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Insurgency, Fraud Pose Risks for Credible Election

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Professor Attahiru Jega, chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC)
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Nigeria has made an effort to clean up voter registration for elections next February, but holding a credible poll is a daunting prospect amid chaotic distribution of ballot cards and an Islamist insurgency that could disenfranchise millions.

Reuters said that Nigeria’s last presidential poll in 2011 was deemed the cleanest to date in Africa’s most populous nation, but since previous elections had been characterized by ballot box snatching, intimidation of voters by armed thugs and completely made up results, this was a modest achievement.

The election will test whether Africa’s biggest economy can improve its patchy record on democracy.

“Looking at overt, simple forms of election manipulation, in 2011, there was a decrease and we think … that trajectory is going to continue,” Thomas Hansen of Control Risks says.

Yet questions remain over whether the coming elections will actually continue that trajectory.

The race largely between President Goodluck Jonathan and former military ruler Muhammadu Buhari on Feb. 14 is expected to be Nigeria’s most closely fought since the end of military rule in 1999, which will encourage both to play dirty.

A violent Islamist Boko Haram insurgency that has killed thousands will make voting almost impossible in swathes of the northeast, possibly disenfranchising millions.

New technology, such as biometric I.D. card readers, should make ballot box stuffing harder. But glitches have caused hundreds of thousands of voters to be struck out.

TEST FOR NIGERIA

The election must be seen as credible to avoid violence by the losing side. In 2011, 800 people were killed after Buhari lost to Jonathan.

The growing polarization of Nigeria between the largely Muslim north and majority Christian parts of the south, and ugly rhetoric on both sides, send ominous signals.

“The demonization of the opponent, the threats of violence, the accusations of plans to rig the election, the whipping up of ethnic and religious sentiments. The clouds are indeed dark,” wrote Azuka Onwuka in The Punch daily this month.

When Jonathan ran in 2011, northern elites said he scrapped an unwritten deal to rotate power between north and south every two terms. Amid the heightened tension, parties could use minor irregularities as an excuse to whip up violence.

Three states in the northeast under a state of emergency will be too dangerous for most election observers.

There are more than a million Boko Haram displaced who cannot vote unless the law changes to allow them to do so away from home, a move Parliament is considering.

Borno electoral commissioner Tukur Saad said the state had registered 11 camps for refugees, but many more were unregistered in schools and mosques.

Since many displaced did not take their voting cards when they fled, they may be unable to vote.

“Creating polling units in camps does not mean people will not be disenfranchised,” said Idayat Hassan of the Abuja-based Centre for Democracy and Development. “How many will actually have identification of any form with them?”

Insecurity will prevent voting in many places. Most of Borno’s 1.76 million voters won’t be able to vote.

“It’s a very tricky situation … We may only be able to hold the vote for … 600,000 voters,” Saad told Reuters.

The electoral commission has culled duplicates and fake names from the register in order to issue biometric voter cards, in a bid to curb practices like ballot box stuffing.

But 11.5 million people were, in some cases wrongly, struck off the list this year, Kayode Idowu , electoral commission (INEC) spokesman said, owing to data collection problems.

The total voter count fell to 58.9 million, from 70.4 million at the end of 2013. Voters wrongfully removed will have to queue up to re-register. Some won’t bother.

The fact that many were in strongholds of the opposition All Progressives Congress (APC), such as Lagos, rather than those of the ruling People’s Democratic Party (PDP), angered the opposition.

“I am worried this is the beginning of a plan to

disenfranchise Lagosians,” Lagos state governor Babatunde Fashola, himself stuck off the list, said last month.

Another worry for election observers is whether the card readers will be deployed in time and if they will work.

INEC says it anticipates the inevitable failure of some readers so extras will be supplied. The readers will run on batteries to escape frequent power cuts.

Idowu said that if a machine fails and a replacement is unavailable, the election will be delayed in that area. That would draw out an already fraught process.

In the Niger Delta, Jonathan’s home region, a history of political thuggery looks set to continue.

Two security sources say large amounts of weapons are being imported into the region. In past polls, militias carved out areas where they controlled voting. That could happen again.


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Interswitch Advocates Trust-Driven Infrastructure as Cornerstones of Africa’s Cross-Border Capital Future

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Interswitch Group, one of Africa’s leading integrated payments and digital commerce companies, has reaffirmed its commitment to advancing a seamless and inclusive financial ecosystem across the continent at the recently concluded Inclusive Fintech Forum 2026, which held at the Kigali Convention Centre, in Rwanda from 10 -12 March 2026.

Speaking during a high-level session themed “Financial Centres & the Future of Cross-Border Capital” Akeem Lawal, Managing Director, Payments Processing & Switching (Interswitch Purepay), highlighted the critical factors shaping the next phase of financial integration across Africa.

He noted that while rapid advancements in digital technology have made it possible for capital to move across borders at unprecedented speed, the ultimate destination and impact of such capital flows are determined by trust, robust infrastructure, and strategic collaboration.

According to Lawal, as Africa’s economies continue to digitize and integrate, stakeholders must prioritize building resilient payment systems and fostering partnerships that enhance transparency, interoperability, and shared prosperity.

He emphasized that sustainable growth in cross-border financial flows will depend not only on technological innovation but also on the collective ability of institutions to inspire confidence and enable seamless transactions at scale.

Throughout the forum’s engagements, Interswitch, as one of Africa’s leading and pioneering digital technology enablers reiterated its long-standing vision of fostering a prosperous and interconnected Africa. The company continues to champion the development of a secure, technologically advanced digital payments ecosystem designed to connect and empower individuals, businesses, governments, and communities across the continent.

Participation at the Inclusive Fintech Forum underscores Interswitch’s strategic focus on driving thought leadership, strengthening regional collaboration, and supporting initiatives that accelerate financial inclusion and economic resilience.

As Africa navigates the evolving landscape of digital finance and cross-border commerce, Interswitch remains committed to delivering innovative solutions and partnerships that unlock opportunities for growth and shared value creation.


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FCCPC Launches Fuel Price Surveillance, Probes Airline Price Gouging, Resolves N10bn Complaints

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In a robust move to shield consumers from opportunistic profiteering, the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) has rolled out comprehensive nationwide monitoring of fuel prices, zeroing in on petrol marketers amid escalating global hostilities between the United States, Israel, and Iran that threaten to jolt Nigeria’s volatile petroleum market.

FCCPC Launches Fuel Price Surveillance, Probes Airline Price Gouging, Resolves N10bn Complaints

FCCPC

Executive Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Tunji Bello unveiled this proactive strategy during Thursday’s riveting March edition of the Meet the Press briefing at the Presidential Villa, Abuja, underscoring the profound, cascading implications of any petrol price uptick on everyday essentials from transportation to foodstuffs.

“We are presently monitoring the situation now, the effect of the US, Israeli, Iran war as it affects prices in Nigeria. Petrol has far-reaching effects on some of the things we eat or take daily,” Bello articulated, revealing the deployment of dedicated monitors empowered to interrogate stark pricing anomalies—such as when competitors slash rates by ₦100 or ₦200 per litre, yet outliers stubbornly hold at ₦1,100 to ₦1,500—and seamless collaboration with the Department of Petroleum Resources (DPR) to enforce accountability and deter exploitation.

Turning to the aviation sector, Bello disclosed that FCCPC’s exhaustive probe into yuletide price gouging has pinpointed five to six domestic airlines for collusion, inflating fares from a baseline of ₦145,000-₦150,000 to exorbitant ₦500,000-₦700,000 during the Christmas rush.

“We investigated the airlines during the Christmas period because what we found was that they colluded to fix prices at that time,” he affirmed, confirming the issuance of an investigative report with stern penalties in the offing and directives for refunds of exploited excesses to aggrieved passengers. While withholding names pending finalisation, Bello signalled imminent public disclosure to restore market fairness.

Consumer grievances span critical sectors, with energy topping the list—electricity users railing against persistent metering deficits, inflated estimated billing, and unreliable Band A tariffs promising up to 20 hours daily yet delivering far less—prompting FCCPC to rigorously enforce service-tariff proportionality on distribution companies.

Fintech woes, particularly in online transactions and predatory loan apps, alongside telecom billing disputes, also proliferate, reflecting Nigeria’s deepening digital economy pains.

Bello highlighted FCCPC’s stellar track record, resolving over 9,000 complaints between March and August 2025 and clawing back more than ₦10 billion for victims. “Nigerians sometimes grumble more than they complain. Once you complain, the system generates a code for the complaint, and we can begin to act on it,” he urged, championing formal channels for swift intervention.

The Commission recommitted to dynamic partnerships with consumers, trade associations, and sister regulators, fortifying defences against anti-competitive conduct and embedding consumer rights as the bedrock of Nigeria’s evolving market ecosystem.

This multi-pronged offensive arrives at a pivotal juncture, as geopolitical flux and domestic inflation test regulatory mettle.


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Court Freezes Bank Accounts of Petrocam, Founder over Alleged N9Bn Zenith Bank Debt

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Federal High Court sitting in Lagos has ordered the freezing of bank accounts belonging to Petrocam Trading Nigeria Limited and Patrick Ilo, its founder, over an alleged N9.05 billion debt.

Court Freezes Bank Accounts of Petrocam, Founder over Alleged N9Bn Zenith Bank Debt

Patrick Ilo and Petrocam Filling station

Justice Chukwujekwu Aneke of the court granted the interim orders in Suit No: FHC/L/CS/393/2026 which was an ex parte application filed by Zenith Bank to preserve funds allegedly owed by the defendants as of May 31, 2025.

It was gathered that the ex parte motion was argued by Chief A.A. Aribisala (SAN) on behalf of Zenith Bank.

While delivering the ruling on Wednesday, the court restrained the defendants, whether acting by themselves or through agents, privies, or assigns, from withdrawing, transferring, dissipating, or otherwise dealing with funds up to the sum of ₦9,057,511,855.63, pending the hearing and determination of the motion on notice.

“An interim order is hereby granted restraining the defendants/respondents, Petrocam Trading Nigeria Limited and Patrick Ilo, whether by themselves, their agents, privies or assigns, from withdrawing, transferring, dissipating or otherwise dealing with any funds up to the sum of ₦9,057,511,855.63 pending the hearing and determination of the motion on notice,” Justice Aneke ruled.

The court further ordered the freezing of all accounts linked to Bank Verification Number (BVN) 22141926401, which the bank alleged is being used by Ilo to operate Petrocam’s accounts.

In addition, Justice Aneke directed all financial institutions within the jurisdiction of the court to immediately place a lien or “Post-No-Debit” restriction on all accounts associated with the BVN.

According to the order, “All financial institutions within the jurisdiction of this honourable court are hereby directed to place a lien or post-no-debit restriction on all accounts linked to BVN 22141926401 pending further orders of the court.”

The order extends beyond traditional banks to key operators within Nigeria’s electronic payment ecosystem. Among those joined as respondents in the matter are the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System, Interswitch Limited, and Interswitch Financial Inclusion Services Limited.

The court also directed the institutions to disclose the details of all accounts linked to the BVN. Justice Aneke ordered the respondents to file an affidavit of return within seven days, revealing all accounts connected to the BVN, their balances, and the transaction history covering the preceding six months.

Court documents filed in support of the application showed that the credit facility at the centre of the dispute was subject to several pre-disbursement conditions imposed by Zenith Bank.

According to the filings, Petrocam was required to formally accept the facility through its authorised signatories, provide a board resolution approving the loan, and disclose any existing indebtedness to other lenders, including facility limits, outstanding balances, and collateral pledged.

Other conditions included the domiciliation of sales proceeds and Sovereign Debt Note subsidy payments from Oando Plc and Total Nigeria Plc into Petrocam’s account with Zenith Bank.

The company was also required to submit relevant contract agreements for the bank’s approval and provide a five percent counterpart contribution for each transaction, while all required security documentation had to be executed before the facility could be disbursed.

The bank further stated that Petrocam was expected to submit quarterly management accounts within 60 days after the end of each quarter and audited annual financial statements within 120 days.

In addition, Petrocam was required to route all import duty payments and Letters of Credit through its account with Zenith Bank, establish Letters of Credit for petroleum imports, and obtain comprehensive marine insurance naming Zenith Bank as the first loss payee.

Court filings also revealed that General Marine and Oil Services Ltd had been appointed by the bank to monitor petroleum product warehousing at Petrocam’s expense.

The facility agreement further imposed foreign exchange obligations, authorising Zenith Bank to settle maturing Usance obligations at 12 percent interest if Petrocam failed to provide the necessary funds.

The bank maintained that in the event of default, Petrocam would be responsible for all legal, recovery, and ancillary costs arising from enforcement of the facility.

The court also granted Zenith Bank leave to serve the defendants through substituted means.

Justice Aneke ruled that the defendants may be served at their last known address in Victoria Island, Lagos.

The matter has been adjourned to March 17, 2026, for mention.


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