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Caution Kicks In as Corporate Earnings Loom 

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By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM

Caution and unease are set to engulf financial markets ahead of one of the most uncertain earnings seasons for years, as it is expected to offer a bitter appetiser of the painful blow the coronavirus outbreak has dealt to US corporations.

Nevertheless, investors remain somewhat hopeful that the pandemic may be peaking, and this sentiment was reflected across Asian markets on Tuesday morning. The flicker of optimism from Asia could lend support to European shares before earnings kick off later in the day with JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Johnson & Johnson reporting their numbers. Over the past few weeks, the negative impact of the coronavirus on the global economy has fueled speculation around first-quarter earnings disappointing forecasts. If expectations become reality, risk aversion will most likely make an unwelcome return, ultimately exposing global stocks to downside shocks.

Nigeria extends lockdown for two weeks

Investors who were banking on Oil prices to rebound after the world’s top energy producers pulled off a historic deal to cut global petroleum output by nearly 10% have been left empty handed.

WTI Crude and Brent remain at severely depressed levels, both down over 50% despite OPEC and its allies cutting production by a whopping 9.7 million barrels a day starting in May. While this move by OPEC may create a floor for Oil, it is certainly not enough to push the commodity higher. For as long as global recession fears stimulate concerns around falling demand, oil weakness is poised to remain a dominant theme which is bad news for emerging market energy producers like Nigeria.

Africa’s largest has also extended its lockdown by two weeks in Lagos, Abuja and Ogun. While the social distancing and lockdowns may reduce the spread of the novel coronavirus, it will come at the cost of economic growth. With the lockdown hitting consumption which is roughly 70% of GDP, it will be difficult for Nigeria to mirror the economic growth witnessed in 2019.

Is the Dollar’s crown under threat?

The Dollar weakened against a basket of major currencies on Tuesday as investors braced for a challenging earnings season.

Buying sentiment towards the Greenback will be tested this quarter as investors evaluate corporate earnings and economic data from the United States, which has been hit hard by the virus. Where the Greenback closes this week will most likely be influenced not only by earnings, but also the latest retail sales and unemployment claims data.

If the coronavirus outbreak has left prolonged cracks in the largest economy in the world, the Dollar’s throne could be under threat with market players seeking safety in the Japanese Yen or Swiss Franc. With regard to the technical picture, the Dollar Index is under pressure on the daily charts with prices heading towards 99.00. A breakdown below this level may open the doors towards 98.90 and 98.30.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Gold has scaled levels above $1724 not seen in more than seven years, thanks to Dollar weakness and global recession fears.

The precious metal remains in fashion, appreciating almost 13% since the start of 2020. Further gains may be on the cards this week if corporate earnings paint a gloomy picture and the Dollar weakens on disappointing data. Looking at the technical picture, prices could jump higher towards $1730 if a solid weekly close above $1700 is achieved. Alternatively, sustained weakness below may pave open the doors back towards $1675.

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Ugo Onwuaso is an ICT enthusiast. He believes technology should be used for general good. He holds a Master of Public Administration (MPA) degree from the Lagos state University. Dear Reader, Your support matters. But we believe that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. That is why, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and finance and how they affect lives. Our incisive and analytical view of how technology news affects the daily life help individuals and organizations make up their minds. Quality journalism costs money. Today, we're asking that you support us to do more. Kindly support our effort to deliver technology and finance journalism to everyone in the world. Donate as little as N1,000. Bank transfers can be made to: UBA Plc 1017156876 Communication Week Media Ltd

E-Financial

House of Reps Moves to Shut Down Illegal Loan Apps Exploiting Nigerians

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House of Representatives has urged the closure of illegal loan platforms used by “one chance” operatives to extort money from unsuspecting victims.

This decision followed a motion of urgent public importance presented by Billy Osawaru during Wednesday’s plenary session.

Osawaru highlighted the activities of these operatives as “heinous,” explaining how their actions leave victims in dire conditions.

He noted that victims are often subjected to severe torture and forced to hand over personal information, which is then exploited.

“In many cases, the phone numbers and bank accounts of victims are used to borrow money from illegal and unauthorised loan apps, thereby incurring huge debts that the victims are forced to repay,” Osawaru said.

The lawmaker also expressed concern over the reluctance of banks to assist complainants without a Police report.

He called on the Nigeria Police, banks, and FinTech operators such as Opay and MoniePoint to prioritize cases of “one chance” operations and kidnappings reported to them.

The motion was adopted unanimously by the House without further debate.


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E-Financial

AMMBAN Seeks Review of 5 Percent Charge Imposed on PoS Agents

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Association of Mobile Money and Bank Agents in Nigeria (AMMBAN) has appealed to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Office of the Vice President, Kashim Shettima, to review the five per cent charge on Point of Sale (PoS) transactions imposed on its members.

AMMBAN Seeks Review of 5 Percent Charge Imposed on PoS Agents

The association stated that the recent introduction of the five per cent electronic fee on agents has added to the burdens faced by PoS operators nationwide. It emphasized that the fee is onerous, considering that agents already shoulder numerous costs to deliver their services

The appeal was made in a statement issued on Tuesday in Ibadan. The association lamented that PoS operators are not treated as priority agents for cash accessibility, which has made it difficult for them to access cash while providing essential financial services to the public.

The statement explained that even when agents visit banks or their principals to obtain cash, they often fail to receive it. This situation is unsustainable, as agents are expected to provide financial services without adequate support or funding.

The statement further criticized the introduction of the five per cent electronic fee, describing it as a significant burden on PoS operators who are already dealing with numerous financial constraints.

In light of the current inflation rate, the association proposed raising the electronic fee threshold to N50,000, noting that this adjustment would not affect low-income individuals, who are exempt from the fee.

The association also expressed concern that the current arrangement could hinder the government’s efforts to drive financial inclusion. It called on the CBN and the Office of the Vice President to review the policy and ensure that principals provide adequate support and funding to their agents.

The statement was signed by several key officials, including Mr. Badiru Asimiyu Olawale, Osun State chairman; Mr. Ogungbayi Ganiyu, national Public Relations officer, and other representatives from Bauchi, Edo, and Abia States.

 

 

 

 


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NITDA Warns Nigerians about Malware Stealing Banking Details

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National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA) has warned Nigerians about a dangerous banking malware that targets users worldwide through complex phishing schemes.

NITDA Warns Nigerians about Malware Stealing Banking Details

The warning was issued by NITDA’s Computer Emergency Readiness and Response Team (CERT) on Monday via social media.

The agency described the new version of Grandoreiro as a serious threat that uses sophisticated methods to steal sensitive information.

Malware, short for malicious software, refers to any intrusive software developed by cybercriminals (often called hackers) to steal data and damage or destroy computers and computer systems.

According to the agency, the malware employs “advanced techniques, including screen overlay attacks and remote device control, to steal sensitive information such as banking credentials and personal data.”

NITDA explained that the malware primarily spreads through phishing emails and fraudulent websites.

These deceptive platforms trick victims into downloading malicious software by disguising it as legitimate updates or documents.

Once installed, the malware can bypass security protections, giving attackers unauthorized access to users’ devices.

The agency warned that this could result in significant financial losses and potential identity theft.

The agency urged the public to exercise caution and adopt recommended security measures to mitigate the risk.

“Cyber threats like Grandoreiro are evolving, and users need to stay vigilant and adopt robust security practices to protect their information,” the agency advised.

NITDA recommended avoiding links and attachments from unknown emails, downloading software only from trusted sources, and enabling multifactor authentication for online banking and financial accounts.

The agency also emphasized the importance of keeping antivirus software updated, avoiding public Wi-Fi for financial transactions, and regularly monitoring bank accounts for unauthorized activities.

 


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