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Richer Banks, Poorer Economy: The Hidden Crisis in Nigeria’s Financial System

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By Blaise Udunze
Across Africa, banks are getting bigger but not necessarily better. From South Africa’s Standard Bank to Morocco’s Attijariwafa and Egypt’s National Bank, financial institutions are boasting record balance sheets, higher Tier 1 capital, and growing regional footprints. According to African Business magazine’s 2025 ranking of the continent’s top 100 banks, Africa’s total Tier 1 capital climbed to $126 billion, up from $120 billion in 2024.
But behind this glowing façade of balance sheet expansion lies a troubling irony, especially in Nigeria. Despite being home to some of the continent’s most visible lenders, Nigeria is missing from the International Monetary Fund’s latest list of Africa’s fastest-growing economies. While Nigerian banks such as Access Bank, Zenith Bank, UBA, and FBN Holdings feature among Africa’s top 20 in assets, their impact on real economic growth remains painfully limited.
In simpler terms, Nigeria’s banks are becoming richer without making the economy stronger.
It is one of the defining contradictions of modern Nigerian finance, where a banking sector keeps ballooning in size even as the real economy struggles to breathe. The IMF projects Nigeria’s GDP growth at 3.9 percent in 2025, below the 6-8 percent threshold that defines Africa’s fastest-growing economies. Meanwhile, smaller nations such as Rwanda, Benin, and Côte d’Ivoire are racing ahead, driven by reforms, industrial growth, and investment-friendly policies.
So why is Africa’s largest economy growing so slowly even with “Africa’s biggest banks” at its helm? The answer lies in how these banks make their money and how little of it trickles into productive enterprise.
Nigeria’s leading banks have swollen their balance sheets largely through asset revaluations, foreign currency adjustments, and customer deposits that sit idle or are channeled into risk-free government securities. What looks like growth on paper often reflects inflationary asset repricing, not expanded lending to manufacturers, agribusinesses, or small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
Three quarters of the industry’s celebrated “assets” are actually liabilities owed to the public. These are deposits that banks temporarily hold, not capital they generated or invested productively. This dependency on depositors’ funds reveals a system that looks rich in assets but is, in essence, shallow in innovation and weak in capital depth.
A banking system overly reliant on deposits is inherently fragile. Deposits are short term and confidence sensitive and can flee quickly during periods of policy uncertainty. Unlike equity or long term capital, they offer little cushion against shocks. This overdependence creates a false picture of liquidity but hides structural weakness. Nigeria’s banks may look stable, but their foundations are vulnerable, like a tower built on shifting sands of depositor confidence rather than the rock of sustainable capital formation.
Loans to the manufacturing and agricultural sectors remain a small fraction of total credit, while lending rates often hover above 27 percent. Many small businesses that form the backbone of job creation and innovation still cannot access affordable financing. Instead, banks have mastered the art of financial intermediation without real interconnection, mobilizing deposits but not transforming them into engines of growth.
This disconnect reveals a deeper issue with weak capital efficiency. In a healthy financial system, deposits are converted into productive loans that stimulate investment, create jobs, and boost exports. But in Nigeria, the ratio of bank loans to GDP remains among the lowest in Sub-Saharan Africa. Banks appear more comfortable storing wealth than stimulating enterprise. Treasury bills and government bonds, with minimal risk and decent yields, have become the preferred playground for Nigeria’s banking giants. The result is a financial system that thrives on fiscal inertia rather than productive dynamism.
Contrast Nigeria’s sluggish growth with the dynamism in East Africa, where banks like Kenya’s Equity Group and KCB are expanding aggressively, driving credit to real sectors and supporting regional trade. East Africa now contributes 21 banks to Africa’s top 100, up from just 13 in 2022, reflecting genuine growth in financial inclusion and productive lending. While Nigeria’s banks chase continental rankings, Kenya’s and Rwanda’s banks are quietly fueling economic revolutions.
Nigeria’s exclusion from the IMF’s list of Africa’s fastest-growing economies is symbolic. It tells a story of a giant whose growth is increasingly superficial. The IMF praised countries like Rwanda and Benin for fiscal discipline, macroeconomic stability, and structural reforms, as these are all areas where Nigeria continues to struggle. Despite policy adjustments and modest improvements in non-oil sectors, Nigeria’s economy remains shackled by inflation, currency instability, and policy uncertainty. These same constraints discourage banks from taking real sector risks.
In effect, the financial system mirrors the broader economy and is large in size yet underperforming in substance. When banks announce trillion-naira asset bases, it makes for good headlines but poor development economics. The irony is that asset expansion without capital productivity is like pumping air into a balloon, which is impressive in size but fragile in substance.
While the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Governor, Yemi Cardoso, insists that the nation’s economic reforms are “yielding visible results” and placing the country “on the path to stability, inclusiveness, and innovation-driven growth,” evidence on the ground paints a more sobering picture. The CBN’s optimism, though politically convenient, contrasts sharply with the structural realities of Nigeria’s financial system and the broader economy.
If reforms were truly delivering inclusive and innovation driven growth, it would be reflected in stronger credit access, industrial productivity, and improved living standards, not just in favourable rhetoric at global meetings. Yet, Nigeria’s banking sector remains dominated by balance sheet expansion rather than productive lending. Three quarters of the industry’s celebrated “assets” are actually liabilities to public deposits temporarily held, not capital generated through innovation or investment in the real economy.
This disconnect between financial growth and real-sector development underscores a deeper fragility. Banks continue to rely heavily on short-term deposits while shying away from financing manufacturing, agriculture, and small enterprises with the engines of inclusive growth. The result is an economy where the numbers look impressive on paper, but households and industries still struggle with high borrowing costs, limited credit, and declining purchasing power.
Far from demonstrating reform-driven resilience, Nigeria’s economic structure remains hollow at the core of a system rich in nominal assets but poor in capital depth and innovation. Macroeconomic stability cannot be claimed when inflation hovers around 18.02 percent, foreign investment inflows stagnate, and job creation lags far behind population growth.
In essence, what the CBN presents as progress is, in many respects, statistically false if stability is achieved through monetary tightening and exchange rate adjustments rather than genuine economic transformation. Until reforms translate into tangible outcomes of affordable credit, industrial renewal, and sustainable job creation, the claims of inclusiveness and innovation-driven growth will remain more aspirational than real.
For Nigeria’s regulators, analysts, and policymakers, the question is no longer how large the banks’ assets appear, but what those assets are doing for the economy. True strength must come from innovation in financial intermediation, capital efficiency, and credit diversification; support for real sector growth; and regional competitiveness on the African and global stage.
For Nigerian banks to translate asset expansion into real economic impact, the next frontier must be purposeful intermediation, where financial growth feeds productive enterprise, not just paper wealth. That begins with rethinking the credit model by lending based on business potential and cash flow viability, not just collateral. By partnering with fintechs and development institutions, banks can use data driven credit assessments to reach small manufacturers, agribusinesses, and innovators who drive job creation.
Beyond lending, true strength will come from building deeper capital bases and reducing dependence on short-term deposits. Banks must raise long-term funds through bonds, equity, and partnerships with pension and insurance institutions so they can finance industrial and infrastructure projects sustainably. Regulators, too, must align incentives with development by rewarding banks that channel credit into productive sectors and penalizing those that merely recycle deposits into government securities.
Ultimately, Nigeria’s banking future depends on a mindset shift from comfort in liquidity to confidence in innovation. The country does not need banks that only count wealth but those that create it. When balance sheet expansion begins to translate into accessible credit, inclusive growth, and industrial renewal, Nigeria’s banks will cease to be symbols of inflated success and become true instruments of national transformation.

Blaise, a journalist and PR professional writes from Lagos, can be reached via: [email protected]


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E-Financial

Crypto Transactions Hit $96Bn in Nigeria -SEC

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Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) yesterday said that Nigeria’s digital finance ecosystem recorded about $96bn in cryptocurrency and other virtual asset transactions.

Crypto Transactions Hit $96Bn in Nigeria -SEC

Emomotimi Agama, director-general, SEC,

Emomotimi Agama, director-general, SEC, revealed this during a Citizens and Stakeholders Engagement Session organised by the Federal Ministry of Finance in Abuja.

He noted the the size of transactions within the digital asset space makes regulation necessary in order to protect investors and ensure transparency.

According to him, the regulatory framework for the sector was strengthened following the enactment of the Investment and Securities Act 2025, which gives the commission powers to regulate digital assets and other emerging financial technologies.

He said the law also confirms the SEC as the apex regulator of the capital market while introducing provisions aimed at monitoring systemic risks and aligning Nigeria’s market operations with global standards.

Agama said the Nigerian capital market has continued to support investment activities across the economy, adding that the commission approved ₦3.68 trillion worth of new capital market issues in 2024, covering both equities and fixed income instruments.

He added that the market played a major role in strengthening the banking sector during the recent recapitalisation exercise, with more than 31 banks raising funds through the capital market to meet new capital requirements.

The SEC director-general said the performance of the market has improved significantly in recent years, with total market capitalisation rising from ₦55 trillion in 2024 to about ₦127 trillion currently.

He added that the capital market’s contribution to the economy has also expanded, with the market capitalisation-to-GDP ratio rising from about 13 per cent to roughly 33 per cent.

According to him, the commission has introduced several measures aimed at protecting investors and building confidence in the market.

He disclosed that the regulator has issued more than 90 advisory notices warning Nigerians about suspicious investment schemes and risky financial offers.

Agama also said the commission has intensified its actions against fraudulent investment schemes, including Ponzi operations, while working with the Nigeria Police Force to investigate and prosecute offenders.

He warned that many people who fall victim to such schemes often invest in unregistered platforms promising unrealistic returns, advising investors to verify whether any investment opportunity is approved by the SEC before committing funds.

The SEC boss said the capital market has also supported infrastructure development across the country through bond issuances by state governments.

He explained that several public projects including markets, stadiums and other infrastructure have been financed through subnational bond issuances raised in the capital market.

According to him, Nigeria protects investors in state bonds through the Irrevocable Standing Payment Order (ISPO) system, which allows loan repayments to be deducted directly from states’ allocations from the Federation Account.

Agama said the commission has also established an Office of Municipal Fund Development to help state and local governments access capital market financing for development projects at the grassroots level.

He added that the SEC supported the launch of the Ministry of Finance Incorporated Real Estate Investment Fund (MREIF) to help address Nigeria’s housing deficit by providing long-term funding that allows Nigerians access to mortgages at single-digit interest rates.

Looking ahead, he said the commission is working to deepen the market by raising the capital market capitalisation-to-GDP ratio from about 30 per cent toward levels seen in emerging economies such as India, where the ratio stands at about 92 per cent.

Also speaking at the session, Mr. Raymond Omenka Omachi, permanent secretary of the Federal Ministry of Finance, addressed concerns about the performance of the federal budget, explaining that several factors have affected implementation.

He said Nigeria has faced challenges meeting the oil production benchmark of about 2.1 million barrels per day, while fluctuations in global oil prices have also affected revenue.

The Permanent Secretary added that the budget benchmark was set at $75 per barrel, but oil prices at some point fell below $60 per barrel, reducing expected government revenue.

He noted that rising debt servicing obligations and increased salary commitments have also placed pressure on available funds.

According to him, the government is taking steps to improve the situation through regular monitoring of revenue and expenditure.

He said the ministry now holds weekly cash management meetings every Monday to review government finances and identify ways to boost revenue performance.

The Permanent Secretary added that the government expects improvements once Nigeria returns to operating a single budget cycle, noting that plans are underway to collapse overlapping budgets so that the country will run only one national budget from 2026 onward.


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CBN Relaxes Dormant Account Rules with Removal of Affidavit Requirement

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has removed the requirement for customers to present affidavits when reactivating dormant bank accounts, a move aimed at simplifying the process of reclaiming inactive funds while maintaining safeguards against fraud.

In a circular issued to banks and other financial institutions, the apex bank said the decision followed representations from stakeholders who had raised concerns about the administrative burden associated with affidavit requirements.

The directive was contained in a circular titled “Guidelines on the Management of Dormant Accounts, Unclaimed Balances and Other Financial Assets in Banks and Other Financial Institutions in Nigeria”, dated March 12, 2026.

The new directive supersedes an earlier circular issued on February 17, 2025, and takes immediate effect.

According to the circular signed by Rita I. Sike, director of the Financial Policy and Regulation Department, the revised framework allows banks and other financial institutions to accept alternative channels for dormant account reactivation requests, provided adequate risk management measures are in place.

The CBN stated that the existing guidelines mandate banks and other financial institutions to implement specific measures and disclosures relating to dormant accounts, unclaimed balances and other financial assets in order to improve transparency and facilitate the reunification of funds with their rightful owners.

“The guidelines are designed to enhance transparency, facilitate the reunification of funds with their rightful owners, and ensure full compliance with applicable legal and regulatory frameworks,” the CBN said.

Under the new directive, banks must still maintain strict identification and verification processes when handling requests to reactivate dormant accounts.

“In addition to the in-person submission of reactivation requests required under Section 8.0(i) of the Guidelines, banks and other financial institutions shall adopt alternative channels for receiving requests for the reactivation of dormant accounts,” the circular stated.

However, the apex bank emphasised that institutions must implement appropriate risk management strategies, including robust identification and verification measures, to ensure that the individual making the request is properly authenticated.

“Following representations received from stakeholders, the CBN hereby rescinds the requirement under Section 8.0(ii) for the mandatory use of affidavits in the reactivation of dormant accounts,” the circular said.

Despite the removal of the affidavit requirement, the regulator directed banks to apply enhanced due diligence procedures when processing reactivation requests.

The CBN clarified that the removal of affidavits applies only to dormant accounts that have not yet been transferred to the Unclaimed Balances Trust Fund Pool Account.

“For the avoidance of doubt, affidavits are no longer required for reactivating dormant accounts that have not been transferred to the UBTF Pool Account,” the regulator said.

However, customers seeking to reclaim funds that have already been transferred to the Unclaimed Balances Trust Fund Pool Account will still be required to present affidavits in line with the provisions of the existing guidelines.

“This rescission does not extend to the reclaiming of funds already transferred to the UBTF Pool Account, where affidavits remain mandatory,” the circular noted.

Beyond the reactivation process, the CBN also strengthened disclosure requirements relating to dormant accounts and unclaimed balances.

Banks and other financial institutions have been directed to publish specific information relating to dormant accounts that have not yet been transferred to the UBTF Pool Account, as well as unclaimed balances already transferred to the fund, on their operational websites.

The information to be disclosed includes the names of authorised account holders, the type of account, the name of the financial institution and the branch where the account is domiciled.

Financial institutions that do not maintain operational websites are required to publish the information on the official websites of their respective industry associations.

In addition, the CBN directed banks and other financial institutions to publish the mandated information annually in at least two national daily newspapers.

Where such disclosures exceed two full pages, institutions may instead publish a single-page notice in at least two national newspapers directing customers to a dedicated and easily searchable section of their corporate websites containing the full list of dormant accounts.

The regulator, however, provided exemptions for smaller institutions. State and unit microfinance banks are only required to display the information at their business locations and are not mandated to publish the details in national newspapers.

The CBN also addressed concerns raised by financial institutions regarding compliance with Nigeria’s data protection framework.

The regulator explained that the disclosure requirements are consistent with the provisions of the Nigeria Data Protection Act, 2023, which permits the processing of personal data where it is necessary for compliance with a legal obligation or the protection of the vital interests of individuals.

It further cited Section 72(11) of the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act, 2020, which empowers the CBN to issue guidelines on the administration of unclaimed funds in banks and other financial institutions.

“Accordingly, the required disclosures are legally justified and fully consistent with the applicable provisions of the NDPA and BOFIA,” the apex bank said.

 


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CBN Tightens BVN Rules to Curb Fraudulent Banking Transactions

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has introduced stricter Bank Verification Number (BVN) enrolment and data access rules to prevent suspected fraudulent transactions, effective May 1, 2026.

CBN Tightens BVN Rules to Curb Fraudulent Banking Transactions

This was disclosed in a statement issued over the weekend and titled “Addendum to the Revised Regulatory Framework for Bank Verification Number (BVN) Operations and Watchlist for the Nigerian Banking Industry 2021.”

The statement was signed by Musa Jimoh, director of the Payment System Policy Department.

The CBN said it introduced the ‘Revised Regulatory Framework for Bank Verification (BVN) and Watchlist for the Nigerian Banking Industry 2021’, to promote a stable financial system.

The apex bank reiterated that enrollment for the BVN be limited to individuals aged 18 and above, while amendments to phone numbers linked to a BVN will be restricted to a one-time change only.

Financial Institutions are mandated to establish and maintain a temporary watchlist for BVNs implicated in suspected fraudulent transactions reported by a financial institution.

“A BVN may remain on this temporary Watchlist for a maximum period of twenty-four (24) hours. During this period, the BVN owner shall be contacted to clarify the identified transaction(s).

Enrolment for BVN is restricted to individuals who have attained the age of eighteen (18) years and above. Amendments to phone numbers linked to a BVN shall be allowed only once,” the statement read.

The CBN insisted that it maintain an exclusive right to access BVN databases and to approve access to them by financial institutions.

“Access to the BVN databases shall be exclusively granted to Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) licensed financial institutions. Notwithstanding this provision, the Central Bank of Nigeria (the Bank) reserves the right to approve access to the BVN databases in extenuating circumstances and in accordance with the provisions of extant laws,” the statement said.

The directive was part of the CBN’s recent regulatory amendments in combating fraudulent activities.

On Tuesday, the bank issued new regulations, “Baseline Standards for Automated Anti-Money Laundering (AML) Solution for Financial Institutions in Nigeria’, to all financial institutions, in a bid to automatically counter money laundering and terrorism financing.

 


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