank Projects 2.8% GDP Growth for 2023

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Experts at Coronation Merchant Bank have projected 2.8 per cent growth in Gross Domestic Product for 2023, attributing it to slow policy implementations and capital expenses due to laser focus on the general elections and transition between administration in the first half of the year.

Chinwe Egwim, the Chief Economist and Head, Economic Research/Intelligence, Coronation Merchant Bank, in a presentation stated that the GDP growth is projected to be driven mainly by the non-oil sector.

According to her, “The services, agriculture and manufacturing sectors are likely to remain key growth drivers, supported by financial interventions by the CBN. Furthermore, the effective implementation of the 2022 Finance Act and the Strategic Revenue Growth Initiatives should contribute to the growth drive through increased non-oil revenues.

“We also considered stable oil prices above USD80/barrel. However, we expect domestic crude oil production to remain below pre-COVID19 levels, due to existing challenges within the sector.

“We have also taken into consideration, relatively weak consumption patterns on the back of high inflation and its impact on service-oriented sectors, the impact of foreign exchange depreciation and increased borrowing costs on business activities.”

She noted that there would Be increased foreign exchange demand due to the need for safe- haven currency (USD) on the back of security concerns.

We expect weak portfolio investment inflow on the back of negative real returns (yields vs inflation) and the political risks surrounding the 2023 general elections. We considered the absence of Nigeria from the ICM in the near term, which does not bode well for external reserves.

“Accordingly, we expect that the existing demand patterns in the parallel market will continue. In our base case scenario, we see the foreign exchange rate at the NAFEX/I&E window at N505/ USD by end-2023.

“We considered: stable growth in non-oil exports boosted by the RT 200 foreign exchange program, continuous injections by the CBN (avg. seven per cent of total inflows on a m/m basis), halt to fuel subsidy payments by end-H1 2023.

She stated that analysts at Coronation Merchant Bank expected inflation to moderate in 2023, partly attributed to positive base effects and the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) current stance on the policy rate.

She noted that the persistent supply shocks on the back of the on-going Russia-Ukraine crisis as well as structural issues impacting the cost of doing business such as insecurity and other logistical challenges would likely keep inflation elevated.

“Other factors include, base effects, depreciation of the naira in the parallel market and an uptick in the price of PMS, due to the potential subsidy removal which would impact the cost of transport and possible demand-pull inflation triggered by increased fiscal stimulus.

“In our base case scenario, we see inflation at 18.3per cent y/y for end-2023,” she added. Speaking at the leading financial institution’s Economic Review and Outlook themed: “baton handoff economic headwinds and risk resilience in Lagos recently,” she noted

Also speaking at the event, Mr. Banjo Adegbohungbe, the MD/CEO, Coronation Merchant Bank, in his opening speech said imminent transition is the overall theme of 2023 as Nigeria is currently having transitions in so many spheres happening at once.

According to him, “And not just that this transition is happening at the domestic environment, we also have the domestic impact of a lot of events that are occurring across the globe at the same time.

“For example, the recent downgrades of Nigeria’s risk ratings highlight various concerns around critical challenges that are filled the spotlight on our direction post transition in 2023.

“While there are significant headwinds in 2023, we believe that the potential also exists to tap into new opportunities.

“At the end of the day, the focus is simple and that is to enable you navigate the headwinds and achieve your respective strategic objectives by identifying those new opportunities.”

 


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Firms Commit to Boost African Robotics Market

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AfricAI and Micropolis Robotics have signed a multi-year exclusive distribution and deployment agreement, which marks one of the continent’s most significant robotics market entries.

Micropolis AI Robotics is a United Arab Emirates-based robotics manufacturer operating in autonomous systems, while AfricAI is a company building practical, revenue-driven artificial intelligence (AI) systems for African businesses, governments, and global partners operating in emerging markets.

According to the agreement, Micropolis Robotics named AfricAI as its exclusive continental partner, prohibiting direct sales, alternative distributors, and third-party agents from operating in the territory.

The partnership establishes AfricAI as the primary execution, localisation, and go-to-market platform for intelligent robotics in Africa’s industrial, security, logistics, and infrastructure sectors.

AfricAI said this exclusive mandate positions the company as the gateway for advanced autonomous systems entering African markets, ensuring regulatory compliance, local capacity building, and sovereign control over deployment frameworks.

The partnership, according to the two parties, moves beyond software- based AI into the realm of physical AI — intelligent machines capable of operating in complex, real-world African environments.

“This is not a collaboration, it is a market-shaping mandate,” said Fareed Aljawhari, CEO of Micropolis Robotics. “AfricAI now represents the exclusive gateway through which Micropolis technologies enter Africa. Their sovereign AI vision, operational reach, and regulatory fluency make them the only partner capable of executing at a continental scale.

Furthermore, the agreement enables AfricAI to integrate Micropolis’ autonomous robotics systems with AfricAI’s sovereign AI stack, resulting in AI-powered security and surveillance platforms, robotics-enabled logistics and port operations, industrial automation, smart infrastructure, and municipal robotics tailored to African operating conditions.

Initial deployments will commence in security, smart infrastructure, and logistics, with phased expansion across multiple African states as part of AfricAI’s broader continental AI, data, and intelligent infrastructure strategy.

The agreement also includes long-term performance-linked expansion rights, automatic renewals, and a defined localisation framework to support robotics deployment, workforce training, and skills transfer across Africa.

Prince Malik Ado-Ibrahim, executive chairman of AfricAI, said: “Africa does not need imported automation — it needs sovereign, context-aware intelligent systems. This exclusive mandate allows AfricAI to industrialise robotics deployment at scale while retaining control, compliance, and value creation on the continent.”

 


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Subair: LIRS Won’t Raid Accounts – Unless You’ve Lost Every Court Battle

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Lagos State Internal Revenue Service Executive Chairman Ayodele Subair Tuesday demolished online panic over alleged bank account raids, insisting the agency’s “Power of Substitution” targets only hardcore tax dodgers who have exhausted every appeal from tribunals to the Supreme Court over half a decade of disputes.

Subair: LIRS Won't Raid Accounts – Unless You've Lost Every Court Battle

Ayodele Subair

Subair, speaking on Arise TV, shredded viral fears that LIRS would swoop on residents’ savings without warning, clarifying the mechanism under Section 60 of the Nigeria Tax Administration Act 2025 kicks in solely after assessments spark objections, reconciliations, demand notices, and a gruelling courtroom odyssey through High Court, Court of Appeal, and apex rulings.

The LIRS weekend notice had ignited fury by announcing enforcement via third parties – banks, employers, tenants, debtors – to claw back unpaid Personal Income Tax, Capital Gains Tax, Stamp Duties, and Withholding Tax from chronic defaulters holding funds or owing money to them, whether due now or accruing later.

Subair likened the process to a “long timeframe, not less than five years,” where recalcitrant bigwigs who stonewall every step become fair game, with LIRS directing agents like customers or partners to divert payments straight to the taxman in lawful settlement.

Far from arbitrary grabs, the chairman stressed it’s a final resort for “entirely recalcitrant” holdouts who ignore Notice of Refusal to Amend (NORA) and every olive branch, ensuring Lagos coffers snag rightful revenue fuelling the state’s bulging budget without shotgun raids on compliant payers.

As social media buzzes with defiance – “They can’t touch my account!” – Subair’s blueprint spotlights Nigeria’s tax evasion scourge starving subnationals of trillions yearly, with Lagos alone chasing billions in arrears amid federal revenue wars and economic headwinds squeezing the commercial capital’s 25 million souls.

Industry voices nod to the legality but plead for digital dashboards tracking disputes transparently, warning overzealous recovery could spook investors in Africa’s fintech and startup mecca already reeling from naira nosedives and grid glitches.

With LIRS poised to unleash the hammer on vetted violators, Subair’s clarion call aims to separate myth from muscle, bolstering Lagos’ IGR juggernaut that hit N815 billion last year while daring defaulters to test the full judicial gauntlet before crying foul.


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NIGCOMSAT Adopts Government’s Performance System

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Nigerian Communications Satellite (NIGCOMSAT) Ltd, in a strategic move to modernise its operations and foster a results-oriented workforce, has officially adopted the Federal Government’s Performance Management System (PMS).

NIGCOMSAT Adopts Government’s Performance System

The initiative, aimed at driving efficiency and institutionalising accountability, was marked by an intensive staff training program designed to align the agency’s operations with national performance goals and the Presidency’s vision for a digital-first public sector.

According to a statement from Stephen Kwande, the Agency’s acting head of Corporate Affairs, “the transition to PMS is a departure from historical evaluation methods. The new system is designed to provide real-time performance tracking and instill a stronger work ethic across all directorates”.

Welcoming participants, Mrs. Jane Nkechi Egerton-Idehen, managing director/CEO of NIGCOMSAT, represented by Abiodun Attah, executive diirector, Technical Services, described the adoption as “long overdue.

She emphasised that the system is critical for ensuring that NIGCOMSAT contributes effectively to Nigeria’s broader digital economy targets.

In her opening remarks, Mrs. Chinwe Udogu, general manager, Human Resources Management,  expressed NIGCOMSAT’s enthusiasm for the program, urging staff to dedicate themselves fully to the three-day training.

She noted that the exercise was pivotal in repositioning the company to achieve its highest aspirations.

The training consultant, Mrs. Njoku Chioma, said the program is expected to drive culture change, automate work processes, and strengthen institutional performance.

The three-day training, jointly organised by the Office of the Head of Service of the Federation and NIGCOMSAT Management, covers key themes including:

• Overview of the FCSSI25 as an institutional performance-driven Federal Civil/Public Service

• Service culture and workplace attitude in the Nigerian public sector

• Implementation of the Performance Management System in NIGCOMSAT

• Application of Artificial Intelligence tools to enhance performance in the Nigerian public sector

The move comes at a time when NIGCOMSAT is expanding its footprint, with recent initiatives like the 2026 SpaceTech Accelerator Programme and partnerships for grassroots digital skills training.

By strengthening its internal management framework, the agency aims to ensure that its technical advancements in satellite technology are matched by an equally efficient administrative engine.


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