Connect with us

General News

What the Recent Oil Disruption Means for Nigeria

Published

on

Kindly share this post

By Lukman Otunuga, senior,Research Analyst,FXTM

The unprecedented Oil disruption in Saudi Arabia in September shocked the markets and triggered multiple financial reactions for investors across the globe.

Oil prices exploded 20 percent higher on Monday September 16 after attacks on Saudi Oil fields caused disruptions of 5.7 million barrels per day, roughly five percent of global Oil supplies. Oil later gave back gains after Saudi Arabia pledged that Oil production would be up and running by the end of September.

However, there are doubts that the damage – which is thought to run into the hundreds of millions of Dollars – will be fixed so quickly.

Dynamic influencing Oil market swing back and forth

The uncertainty is also disrupting Oil prices, which spike intermittently before calming on data like the US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) report about a 2.4 million barrel build in Crude oil inventories on September 25.

On top of that, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add more concerns for the short-term future of Oil markets.

Going forward, Oil prices are expected to be more sensitive to negative supply shocks, at least in the short term. If the serious tensions between Iran and the US escalate, Oil prices may be supported with a degree of upside potential.

OPEC continues with its quest to stabilize markets

Another factor to consider is OPEC’s reaction and possible change of mind over its supply cut policy. As recently as September 12, OPEC persuaded Nigeria to join supply cuts to prevent a global glut from drastically undercutting prices and Oil revenues for Oil-producing countries. The supply-side circumstances have changed considerably since then.

Recent reports have revealed that OPEC’s oil output fell to an eight-year low in September, pumping 28.9 million barrels per day (bpd) which was down 750,000 bpd from August’s revised figure and lowest monthly total since 2011.

Should Saudi Arabia experience more attacks or take longer than expected to restore normal Oil production from the damaged facilities, OPEC may need to reconsider supply cuts and increase production so its members can meet global supply demand.

At the time of writing, Nigeria’s Light Sweet Crude Oil Kwa Ibo and Bonny Light are trading at their normal level of $3 above the Brent Crude benchmark because Saudi Arabia has pledged to be back to normal light Crude oil production levels by the end of September. In the meantime, Saudi Arabia has restored output to 11.3 million barrels per day but is relying on sales of heavy Crude oil. Should Saudi Arabia disappoint the market’s expectations, light sweet Crude oil prices may change in Nigeria’s favour.

Overall, given how Oil sales account for roughly 70 percent of government revenues and 90 percent of Nigeria’s foreign exchange earnings, if the recent disruption results in a net rise in Oil prices, it could offer short-term support to the nation.

Impact on Nigeria’s economic growth

As an emerging market energy exporter, the prospects of rising Oil prices should feed back into Nigeria’s economic growth. Higher Oil prices would boost the nation’s foreign exchange reserves, promote foreign exchange stability and boost government spending in economic infrastructure which in turn would be positive for growth.

On the other hand, Nigeria’s fiscal and monetary policy makers must always be on the lookout for inflationary pressures. In August, inflation in Nigeria fell to 11.02 percent, a 43-month low. But higher Oil prices may squeeze company and consumer transportation budgets, re-igniting inflation.

Higher Oil price could hit consumer spending

The flip side of higher Oil prices is the risk of rising inflation. This would likely drag on consumer spending and complicate central bank efforts to ease monetary policy, which may end up pressuring economic growth.

On a larger scale, the threat of a global recession lurks around the corner. Rising Oil prices could also threaten global growth with higher running costs.

While Nigeria and energy producers would welcome higher Oil prices, everyone will lose if unaffordable costs tip the global economy into recession.

Diversification remains the cure to Nigeria’s oil dependence

In September, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) left interest rates unchanged at 13.5 percent. Movements in the Oil markets have a direct impact on CBN’s rate decisions, so I am closely watching developments in this area. Especially when considering how the CBN Governor wants inflation to slow to 9% or less before he considers cutting interest rates further.

Long term, for Nigeria to reduce exposure to Oil volatility, the quest for diversification needs to build momentum. Nigeria could source growth from non-Oil sectors like Agriculture and Services.

In conclusion, until diversification reduces Nigeria’s dependence on Oil revenues, the economy remains vulnerable to Oil price volatility and an uneven demand-supply equation.


Kindly share this post

Ugo Onwuaso is an ICT enthusiast. He believes technology should be used for general good. He holds a Master of Public Administration (MPA) degree from the Lagos state University. Dear Reader, Your support matters. But we believe that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. That is why, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and finance and how they affect lives. Our incisive and analytical view of how technology news affects the daily life help individuals and organizations make up their minds. Quality journalism costs money. Today, we're asking that you support us to do more. Kindly support our effort to deliver technology and finance journalism to everyone in the world. Donate as little as N1,000. Bank transfers can be made to: UBA Plc 1017156876 Communication Week Media Ltd

General News

Kaspersky Reveals How Digitalisation is Influencing Family Life

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Kaspersky’s latest global research shows that mostly all people currently interact with their family members digitally: 86% of all participants communicate with family via messaging apps, 58% have regular video calls, and 44% have even established joint streaming service accounts.

While digitalisation offers unprecedented convenience and flexibility in family communication, Kaspersky experts warn that this increased online connectivity demands a heightened awareness of digital safety practices and the protection of devices.

Communication in the digital sphere has become an integral part of everyday life. Thanks to video calls and instant messaging, we can maintain connections with our loved ones, no matter where we are.

Digitalisation has reshaped not only how we communicate, but also how we spend our free time together. Kaspersky has conducted a survey* to reveal the common patterns of modern family life in the digital age and discover the cybersecurity challenges that lurk beneath our screen interactions.

Cyber safety during family communication

According to the survey, regular messaging via WhatsApp, Telegram, Signal, Viber and other messenger apps were top of users’ choices when communicating with their families.

People in the 35-54 age group were the most likely to engage this way, with 89% of respondents choosing this option. Video calls were a much less popular option among respondents as a way of keeping in touch with relatives, with only 58% choosing this digital solution.

Another popular way of staying connected online for many families is exchanging posts and memes on social media and messengers (53%). The 18-34 age group leads this trend with a 58% participation rate, showcasing how humor and shared cultural references are becoming essential family bonding mechanisms.

The older generation (above 55 years old) is in general less digitally engaged than other ages, though the share of those who chat with their families in messengers is on par with the average (85%). 42% of this age group even exchange memes and posts via social media.

Despite the fact that older people are more active in the digital sphere, they may still not be ready to face cyber threats and scams. Users should therefore educate their older relatives on how to stay safe online and use gadgets securely.

Even for advanced users, communication online carries potential cyber security risks. From phishing attempts disguised as legitimate messages to sophisticated social engineering attacks, the digital battlefield operates within our most personal communication channels.

To ensure the complex protection for your messengers it’s highly recommended to enable two-factor authentication where possible, use unique, complex passwords for each account, remain skeptical of unexpected links or attachments, use a reliable security solution with anti-phishing protection for messengers and follow security tips from Kaspersky experts.

Family accounts – convenience or risk?

The survey shows that in their free time 70% of families choose to watch movies together, with 44% having family streaming accounts. Online games do not have such popularity as a family pastime, with only 35% of general respondents opting for them.

While sharing streaming subscriptions and gaming accounts may seem like a cost-effective solution, it opens the door to a host of digital vulnerabilities that can compromise your family’s security and privacy, especially when an account is used by different family members under the same login and password. Such accounts create a perfect storm for security breaches.

If one family member’s device is compromised, hackers gain access to the entire account. Additionally, password reuse across multiple platforms means that a single breach could expose your financial information, email accounts, and other sensitive data. To manage all passwords securely, it’s highly recommended to use a password manager for all family members.

“As our family life moves more and more online, it opens up amazing ways to stay close and create memories – but it also brings new risks, like scams and hacking. Kids and older relatives can be especially at risk, so looking out for each other online is really important.

“Protecting your digital privacy and using cybersecurity measures is an important way to care for your loved ones and keep your family safe”, comments Marina Titova, Vice President for Consumer Business at Kaspersky.


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

General News

NCC Slaps ₦250,000 Fee on Trial Licences to Spur Telecom Innovation

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) has rolled out a new ₦250,000 application fee for companies seeking temporary approval to test innovative telecom services, aiming to fast-track sector modernisation while safeguarding consumers.

NCC Slaps ₦250,000 Fee on Trial Licences to Spur Telecom Innovation

NCC

The fee targets the newly launched Interim Service Authorisation (ISA), a short-term licence enabling telecom operators, startups, and tech firms to trial novel offerings in live markets before full commercial rollout. Contained in NCC’s freshly published General Authorisation Framework, the charge covers administrative processing, with successful applicants potentially facing extra costs for spectrum or numbering resources.

Under the rules, firms pay the ₦250,000 upfront upon application. Trials run for an initial three months, renewable once up to six months total, capped at 10,000 users and restricted geographically. Operators must prove their service is genuinely new, detail regulatory hurdles, outline consumer safeguards, and submit monthly reports, all while upholding data protection, security, and rights obligations.

NCC Executive Vice-Chairman Aminu Maida, who previewed the draft in July, said exploding tech advances had outstripped old licensing models, necessitating reform to foster innovation without skimping on public safeguards. The ISA lets providers gauge technical viability, market appetite, and risks, while regulators scrutinise quality and impact pre-scale-up.

“This framework strikes a balance—unleashing experimentation in spectrum sharing, Open RAN, and alternative connectivity, minus the pitfalls of unchecked rollouts,” an NCC statement noted. Participation offers no automatic path to full licences; commercial bids hinge on fresh evaluations and category fits.

Industry players hailed the move as a risk-reducer for unproven ideas, potentially slashing flop costs in Nigeria’s cut-throat telecom arena. With participation limited and monitoring rigorous, the NCC bets on controlled pilots to propel breakthroughs, cementing Africa’s giant as a digital vanguard.

As operators eye 5G-plus frontiers, the ISA arrives amid investor clamour for agile rules, positioning Nigeria to harvest homegrown tech leaps without consumer blowback.


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

General News

Naira Smashes Through ₦1,400 Barrier in Official FX Rally

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Nigerian naira strengthened to a record high of about ₦1,400 to the US dollar at the official market during midweek trading, continuing an appreciation trend seen since the start of the week.

Naira Smashes Through ₦1,400 Barrier in Official FX Rally

FX

Data released by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that the currency appreciated by 1.26 per cent on Tuesday, January 27, at the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM), with the dollar quoted at ₦1,401.22. This represented a gain of ₦17.73 compared with the ₦1,418.95 recorded on Monday, January 26.

The naira had already posted significant gains in the previous session, closing at around ₦1,401.20 per dollar, its strongest level since the introduction of the Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System (EFEMS).

The currency has recorded incremental daily gains in recent sessions, rising between 0.1 per cent and 0.36 per cent on some trading days. In the parallel market, bureau de change operators in Lagos quoted the dollar between ₦1,475 and ₦1,490 on January 27, with average buying and selling rates of ₦1,480 and ₦1,490 respectively.

Market analysts attribute the improved performance at the parallel market to enhanced foreign exchange liquidity and further regulatory reforms implemented by the CBN.

The naira has sustained its upward momentum into early 2026, building on the gains recorded in 2025, when it posted its strongest performance in over a decade, appreciating between 7 and 9 per cent against the US dollar.

Analysts generally expect the currency to remain within a relatively stable range in the medium term, with several projections indicating it will trade between ₦1,400 and ₦1,500 to the dollar this year, supported by improved liquidity and ongoing macroeconomic reforms.

The Nigerian Economic Summit Group has projected that the naira will trade at around ₦1,480 to the dollar in 2026. The group also expects Nigeria’s external reserves to rise steadily to about $52 billion, driven by the consolidation of recent reforms and sustained stabilisation efforts.


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

Trending